Ghana vs Gambia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
We head to the Accra Sports Stadium on Tuesday, when Ghana will take on Gambia in the 2027 AFCON qualifiers. The Black Stars have won their last two matches against this opponent, and we’re going for them to come out on top in this one as well as our main prediction.
Ghana were one of the CAF representatives that reached the knockout stages of the World Cup, and they are now looking to return to the AFCON after failing to qualify for the 2025 edition.
However, the Black Stars are up against it here, having lost their opener 2-0 to Ivory Coast on Thursday. They are now winless in their last four matches across all competitions (D1 L3).
At home, though, Ghana are on a four-match win streak and unbeaten in five. They also kept clean sheets in all six matches during this period.
Meanwhile, Gambia are also hoping to return to the AFCON after failing to qualify for the last competition, but they kicked off their qualifying campaign with a 2-1 victory over Somalia on Friday.
Ebrima Colley and Mohamed Badamosi scored for the Scorpions in the last match. As a team, they recorded 56% possession, 1.36 xG and created three big chances across the 90 minutes.
The visitors are winless in their last three away matches and conceded two or more goals in each of those matches.
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Ghana v Gambia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 3.45 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.74 | 5.22 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 5.22 |
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|
1.61 | 3.74 | 5.22 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.7 | 5.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ghana and Gambia?
Our prediction for the Ghana vs Gambia match is: Ghana wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Ghana and Gambia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59% for a win of Ghana against Gambia with odds of 1.65 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ghana vs Gambia is 5.66% with odds of 3.74 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Gambia vs Ghana with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
Ghana vs Gambia Form
Ghana and Gambia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Ghana and Gambia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - AFCON
3 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
31 May 2025 - International Friendlies
28 May 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - AFCON
3 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
22 May 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Missing players
Y. Minteh
Ghana and Gambia Stats in AFCON
Ghana - Gambia Key Points
- Ghana are on a four-match win streak at home.
- Ghana have kept clean sheets in each of their last five home matches.
- Ghana have won their last two home games against this opponent.
- Gambia are winless in their last three away games.
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Our Ghana vs Gambia Prediction
Gambia made a positive start to these qualifiers by beating Somalia 2-1 last week, and if they are able to take anything from this match, they will be in a very good position to secure qualification.
However, while Ghana’s recent record does not look good on paper, those results were against much better opponents at the World Cup and in international friendlies. The Black Stars’ home record is excellent, and we fancy them to take the three points from this match. Our Ghana vs Gambia prediction is Ghana wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
