Madagascar vs Tanzania Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Nella Wagah | in AFCON Predictions
Madagascar and Tanzania are presented a chance to kickstart their 2027 AFCON qualification campaigns after matchday one defeats. The two were always set to struggle in a Group L that has Nigeria and Guinea-Bissau. Three times in their five meetings, under 2.5 goals were recorded, and we are backing the same in this prediction.
Madagascar are coming from a tough outing, away in Nigeria, where they had their moment of fame before falling 2-1. It was a second straight outing against an African heavyweight, having earlier lost 4-0 to Morocco.
They will hope to have picked the lessons as they take on a more manageable job. This will be the third time they host Tanzania and will be hoping to keep their undefeated run at home.
Tanzania drew with Madagascar 1-1 the last time they visited the island nation, an improvement from their earlier 2-0 defeat. Coming into this game, they will seek further improvement after their 2-0 defeat to Guinea Bissau.
After Tanzania last faced Madagascar and won, back in August 2025, they’ve managed just one more win in 14 outings. That was against a lowly Macau, whom they thrashed 6-0.
That is also their only win in a run of three defeats in four matches. The Taifa Stars have particularly disappointed in attack, failing to score in three of their last four games.
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Madagascar v Tanzania Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Madagascar and Tanzania?
Our prediction for the Madagascar vs Tanzania match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Madagascar and Tanzania in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.5% for a win of Madagascar against Tanzania with odds of 2.5 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Madagascar vs Tanzania is 27.5% with odds of 3.25 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 25% chance ⭐ for a win of Tanzania vs Madagascar with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
Madagascar vs Tanzania Form
Madagascar and Tanzania's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Madagascar and Tanzania Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
30 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
26 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
4 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
22 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
4 Jan 2026 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Madagascar vs Tanzania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
14 Nov 2021 - World Cup
Madagascar and Tanzania Stats in AFCON
Madagascar - Tanzania Key Points
- An average of 2.4 goals were scored in Tanzania’s last five matches.
- Seven of Madagascar’s last 10 home games failed to reach three goals.
- Only two of Tanzania’s last 10 away matches had over 2.5 goals scored.
- Three times in the last five meetings, these nations played to under 2.5 goals.
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Our Madagascar vs Tanzania Prediction
Both Madagascar and Tanzania had losing starts in the AFCON qualification campaign. Tanzania failed to score in their loss while Madagascar scored one goal, but both are carrying poor scoring returns here.
Each has won twice in their last two meetings, and an evened-out affair is expected here, though with their returns in attack, we will back another low-scoring outcome. In their two meetings hosted by Madagascar, only four goals were scored. Our prediction for Madagascar v Tanzania is for under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
