Liberia vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Nella Wagah | in AFCON Predictions
Liberia find themselves bottom of Group K as they go into their second match of the 2027 AFCON qualifiers. They will be at home against Mali, a nation sitting 87 places above them. Liberia rarely fail to score, while Mali also have a good attack, and our prediction is BTTS.
Liberia are coming off a losing start in their push for a place at the AFCON finals. They fell 3-1 to Rwanda, away in Kigali on matchday one, and will be looking to recover when they host Les Aigles.
Across their last 11 matches, Liberia have only lost back-to-back matches once. That should inspire some confidence, but the biggest of them will be the fact that they rarely fail to score. Liberia netted six times in the last 10 games.
Mali are unbeaten in three matches against Liberia, winning two. They will be looking at that for encouragement as they seek to go top of this group.
Heading here, they registered a morale-boosting 3-1 win against Cape Verde at home. That was their first win inside 90 minutes for close to a year.
They hadn’t won in regular time in the previous nine matches. Their record against Liberia should offer a lift, but scoring form hasn’t let them down either. Mali only failed to score in half of their last 10 games.
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Liberia v Mali Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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6.4 | 3.75 | 1.44 |
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7.2 | 3.92 | 1.46 |
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7.2 | 3.92 | 1.46 |
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7.2 | 3.92 | 1.46 |
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6.5 | 3.9 | 1.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liberia and Mali?
Our prediction for the Liberia vs Mali match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Liberia and Mali in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.37% for a win of Liberia against Mali with odds of 7.8 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liberia vs Mali is 36.7% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Liberia with odds of 1.5 at Shangrila.
Liberia vs Mali Form
Liberia and Mali's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Liberia and Mali Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Liberia and Mali Stats in AFCON
Liberia - Mali Key Points
- Both teams scored in half of Mali’s last 10 outings.
- Six of Liberia’s last nine matches saw both teams score.
- Mali managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches.
- Four of these nations’ last five meetings had both teams scoring.
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Our Liberia vs Mali Prediction
Liberia had a torrid time away in Rwanda on matchday one and will be happy to return home in this round. The Lone Stars once again proved their attacking consistency with a goal in Kigali, though it isn’t a game they can say they managed well.
They had to finish with a man down and will surely be hoping for better discipline. Mali haven’t been very strong on the road, and this could trouble them. They should at least get to the scoresheet. Our prediction for Liberia v Mali is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
