Champions League Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Champions League prediction, as well as our expert predictions on all the Champions League football matches (2023-2024). Full of information for your sports betting!

Champions League presentation and predictions - Football

The Champions League is one of the most closely followed sporting events throughout the year. This competition brings together the elite of European football every season, and is incredibly popular with punters who love betting on the Champions League.

Organized by UEFA, the tournament features not just the very best clubs in Europe but also some of the clubs that are top dogs in their domestic leagues but struggle to cope with the European elite. Shocks do happen though so that's always something to consider.  

From the first qualifying rounds through to the final on 1 June 2024, find our Champions League predictions here. We offer you our opinions on who will win the groups, then our predictions on who will progress in the knockout stages and the eventual European champions. We'll also offer our views on who will be the top scorer in the Champions League. All great information to read!

Our free Champions League prediction for the 2023 - 2024 season: who to bet on?

The 2023-2024 edition of the Champions League once again pits Europe's biggest clubs against each other! With just four teams left, a strong case can be made for each team. Real Madrid eliminated the defending champions Manchester City on penalties in the quarter-final and will have a huge amount of momentum heading into the semis. Bayern Munich, meanwhile, outlasted a stubborn Arsenal side to make the final four of the competition for the first time time since their title-winning 2019/20 campaign. PSG will be hoping it will finally be there year after eliminating Barcelona at the Camp Nou while Borussia Dortmund cruised into the semi-final for the first time in 11 years. For our money, we like Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid to reclaim the title after last winning it in 2022/23. They possess the most talented team remaining in the tournament and made a massive statement by knocking out holders Man City at the Etihad. Therefore, Real Madrid is our prediction to win their 15th Champions League trophy in club history!

Champions League final winner: bookmakers' odds to lift the trophy

The betting sites' offers on the future winner of the 2023-2024 Champions League are tempting. If you've already made your choice, don't hesitate to take advantage. Here are how the odds stack up ahead of the semi-finals:

Odds taken from bet365.com

Make your Champions League selections

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Which prediction for the Champions League top scorer?

Also very popular with punters, the "Champions League top scorer" type of bet can offer great opportunities given the good odds offered by bookmakers on who will score the most Champions League goals. 

When betting on the top scorer in the Champions League, there are several factors to take into account. Recent performances, the player's ability to score goals, the fixture list and opponents, the club's ambitions: all these factors can have an influence on a player's chances of finishing as the competition's top scorer. Selecting a player from a team expected to go deep in the tournament is advisable.

Odds to be top scorer

These are the current top scorer odds heading into the semi-final:

• Kylian Mbappe - (PSG) - 1.50
• Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) - 2.75
• Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) – 26.00
• Rodrygo (Real Madrid) - 26.00
• Vinicius Jr. (Real Madrid) - 67.00
• Mato Joselu (Real Madrid) - 251.00
• Brahim Diaz (Real Madrid) - 251.00
• Jamal Musiala (Bayern Munich) - 501.00
• Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund) - 501.00

Odds taken from bet365.com

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The Champions League Semi-Final Draw

The semi-final is set and there are some blockbuster fixtures on the cards! Check out the full draw below as well as the dates for the two legs: 

• Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid (First leg - 30 April / Return leg - 7 May)
• Borussia Dortmund vs PSG (First leg - 30 April / Return leg - 7 May)

The Champions League Quarter-Final Results

A thrilling quarter-final is in the books! Stay tuned for what is sure to be a can't-miss semi-final in Europe's elite club football competition!

• Real Madrid vs Manchester City - 4-4 aggregate (4-3 penalty shootout)
• Arsenal vs Bayern Munich - 2-3 aggregate
• PSG vs Barcelona - 6-4 aggregate
• Atletico Madrid vs Dortmund - 5-4 aggregate

The semi-final action is all set to kick off so be sure to lock in your bets! Check out the most recent odds on some of our top recommended bookmakers including bet365, 1xBet and Vbet!

Our prediction for the Champions League groups

The draw for the group stage took place on August 31 after the completion of the qualifying stages. Below is the draw for the eight groups and we'll have lots more information and analysis in the days to come, so make sure you come back to this page.

The dates for the group games are as follows: 

• Day 1 - 19 and 20 September 2023
• Day 2 - 3 and 4 October 2023
• Day 3 - 24 and 25 October 2023
• Day 4 - 7 and 8 November 2023
• Day 5 - 28 and 29 November 2023
• Day 6 - 12th and 13th December 2023

Now let's take a look at each of the groups and make our predictions on the 16 clubs that will make it into the knockout stages. Which eight clubs will be off to the Europa League after finishing third in their group? It all promises to be a fascinating group stage.

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Group A - Bayern Munich - Manchester United - Copenhagen - Galatasaray

Group A had the makings of an exciting group and it certainly lived up to the hype. Harry Kane, making his return to England to face Manchester United with his new Bayern Munich teammates, would get the better of the Red Devils in their two meetings. This propelled Bayern to the top of the standings where they were able to secure a relatively hassle-free first-place finish on 16 points. Second-place was up for grabs between the three remaining clubs and it was FC Copenhagen that would ultimately prevail to accompany Bayern in the round of 16. This marked the second time the last three years that the Danish champions have made the final 16 after also advancing to this stage in the 2021/22 edition. A reminder of our predictions: we had Bayern going through as group winners with Manchester United in second and Galatasaray in third.

Group A final standings:

1. Bayern Munich - 16 points
2. FC Copenhagen - 8 points
3. Galatasaray - 5 points
4. Manchester United - 4 points

Check out the latest group odds at Vbet

Group B - Sevilla - Arsenal - PSV - Lens

Group B marked Arsenal's return to the Champions League after a painful six-year absence for Gooner fans. They received a warm welcome back to Europe's elite club competition with a rather favorable group draw. The Gunners did what was expected of them, securing first-place with four wins, a draw and a defeat for a total of 13 points. That left an extremely even battle for the second spot as Ligue 1 runners-up RC Lens, Dutch runners-up PSV and seven-time Europa League champions Sevilla all fancying their chances at joining the North London side in the final 16. Ultimately, it was PSV who were able to pip Lens for second after beating Sevilla in matchday five and securing a 1-1 home draw with Arsenal on the final day to book their place. Our predictions were: Arsenal to finish first and Sevilla to finish second.

Group B final standings:

1. Arsenal - 13 points
2. PSV - 9 points
3. RC Lens - 8 points
4. Sevilla - 2 points

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Group C - Napoli - Real Madrid - Braga - Union Berlin

Group C had two clear frontrunners for the top two qualifying positions in 14-time champions Real Madrid and defending Serie A champs Napoli. Both clubs faced little resistance in securing qualification to the round of 16 with Madrid in particularly impressive form, winning all six of their group stage matches for a points total of 18. Despite losing both of their fixtures against Los Blancos, Napoli was able to take care of business against Braga and Union Berlin, finishing on 10 points and making the knockout stages of the competition for the third time in the last five years. We were correct in our initial group stage predictions for this one, backing Madrid and Napoli to finish first and second, respectively.

Group C final standings:

1. Real Madrid - 18 points
2. Napoli - 10 points
3. Braga - 4 points
4. Union Berlin - 2 points

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Group D - Benfica - Inter Milan - RB Salzburg - Real Sociedad

Group D presented what looked to be the most evenly-matched group the 2023/24 Champions League. Inter Milan, last season's runners-up, were the bookmakers' favorites to top the group but they were just narrowly edged out on goal differential by Spanish side Real Sociedad. Last season's fourth-place finishers in La Liga, La Real's goalless draw with Inter on the final matchday secured their position as group winners with a total of 12 points and a +5 goal differential compared to the Italian's +3. Benfica was hugely disappointing in this edition of the Champions League after their impressive run to the quarter-finals last season. The Eagles lost four of their six games although were able to salvage a spot in the Europa League, finishing third ahead of RB Salzburg thanks to a higher goals scored mark.

Group D final standings:

1. Real Sociedad - 12 points (+5 goal differential)
2. Inter Milan - 12 points (+3 goal differential)
3. Benfica - 4 points (-4 goal differential, 7 goals scored)
4. RB Salzburg - 4 points (-4 goal differential, 4 goals scored)

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Group E - Feyenoord - Atletico Madrid - Lazio - Glasgow Celtic

Looking to recapture the form which saw them finish as finalists in 2013/14 and 2015/16, Atletico Madrid will have been pleased with their group stage draw. Los Colchoneros went unbeaten in this stage with four wins and two draws for a points total of 14. While Diego Simeone has the reputation of a defensive-first manager, Atletico displayed their attacking prowess with 17 goals scored, the second-highest mark of all teams in the group stage. Joining the Spanish side in the round of 16 is last season's Serie A runners-up Lazio. The Italians were able to take advantage of their home field advantage, beating Celtic and Feyenoord while drawing Atletico at the Stadio Olimpico en route to 10 points on a 3-1-2 record. We went a perfect two for two in our predictions for this group as we had Atletico and Lazio with the one-two finish.

Group E final standings:

1. Atletico Madrid - 14 points
2. Lazio - 10 points
3. Feyenoord - 6 points
4. Celtic - 4 points

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Group F - PSG - Borussia Dortmund - AC Milan - Newcastle United

Branded the Group of Death, Group F lived up to the title with a thrilling conclusion that came down to the final matchday. Coming into the sixth and final game off the group stage, only Dortmund had secured their spot in the knockout stages with the other three teams all still with a chance. French champions PSG were able to book their ticket thanks to a 1-1 draw with group winners Dortmund while AC Milan pulled off an excellent 2-1 away win over Newcastle to claim third. It was an excellent group stage performance by German club Dortmund who many were seemingly overlooking thanks to the tough competition.

Group F final standings:

1. Borussia Dortmund - 11 points
2. PSG - 8 points (+1 goal differential)
3. AC Milan - 8 points (-3 goal differential)
4. Newcastle - 5 points

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Group G - Manchester City - RB Leipzig - Red Star Belgrade - Young Boys

Manchester City begun their title defense with a perfect six wins from six in Group G, with only them and Real Madrid as the only teams to maintain a 100% winning mark in the group stage. It was always going to be a battle for second-place for the remaining three teams, with last season's Bundesliga third-place finishers RB Leipzig the big favorites to claim that spot. Marco Rose's side wouldn't disappoint as they strolled to a 4-0-2 record for a total of 12 points, eight ahead of third-place finishers Young Boys. We were correct in our predictions for this group stage finish, backing the Sky Blues and Die Roten Bullen to claim the top two spots.

Group G final standings: 

1. Manchester City - 18 points
2. RB Leipzig - 12 points
3. Young Boys - 4 points
4. Red Star Belgrade - 1 points

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Group H - Barcelona - Porto - Shakhtar Donetsk - Royal Antwerp

It's been a tough few seasons in European football for Barcelona recently. The Blaugrana crashed out in the group stage in their previous two campaigns and have made only one semi-final appearance since lifting the trophy in the 2014/15 season. After winning La Liga in 2022/23, manager and club legend Xavi has guided his boyhood club to a first-place finish in Group H of this seasons Champions League group stage. The five-time winners edged out FC Porto on goal differential to claim the top spot thanks to their superior head-to-head results. Portuguese side FC Porto did well to secure their spot in the knockout stages after taking care of business against the inferior Shakhtar Donetsk and Royal Antwerp. We were spot on in our predictions for this group, getting every position correct in a four for four showing! 

Group H final standings:

1. Barcelona - 12 points
2. FC Porto - 12 points
3. Shakhtar - 9 points
4. Antwerp - 3 points

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Beginner Guide - how does the Champions League work?

The Champions League is the top European competition. Each season, it sees the best teams in Europe go head-to-head, having earned their tickets thanks to their respective results on the domestic stage. In England for example, the top four teams in the Premier League all go straight into the group stages.  

The group stage is simple: eight groups of four teams are drawn, and the teams in each group play each other twice in home and away matches. At the end of the six matches in the group phase, the top two teams qualify for the last 16, the third-placed teams are moved to the Europa League (see our Europa League prediction), and the last-placed teams are eliminated from all European competitions. This is followed by a knockout phase of home and away matches, with the round of 16, quarter-finals and semi-finals, culminating in the final to crown the European champion.

• Qualifying rounds between July and August
• Group stage drawn on August 31, 2023
• 8 groups of four teams (32 clubs in total) play each other
• The top 2 teams in each group qualify for the last 16
• The 3rd-placed team in a group is relegated to the Europa League
• Draw for the Round of 16 on 18 December
• Round-robin matches from the play-offs to the final (1 June 2024)

Last season, Pep Guardiola's Manchester City were crowned champions of the big Champions League, completing a historic treble by winning the FA Cup, the Premier League and the Champions League. The Blues won Europe's most prestigious club competition for the first time. Who will succeed Erling Haaland's teammates? Make your predictions!

Our tips for correctly predicting matches and betting on the Champions League

To make reliable Champions League predictions, it's vital to pay attention to certain details. Here are our top tips to consider before placing a bet on the Champions League:

• Analyze the form of the Champions League teams
• Keep an eye on the team news for the Champions League games.
• Take into account how important the match is.
• Look at the history of meetings between the two opposing teams
• Compare Champions League odds before placing your bets

By taking each of these factors into account when analyzing a Champions League match, you'll be able to form an accurate opinion on the outcome. Read on to find out more about each of these tips!

Analyze the form of Champions League teams

The most important stage in your study of a Champions League match is to analyze the form of the teams, and especially that of the key players on the pitch. For example, last year with Manchester City, Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland could single-handedly win their team the competition. If they are in form, you will therefore understand that a "Manchester City win" bet will be more reliable than if the team's two most decisive players are absent. And the same reasoning must be applied with stars like Mbappé, Bellingham, Lewandowski and company. It's all important. 

So always pay attention to the form of players before betting, as the unavailability of a key player can have a significant impact on the outcome of a Champions League match.

Keep an eye on the team news for the Champions League games.

In the same vein, keeping an eye on injured and suspended players will also be important before making a prediction and then placing a bet on a Champions League match. If a major player (e.g. Mbappe) is unavailable for a match against a major opponent, this could obviously affect the final result of a match, whatever the stage of the competition.

Take into account how important the match is

Then, of course, the importance of the match must be taken into account. For example, if  in the group stages a  team has already qualified for the last 16 and their opponents are playing for a place in the knockout phase, you may consider betting on the outsiders as the favourites may choose a weakened line-up. That has happened with Manchester City in the past.

The same applies to the knockout phase. If a team has beaten its opponent 4-0 in the first leg, we won't gamble on its victory in the return leg. This is a constant in every football competition. And we saw it again in the last edition with Inter Milan, who beat Benfica 2-0 in the away first leg of the last 16 but only drew the home second leg.  Whatever the stage of the competition, you should never make the mistake of ignoring the importance of a Champions League match. Taking this factor into account, there are both good moves to be made, but also pitfalls to be avoided.

Look at  the history of meetings between the two opposing teams

To further improve your analysis of a Champions League match, we advise you not to miss out on the latest head-to-head meetings between the clubs. Certain teams are particularly effective against certain opponents, and can get the better of them even if they have a similar level of play on paper. In a sport like football, psychological impact is important, and a team that has lost all its head-to-heads to another team will find it difficult to perform against them in future matches.

This factor is all the more important if the matches take place in the same year. In 2023, for example, Inter Milan won both their head-to-head meetings with AC Milan. As expected, it was Inter who emerged victorious from the Champions League semi-final double-header against the Rossoneri, winning both the home and away matches. It's a detail that can make all the difference when making a Uefa Champions League prediction.

Compare Champions League odds before placing your bets

Finally, of course, you need to compare the Champions League odds before placing your bets on the competition. As you know, sports betting sites generally offer different odds for similar bets. To ensure you get the best potential winnings, you'll need to sign up with a number of bookmakers in order to take advantage of the best odds on the bet of your choice. 

On an average Champions League match, for example, bet365t might offer odds of 2.00 on Manchester City beating Real Madrid, while Bwinl offer odds of 2.10. Over the long term, your winnings on the competition are bound to be affected, so don't underestimate these comparisons.

By following these steps and taking into account the information in the text, you will be able to make more informed predictions and optimize your chances of success in Champions League matches.

Make your Champions League selections at bet365

Bet365's special offer on Champions League 2023/24

If you love betting on the Champions League and haven’t registered with bet365, then now is the time to do so. If you click on the image above or the button below, it will take you to an exciting offer that Bet365 put up for the 2023/24 Champions League. Once you have registered your account with them, make an initial deposit of at least £5 and claim this offer within 30 days of registration. You need to place qualifying bets that are to the value of your qualifying deposit (this has a £10 cap) and they must settle within 30 days of you claiming this offer. You will then receive 300% of your deposit in Bet Credits to a maximum of £30. 

You can use them on Champions League games but your bet has to have minimum odds of 1.20 (if an acca, then at least one leg needs to have that price). The Bet Credits stake is not included in any returns. This is a great offer, so register with bet365 in time for the next Champions League games. Full details are on their site.

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What not to do for your UEFA Champions League predictions

You now know the good clothes you need to adopt to be successful in your Champions League predictions. Now let's talk about the mistakes you shouldn't make, as this will help you avoid losing money foolishly. So, avoid these actions at all costs: 

• Betting without taking into account the value of the odds
• Betting on your favorite team
• Betting without analyzing the match before hand
• Trying to make up for losing a Champions League bet
• Taking the big odds for no good reason
• Betting on a match where there is nothing at stake in the Champions League group stage
• Betting an amount you're not prepared to lose
• Betting live under emotional pressure

Try to avoid repeating these habits when betting on the 2023-2024 Champions League, as they are bound to put you at risk! This advice also applies to other sporting events.

Keep these tips in mind, they will help you avoid possibly costly mistakes.

Champions League: statistics you need to know

To increase your chances of success with your 2023-2024 Champions League predictions, it's essential to take into account the key statistics and figures for the tournament. Here are the most important facts from the current edition:

• Home wins: 44%
• Draws: 22%
• Away wins: 33%
• Average goals: 3.01 goals per game
• +1.5 goals: 78%
• -1.5 goals: 22%
• +2.5 goals: 59%
• -2.5 goals: 41%
• +3.5 goals: 36%
• -3.5 goals: 64%
• First half goals: 43%
• Second half goals: 57%
• “Both teams score: yes”: 57%
• Average home goals: 1.65
• Average away goals: 1.37
• Clean sheet percentage: 48%
• Exact score 0-0: 5.3% of matches
• Most frequent score: 2-1 home team (10.1% of games)

If you take a look at these statistics, you'll see that there are some bets that should be favoured on this Champions League 2023-2024. First of all, the total average goals is quite high for a European competition, making over 2.5 goals bets a naturally attractive proposition. Additionally, both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that can oftentimes have odds close to the 1.91 mark, so backing this market is also worth a look considering the high percentage of games that see both teams finding the net.

Finally, fans of big odds can try the exact 2-1 scoreline, which is the most common scoreline in the 2023/24 campaign so far at 10.1% of all matches. The final piece of advice we have regarding the above numbers is to look for live betting situations where there hasn't been a goal scored in the first half. With 57% of all goals coming in the second 45 minutes, there's a good chance the game opens up down the stretch with a goal or two. Don't forget to keep all these figures in mind to improve the quality of your bets on the 2023-2024 Champions League.

In short: how to make the right predictions on Champions League matches?

Thanks to the information you have been given on this page, you are now ready to make your predictions on the Champions League 2023-2024.

Don't forget to study each match in depth, using the key statistics, and to follow the best practices recommended by our experts.

Of course, you can also take the easy way out and take advantage of the many free Champions League betting tips offered by our experts. They're 100% free, so you can place reliable bets without worrying. Good luck to you!

Make your Champions League selections at bet365

Our Champions League Predictions of the moment

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Champions League: best odds

30 Apr 2024 - 15:00 Bayern Munich - Real Madrid

1 2.54

X 3.75

2 2.88

01 May 2024 - 15:00 Borussia Dortmund - PSG

1 2.9

X 3.92

2 2.55

To improve your results on Europe's most prestigious cup, don't hesitate to compare Champions League odds and follow the matches live on our Champions League Livescore tool . These tools will help you make more accurate predictions for the 2023-2024 UEFA Champions League.