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Europa League Predictions & Betting tips

Check out our free Europa League predictions on all the top matches of the 2022-23 Europa League. You will find everything you need to know about your sports bets!

2022/23 Europa League presentation - Football

Europa League prediction 2022-2023

The UEFA Europa League is the second most important European football competition. It is less prestigious than the Champions League, but it has evolved over the last ten years to become an important and increasingly popular competition. The most recent winners include  Eintracht Frankfurt, Villarreal, Sevilla, Chelsea, Manchester United and Atlético Madrid. 

The Europa League pits some of the best teams in Europe against each other, based on their domestic rankings or domestic cup result. When the group stages are completed, the winners go into the last 16. The sides finishing second then place the eight teams who finished third in the Champions League groups in the play-off round to determine the remaining eight teams in the last 16.  Those finishing third in their group are transferred to the Europa Conference League.

Whoever wins the Europa League earns themselves a place in the group stages of the next season’s Champions League. Sometimes the winners have already qualified. However, that wasn’t the case in the 2021/22 season when Eintracht Frankfurt beat Rangers to win the final and earn a Champions League group place, despite a mid-table finish in the Bundesliga. Who can succeed the Frankfurt players, who won the title last year? Make your predictions!

Dates for your diary

  • Knockout Play-off Round: February 16/23
  • Last 16: March 9/16
  • Quarter Finals: April 13/20
  • Semi Finals: May 11/18
  • Final: May 31 at Puskas Arena in Budapest

Final Group Point Totals

  • Group A: Arsenal - 15, PSV Eindhoven - 13, Bodo/Glimt - 4,FC Zurich - 3 
  • Group B: Fenerbahce - 14, Rennes - 12, AEK Larnaca - 5, Dynamo Kyiv - 1
  • Group C: Real Betis - 15, Roma - 10, Ludogorets - 7, HJK Helsinki - 1
  • Group D: Union Saint-Gilloise - 13 , Union Berlin - 12, Braga - 10, Malmo - 0
  • Group E: Real Sociedad - 15, Manchester United - 15, FC Sheriff - 6, Omonia Nicosia - 0
  • Group F: Feyenoord - 8, Midtjylland - 8, Lazio - 8, Sturm Graz -  8
  • Group G: Freiburg - 14, Nantes - 9, Qarabag - 8 Olympiakos - 2
  • Group H:  Ferencvaros - 10, Monaco - 10, Trabzonspor - 9, Red Star Belgrade - 6

Check out all the Europa League odds at Bet365

Draw for the Knockout Play-off Round

Barcelona v Manchester United

Juventus v Nantes

Sporting Lisbon v Midtjylland

Shakhtar Donetsk v Rennes

Ajax v Union Berlin

Bayer Leverkusen v Monaco

Sevilla v PSV Eindhoven

FC Salzburg v Roma

Ties to be played: February 16/23

There are two stand-out ties in the Europa League Knockout Play-off round. Barcelona again failed to make out of their Champions League group and have been drawn to play Manchester United. Sevilla have had great success in this competition and take on PSV for a place in the last 16 of the Europa League.

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Expert tips Statistical Analysis for your Europa League Predictions

Europa League prediction - Football

The most important thing to know about the Europa League is that it remains one of the most action-packed competitions in the world. Whether in the qualifying stages, group stages or in the finals, the overall goal average in the 2022/23 campaign so far is 2.72 per match, one of the highest of any international tournament. Needless to say, the Europa League is a season-long spectacle, much to the delight of fans. In the round of 16 on to the final, the 'Over 2.5 goals' will be interesting to play with in your Europa League predictions.

Another important figure to remember when betting on the Europa League is the high proportion of home wins. For many seasons, and this has been further proven in the current campaign, almost half of the games are won by the home team, 48% to be precise in the 2022/23 edition so far. Given the odds usually offered by sports betting sites - usually around 1.50 - it will be necessary to try more than once for the remaining matches of the Europa League. For your information, 31% of the matches in the current campaign saw a victory for the visitors, compared to 21% drawn.

In order to bet on the Europa League, you should also bear in mind that there are a lot of goals scored, making the over 2.5 market attractive. This season, 52% of the matches are seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match, and 23% more than 3.5 goals. Here again the bookmakers' offers can be attractive so don't hesitate to try this market. For example, last year, bet365 had some great odds. So don't neglect this market.

Another key statistic of the Europa League is the number of goals scored by away teams. Last season, 67% of games saw the visiting teams score at least one goal in the group stage, with the ratio rising to 72% in the knockout rounds. This is the type of market that you should focus on when making your Europa League bets this season.

Then, if you like to bet on goals per quarter of an hour, note that the Europa League is like other competitions in terms of statistics recorded. In the current 2022/23 campaign, as is often the case, it is the 75-90' period that sees the most goals scored. In total, 22% of the match goals are scored in this interval, so don't underestimate this market which is often offered at odds of around 1.80 at various sports betting sites. 

Finally, another statistic if you want to bet on the long term with the Europa League, you should also know that last year five players scored more than five goals in this competition. Also, remember that there will be teams coming into the competition from the Champions League. However, in the last five seasons, only one winner (Atletico Madrid) had been in the Champions League group stages. Before betting on the Europa League, remember to consult the Champions League prediction of our experts, it will help you for the knockout phase.

Check out the odds on Europa League at VBET

How to bet on Europa League matches?

Bet on Europa League - 2022/23

Let's deal now with the subject that will interest you greatly: the factors to take into account before betting on a Europa League football match. First of all, you will have to keep an eye on the form of the key players. By this we mean that a team will often be dependent on its greatest talents in European competition. If a player of the calibre of Nabil Fekir or Borja Iglesias is not fit for Real Betis, then you should not put too much money on a Spanish success against a tricky team. For the same reason, you should know suspended or injured players before you place your bet, otherwise your pre-betting analysis will be completely altered.

Beyond the form of the key players, the real intentions of the clubs involved will also be a real pillar for your Europa League predictions. As you know, it sometimes happens that the clubs qualified for the Europa League prefer focusing on the national competitions and weakened line-ups are played. However, that will likely be less of an issue as we head deeper into the knockout rounds.

Then, the importance of the match you want to bet on will also be a determining factor for your bets on this Europa League. For example, if a team recorded a convincing 4-0 win in the first leg of their first knockout round and have an important fixture against a rival coming up in their domestic league, you should avoid placing a bet on them in the return leg. The manager could opt to rotate his squad with a comfortable aggregate lead in preparation for the upcoming match or the team might simply be content to play out a 0-0 draw or even a small 1-0 type of defeat.

Finally, and we can't stress this enough, don't forget to compare sports betting sites and their odds before betting on the second European competition. As you know, for the same bet, bookmakers can offer different odds. It’s better to have an account with different sites to place your bet at the best potential payout. For example, If Arsenal are playing Nantes, bet365 may offer 1.5 on an Arsenal win but Bwin might only be offering 1.45. So watch out, in the long run your winnings could be multiplied!

Get great odds on the Europa League at Bet365!

Which prediction for the best striker of the Europa League?

Prediction for the best scorer of the Europa League

As with many competitions, online betting sites offer you the chance to bet on the top scorer in the Europa League in 2022/2023. As we mentioned earlier, there is usually fierce competition in this particular ranking among players, many scorers may want to win the title of top scorer. If you want to make a prediction on who will be the top scorer in the Europa League, there are a few simple rules that will help you get it right.

For example, taking into account the usual tactics of the teams the players are playing for will be smart. Despite all the talent in the world, if a striker finds himself in a team that plays defensively, it will be difficult for him to pile up goals in the competition. For the same reason, you should also choose a player who is likely to play a lot of games in the tournament. In other words, a striker from a team that is likely to go far in the Europa League will be preferable for your prediction on the best striker. As talented as he is, a player playing for Braga, for example, is less likely to become top scorer than one playing for Lazio or Manchester United.

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Our free prediction for the 2022/2023 season

Europa League Winner Prediction - 2022-2023

The knockout rounds are heating up with the top teams in the field ready to battle it out to see who will be crowned champion. With some impressive teams like top clubs from the English and Italian leagues, the show promises to be a great one. The competition has now reached the stage where eight sides from the Champions League have been transferred into the Europa League. That includes Barcelona, Sevilla, Sporting Lisbon and Ajax who will all provide strong competition. It's hard to argue against making a bet on Arsenal to win the Europa League given the fantastic season that they are having. There is still likely some value to be had in backing Mikel Arteta's men at the current odds. Real Sociedad will also be difficult to beat after finishing ahead of Manchester United in the group stages.

Two teams that could potentially provide a bit of value at their current prices are Ajax and AS Roma. Both teams have fairly favorable first round draws that they will be expected to win and they have each shown in recent seasons that they are capable of navigating the trappings of tournament football. Roma won the Europa Conference League under Jose Mourinho last season and the Portuguese has a proven track record in knockout football. Ajax, while not at the same level as that magical side that made the Champions League semi finals of the 2018/19 season, still possess one of the best conveyor belts of talent in the modern game and play a style that often sees them taking control of the ball and the match. At excellent odds of 20/1 on the Italians and 12/1 on the Dutch, they are certainly two teams that we will be keeping an eye on. 

Check out the Europa League markets

Europa League winner: the main bookmaker odds after the group stages

After the group stages, Arsenal are the favourites to win the Europa League. Second in the betting are Barcelona and now may be the time to place your bets on them. Their odds are likely to drop dramatically if getting past Manchester United in the knockout play-off round. The same applies to the Premier League team.

  • Arsenal, odds of 5.00
  • Barcelona, odds of 5.50
  • Manchester United, odds of 9.00
  • Juventus, odds of 13.00
  • Ajax, odds of 13.00
  • Real Betis, odds of 15.00
  • Real Sociedad, odds of 15.00
  • Freiburg, odds of 17.00
  • AS Roma, odds of 21.00
  • Sevilla, odds of 26.00
  • Bayer Leverkusen, odds of 34.00
  • Rennes, odds of 34.00
  • Sporting Lisbon, odds of 34.00
  • PSV. odds of 34.00
  • Red Bull Salzburg, odds of 41.00
  • Monaco, odds of 41.00
  • Feyenoord, odds of 51.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk and Williamhill.com

Check out the Europa League markets at Bet365

Our current Europa League predictions

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Europa League : best odds

16 Feb 2023 - 11:45 Ajax - Union Berlin
1 1.89
X 3.88
2 4.6
16 Feb 2023 - 11:45 Barcelona - Manchester United
1 1.8
X 4.2
2 4.5
16 Feb 2023 - 11:45 Salzburg - Roma
1 2.86
X 3.6
2 2.62
16 Feb 2023 - 11:45 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rennes
1 3.45
X 3.6
2 2.4
16 Feb 2023 - 13:00 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco
1 1.88
X 4.1
2 4.5
16 Feb 2023 - 13:00 Juventus - Nantes
1 1.39
X 5.5
2 10
16 Feb 2023 - 13:00 Sevilla - PSV Eindhoven
1 2.41
X 3.64
2 3.1
16 Feb 2023 - 13:00 Sporting Lisbon - FC Midtjylland
1 1.42
X 5.4
2 10

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