Europa League Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Europa League prediction, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches in the 2023/24 Europa League (2023-2024). Lots of information for your online betting!

Europa League presentation - Football predictions

The Europa League is Europe's second biggest club competition, and a very popular competition to place bets on. Football fans can follow some of the top clubs in Europe who all want to win this important competition. 

Organized by UEFA this tournament is always a thrilling one to follow. There are great matches played throughout and a few surprises along the way. The top clubs from Ligue 1, the Premier League, La Liga, the Bundesliga and Serie A battle it out for months on end for the coveted title.

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Our free prediction on the Europa League champion for the 2023-2024 season

Another excellent Europa League awaits us in the 2023-24 season. Let's hope it is as exciting as last season's competition that was won by Sevilla. This season there are top clubs such as Liverpool, Milan, AS Roma, Villarreal, Brighton and Hove Albion and West Ham, the last winners of the Europa League Conference, taking part in the competition. It should be a great battle between these teams.

The quarter-finals threw up some huge surprises, none bigger than Atalanta's upset over tournament favorites Liverpool. La Dea's famous 3-0 away victory at Anfield was enough to see them over the line 3-1 on aggregate to advance to the semi-finals of the competition for the first time in the Italian club's history. With Roma eliminating AC Milan and Marseille upsetting Portuguese side Benfica, the path looks to be clearing out for Xabi Alonso's Bayern Leverkusen to add to their Bundesliga title with the Europa League crown. Leverkusen are in the midst of a remarkable season which has seen them surpass Juventus' prior 43-match record unbeaten run following their quarter-final 3-1 aggregate win over West Ham. The recently-crowned German champions have yet to lose in the 2023/24 season and are now on a staggering 44-match unbeaten run. They're now the favorites to capture the Europa League and it's hard to argue against with the way they are playing under Alonso. Therefore, Bayer Leverkusen is our selection to win the Europa League title! 

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Europa League winner: odds available on the best betting sites (Semi-final)

Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen are now the clear frontrunners to lift the trophy after elminating English club West Ham. Atalanta have moved to the second-favorites following their defeat of Liverpool and their favorable semi-final matchup against French giants Marseille.

• Bayer Leverkusen - 1.75
• Atalanta - 4.00
• Roma - 6.00
• Marseille - 11.00

Odds from bet365 

What prediction for the top scorer in the Europa League?

Betting on a competition's top scorer is becoming increasingly popular in the world of sports betting, and it's easy to see why! It's very exciting to be able to watch the games and hope to see your selection score as many goals as possible.

Bookmakers offer top scorer odds on many competitions, and the Europa League is no exception. Given that the level of play from the teams in this tournament is fairly even, the odds offered are generally very satisfactory, whether on the winner or the top scorer of the competition.

In April 2024, the odds are not yet available on online sports betting sites for the top scorer in the Europa League, but we can already give you some ideas of favorites, which may be tempted once the odds are released. In the meantime, head over to bet365 to see what other betting markets are available.

Here are the current top goal scorer standings ahead of the semi-finals:

You can return to this page in a few days' time for a more accurate prediction of the top scorer in the 2023-2024 Europa League. We'll be sure to keep you updated on the current stats as well as if the odds come online at any point.

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Europa League semi-final draw

The UEFA Europa League semi-final is set with some mouth-watering fixtures on deck. Who will come out on top? Check out the full draw below:

• Marseille vs Atalanta - First leg: 2 May / Return leg: 9 May
• Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma - First leg: 2 May / Return leg: 9 May

You can find great odds on the upcoming quarter-final fixtures by heading over to Bet365, Willam Hill and Vbet. Be sure to take advantage of the welcome bonus offered at each site!

Europa League quarter-final results 

The quarter-final is complete with some shocking results! Favorites Liverpool were eliminated after a sensational display by side Atalanta at Anfield while Roma prevailed over AC Milan in an all-Italian affair. With Leverkusen through to the final four teams, will they be able to keep up their remarkable unbeaten run? You can check out the full results below:

• Liverpool vs Atalanta - 1-3 aggregate
• AC Milan vs Roma - 1-3 aggregate
• Benfica vs Marseille - 2-2 aggregate (2-4 penalties)
• Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham - 3-1 aggregate

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Group A: West Ham United - Olympiakos - Freiburg - FK TSC Backa Topola

West Ham United have picked up right were they left off after winning the Conference League last season by topping Group A of the 2023/24 Europa League. A decisive 2-0 home victory over second-place Freiburg on the final matchday confirmed a 5-0-1 record for a haul of 15 points. German outfit Freiburg did well to claim second, losing twice to West Ham but winning their four remaining matches for a final points total of 12. Olympiakos were able to claim a spot in the Conference League with a third-place finish while minnows Backa Topola managed just a single point. A perfect 4/4 for our predictions on Group A!

Group A final standings:

1. West Ham - 15 points
2. Freiburg - 12 points
3. Olympiakos - 7 points
4. TSC Backa Topola - 1 point

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Group B: Ajax Amsterdam - Olimpique Marseille - Brighton and Hove Albion - AEK Athens

Brighton's first campaign of European football has been a success as they topped Group B with a 4-1-1 record. Manager Roberto De Zerbi and his squad will be setting their sights even higher as the bookmakers have the Seagulls as the fourth favorites to lift the Europa League trophy. French giants Marseille had the chance to pip Brighton for the top spot on the final matchday but would ultimately fall to a 1-0 away, meaning that they finished in second-place. The 2023/24 season has been one of major disappointment for Ajax whose poor league form carried over into the group stage of the Europa League. They were at least able to nick a third-place finish and an entry to the Conference League on five points, just one above fourth-placed AEK Athens. Another perfect showing for our predictions on Group B, nailing all four finishing spots correctly!

Group B final standings:

1. Brighton - 13 points
2. Marseille - 11 points
3. Ajax - 5 points
4. AEK Athens - 4 points.

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Group C: Glasgow Rangers - Real Betis - Sparta Prague - Aris Limassol

Real Betis suffered a brutal end to the Europa League group stage as they came into the final matchday in first-place but would wind up finishing third and dropping down to the Conference League. Their campaign came down to home match with Rangers in which Los Verdiblancos would concede the eventual winner in the 78th minute to go on to lose 3-2. Coupled with Sparta Prague winning their final match against Aris Limassol, Betis saw their hopes of a Europa League title shattered. The action in the final matchday resulted in Scottish side Rangers finishing first, accompanied by Czech club Sparta Prague in second. We went one-for-two in our predicitions here, correctly backing Rangers to advance.

Group C final standings:

1. Rangers - 11 points
2. Sparta Prague - 10 points
3. Real Betis - 9 points
4. Aris Limassol - 4 points

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Group D: Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon - Sturm Graz - Rakow Czestochowa

Group D saw a clear divide between the quality of Atalanta and Sporting Lisbon compared with Sturm Graz and Rakow Czestochowa. The standings at the end of the group stage would display that difference, with the Italian and Portuguese side never really threatened by their Austrian and Polish opposition. Atalanta would end up topping the group with an unbeaten 4-2-0 record while Sporting came three points behind in second-place with a 3-2-1 record. Sturm Graz and Rakow were left to duke it out for the Conference League spot and it was ultimately Sturm that was able to advance thanks to their superior goal differential. We correctly tipped Sporting and Atalanta to go through, although in the opposite order!

Group D final standings:

1. Atalanta - 14 points
2. Sporting - 11 points
3. Sturm Graz - 4 points (-5 goal differential)
4. Rakow - 4 points (-7 goal differential)

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Group E: Liverpool - LASK - Union Saint-Gilloise - Toulouse

Competing in the Europa League for the first time since finishing as runners-up in 2015/16, Liverpool were always going to be expected to cruise through the group stage. They didn't disappoint, locking up the top spot in Group E in matchday five with one game to spare. It was always going to be a battle for second-place between the three remaining teams and it was ultimately French side Toulouse that were able to secure their spot in the knockout rounds thanks to a 3-2-1 record. Beligan Pro League leaders USG finished third with LASK bringing up the rear. We correctly had Liverpool finishing as group winners in our predictions, as well as having LASK finishing in bottom place.

Group E final standings:

1. Liverpool - 12 points
2. Toulouse - 11 points
3. USG - 8 points
4. LASK - 3 points

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Group F: Villarreal - Rennes - Maccabi Haifa - Panathinaikos

The winner of Group F came down to the final day with Rennes only needing a draw at home against Villarreal to lock up first-place. In a phenomenal five-goal thriller, Dani Parejo's 80th minute goal would clinch the three points for Villarreal in a 3-2 victory. This meant that is was the Yellow Submarine that topped the group with 13 points while Rennes finished second with 12. It could wind up being a potentially grave defeat for the French side as they've drawn Italian giants AC Milan in the first knockout round, while Villarreal automatically advance to the round of 16. Our predictions went a perfect two-for-two in Group F with Villarreal and Rennes in a one-two finish!

Group F final standings:

1. Villarreal - 13 points
2. Rennes - 12 points
3. Maccabi Haifa - 5 points
4. Panathinaikos - 4 points

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Group G: Roma - Slavia Prague - Sheriff Tiraspol - Servette

Roma were tipped as the heavy favorites to emerge as the winners of Group G but Slavia Prague had different ideas! The Czech champions were brilliant in the group stage, winning five of their six matches, including their last three straight, for a points total of 15. Despite not topping the group, Roma were still able to secure qualification with their record of 4-1-1 giving them a 13 points total and a second-place finish. Last season's runners-up will have to pass through one more round if they are to make a second consecutive final as second-place enters into the first knockout round against the Champions League group stage third-place finishers. We correctly predicted both Slavia Prague and Roma to go through, although in the reverse order! 

Group G final standings:

1. Slavia Prague - 15 points
2. AS Roma - 13 - points
3. Servette - 5 points
4. Sheriff - 1 point

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Group H: Bayer Leverkusen - Qarabag - Molde - Hacken

Bayer Leverkusen's red-hot form continued in the Europa League as they finished with a perfect six wins from six in Group H, the only team to record a 100% winning record in the group stage. Xabi Alonso and his Leverkusen team are now the second favorites behind Liverpool to lift the Europa League title down to their unbelievable run this season which has them as the only unbeaten team across all competitions across Europe's top five leagues. Azerbaijani club Qarabag was able to secure knockout round football thanks to a 2-1 win over Hacken on the final matchday, edging past third-place Molde by three points. We had Leverkusen going through as group winners, as well as Hacken finishing last in our predictions for Group H.

Group H final standings:

1. Bayer Leverkusen - 18 points
2. Qarabag - 10 points
3. Molde FK - 7 points
4. Hacken - 0 points

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Beginners Guide - how does the UEFA Europa League work?

The UEFA Europa League - or Europa League - is Europe's second most important football competition. Although less prestigious than the Champions League, it has nonetheless continued to evolve over the last ten years to become a prestigious and increasingly closely-followed competition.

The latest winners of the competition include Sevilla, Chelsea, Manchester United, Villarreal, Eintracht Frankfurt and Atlético Madrid. Among participants in recent seasons are Arsenal, Tottenham, Milan, Napoli, Ajax Amsterdam, Benfica, FC Porto, FC Barcelona, ​​Dinamo Zagreb, Celtic Glasgow, Young Boys and Olympique de Marseille.

The Europa League pits some of the best teams in Europe against each other, based on their domestic standings or success in the domestic cup. Once the group stage is over, the Europa League also sees the third-placed teams in the Champions League groups take on the second-placed teams in each group in the knockout play-off round. This is played over two legs. The sides finishing third in each group are moved into the Europa Conference League knockout play-off round.

All the Europa League group winners go straight into the last 16 of the competition. They play the eight qualifiers from the knockout play-off round. The Europa League quarter-finals, and semifinals are then played as teams get ever closer to the one legged final. It all promises to be a thrilling competition. 

• 8 groups of four teams (32 clubs in total) competing against each other
• The group winners automatically qualify for the last 16
• The 2nd-placed team in each Europa League group plays the 3rd-placed team in a Champions League group in the knockout play-off round with games beginning on 18 December 2023.
• Teams finishing third in their group go into the Europa Conference League knockout play-off round.
• Draw for the Round of 16 on 23 February 2024
• Knockout matches over two legs in the last 16, quarter finals and semifinals to decide the two teams who play in the final on May 22, 2024. 
• The winners of the final qualify for the group stages of the 2024-25 Champions League unless already assured of a place via their domestic league position.

The Europa League is a fantastic competition to bet on at online bookmakers. Last season saw Sevilla again win this competition, beating Roma in the final. They won't be able to defend their title unless they finish third in their Champions League group. Who will be the winners of the 2023-24 Europa League? Make your predictions!

How to make good match predictions when betting on Europa League matches with bookmakers?

Let's move on to the subject that will be of great interest to you: the factors to take into account before betting on a Europa League football match. Here are the best tips our betting experts can give you to increase the chances of your Europa League bets being winning ones.

• Look at the form of the key players in the Europa League
• How important is the Europa League to each club?
• Compare the bookmakers' odds to get the best prices
• Take into account how important the Europa League game is
• Use statistics to predict Europa League matches

By applying these Europa League betting tips, you'll have a good chance of your bets being winning ones. Now we'll go into more detail on each tip so you understand why they're important.

Look at the form of key players in the Europa League

Firstly, you'll need to keep an eye on the form of your key players. By this we mean that a team will often be dependent on its best players in European competition. If a player of the caliber of Salah or McAllister is not in form then that won't help Liverpool. If that is the case, then if up against strong opposition, think twice before betting on them. 

Similarly, find out if any players are suspended, injured or being rested before you place your bet. Such knowledge will have a big influence on the bet you eventually place.  

How important is the Europa League to each club?

It is important to note that not every club will make the Europa League their top priority. Being successful in their domestic league is more important. This means sides are unlikely to field their strongest line-ups when playing in the Europa League, especially in the group stages. When the competition is at the knockout stages, they are likely to field stronger line-ups. 

Look at whether a club will be making wholesale changes for their next Europa League game. Those clubs with strong squads can do this and still get good results. However, those who don't have strength in depth may struggle to get good results. The smaller clubs do tend to field strong line-ups as they look to make a name for themselves on the European stage. 

Compare bookmaker odds to get the best prices

We can't stress this enough: don't forget to compare sports betting sites and odds before betting on the Europa League. Different odds are available at each bookmaker, so ensure you get the best. 

For your part, you'll need to have an account with a number of different sites in order to place your bet at the best potential payout. For example, if Liverpool play Toulouse, bet365 may have odds of 1.5 on them winning. However, at Vbet, the odds are 1.55, so a higher profit can be made if placing your bet with them. Keep an eye out, as your winnings can be increased substantially in the long term!

Take into account how important the Europa League match is

Some Europa League games will be more important than others. This is particularly the case in the group stages. If a team has already won the group, then they won’t need to field a strong line–up for their next match. Betting on them to win, especially against a side that has a lot to play for isn’t totally advisable. 

More group games are likely to be important now due to the bonus attached to finishing top. Doing so takes a team into the last 16 and sees them avoid having two more games to play in the knockout play-off round. A club that cannot even finish third in their group may be tempted to play a greatly weakened side.

In the knockout stages, more importance is given to games. This is even more so when a club needs to win the Europa League to qualify for next season’s Champions League.

Using statistics to predict Europa League matches

It is always important to look at the statistical information that is available. Doing so will be of great assistance to the bets you place on the Europa League. Knowing which teams are in form and those who aren't is vital information. Never underestimate how important a task this is. However, it's best to look at Europa League form if a side is making lots of changes from that which they field in other competitions.

That's why we offer you a wealth of data on the Europa League and many other competitions, which can help you boost your online sports betting results. It's up to you to know how to use them!

What not to do for your Europa League predictions

To complete the free advice given in the previous section, here's what you absolutely mustn't do when making your Europa League predictions, otherwise you'll lose money foolishly. Here are a few things you shouldn't do:

• Place a Europa League bet on a whim without doing any research
• Betting on your favourite team or player even if they aren’t playing well
• Taking risks by placing too high a stake on a Europa League bet
• Betting without paying attention to the value of the Europa League odds
• Betting on a match with nothing at stake in the Europa League group stage
• Not diversifying your predictions and betting on just one type of market
• Place accumulators that include too many Europa League matches

Do your best not to repeat these habits when betting on the 2023-2024 Europa League, as they will adversely affect your chances of success. If it helps, you can make a note of these bad practices as a reminder, or even check this page regularly, especially as new information is added as the competition progresses. By avoiding these mistakes, you will increase your chances of success in football betting, and in particular in the Europa League.

Europa League: statistics you need to know to bet on the matches

As we mentioned in our Europa League tips, statistics and other figures are a great help when it comes to placing a football prediction on the 2023-2024 Europa League. To make things easier for you, here are the main statistics from the current campaign:

• Home wins: 51%
• Draws: 19%
• Away wins: 30%
• Average goals: 3.14 goals per game
• First half goals: 47%
• Second half goals: 53%
• +1.5 goals: 83%
• -1.5 goals: 17%
• +2.5 goals: 63%
• -2.5 goals: 37%
• +3.5 goals: 38%
• -3.5 goals: 62%
• "Both teams score: yes": 60%
• Average home goals: 1.91
• Average away goals: 1.23
• Clean sheet percentage: 43%
• Correct score 0-0: 3.6% of matches
• Most frequent score: 2-1 (11.6% of games)

At first glance, it seems that away teams find it easy to score in the Europa League. With 60% of matches ending with both teams to score (BTTS). It's not too uncommon to find odds on this market around the 1.91 mark, making this a potentially very lucrative type of bet, provided the analysis supports it. 

Secondly, as in most other major European competitions, the game is strongly forward-looking, with teams that are effective in front of their opponents' goal. This is borne out by the very low statistic of the exact 0-0 scoreline, which was only observed in 3.6% of Europa League matches during the current campaign. In the vast majority of cases, there was at least one goal scored in the match, and the exact score that was validated most often was 2-1 which concerned 11.6% of matches last season. If you're a fan of big odds betting, you now know what to try.

What's more, even though teams often win by the narrowest of margins in the Europa League, that doesn't mean goal-rich games are rare. The average goal tally of 3.14 proves it, ranking it among the highest-scoring competitions across Europe. This is further backed up by the fact that the most common scoreline in the 2023/24 season so far (2-1 to the home side) has seen both over 2.5 goals as well as BTTS.

Finally, and this is the same for most other competitions in Europe, home teams have an advantage, with a higher-than-average winning rate at 51% while draws see a signficant dropoff from last season and are down to just 19%. The home crowd, familiarity, motivation and a host of other factors generally allow home teams to get the better of their opponents. In a match between two teams of a similar level on paper, it's the detail that can make the difference, don't forget!

In short: how to make the right Europa League predictions?

To conclude, don't forget to analyze in depth each Europa League match you want to bet on, so as not to miss any details and to be able to play interesting odds.

Make sure you also take into account the advice we have given you earlier on this page, and avoid certain mistakes that are unfortunately all too common among punters.

Finally, don't forget that at SportyTrader we're offering you a number of 100% free Europa League predictions. You can take advantage of them a few days before the start of a match, and you'll save time as well as benefiting from expert analysis. This way, you don't need to be a football specialist to be able to bet and thrill to Europa League matches. So you know how to bet correctly on the Europa League.

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Our current Europa League predictions

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Europa League: best odds

02 May 2024 - 15:00 Marseille - Atalanta

1 2.54

X 3.61

2 3

02 May 2024 - 15:00 Roma - Bayer Leverkusen

1 3.75

X 3.64

2 2.3

To improve your results on the C3, do not hesitate to compare the Europa League odds, and to follow the evolution of the scores thanks to our Europa League Livescore. This will be a great help when it comes to making accurate Europa League 2023-2024 predictions.