Zambia vs Togo Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Zambia
29/09/2026 12:00
Togo

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions

The Levy Mwanawasa Stadium will play host to the 2027 AFCON qualifier between Zambia and Togo on Tuesday evening. Each of the last three matches between these sides ended with 1-0 scorelines, and our prediction is that chances will be at a premium in this one as well. 

Zambia are looking to qualify for the Africa Cup of Nations for a third successive time, but they failed to progress beyond the group stage of the main competition in the last two editions. 

Chipolopolo suffered a 3-1 defeat to Algeria in their opening match of this competition. They only managed 32% possession, 0.46 xG, and failed to create a single big chance against the Greens. 

This week’s hosts are now on a three-match losing streak and winless in their last nine matches since October last year. They also failed to score a goal in any of their last four games. 

Meanwhile, Togo have not featured in the Africa Cup of Nations main draw since 2017, but they made a positive start to these qualifiers, beating Burundi 1-0 at home on Friday evening. 

The Sparrowhawks have been in good form lately, now unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, a notable improvement after losing three of their previous four games. 

The visitors have also avoided defeat in their last four away matches, but they have lost their last three on the road against their upcoming opponents. 

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Zambia v Togo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.86 2.95 4.1
1xbet
1.93 3.15 4.12
Betwinner
1.93 3.15 4.12
888Starz
1.93 3.15 4.12
Betway
1.91 3.2 4
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What is the prediction for the football match between Zambia and Togo?

Our prediction for the Zambia vs Togo match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Zambia and Togo in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.48% for a win of Zambia against Togo with odds of 1.93 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Zambia vs Togo is 25.93% with odds of 3.2 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Togo vs Zambia with odds of 4.4 at Betsson.

Zambia vs Togo Form

Zambia and Togo's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Togo
3 1 1 0 0 +1
4 Zambia
0 1 0 0 1 -2

Zambia and Togo Last Matches

Zambia
Zambia Last matches
L D D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  1
Zambia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
5 :  0
Zambia

29 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  3
Morocco

26 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  0
Comoros

22 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Zambia

16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  3
Morocco

26 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  0
Comoros

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  1
Niger

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  2
Morocco

17 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Zambia
0 :  1
Kenya

10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Zambia
1 :  2
Angola
W L L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  1
Zambia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
5 :  0
Zambia

22 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Zambia

16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

South Africa
3 :  1
Zambia

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Zambia
Togo
Togo Last matches
W L D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Togo
1 :  0
Burundi

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Togo
5 :  1
Benin

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Central African Republic
1 :  1
Togo

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  0
Togo

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Togo
0 :  1
DR Congo

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Togo
1 :  0
Sudan
W D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Togo
1 :  0
Burundi

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Togo
5 :  1
Benin

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Togo
0 :  1
DR Congo

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Togo
1 :  0
Sudan

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Togo
2 :  2
Mauritania

17 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Togo
3 :  0
Equatorial Guinea
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Central African Republic
1 :  1
Togo

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  0
Togo

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mauritania
2 :  0
Togo

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Togo

13 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Liberia
1 :  0
Togo

10 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Algeria
5 :  1
Togo
Zambia vs Togo Prediction

Missing players

Zambia
Zambia
Midfielder

L. Musonda

Togo
Togo

Zambia and Togo Stats in AFCON

Zambia
Zambia
Togo
Togo
0%
Wins
100%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
1
1
Goals scored per match
1
3
Goals conceded per match
0
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
100%
BTTS
0%

Zambia - Togo Key Points

  1. Seven of Zambia’s last 12 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Zambia failed to score in their last two home games.
  3. Eight of Togo’s last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Togo have kept clean sheets in three of their last six away games.
  5. Each of the last three matches between these sides ended with 1-0 scorelines.
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Our Zambia vs Togo Prediction

Zambia will be hoping to make their home advantage count here, but they have not been in good form of late, now winless in their last nine matches, while failing to score in their last four ahead of this one. 

Togo picked up an important 1-0 victory over Burundi last week, and a point here will put them in a strong position to clinch a top-two spot. The Sparrowhawks have been good in defence lately, and we feel that clear-cut chances will be at a premium in this encounter. Our Zambia vs Togo prediction is under 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.