Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone will meet at Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo in AFCON qualifying on Monday evening. These sides conceded five goals combined in their opening matches of this competition, and our prediction is that there will be goals at both ends in this clash.
Equatorial Guinea will be hoping to pick up their first points in these qualifiers after being totally outplayed and losing their opening match of the competition 2-0 to DR Congo on Thursday.
The National Thunder managed just 0.38 xG and recorded only five touches in the opposition box in the last match. They have now won only one of their last eight matches in all competitions (D1 L6).
Unfortunately for Equatorial Guinea, they will not be able to benefit from home advantage here, as this match is being played at a neutral venue in Yaounde, Cameroon.
Meanwhile, Sierra Leone failed to qualify for the last two editions of the Africa Cup of Nations, and they kicked off this qualification cycle with a 3-2 defeat to Zimbabwe on Thursday.
The Leone Stars’ undoing in the last match was leaky defence, as they were 2-0 up before conceding three times in the space of 16 second-half minutes. Zimbabwe only recorded 0.98 xG across the 90.
Sierra Leone’s record across their last 10 games reads as W4 D1 L5, and they only failed to score in two matches during this period.
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Equatorial Guinea v Sierra Leone Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.99 | 3 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.2 | 3.97 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.2 | 3.97 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.2 | 3.97 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.1 | 3.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone?
Our prediction for the Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2026 between Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.56% for a win of Equatorial Guinea against Sierra Leone with odds of 2.1 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone is 31.08% with odds of 3.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
Equatorial Guinea - Sierra Leone Prediction and Best Odds:
| Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea wins | 34.56% | 2.1 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 72.78% | 1.94 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Equatorial Guinea | 13.05% | 5 at Roobet |
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Form
Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - AFCON
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - AFCON
25 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - AFCON
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - AFCON
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Missing players
M. Bundu
Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone Stats in AFCON
Equatorial Guinea - Sierra Leone Key Points
- Equatorial Guinea have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight matches.
- Four of Sierra Leone’s last five matches ended with both teams scoring.
- Sierra Leone have only failed to score in one of their last 12 away games.
- Both teams scored in three of their last four matches between these sides.
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Our Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Prediction
Equatorial Guinea were unable to find their feet against the star-studded DR Congo on Thursday, and with that result, they have to go all-out for three points here or their hopes of qualifying for AFCON 2027 will be as good as over.
Sierra Leone were impressive going forward in the last match, but their defence was far from its best. Given that both teams need a result here, we are expecting to see plenty of chances at both ends. Our Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
