Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in AFCON Predictions
It’s a top-of-the-table clash in Group L of the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) qualifiers, as Guinea-Bissau look to keep the better-ranked Nigeria at bay on matchday two. This match at Estadio 24 de Setembro in Bissau on Tuesday between the first-placed ‘Dromedaries’ and the second-placed ‘Super Eagles’ is likely to be a tight one, with under 2.5 goals our match prediction.
After a win each on matchday one, Guinea-Bissau are ahead of Nigeria on goal difference. Only one side qualifies for the main tournament from this group, as co-hosts Tanzania are one of the four teams in Group L.
Guinea-Bissau won 2-0 away at Tanzania on matchday one, with goals on either side of the break. It was a welcome relief from their recent form that landed three defeats and one draw.
The home form is equally patchy, if not worse, as Guinea-Bissau lost five of their last seven designated home games (W1, D1).
Nigeria had to come from a goal down to win 2-1 at home against Madagascar to start their campaign on a high. The ‘Super Eagles’ lost just once in their last 14 matches within 90 minutes.
With two draws from their last three away AFCON qualifiers (W1), there’s still unease in the Nigerian camp over their road trip form.
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Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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8.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 |
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9.8 | 4.2 | 1.34 |
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9.8 | 4.2 | 1.34 |
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|
7 | 3.8 | 1.35 |
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|
8.6 | 4.7 | 1.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria?
Our prediction for the Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.87% for a win of Guinea-Bissau against Nigeria with odds of 9.8 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria is 30.41% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau with odds of 1.36 at Betsson.
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria Form
Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 May 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Jan 2026 - AFCON
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
19 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Missing players
F. Cande
MidfielderR. Vieira
Z. Sanusi
ForwardV. Osimhen
Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria Stats in AFCON
Guinea-Bissau - Nigeria Key Points
- Eight of Guinea Bissau’s last nine matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Guinea Bissau’s last five AFCON qualifiers have seen fewer than three goals.
- Three of Nigeria’s last five AFCON qualifiers have seen at most two goals.
- The last four head-to-head matches have all produced two or fewer goals.
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Our Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria Prediction
With only one spot up for grabs for the finals from this group, this match assumes greater significance for both teams. Nigeria are runaway favourites to win, but can Guinea-Bissau flip the script? That looks doubtful going by their recent record of five defeats in the last seven home games, putting more pressure on Guinea-Bissau.
Eight of Guinea-Bissau's last 11 designated home games have produced fewer than three goals, and they would be keen to keep it tight here. Our Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
