Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions
Ethiopia has conceded against every opponent they have faced this year outside of Sao Tome and Principe and Malawi. That defensive gap is central to our Ethiopia vs Senegal match prediction in this Africa Cup of Nations qualifier. The Walias host the Lions of Teranga on Tuesday off the back of a 1-0 loss to Sudan. Our pick backs Senegal to reach two goals again.
Senegal have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight matches, including three of four games at this year's World Cup finals. The Lions of Teranga beat Iraq 5-0 and scored twice in a 2-3 loss to Norway. They added two more in extra time against Belgium in the round of 16.
Their only blank in the last four months came in a June friendly against Saudi Arabia. On the other hand, Ethiopia's four toughest opponents this year, Egypt, Sierra Leone, Burkina Faso and Sudan, scored eight goals between them and were never shut out.
Ethiopia's two clean sheets in 2026 both came against Sao Tome and Principe, the weakest side in this qualifying group. Senegal, fresh off a World Cup run to the round of 16, represent a far tougher task. As such, we the Lions of Teranga should easily net two here.
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Ethiopia v Senegal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.4 | 3.75 | 1.43 |
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7.48 | 4.6 | 1.37 |
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|
7.48 | 4.6 | 1.37 |
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|
7.55 | 4.6 | 1.37 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.8 | 1.41 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ethiopia and Senegal?
Our prediction for the Ethiopia vs Senegal match is: Senegal scores 2+ goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Ethiopia and Senegal in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.54% for a win of Ethiopia against Senegal with odds of 8.4 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ethiopia vs Senegal is 17.57% with odds of 4.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Ethiopia with odds of 1.43 at Stake.
Ethiopia vs Senegal Form
Ethiopia and Senegal's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Ethiopia and Senegal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
27 Mar 2026 - AFCON
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
27 Mar 2026 - AFCON
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
Missing players
A. Mendy
MidfielderH. Diarra
Ethiopia and Senegal Stats in AFCON
Ethiopia - Senegal Key Points
- Senegal has scored two or more goals in five of their last eight matches, including three of four games at the World Cup finals.
- Senegal beat Iraq 5-0 in their final World Cup group game on 26 June.
- Ethiopia has conceded in every 2026 match against opposition ranked above Sao Tome and Principe or Malawi.
- Ethiopia lost to Sudan four days ago in their opening Group J qualifier.
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Our Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction
Senegal are by far the stronger attacking side in this matchup. They have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight matches, and three of four at the World Cup finals. Ethiopia have conceded against every opponent this year ranked above Sao Tome and Principe or Malawi, including their 1-0 loss to Sudan four days ago.
That contrasting form from both sides points toward more goals from the Lions of Teranga against the Walias on Tuesday. Hence, our Ethiopia vs Senegal prediction is that Senegal scores 2+ goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
