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KPL Season Predictions & Betting tips

Kenyan Premier League 2022/23, Tips and Predictions for each upcoming match. Full information and betting tips for your sports bets.

2022/23 Kenyan Premier League season

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A brief history

The Kenyan Premier League (KPL) has over the years gone through a number of identity changes, but it is currently branded as the FKF Premier League (FKF-PL). The FKF PL is the topmost football league in Kenya. The league was formed in the early 60s and had its first season in 1963, under the watch of the now defunct Kenya Football Federation (KFF), which would go on to manage the league for most of the four decades that followed. Unfortunately, the Kenyan football scene has suffered from seemingly endless wrangles occasioned by internal politics that have blown through to the national stage occasioning government interference. Such has time and again invited FIFA’s wrath and the country has had to serve spells under suspension from the world football governing body. There was also a spell inside the last 20 years or so when two different factions claimed to be the bonafide managers of the league and it all ended up in two parallel top leagues being run by the factions. The period between 2006 and 2015 is termed to be the most stable for the Kenyan Premier League. 

Before adopting the current identity as the FKF Premier League, the Kenyan top flight changed identities at least two times. It was first referred to as the Kenya National Football League (KNFL), a name that stayed on from 1963 to 1996. For the subsequent two seasons, it was renamed the Kenya Super League (KSL) then in 1998, the Kenyan Premier League (KPL) came to be, an identity the league lived with until 2015, when a regime change at the national football federation saw the league reorganised and renamed the FKF – PL.

Right before the formation of the FKF PL, the league clubs had agreed to the formation of a company to run the league, with permission from the national federation. The key reasoning here was to not only have the clubs run their own affairs, but also have a framework for making demands, fronting their interests and seeking sponsorships and partnerships. This company would be known as the Kenyan Premier League Limited, and it was registered officially in 2003, with the guidance and leadership of Canadian born social worker based in Nairobi, Bob Munro. 

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Some good order and great organisation followed the formation of this company and in 2007, it successfully negotiated for a first ever broadcast deal for the top league in the country. The team led by Munro managed to get South Africa based Pay TV, SuperSport to invest in Kenyan football, a deal that would see each of the league clubs pocket up to USD 70,000, which were paid in form of monthly grants. Many more deals would follow as the league was now getting televised. Alcoholic drinks maker Kenya Breweries came on board as title sponsors through their brand of Tusker and soon after Umbro and Puma followed as kit and merchandise sponsors before the largest betting firm in East Africa, headquartered in Nairobi, SportPesa joined the fray.  

The stability enjoyed by the league would however be rocked when there was a change in the leadership of the national federation. As Nick Mwendwa took over from Sam Nyamweya, he introduced an expanded league from 16 to 18 teams and disregarded all agreements between the league and SuperSport, and the broadcaster, citing breach of contract, walked out. That was just the first of many walkouts; another big investor in SportPesa also followed SuperSport out. The result was clubs ran on empty for a while before the disarray saw them starting to issue walkovers and ended in relegation.

As the 2022/23 season heads towards kick-off, most clubs lack sponsorship and even the league itself hasn’t been able to attract investors in the game, to put in the money. The few sponsors who worked with the federation during the Covid-19 period – BetKing and StarTimes have already left, both citing breaches of their contracts with the federation.

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Format of the KPL

Like in all leagues, the team that finishes top of the standings is crowned champion and gets the automatic slot to play in the CAF Champions League, while the bottom two are automatically relegated and the top two in the second tier, National Super League (NSL) promoted. The third slot in the league is determined by a two-legged playoff pitting the third-place finisher in the NSL and the 16th placed finisher in the Kenyan Premier League.The 2022/23 season began with 18 teams who were scheduled to face each other twice. However. Wazito withdrew from the league after just two fixtures, leaving 17 clubs to play out the rest of the season. 

Most successful teams in the Kenyan Premier League

Kenya Premier League Gor Mahia

Gor Mahia FC is by a distance the most successful team in the history of Kenyan football, this is despite going without a league title from 1995 all the way to 2013. The 18-year wait however gave rise to a period of dominance where they only missed the 2016 title between 2013 and 2020. Only Tusker has been able to check Gor Mahia’s dominance; the Brewers won the 2016 title and go into this season having won the last two to make it 13 league titles in their history. The third most successful team in KPL history is AFC Leopards, going into next season with 12 league titles in the bag. The last of their league titles however came in 1998.

Champions

Tusker FC are the current champions, after winning their 13th league title in June. 

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Key Statistics for the FKF Premier League After Games Played on 4 January 2023

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Defendng champions Tusker FC are going well again this season. They have won each of their first six fixtures and lead the table by two points with a game in hand on their rivals. Again the FKF Premier League is not seeing a lot of goals being scored. 36.8% of games this season have had over 2.5 goals scored in them. That means 63.2% have had under 2.5 goals scored, that's nearly two in every three matches. Tusker FC and Talanta have the most games with over 2.5 goals scored in them, both on four for the season. All six league games played by Leopards have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them. Both teams have scored in 54% of games.

The top league scorers are Tusker FC with 12 goals, followed by Ulinizi Stars on 11. The lowest scorers are Vihaya and Mathara with two goals. However, both have only played a couple of league fixtures. Nairobi City have three from seven games.

The best defence so far this season belongs to Nzoia who have only conceded three in their seven matches. Nairobi has the worst defence with 11 goals conceded in seven games, though Talanta have had the same number scored against them but in two fewer matches. Tusker FC have the best home record, while Nzoia are yet to concede a goal after three home fixtures.  

Our free betting tips on the FKF Premier League

Kenya Premier League AFC Leopards

There are many more options for betting in the league including who will be the champions, the top scorers at the end of the season, who gets relegated or ends up in the playoffs and more. Our experienced team of betting experts are always on hand with the analysis and selection of the highest paying markets and bookies with the least possible risk. For example, Tusker FC will be an easy choice for the team to win a third straight league title, the reason being their stability and the fact that the club keeps on strengthening the playing unit, plus the fact that they have their own home ground.

AFC Leopards and Gor Mahia will for example be disadvantaged in their chase for the title, fuelled by the fact that these two are serving transfer bans and thus can only rely on their almost non existent youth systems. Such an issue not only determines whether or not these two giants can win the league title but also the motivation in going for wins game after game. 

Always look at the form of the teams that you want to place a bet on. Backing teams with poor form is never a good idea. Look to see which teams are strong at home anand on the road. Avoid those with poor home records and those getting little success in away fixtures. Make sure you know the team news before placing a bet. Backing a team and then finding out key players are missing isn't a good idea. Look at how important a game is. If there is little at stake for one club then they may make team changes and experiment as they prepare for the next season.

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Top Goalscorer

Ojok Deogracious of Tusker FC is the top scorer at the start of January. He's scored five goals so far this season. There are four players who are just one goal behind the top scorer. Karamar (Kakamega), Kweyu (Nzoia), Omala (Gor Mahia) and Simiyu (Ulinzi) are all in with a good chance of being the top scorer this season.

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Our Kenyan Premier League Predictions of the moment

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FKF Kenya Premier League: Best odds

11 Feb 2023 - 07:00 Nzoia Sugar FC - Wazito
1 1.8
X 3.34
2 4.58

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