Uganda vs Libya Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Uganda
29/09/2026 12:00
Libya

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in AFCON Predictions

After a solid outing on match day one, Uganda will be up against Libya in their next AFCON 2027 qualifier. As they prepare for the match, each team in Group H has one point. There is a strong possibility for a draw, as our prediction will put it.

Uganda will be boosted by a solid performance away to Tunisia on matchday one. Rogers Mato scored the equalizer to earn the Uganda Cranes a point in North Africa.

Back at home against a second North African nation, they will be looking for a first-ever win in this fixture. The only time Uganda hosted Libya before, they ended up drawing 1-1, and their latest meeting also ended in a draw (0-0).

Libya have never lost to Uganda before and will take such confidence into this encounter. They are also coming off a draw from the opening round, having faced Botswana at home.

The match in Tripoli ended 2-2 as Libya staged a stunning late comeback to pick up a point after going 2-0 down in the first half. Ezoo El Mariamy was their key man as he assisted the first goal on 87 minutes before scoring the leveler in stoppage time.

The result left Libya on four straight draws while they’ve only managed a win in seven, the rest being draws.

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Uganda v Libya Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.96 2.85 3.9
1xbet
2 3.05 3.97
Melbet
2.01 3.05 3.93
Betwinner
2 3.05 3.97
Bet365
1.97 3 3.75
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uganda and Libya?

Our prediction for the Uganda vs Libya match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Uganda and Libya in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.63% for a win of Uganda against Libya with odds of 2.02 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uganda vs Libya is 35.19% with odds of 3.05 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Libya vs Uganda with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.

Uganda vs Libya Form

Uganda and Libya's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Libya
1 1 0 1 0 0
3 Uganda
1 1 0 1 0 0

Uganda and Libya Last Matches

Uganda
Uganda Last matches
L L L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Tunisia
1 :  1
Uganda

30 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  3
Nigeria

27 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  1
Tanzania

23 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  1
Uganda

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Morocco
4 :  0
Uganda

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Algeria
2 :  1
Uganda
W L W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  3
Nigeria

27 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  1
Tanzania

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
2 :  0
Somalia

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
4 :  0
Mozambique

23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Uganda
0 :  1
Senegal

11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Uganda
2 :  0
Niger
D W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Tunisia
1 :  1
Uganda

23 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  1
Uganda

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Morocco
4 :  0
Uganda

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Algeria
2 :  1
Uganda

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
0 :  1
Uganda

18 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

South Africa
3 :  3
Uganda
Libya
Libya Last matches
W D D D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Libya
2 :  2
Botswana

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Liberia
2 :  2
Libya

25 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Palestine
0 :  0
Libya

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Mauritius
0 :  0
Libya

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Libya
3 :  3
Cape Verde Isl.

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Libya
2 :  0
Eswatini
L D D W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Libya
2 :  2
Botswana

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Libya
3 :  3
Cape Verde Isl.

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Libya
2 :  0
Eswatini

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Libya
1 :  1
Angola

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Libya
0 :  0
Benin

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Libya
0 :  3
Nigeria
W L W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Liberia
2 :  2
Libya

25 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Palestine
0 :  0
Libya

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Mauritius
0 :  0
Libya

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Angola
0 :  1
Libya

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Cameroon
3 :  1
Libya

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Rwanda
0 :  1
Libya
Uganda vs Libya Prediction

Uganda and Libya Stats in AFCON

Uganda
Uganda
Libya
Libya
0%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
0%
100%
Draws
100%
2
Average goals per match
4
1
Goals scored per match
2
1
Goals conceded per match
2
100%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
100%

Uganda - Libya Key Points

  1. Both teams drew on matchday one of the qualifiers.
  2. Two of the four meetings between these nations ended in draws.
  3. Libya have drawn six of their last seven matches.
  4. Uganda are winless in five matches, drawing two.
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Our Uganda vs Libya Prediction

The first competitive meeting between these two nations will be staged in Uganda, where the Cranes are unbeaten in three outings. Libya will not be visiting for the first time, though, having registered a 1-1 draw there in 2008.

The most recent meeting between the nations was in another friendly in 2022, which also ended in a draw (0-0). Libya will be targeting a return to winning ways after four straight draws, but we see this too, ending in shared spoils. Our prediction for Uganda v Libya is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.