NBA Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free NBA prediction, as well as our expert basketball betting tips on all games of the American basketball championship (2022-2023). Lots of information for your sports betting!

Presentation of the NBA - Basketball

The NBA - National Basketball Association - is the most popular basketball league in the world, gathering the best players and the most famous franchises of the basketball planet. The NBA is the premier league in the United States (USA) which sees 30 total teams separated into two separate conferences (East and West), who then compete to reach the NBA Playoffs at the end of the season. After 82 rounds of regular season play, the top eight teams from each conference (East and West) are selected for a final tournament, which crowns the champion of each conference after a series of games. Franchises placed between 7th and 10th compete for the final spots in an all-new Play-in tournament, which offers the final spots for the Playoffs. At the end of the Playoffs, the Western Conference champion and the Eastern Conference champion will face each other to become the NBA champions. All in all, a whole program that makes the NBA basketball prediction one of the most thrilling in the world of sports betting.

NBA Games Dates for your Diary

• Play-offs - April 15, 2023 - May 2023
• Final - June 2023

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Expert advice for your NBA prediction

Before launching into a prediction on the NBA, there are several figures and statistics to have in mind to succeed in your bet. First of all, you should know that the NBA is, without any doubt, the most spectacular basketball tournament on the planet. Each season, games regularly exceed 210 points scored on the floor, whereas other leagues struggle to offer games with more than 150 points. When a bookmaker offers you to make a basketball bet on the NBA, aim for a fairly high number of points in the match. In general, bets like "over 209.5 points" or "over 210.5 points" will be offered at nice odds, so it would be a shame to miss out. In 82 regular-season games last year, the average points per game was 221!

Additionally, as we close in on the halfway mark of the 2022/23 regular season, some interesting statistics and trends begin to stand out. Through November, teams are averaging 112.7 points scored per game, up from 110.6 last season and on pace for the highest mark in the past 53 years. Not only that, but the average team pace (a statistic which calculates the number of possessions a team uses per game) is up to 100.00 from 98.8 last season, signifying that teams are getting up and down the court at an increased rate. 

This data confirms that betting on the number of points will be a reliable option for your NBA predictions. With Bet365's welcome offer, for example, there is a lot of money to be won every night if your luck is in.

Then, beyond the show, know that home court advantage is also important in the NBA. As you know, sports betting sites generally offer generous odds for teams playing on the road. Don't be fooled! Beyond the recent behemoths like the Nets, Bucks and Warriors, teams playing in their own venues are generally performing well in the US league. The average winning percentage for home teams at around the halfway mark of the season is 60.9%, which is up from last season's average home winning percentage of 55%. When you know that a draw is extremely rare (even if there is automatic overtime, some bookmakers offer to bet on a draw in regulation time), there is a good chance that you will win your bet by predicting a home team victory.

The last interesting aspect of betting on the NBA that we will highlight is point spread betting. Spreads dominate the discussion and the majority of the action in United States based sports and the NBA is no different. It’s important to remember that although a team might not have a good overall record, they could be an excellent team at covering the spread if they enter most of their games as underdogs yet are able to keep the contests relatively close. 

A perfect example of this is the Oklahoma City Thunder who have a losing record of 15-21 straight up (41.7%) yet are one of the league’s best sides against the spread, covering the number in 21 of their 36 games (58.3%).

The best against the spread team at the time of writing is the Portland Trailblazers who are covering 60% of their games, while the worst against the spread teams at this point in the season are the Heat and the Mavericks who have each only managed to cover 13 of their 37 games, with two ending in pushes (37.1% cover rate).

As for home and away performances against the spread, the Warriors, Grizzlies, 76ers and Bucks have been the standouts at defending their home court. All four of these teams are covering the spread at a rate of over 70% in their home arena, with Golden State leading the way at an impressive 76.5%. The Knicks have been the standout performer so far this season on the road, covering the spread in 68.7% of their away trips. The Kings also deserve a mention here as they have the second best road cover percentage at 62.5%.

For your future NBA basketball predictions, take note of the trend in the current 2022/23 season of home teams covering the spread vs away teams covering. 10 home teams have an against the spread record of above 60% so far while only two away teams have managed to eclipse the same mark.

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How to make a good prediction on an NBA game?

So you know the stats you need to know before betting on the NBA. To go further, let's see now the parameters not to neglect to establish a reliable NBA prediction. First of all, you should of course take into account the form of the key players of the franchises concerned by your prediction. And this is true for a Brooklyn Nets, Milwaukee Bucks or Warriors game! Take the Phoenix Suns and Miami Heat, two teams with very big players on the floor. Before the game, the rumour that was going around is finally validated, and Devin Booker will not be available to play the game. In this case, it will be better to avoid taking a chance on the Nets, even if the odds are still correct. This reasoning should also be applied to all NBA games you want to predict, as major players are always of vital importance in an American basketball duel. Every absence of a player must be analysed. The success of your prediction depends on it.

Secondly, and this is even more important in a competition like the NBA, you have to make sure that both teams are really motivated for the evening's game. Do they really need to win in this match-up? Is there a real stake for both of them? Or is there something at stake in the match that follows this one? Are they coming out of an exhausting match (extra time, difficult opponent, long journey, etc.)? All of these questions you will have to ask yourself before making your NBA prediction. For example, a bet like "over 225.5 points" will have less chance of going through in a game between a team that plays and the other one that preserves its roster, than in a top-of-the-table game between two major players. So before you bet on the NBA, don't forget to look at the Western and Eastern Conference standings, which will always be important.

Last but not least, you should also compare the odds before placing your NBA prediction. Indeed, whether you want to bet on Philadelphia, Los Angeles, Toronto, Golden State, Los Angeles, Chicago or Miami, you will be able to take advantage of the competition among the bookmakers to find the best odds on which to bet. To do this, it is very easy to register on all the sports betting sites and quickly see which one offers the best odds on the bet of your choice. For example, would you like to bet on the Warriors winning against the Nuggets? It will be much more interesting to place your wager at bet365 which offers odds of 1.90 than at Bwin who only offers odds of 1.80. In the long run, your winnings from sports betting will be increased if placing your wagers at the best available odds.

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Our free NBA betting tips for the 2022-2023 season

The NBA season has reached the play-off stage and the Golden State Warriors are still in with a chance of retaining their title. They take on the LA Lakers in one of the Western Conference semi-finals. If they can win through then either Denver Nuggets or Phoenix Suns in the Western Conference final. In the Eastern Conference, it's Miami Heat against the New York Knicks and the Philadelphia 76ers take on Boston Celtics who are the bookies tip to win the NBA this season.

As for our prediction on which team will be crowned champions, it’s tough to look past the Celtics given how complete their team is and the absurdly high level that both Jayson Tatum and to a slightly lesser degree, Jaylen Brown, have both been playing at this season. Who do you think will lift the NBA championship in 2023? Make your predictions!

Bookmakers' odds for the title on May 1

• Boston Celtics - 2.30
• Denver Nuggets - 6.25
• Golden State Warriors - 6.25
• Phoenix Suns - 7.00
• LA Lakers - 9.00
• Philadelphia 76ers - 12.00
• Miami Heat -21.00
• New York Knicks - 29.00

Odds found on the site bet365.com and vbet.com

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