Ligue 1 Betting Tips
Find our free predictions and expert tips on all matches of the French Ligue 1 (2021/22). Full information for your sports betting.
2021/22 Ligue 1 Season
Ligue 1 is the highest division in French football. It sees 20 teams battling it out to win the title. There was a surprise in the 2020/21 season as Lille won the title for the first time since 2011. PSG had won the title for the past three seasons but could only finish in second place, a point behind the new champions. PSG will be all-out to regain their title this season. Third place went to Monaco ahead of Monaco in third and Lyon fourth. There was only seven points between the top four teams in the league but then a 16 point gap to fifth placed Marseille. Nimes and Dijon filled the two automatic relegation places with Dijon bottom, 14 points adrift. Nantes finished third from bottom and kept their place in Ligue 1 after beating Toulouse in the relegation play-off.
The top two will qualify for the group stages of the 2021-22 Champions League with the third-placed side going into the play-off round. Whoever finishes fourth goes into the 2022/23 Europa League at the group stage, with the side in fifth going into the qualifiying rounds of the Europa Conference League. Other Europa Conference League places may be available if the winners of the French Cup and French League Cup have made it into the Champions or Europa League..The bottom two teams in the league are relegated to Ligue 2. The team in 18th place goes into a relegation play-off with the team finishing third in Ligue 2.
Ligue 1 Statistical Analysis
There are many statistics that can help you get winners when betting on Ligue 1 games. Undoubtedly there are patterns in the way these stats unfold. Looking back at the past two season, statistics for markets such under or over a certain number of goals or the number of home wins compared to away wins and draws do not show a great deal of change.
37% of Ligue 1 games last season were won by the home side. The away teams did better though with 38% being won by the visitors with the remaining 25% being drawn. The average number of home goals scored was 1.4, just ahead of 1.36 for away teams.
Backing over 2.5 goals is a good bet to make as 54% of games last season saw that statistic come up, a rise of 7% compared to the 2019/20 season. Over 3.5 goals were scored in 31% of Ligue 1 matches last season but that was 6% lower than in 2019/20. However, that season was ended early due to the pandemic. 54% of matches last season saw both teams get on the scoresheet, up 6% from the previous season.
23.4% of goals scored last season came from the 76th minute onwards. Only 12.2% were scored in the first 15 minutes. In terms of which half goals were scored in, 46.1% came in the first half and 53.9% after the break. 1-1 was the most prolific final score happening in 13% of games. As for half-time, 26% of matches were goalless going into the break. 86% of games had under 2.5 goals scored I them when half time arrived.
That’s the overall picture for Ligue 1, now let’s take a look at the teams that will be taking part in the 2020/21 season and what we can learn from how they performed last season. Make sure you come back to this page during the 2021/22 season as we will update you with stats for the current season.
PSG were the defending champions last season but lost eight Ligue 1 matches, the same number they'd lost in the previous two seasons. They finished a point behind Lille but would have won the title but for some disappointing home form. Five home league games were lost and that included a crucial 1-0 loss to Lille. The eventual champions had the best away form last season with 14 out of 19 games won and just one loss. Monaco, who finished in third had the best home record and finished four points behind Lille. The title could have been won by them but six away losses proved costly.
Marseille also need to improve their away form. They earned 35 points at home but only 25 on the road. Then there's Lorient who finished 16th in Ligue 1 last season. They had the sixth best home record with ten wins but had the worst away record in Ligue 1 with just one victory and 11 defeats.
Away wins are hard to get in Ligue 1 with only 27% of games ending that way last season. All but a quarter of those wins came from PSG (10) and Marseille (8) Only four teams managed to get more than five away victories. Those needing to improve their away form in the 2020/21 season are Dijon, Nimes and Montpellier who last season each had just the one away league win.
Dijon and St Etienne in particular are a team to keep an eye on away from home with ten defeats on the road last season. Dijon scored just seven goals in 14 away league games last season. When it came to draws, St Etienne didn’t have a single away draw last season and PSG just the one.
How to predict Ligue 1 matches
We've looked at the key statistics for Ligue 1 and they should help you when making your selections. When you are deciding which teams to back, a look at the current form of teams is vital. You need to look at the most recent stats and analyse them. Luckily, our team of betting experts are great at doing this and will provide you with lots of helpful information.
In the same vein, you should also consider the form of the key players on each side, as it is generally these players that can impact the outcome of a Ligue 1 match. If a club’s key player is in poor form in the lead up to a match, this can affect the team’s chances of winning - which is especially true for the clubs on the lower end of the Ligue 1 table. In a similar way, injuries and suspensions can impact the final result of a Ligue 1 fixture - so make sure that you are up-to-date on all the player news surrounding the match of your choice before you make your prediction.
The next factor won't be so important in the first half of the season. Judge how important a match is to a team because when it's the second half of the season, some games might not mean too much. If there is a game between sides who aren't going to get into European competition or be relegated, then how motivated are the teams going to be? Teams that are 10th or 11th in the table but still in with a chance of qualifying for Europe will put more into their games as they try to get important points.
The season calendar can also affect a club’s motivation, as a side that has an upcoming game in the national cup or in European football will likely prioritise that meeting over a Ligue 1 game. The same reasoning can also apply after a big game in European football, as fatigue can set into a team.
Last but not least, you should always analyse the different odds available on the market before placing your Ligue 1 bets. As the odds offered on every Ligue 1 match can vary from bookmaker to bookmaker, you should always compare the values to ensure that you can benefit from the best potential winnings available to you. Small differences can go a long way over the course of a whole season - so register with each of the best bookmakers on the market to ensure that you can always enjoy the best odds.
How to predict the Ligue 1 table
Betting on Ligue 1 isn't always about who is going to win the title. There are other markets that you can bet on. These include betting without PSG, which teams will qualify for the Champions League and who will be relegated.
Club goals and objectives will also be necessary to consider for your predictions. For example, if a club president announces that they will focus on the Europa League for the upcoming season, then it might be prudent to predict a slightly lower ranking for that club in the final Ligue 1 table. On the other hand, if a coach claims that domestic league victory will be their priority over European football or the national cup, then it would make sense to include the team in a higher position in your ranking.
How to bet on the Ligue 1 top scorer
PSG may not have won Ligue 1 last season but Kylian Mbappe was the top scorer with 27 goals. That was seven clear of Lyon's Memphis Depay. The top scorer for champions Lille was Burak Yilmaz with 16 goals. He and Jonathan David were the only two Lille players to get into double figures last season in Ligue 1 but they still won the title. Mbappe again looks a good choice to be the top Ligue 1 goalscorer.
French Ligue 1 2021/22: our free betting tips
Throughout the season our team of betting experts will be writing previews of games played in Ligue 1. These previews will be well researched taking all the relevant factors into consideration. Look out for the previews as they will help you when making your selections. PSG will be bidding to again become Ligue 1 champions and have been busy strengthening their line-up. Georgino Wijnaldum looks a great free transfer signing from Liverpool. Slightly more expensive was Achraf Hakimi who cost £54 million from Serie A (but cash strapped) Inter. Could they possibly add Paul Pogba by the time this transfer window closes?
Ligue 1: the best betting odds