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French Ligue 1 2022/23 Predictions & Betting tips

Betting tips 1X2

31 Mar 2023 - 15:00

Ligue 1

1 X 2
Montpellier Hsc
01 Apr 2023 - 11:00

Ligue 1

1 X 2

Find our free ligue 1 prediction on the 2022/23 French Ligue 1 season. Throughout the season, you will be able to read the previews written by our team of experts and hopefully greatly assist your sports betting on this league!

Ligue 1 presentation - Football

Ligue 1 prediction

Ligue 1 is the top division in French football.  It pits 20 professional teams against each other, competing for the title of French football champion. After a season of home and away matches, the top two teams in the league qualify directly for the Champions League, while the third placed side goes into the third qualifying round. The fourth-placed team, like the winner of the French Cup, earns its ticket to the Europa League, while the fifth-placed team qualifies for the Europa Conference League. 

At the bottom of the table, teams finishing 19th and 20th are automatically relegated to Ligue 2, and the 18th placed side has to play the third-placed  Ligue 2 team in a two-legged play-off for a spot in Ligue 1 next season.  From 2023/24 there will only be 18 teams in Ligue 1. This means that in the 2022/23 season, there will be four teams relegated and only two promoted from Ligue 2 and no relegation play-off.  Prepare to be thrilled until the end in this 2022-2023 season!

The last 5 seasons' list of winners

  • Season 2021-2022 - PSG
  • Season 2020-2021 - Lille OSC
  • Season 2019-2020 - PSG
  • Season 2018-2019 - PSG
  • Season 2017-2018 - PSG

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Expert tips for your Ligue 1 predictionss

Prediction Ligue 1 - Football

The 2022/23 Ligue 1 season resumes on December 28 after the World Cup break. PSG are again dominating the table and have a five-point lead over Lens. This season has seen an increase in the number of goals being scored by Ligue 1 teams. 444 goals have been scored in 150 matches at an average of 2.96 per game. That's an increase of 0.15% on last season.

In terms of the "under/over 2.5 goals market" there has been a big increase this season. 58% of games have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them. That's 8% higher than in the 2021/22 season. 32% (virtually one in three) of games have had over 3.5 goals scored in them.  Every team in the league has had at least six games in which over 3.5 goals have been scored.

The most frequent final score this season has been 1-1 and that's come up in 17% of games.  Regards half-time, 25% of games have seen a 1-0 scoreline and that's the same percentage as 0-0. 86% of games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them at half time. 42.6% of goals have been scored in the first half and 57.4% in the second half.

See the latest Ligue 1 match odds!

In terms of both teams scoring, there has been a big rise this season. 65% of games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. That's virtually two in every three, so it's a bet that has a great chance of winning. Often offered at the attractive odds of 1.90, this market, which will delight you with the bookmaker bonus of your choice,

As was the case last season, 43% of games have been won by the home side, 27% have been drawn and 31% won by the away team. The average number of goals scored by home sides this season has been 1.52 and it's 1.44 (a rise of 0.21%) for the away team.

Lens have the best home record this season having won all eight of their games. However, they only have 12 points from their seven away league fixtures. Nice have only earned eight points at home but have won 12 on their travels. PSG have the best away records with 22 points from their eight games. They are also top scorers on 43 goals and possess the best defence with only nine goals conceded.

Choose your Ligue 1 selections at Bet365

How to predict Ligue 1 matches?

Predicting Ligue 1 matches - 2022 2023

After having discussed the interesting figures for betting on the Ligue 1, let's talk about the best parameters to take into account before making your football prediction. First of all, you should not forget to take into account the recent form of the two teams in the match you want to bet on. This goes without saying, but if a team that is stronger in theory has just lost two games before playing a less strong club, but which has two wins to its name, then a bet on the underdog may be more appropriate.

In the same spirit, it will also be useful to look at the latest performances of the senior players of the teams you are betting on. Let's take the example of a Lyon-Marseille match. Despite the tight trend at the Olimpico, Mattéo Guendouzi is in a very bad period, as is Dimitri Payet. It might be wise to place a bet on Marseille, who have players in good form ahead of the match. And the thought is all the more true for matches involving lesser-known clubs. We don't necessarily imagine it, but very often these teams are very dependent on their key players (Mbappé at PSG, Jonathan David at Lille, Téji Savanier at Montpellier...), so you will have to watch this variable.

Another variable in the same category will be the case of players injured or suspended during a match. For the same reasons as those mentioned above, the absence of a player can greatly influence the result of a prediction on a French Ligue 1 match. Checking the LFP website to see what the penalties are can be very useful before you validate your betting slip.

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In addition to the dynamics, the importance of the match should also be analysed for your predictions. Indeed, a Ligue 1 match between two teams from the bottom half of the table will not be of the same quality as a match between two teams playing for keeping their place among the elite, or their European qualifications at the end of the season. Before betting, analyse the rankings of each football club to make sure that your chosen team will be motivated.

This motivation can also vary according to the season's schedule. For example, if a team is due to play a league clash, but is also due to play a major European competition match a few hours later, it may be better to avoid predicting their victory on the domestic front. The same goes for a league match played after a European match, sometimes decompression plays tricks.

Finally, one last point you must remember before betting, don't forget to analyse the different odds available from the bookmakers on the market. Most of the sports betting sites offer bets on Ligue 1 football, the odds for the same market can vary on the bet, and therefore directly influencing your potential winnings. For example, Nantes' victory over Strasbourg may be offered at 2.30 by bet365 but only 2.15 at Bwin, a difference of £5 in winnings for each £100 staked. A difference that may seem insignificant as it is, but over the long term of a season, according to our experts, it will inevitably show up in the final prize pool! There is no secret to maximising your winning on this matter, all you need to do is to register with the best bookmakers as much as you can, in order to always benefit from the best odds for your L1 predictions. Especially in this season 2022-2023, there are nice bonuses offered by the bookmakers waiting for you to collect.

Check out the odds on Ligue 1 today

How to bet on the Ligue 1 ranking?

Prediction Ligue 1 ranking - 2022 2023

As well as being able to bet on single matches of Ligue 1, you should know that you can also predict the final standings of the French league. Each season, and this is still true in 2022-2023, bookmakers offer different markets, from the teams that will go down to Ligue 2 to the one that will win the title, including the teams that will qualify for the big Champion's League (see our Champions League prediction). You will have plenty of chances to have fun, and more importantly, winning your sports betting.

If you are interested in long-term betting, you should know that there are still several parameters to take into account before betting. First of all, you will have to analyse the strength of the different clubs involved in this French championship. The players in the starting line-up, as well as the substitutes and youth teams, will all be important, given the length of the competition. If one team has a stronger starting XI than another, but doesn't really have any quality on the bench, while the second team has substitutes capable of shining on the various Ligue 1 pitches, you might want to favour a better place for the latter.

Then, you will also have to take into account the wishes and objectives displayed by each team during the season. This means for each match. For example, if you read the statements of a president who announces that the Europa League is very important for his club, you may have to take the parameter into account and predict a slightly lower place in the final ranking of Ligue 1. Conversely, if a coach declares that the league is a priority over the European and national cups, it would be preferable to bet high for the latter.

Finally, in addition to the schedule of end-of-season fixtures, or the players who have historically tended to get injured, it will also be useful to look at the previous final standings of each team. Thus, even if an achievement is never to be overlooked (Lille in 2011 and 2021, Montpellier in 2012, Monaco in 2017), Ligue 1 teams have more or less a tendency to end their campaigns in the same areas of the ranking. Teams such as Rennes and Nice, for example, have often finished between 5th and 8th place in recent years, while Paris and Lyon have often played the leading roles and taken a place on the podium. There is no constant truth, so you can already use this as a basis for your prediction on the Ligue 1 2022-2023 standings.

Start to bet now on Ligue 1 with Bet365!

How to bet on the Ligue 1 top scorer

Prediction on the top scorer in Ligue 1

Another market has developed over the years on sports betting sites, that of the top scorer in Ligue 1 Uber Eats When the World Cup break came, Kylian Mbappe was top with 12 goals. He was only one ahead of PSG team mate Neymar. One behind Neymar is TeremMoffi who plays for Lorient. 

Also in contention for the Golden Boot are Lille's Jonathan David who has scored nine league goals as had Alexandre Lacazette of Lyon. On eight goals are Martin Terrier of Rennes and Folaran Balogun of Reims.  Lionel Messi has a bit of work to do as he's only scored seven league goals for PSG.

If you are fond of this kind of betting on Ligue 1 strikers, there will be some keys to validate your bet. Beyond the quality of the players, you will have to take into account the overall quality of the teams in which they play, as well as their different tactics. For example, players like Mbappé, Lacazette, Neymar or Messi will have a better chance to be at the top of the ranking with a strong and playful team like PSG, Lyon or Monaco.

Top scorers of the last 5 seasons

  • Season 2021-2022 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2020-2021 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2019-2020 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2018-2019 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2017-2018 - Edinson Cavani

Check out the Ligue 1 markets

The odds offered

Can Mbappe be the top scorer for the fifth season in a row? The odds just prior to the resumption of the season are: 

  • Kylian Mbappé, odds of 1.61
  • Neymar, odds of 3.00
  • Lionel Messi, odds of 11.00
  • Alexandre Lacazette, odds 17.00
  • Martin Terrier, odds of 17.00
  • Jonathan David, odds of 17.00
  • Terem Moffi, odds of 17.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William

Our free prediction for the 2022-2023 season title

Free Ligue 1 prediction

PSG again top the Ligue 1 Uber Eats table. As the season resumes on December 28, they lead the table by five points. The defending champions are yet to lose a league game this season. In second place are Lens on 36 points. They owe their high position to the fact all eight of their home league games have been won. If their away record (12 points from seven games) can be improved, they may well give PSG a tough battle for the title. There's a five point gap to Rennes in third and Marseille are fifth, a further point behind. Lorient are in sixth place on 28 points.

The odds on offer

The bookmakers offer very good odds on the future winner of the Ligue 1 2022/2023 edition. PSG are the clear favorites of course. Here are the latest odds:

  • PSG, odds of 1.015
  • Lens, odds of 26.00
  • Rennes, odds of 34.00
  • Marseille, odds of 41.00
  • Monaco, odds of 101.00
  • Lille, odds of 151.00
  • Lyon, odds of 201.00
  • Lorient, odds of 251.00
  • Nice, odds of 1001.00
  • Toulouse, odds of 1001.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William

See all the Ligue 1 odds at Bet365

Other long term bets

Want to bet on the long term with Ligue 1? Here are the different markets offered by the French sports betting sites.

Winner without PSG

As you can see the odds on who will win the title are very short for PSG. You can bet on Ligue 1 without PSG being included. The odds are shorter than for those to win the league with PSG involved. As the season resumes on December 28, Lens have a five-point lead in this market.

  • Lens, odds of 2.10
  • Rennes, odds of 4.00
  • Marseille, odds of 4.33
  • Monaco, odds of 9.00
  • Lille, odds of 21.00
  • Lyon, odds of 26.00
  • Lorient, odds of 51.00
  • Nice, odds of 151.00
  • Toulouse, odds of 501.00
  • Nantes, odds of 501.00
  • Clermont, odds of 751.00
  • Troyes, odds of 1001.00
  • Strasbourg, odds of 1001.00
  • Reims, odds of 1001.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William

If you have an idea which club will finish in a Ligue 1 without PSG, don't hesitate to bet with the bookmaker concerned.

Odds on a Champions League place

This 2022-2023 Uber Eats Ligue 1 campaign will also see an intense battle for European Cup qualification. PSG are of course looking good for a place in the Champions League as they top the table. Lens are five points behind with Rennes a further five points adrift. Marseille are only a point outside the top three with Lorient in fifth, two points behind. Here are the latest odds for a top three finish:

  • PSG, odds of 1.001
  • Lens, odds of 1.4
  • Rennes, odds of 2.00
  • Marseille, odds of 2.20
  • Monaco, odds of 3.50
  • Lille, odds of 8.00
  • Lyon, odds of 10.00
  • Lorient, odds of 26.00
  • Nice, odds of 51.00
  • Toulouse, odds of 201.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William

So you have access to some very good odds from the bookmakers regarding this fight for the first three places. Who will win this competition for the most consistent team? Will the top teams hold their ground until the end? Make your predictions!

Check out the odds on Ligue 1 now

Relegation odds

Finally, in this 2022-2023 Ligue 1 football season, a big battle will be played out at the bottom of the standings: the fight for survival. Let's not forget that, this year, four clubs will be directly relegated to the second division.  As the season resumes on December 28, it's Angers who are bottom of the table with only eight points. They are three points behind Strasbourg (only one win so far) in 19th place. 18th is fIlled by AC Ajaccio with Auxerre in 17th.  It's tight at the bottom though with 13th placed Troyes only being a point above the relegation zone. Here are the best odds offered by the bookmakers, concerning the sides that will be relegated to Ligue 2:

  • Angers, odds of 1.25
  • Auxerre, odds of 1.40
  • AC Ajaccio, odds of 1.72
  • Brest, odds of 2.37
  • Strasbourg, odds of 2.61
  • Montpellier, odds of 2.61
  • Nantes, odds of 3.75
  • Troyes, odds of 3.75
  • Clermont, odds of 5.00
  • Reims, odds of 5.50
  • Toulouse, odds of 8.00
  • Nice, odds of 34.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William

Whatever your vision of this fight not to go down, nice odds are proposed by the online betting sites. Our expert teams will closely follow the whole season and offer our advice on every game. Don’t hesitate to consult SportyTrader before you place your bets!

Bet on Ligue 1 at Bet365

Our current Ligue 1 predictions

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Ligue 1: Best Odds

31 Mar 2023 - 15:00 Marseille - Montpellier Hsc
1 1.48
X 5
2 8.25
01 Apr 2023 - 11:00 Auxerre - Troyes
1 1.95
X 3.7
2 4.4
01 Apr 2023 - 15:00 Rennes - Lens
1 2.55
X 3.57
2 2.94
02 Apr 2023 - 07:00 Lille Osc - Lorient
1 1.44
X 5.6
2 8.5
02 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Angers - Nice
1 6.5
X 4.04
2 1.64
02 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Brest - Toulouse
1 3.03
X 3.7
2 2.45
02 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Clermont - Ajaccio
1 2.16
X 3.35
2 4
02 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Nantes - Reims
1 3.01
X 3.48
2 2.6
02 Apr 2023 - 11:05 Monaco - Strasbourg Alsace
1 1.55
X 4.6
2 6.6
02 Apr 2023 - 14:45 PSG - Lyon
1 1.46
X 5.5
2 7.3
07 Apr 2023 - 15:00 Lens - Strasbourg Alsace
1 1.51
X 4.6
2 7.8
08 Apr 2023 - 11:00 Angers - Lille Osc
1 7
X 4.8
2 1.56
08 Apr 2023 - 15:00 Nice - PSG
1 4.2
X 4.1
2 1.89
09 Apr 2023 - 07:00 Lyon - Rennes
1 2.41
X 3.72
2 3.3
09 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Ajaccio - Auxerre
1 2.9
X 3.2
2 3.14
09 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Montpellier Hsc - Toulouse
1 2.48
X 3.7
2 3.02
09 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Reims - Brest
1 1.73
X 4.2
2 5.9
09 Apr 2023 - 09:00 Troyes - Clermont
1 2.9
X 3.45
2 2.81
09 Apr 2023 - 11:05 Nantes - Monaco
1 3.95
X 3.84
2 2
09 Apr 2023 - 14:45 Lorient - Marseille
1 4.9
X 4.2
2 1.8

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