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French Ligue 1 2022/23 Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free ligue 1 prediction on the 2022/23 French Ligue 1 season. Throughout the season, you will be able to read the previews written by our team of experts and hopefully greatly assist your sports betting on this league!

Ligue 1 presentation - Football

Ligue 1 prediction

Ligue 1 is the top division in French football.  It pits 20 professional teams against each other, competing for the title of French football champion. After a season of home and away matches, the top two teams in the league qualify directly for the Champions League, while the third placed side goes into the third qualifying round. The fourth-placed team, like the winner of the French Cup, earns its ticket to the Europa League, while the fifth-placed team qualifies for the Europa Conference League. 

At the bottom of the table, teams finishing 19th and 20th are automatically relegated to Ligue 2, and the 18th placed side has to play the third-placed  Ligue 2 team in a two-legged play-off for a spot in Ligue 1 next season.  From 2023/24 there will only be 18 teams in Ligue 1. This means that in the 2022/23 season, there will be four teams relegated and only two promoted from Ligue 2 and no relegation play-off.  Prepare to be thrilled until the end in this 2022-2023 season!

The last 5 seasons' list of winners

  • Season 2021-2022 - PSG
  • Season 2020-2021 - Lille OSC
  • Season 2019-2020 - PSG
  • Season 2018-2019 - PSG
  • Season 2017-2018 - PSG

Make your Ligue 1 selections at Bet365

Expert tips for your Ligue 1 predictionss

Prediction Ligue 1 - Football

The first thing you need to know about Ligue 1 is that it is becoming an increasingly technical championship. If physicality has always taken precedence over touch, the last few seasons have shown that mentalities are evolving in the right direction in the French league. In total, last year, the various players in French football offered us an average of 2.81 goals per game, which remains a very good statistic considering the tactical aspect of the competition. This average could rise dramatically in 2022-2023, as most teams are now aiming for attacking football. For your predictions on the Ligue 1 Uber Eats, favour the "Over 2.5 goals", often proposed odds around 2.00 on sports betting sites.

Secondly, you should also know that the majority of Ligue 1 matches have seen the "Both teams score" bet be a winning one in recent years. Often offered at the attractive odds of 1.90, this market, which will delight you with the bookmaker bonus of your choice, was for example verified in 55% of the matches last year, to the delight of fans of the spectacle. If you are hesitating when it comes to betting on Ligue 1, here is a sports bet to try on the match you wish to bet.

Then, let's talk about the statistics on the exact scores. As you know, the different sports betting sites offer you to bet on the final score of each match. This is a complicated exercise, given the probabilities, but it can quickly pay off when you analyse the different odds offered. If you want to try this kind of Ligue 1 prediction, you should know that a trend has been verified during the last season, the "1-0" (or 0-1) is now king in France! As has been the case regularly in recent years, last season saw a majority of scores with just one goal, in 16.5% of matches to be precise. If you are interested in a Ligue 1 bet on an exact score, don't hesitate to turn to it.

See the latest Ligue 1 match odds!

Another element to take into account for your predictions is the number of home wins. In France, perhaps more than elsewhere in Europe, playing at home is not a total guarantee of success, since last year 42% of matches ended in a victory for the home side. In these conditions, making a successful prediction is sometimes like trying your luck in the lottery! The ratio of away wins was 31%, while draws accounted for 27% of matches. If you have to bet on a team in a close match, you may want to look at the away team, which will have better odds. The N2 double chance, which was validated in 58% of the matches last season, also seems to be a good choice.

Finally, the last interesting statistic is the distribution of goals per quarter-hour. Here again, this is a market offered by online betting sites, and here again there are gains to be made in the long term. Whether it's the first quarter, the one after the hour mark or the last one of the game, each one can be good for your betting funds, with the odds usually around 2.00. Last year, in the 2021-2022 season, the "76'-90'" interval still had the most goals, with 22.5% of the total. So if you want to take a chance on this kind of bet during Ligue 1 2022-2023, you know what you have to do.

Choose your Ligue 1 selections at Bet365

How to predict Ligue 1 matches?

Predicting Ligue 1 matches - 2022 2023

After having discussed the interesting figures for betting on the Ligue 1, let's talk about the best parameters to take into account before making your football prediction. First of all, you should not forget to take into account the recent form of the two teams in the match you want to bet on. This goes without saying, but if a team that is stronger in theory has just lost two games before playing a less strong club, but which has two wins to its name, then a bet on the underdog may be more appropriate.

In the same spirit, it will also be useful to look at the latest performances of the senior players of the teams you are betting on. Let's take the example of a Lyon-Marseille match. Despite the tight trend at the Olimpico, Mattéo Guendouzi is in a very bad period, as is Dimitri Payet. It might be wise to place a bet on Marseille, who have players in good form ahead of the match. And the thought is all the more true for matches involving lesser-known clubs. We don't necessarily imagine it, but very often these teams are very dependent on their key players (Mbappé at PSG, Jonathan David at Lille, Téji Savanier at Montpellier...), so you will have to watch this variable.

Another variable in the same category will be the case of players injured or suspended during a match. For the same reasons as those mentioned above, the absence of a player can greatly influence the result of a prediction on a French Ligue 1 match. Checking the LFP website to see what the penalties are can be very useful before you validate your betting slip.

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In addition to the dynamics, the importance of the match should also be analysed for your predictions. Indeed, a Ligue 1 match between two teams from the bottom half of the table will not be of the same quality as a match between two teams playing for keeping their place among the elite, or their European qualifications at the end of the season. Before betting, analyse the rankings of each football club to make sure that your chosen team will be motivated.

This motivation can also vary according to the season's schedule. For example, if a team is due to play a league clash, but is also due to play a major European competition match a few hours later, it may be better to avoid predicting their victory on the domestic front. The same goes for a league match played after a European match, sometimes decompression plays tricks.

Finally, one last point you must remember before betting, don't forget to analyse the different odds available from the bookmakers on the market. Most of the sports betting sites offer bets on Ligue 1 football, the odds for the same market can vary on the bet, and therefore directly influencing your potential winnings. For example, Nantes' victory over Strasbourg may be offered at 2.30 by bet365 but only 2.15 at Bwin, a difference of £5 in winnings for each £100 staked. A difference that may seem insignificant as it is, but over the long term of a season, according to our experts, it will inevitably show up in the final prize pool! There is no secret to maximising your winning on this matter, all you need to do is to register with the best bookmakers as much as you can, in order to always benefit from the best odds for your L1 predictions. Especially in this season 2022-2023, there are nice bonuses offered by the bookmakers waiting for you to collect.

Check out the odds on Ligue 1 today

How to bet on the Ligue 1 ranking?

Prediction Ligue 1 ranking - 2022 2023

As well as being able to bet on single matches of Ligue 1, you should know that you can also predict the final standings of the French league. Each season, and this is still true in 2022-2023, bookmakers offer different markets, from the teams that will go down to Ligue 2 to the one that will win the title, including the teams that will qualify for the big Champion's League (see our Champions League prediction). You will have plenty of chances to have fun, and more importantly, winning your sports betting.

If you are interested in long-term betting, you should know that there are still several parameters to take into account before betting. First of all, you will have to analyse the strength of the different clubs involved in this French championship. The players in the starting line-up, as well as the substitutes and youth teams, will all be important, given the length of the competition. If one team has a stronger starting XI than another, but doesn't really have any quality on the bench, while the second team has substitutes capable of shining on the various Ligue 1 pitches, you might want to favour a better place for the latter.

Then, you will also have to take into account the wishes and objectives displayed by each team during the season. This means for each match. For example, if you read the statements of a president who announces that the Europa League is very important for his club, you may have to take the parameter into account and predict a slightly lower place in the final ranking of Ligue 1. Conversely, if a coach declares that the league is a priority over the European and national cups, it would be preferable to bet high for the latter.

Finally, in addition to the schedule of end-of-season fixtures, or the players who have historically tended to get injured, it will also be useful to look at the previous final standings of each team. Thus, even if an achievement is never to be overlooked (Lille in 2011 and 2021, Montpellier in 2012, Monaco in 2017), Ligue 1 teams have more or less a tendency to end their campaigns in the same areas of the ranking. Teams such as Rennes and Nice, for example, have often finished between 5th and 8th place in recent years, while Paris and Lyon have often played the leading roles and taken a place on the podium. There is no constant truth, so you can already use this as a basis for your prediction on the Ligue 1 2022-2023 standings.

Start to bet now on Ligue 1 with Bet365!

How to bet on the Ligue 1 top scorer

Prediction on the top scorer in Ligue 1

Another market has developed over the years on sports betting sites, that of the top scorer in Ligue 1. Each season, whether before the start of the championship or during the year, all punters have the opportunity to make one or more predictions on the top scorer in Ligue 1 Uber Eats. A deal that often pays off, since in recent years we have often found the same faces at the top of the scoring charts. Kylian Mbappé (Paris-Saint-Germain), for example, has won the top scorer title in the last four Ligue 1 seasons, as did Edinson Cavani a few years earlier. In 2022-2023, Kylian Mbappé sees little challenge to keep his title. Before the season began, the odds for such scenarios were actually reasonable, demonstrating the lead the capital club's strikers have over those of other sides in the minds of bookmakers.

If you are fond of this kind of betting on Ligue 1 strikers, there will be some keys to validate your bet. Beyond the quality of the players, you will have to take into account the overall quality of the teams in which they play, as well as their different tactics. For example, players like Mbappé, Lacazette or Ben Yedder will have a better chance to be at the top of the ranking with a strong and playful team like PSG, Lyon or Monaco, than a Gaëtan Charbonnier who stays in a promoted team like Auxerre. This goes without saying, but it is always good to remember for those who are new to Ligue 1 betting. The word of a specialist.

Top scorers of the last 5 seasons

  • Season 2021-2022 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2020-2021 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2019-2020 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2018-2019 - Kylian Mbappé
  • Season 2017-2018 - Edinson Cavani

Check out the Ligue 1 markets

The odds offered

Bookmakers are offering great odds on the future top scorer of the Ligue 1 2022/2023 edition. Kylian Mbappé, winner of the last four editions, is obviously the favourite. If you have already made your choice, whether it is for the young PSG striker or another player, don't hesitate to take advantage of it while the odds are still available:

  • Kylian Mbappé, odds of 1.57
  • Wissam Ben Yedder, odds of 8.00
  • Neymar, odds of 8.00
  • Lionel Messi, odds of 8.00
  • Alexandre Lacazette, odds 17.00
  • Moussa Dembélé, odds of 21.00
  • Breel Embolo, odds of 21.00
  • Martin Terrier, odds of 34.00
  • Takumi Minamino, odds of 34.00
  • Andy Delort, odds of 41.00
  • Hugo Ektitke, odds of 41.00
  • Arkadiusz Milik, odds of 41.00
  • Gaetan Laborde, odds of 41.00
  • Jonathan David, odds of 51.00
  • Mauro Icardi, odds of 51.00
  • Mohamed Bayo, odds of 67.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William Hill.co.uk.

Our free prediction for the 2022-2023 season title

Free Ligue 1 prediction

For this season 2022-2023 of Ligue 1 Uber Eats, PSG is obviously and logically the favourite to win the title. After being deprived of their crown by Lille two years ago, the capital club put things right last year, and won their 10th Ligue 1 title. Mbappé, Messi, Neymar and company will therefore aim for 11th this year under Christophe Galtier, who led Lille to the championship in 2020-2021. Very good teams like Lyon, OM or Monaco should compete at the beginning of the championship, before settling for the race for Europe. Watch out for Rennes, Nice and Lille, who should also be in the race for Europe. Are you tempted to make your bet? The bookmakers already have some very good odds available for this 2022/2023 season. Don't hesitate to take advantage of them!

The odds on offer

The bookmakers offer very good odds on the future winner of the Ligue 1 2022/2023 edition. PSG is obviously the favourite. If you have already made your choice, whether it's for the capital club or a surprise, don't hesitate to take advantage of it now:

  • PSG, odds of 1.10
  • Marseille, odds of 12.00
  • Lyon, odds of 15.00
  • Monaco, odds of 21.00
  • Rennes, odds of 26.00
  • Nice, odds of 41.00
  • Lille, rated 81.00
  • Strasbourg, rated 151.00
  • Lens, rating of 151.00
  • Nantes, rating of 251.00
  • Reims, rating of 1001.00
  • Montpellier, rated 1001.00
  • Brest, rating of 1001.00
  • Toulouse, a rating of 1001.00
  • Angers, rating of 1001.00
  • Ajaccio, a rating of 1001.00
  • Auxerre, rated 1001.00
  • Lorient, rated 2001.00
  • Clermont, rated 2001.00
  • Troyes, rating of 2001.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William Hill.co.uk.

See all the Ligue 1 odds at Bet365

Other long term bets

Want to bet on the long term with Ligue 1? Here are the different markets offered by the French sports betting sites.

Winner without PSG

As you can see the odds on who will win the title are very short for PSG. You can bet on Ligue 1 without PSG being included. The odds are shorter than for those to win the league with PSG involved. They will fluctuate throughout the season. 

  • Marseille, odds of 3.50
  • Lyon, odds of 3.75
  • Monaco, odds of 4.50
  • Rennes, odds of 6.50
  • Nice, odds of 7.50
  • Lille, odds of 26.00
  • Lens, odds of 34.00
  • Strasbourg, rated 34.00
  • Nantes, rated 67.00
  • Brest, rated 251.00
  • Montpellier, rated 251.00
  • Toulouse, rating of 251.00
  • Reims, rating of 251.00
  • Angers, rating of 251.00
  • Lorient, rating of 251.00
  • Troyes, rating of 251.00
  • Auxerre, rating of 251.00
  • Clermont, rated 501.00
  • Ajaccio, rated 501.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William Hill.co.uk.

If you have an idea which club will finish in a Ligue 1 without PSG, don't hesitate to bet with the bookmaker concerned.

Odds on a Champions League place

This 2022-2023 Uber Eats Ligue 1 campaign will also see an intense battle for European Cup qualification. Remember that the top three places now offer a ticket to the Champions League (the qualifying rounds for the third). This is enough to motivate players to give their all. Can teams like Lens, Nice, Rennes, Lille or Nantes create a surprise and qualify for the Champions League? Or are we heading for Marseille, Monaco or Lyon? It's up to you to make your bets. The bookmakers have already offered their odds for a top three finish:

  • PSG, odds of 1.005
  • Marseille, odds of 2.00
  • Lyon, odds of 2.10
  • Monaco, odds of 2.25
  • Rennes, odds of 3.25
  • Nice, odds of 3.75
  • Lille, odds of 12,00
  • Lens, odds of 13.00
  • Strasbourg, odds of 15.00
  • Nantes, rated 26.00
  • Montpellier, rating of 41.00
  • Reims, rated 51.00
  • Angers, rated 51.00
  • Brest, rating of 51.00
  • Toulouse, rated 51.00
  • Clermont, rated 81.00
  • Lorient, rated 81.00
  • Troyes, rated 101.00
  • Auxerre, rated 101.00
  • Ajaccio, rated 201.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William Hill.co.uk.

So you have access to some very good odds from the bookmakers regarding this fight for the first three places. Who will win this competition for the most consistent team? Will the top teams hold their ground until the end? Make your predictions!

Check out the odds on Ligue 1 now

Relegation odds

Finally, in this 2022-2023 Ligue 1 football season, a big battle will be played out at the bottom of the standings: the fight for survival. Let's not forget that, this year, four clubs will be directly relegated to the second division. From Ajaccio to Lorient, via Clermont, Auxerre, Troyes and Toulouse, many teams will have to hang on, according to the sports betting sites. Every day, in every stadium, the lesser-known teams in the league will have to pull out all the stops to avoid the nightmare of being relegated. Here are the best odds offered by the bookmakers, concerning the sides that will be relegated to Ligue 2:

  • Ajaccio, odds of 1.50
  • Lorient, odds of 1.60
  • Auxerre, odds of 2,00
  • Troyes, odds of 2.2
  • Clermont, odds of 2.37
  • Reims, rating of 3.25
  • Toulouse, rated 3.50
  • Angers, rating of 3.75
  • Brest, rating of 3.75
  • Montpellier, rating of 4.00
  • Nantes, rated 5.50
  • Strasbourg, rated 11.00
  • Lille, rated 13.00
  • Lens, rated 21.00
  • Nice, rated 81.00
  • Rennes, rated 101.00
  • Monaco, rated 101.00
  • Lyon, rated 151.00
  • Marseille, rated 151.00
  • PSG, odds of 1001.00

Odds taken from Bet365 and William Hill.co.uk.

Whatever your vision of this fight not to go down, nice odds are proposed by the online betting sites. Our expert teams will closely follow the whole season and offer our advice on every game. Don’t hesitate to consult SportyTrader before you place your bets!

Bet on Ligue 1 at Bet365

Our current Ligue 1 predictions

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Ligue 1: Best Odds

28 Dec 2022 - 09:00 Troyes - Nantes
1 2.42
X 3.66
2 3.04
28 Dec 2022 - 11:00 Ajaccio - Angers
1 2.15
X 3.42
2 3.86
28 Dec 2022 - 11:00 Auxerre - Monaco
1 4.5
X 3.96
2 1.87
28 Dec 2022 - 11:00 Brest - Lyon
1 3.86
X 3.86
2 2.02
28 Dec 2022 - 11:00 Clermont - Lille Osc
1 4.4
X 4.1
2 1.86
28 Dec 2022 - 11:00 Lorient - Montpellier Hsc
1 2.03
X 3.84
2 3.82
28 Dec 2022 - 11:00 Marseille - Toulouse
1 1.53
X 4.75
2 6.75
28 Dec 2022 - 11:00 Nice - Lens
1 3.33
X 3.3
2 2.62
28 Dec 2022 - 15:00 PSG - Strasbourg Alsace
1 1.16
X 9.8
2 20
29 Dec 2022 - 13:00 Reims - Rennes
1 3.62
X 3.74
2 2.27
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Angers - Lorient
1 2.45
X 3.56
2 3.06
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Lens - PSG
1 4.88
X 4.38
2 1.72
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Lille Osc - Reims
1 1.63
X 4.28
2 5.9
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Lyon - Clermont
1 1.43
X 5.5
2 7.4
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Monaco - Brest
1 1.48
X 5.1
2 6.9
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Montpellier Hsc - Marseille
1 4.18
X 4.08
2 1.88
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Nantes - Auxerre
1 1.91
X 3.86
2 4.28
01 Jan 2023 - 11:00 Toulouse - Ajaccio
1 2.09
X 3.66
2 3.76
02 Jan 2023 - 09:00 Strasbourg Alsace - Troyes
1 1.83
X 3.96
2 4.58
02 Jan 2023 - 15:00 Rennes - Nice
1 1.76
X 4.08
2 4.98

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