French Ligue 1 2024-25 Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Ligue 1 prediction for who we believe will be the top teams in the 2024-25 season. We'll supply you with plenty of information for your sports betting with our expert betting predictions!

Ligue 1 presentation and predictions - Football

Ligue 1 has become a very popular league for bettors across Europe and the world to bet on. Every week, punters are laying down their bets on the 18 top clubs in France as they battle for the title, European places or survival in Ligue 1.

From the first matchday in August to the last in May 2025, our experts' Ligue 1 predictions will help you give you the edge at the online sports betting sites. Discover our general predictions below, as well as statistics and tips on how to make the most of your bets on the French top flight of professional football. The predictions for each Ligue 1 matchday are always a thrill.

Ligue 1 winner prediction: who will win the 2024-25 league title?

In its second season with 18 teams, and for the first time without Kylian Mbappé in PSG colors, Ligue 1 looks set to be hotly contested from top to bottom until the end of the 2024-2025 season!

From the Vélodrome to Pierre Mauroy, Groupama Stadium and Parc des Princes, France's top clubs will be battling it out for the title of champion, places in the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League, and simply to stay in the top flight.

As far as the title is concerned, PSG are once again the bookmakers' favourites before the season kicks off, of course. Even with the departure of the club's all-time top scorer, the Parisians won’t want to miss out on the chance for a fourth consecutive league title as they look to keep the “Hexagoal” trophy all for themselves.

Monaco, Lyon and Marseille could all have something to say, but will find it hard to compete over the course of the entire 34 matchday season.

Our Ligue 1 prediction: PSG champions of France 2024-2025!

Ligue 1 prediction - current odds on the favorites to win the French title

The odds for the 2024-25 Ligue 1 winners are not currently available on the betting sites. To see what other betting markets are open, head over to Bet365.

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Ligue 1 prediction for the Top 4: who will qualify for the Champions League?

New since last season in view of the new Champions League format for this 2024-2025 edition, in addition to the future French champion, the teams finishing second, third and fourth in Ligue 1 will punch their tickets to the 2025-26 Champions League (potential play-offs for fourth). This is a slight change from previous years, when the third-placed team only qualified for the play-offs, and the fourth-placed team did not. For these four Champions League places, our prediction is as follows: PSG, Monaco, Marseille and Lyon in the top 4!

Behind Paris-Saint-Germain, who are expected to be the French champions, Monaco look more than capable of replicating their performance from last year and secure a podium finish. Lyon, following in the footsteps of last year's end-of-season success, could finally return to the top of the table. And Marseille, with their new coach Roberto De Zerbi, will also have a great opportunity to shine and return to Europe's top club competition. This is especially true as the club will have no European commitments this season and will be able to concentrate fully on the league. Lille, Nice, Rennes and Lens are other teams to keep an eye on.

Ligue 1 prediction - current odds for a place in the Top 4

The top four odds for Ligue 1 aren't currently available. Be sure to check back regularly as we'll have the latest odds updated as soon as they are posted. In the meantime, check out 1xBet to find all current Ligue 1 bets.

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Ligue 1 prediction for the Top 5: who will qualify for the Europa League?

In addition to the Coupe de France winner, the future fifth-placed Ligue 1 club will qualify for the UEFA Europa League for the 2025-2026 season. In the race for the Europa League, we find the same clubs as above (Monaco, Marseille, Lyon), along with Lille, Nice, Lens and Rennes. And LOSC, who have secured their future by hiring a very good manager (Bruno Genesio) who knows the French championship well and has always had good results, could well occupy 5th place.

Taking our prediction for the top 4 in Ligue 1, we add LOSC just behind them. Our prediction: PSG, Monaco, Marseille, Lyon and Lille in the top 5!

Ligue 1 prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 5

Odds are not currently available from bookmakers for this Top 5 bet. In the meantime, visit Bet365 to find all current Ligue 1 bets.

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Ligue 1 prediction for the Top 6: who will qualify for the Conference League?

The club finishing 6th in Ligue 1 this season - or 7th, depending on who wins the French Cup - will earn the right to take part in the next UEFA Europa Conference League. Considered Europe's third most prestigious cup competition, the ECL has already seen the participation of OGC Nice, Stade Rennais, Olympique de Marseille and LOSC Lille, the latter reaching the quarter-finals last year. This year, it's RC Lens who'll be taking part! In other words, most of France's top clubs are aiming to reach any tier of European cup competition.

If we take a look at our top 5, we can see Lens slipping in behind the rest of the pack and snatching the last qualifying place for a European Cup via the league. Indeed, Lens have enjoyed some fine seasons since their ascent, but the quality of the league at the moment seems too high for them to aim higher than this Europe’s third-tier cup competition. Our prediction: PSG, Monaco, Marseille, Lyon, Lille and Lens in the top 6!

Ligue 1 prediction - odds on a Top 6 finish

The bookmakers don't currently have odds posted for a top six finish bet. In the meantime, visit Unibet to find all current Ligue 1 bets.

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Relegation prediction: which L1 clubs will be relegated?

At the bottom of the standings, the fight for survival is also shaping up to be hotly contested in Ligue 1 this season. As a reminder, the clubs ranked 17th and 18th at the end of the French championship will be relegated to Ligue 2 for the 2025-2026 season, and the club ranked 16th will enter into a play-off against a club from Ligue 2 to stay up. In this quest to avoid the last three places, several clubs are involved, and we can imagine the following outcome: Le Havre, Nantes and Angers among the bottom three!

While the first two flirted with the drop zone throughout the season last year, Angers seems to be the promoted team least equipped to save itself. At least on paper…

Ligue 1 prediction - odds to be relegated

The relegation odds for Ligue 1 have yet to be released by the bookmakers. In the meantime, head over to Bet365 to see what other betting markets are in store!

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Ligue 1 top scorer prediction: which player will score the most goals?

As well as the collective team efforts, there's a particularly hotly contested individual title in Ligue 1: that of the top scorer. But which striker can become the French championship's top scorer in 2024-2025? Here's the list of players to watch this season:

• Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Marseille)
• Akor Adams (Montpellier)
• Alexandre Lacazette (Lyon)
• Elye Wahi (RC Lens)
• Breel Embolo (Monaco)
• Randal Kolo Muani (PSG)
• Terem Moffi (Nice)
• Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)
• Folarin Balogun (Monaco)

Top scorer in the last 6 Ligue 1 seasons, Kylian Mbappé has left for Real Madrid in La Liga and will therefore not claim a seventh title in a row. The race is therefore back on, and the suspense should be high until the final matchday!

Ligue 1 prediction - odds for the top scorer

The top scorer odds are currently being updated by the betting sites and are unavailable at the moment. In the meantime, visit Bet365 to find all current Ligue 1 bets.

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Information for inexperienced gamblers - how do you bet on Ligue 1?

Ligue 1 is France's premier league football championship. This elite competition pits France's top 18 teams against each other, with each side playing the others home and away. Between August and December, all the clubs play each other once, and the operation is repeated between January and May. So each team plays a total of 34 games..

At the end of the championship, several places have an impact on the future of the clubs: 

• The club ranked first is French champion and qualifies for the Champions League.
• The clubs ranked 2nd and 3rd qualify for the Champions League group stages
• The club placed 4th qualifies for the Champions League third qualifying round
• The club in 5th position qualifies for the Europa League
• The club finishing sixth goes into the Europa Conference League
• If the side winning the French Cup finishes in the top five, then sixth goes into the Europa League and seventh into the Conference League.
• The 16th-placed club goes into a relegation play-off.
• Clubs in 17th and 18th place are relegated to Ligue 2.

There are therefore several bets to place in the French football championship, which explains why the Ligue 1 prediction is the most popular among French punters at the best online bookmakers every week.

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How to make good predictions on Ligue 1 matches?

Making a winning prediction on Ligue 1 requires knowledge of the league, but also good betting practice. SportyTrader has been a Ligue 1 specialist for a number of years and has some key tips on how to make the right predictions: 

• Look at the current form of the Ligue 1 teams
• Take into account the form of the Ligue 1's star players
• Know the team news for Ligue 1
• Take stock of the importance of the match in Ligue 1
• Analyse the latest French league stats

These 5 tips for predicting Ligue 1 matches are the most important according to our experts, although that's not all there is to it. We've broken them down in more detail for you below.

Look at the current form of the Ligue 1 teams

The first thing you need to do to make a reliable Ligue 1 prediction is to check the latest results of the two clubs for your football prediction. A club like PSG are playing Lens, but haven't won in 3 weeks, while Lens are unbeaten in 15 games? Despite PSG's status as favourites, a reliable prediction could be to play the double chance of a draw or Lens. An in-form club will always be preferable for your Ligue 1 bets.

On this point, we would like to stress the importance of looking not only at the latest scores, but also at the performances achieved. Possession, Expected Goals (xG), number of shots conceded, shots on target, fouls committed or received, etc. will always be important. Don't forget that even a dominant team can suffer defeat if it luck is against them.

Take into account the form of Ligue 1's star players

Just as you need to take into account the collective form of the clubs for your Ligue 1 predictions, you also need to focus on the individual form of each team's star players. Imagine, for example, that a club's top scorer hasn't scored in 10 games, or that the usually brilliant goalkeeper has made two notable blunders: their poor form will then have to be taken into account when predicting the scenario for the match in question.

Never forget that a Ligue 1 team can often be dependent on one or two players in terms of performance, and that when these men are not performing well, results are not always forthcoming. Case in point: Rennes were without Martin Terrier and Benjamin Bourigeaud last term.

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Know the team news for Ligue 1

Following on from the previous tip, we urge you to take a look at the list of players who will be unavailable for their clubs each matchday. Whether we're talking about injury, suspension or even being sidelined by a coach, important players may be missing and their absences could have a major impact on their teams' results.

Is the club captain suspended? Can't line up in the usual central huddle because a defender is injured? Has the top scorer been sidelined for misconduct in training? Be wary and don't bet too much money at the bookmakers with your Ligue 1 prediction. Unfortunately, you could be in for a nasty surprise.

Take stock of the importance of the Ligue 1 Uber Eats match

Another good Ligue 1 prediction tip is to look at the psychological and mental environment of the match you want to bet on. A number of factors need to be taken into account here: rivalry between clubs, statements in the media before kick-off, tense final encounter, major stakes in the match... anything that can have a mental impact on the teams should not be overlooked.

If you are a fan of Over 2.5 predictions in Ligue 1, for example (more than 2.5 goals in total), be wary of duels where the pressure is high (relegation at the end of the season, derby), which are less likely to be prolific in terms of goals. If a team is still on a 6-game losing streak against their opponents, you should also avoid banking on their success, as they will no doubt have an inferiority complex. There are many possible scenarios, and it's up to you to analyse them carefully (our expert tipsters take them into account in their predictions for this weekend's Ligue 1 matches).

Analyse the latest French Championship stats

Finally, as a fifth piece of advice, systematically analyse the statistics of each club in Ligue 1. Knowing the different stats will help you make better predictions for the matches, and bet like an expert on alternative bets (number of goals, exact score, result, half-time with the most goals, etc.). 

Has a team scored more than 2.5 goals in 80% of its Ligue 1 matches since the start of the season? You can give it a try in this weekend's match. This is just one of the many examples you can find by reading the statistics. Don't hesitate to take advantage of a bookmaker's bonus to try your luck.

To finish with these main tips, you should know that our team of writers systematically takes them into account for each Ligue 1 prediction this season, as well as around ten other algorithmic parameters.

By simply consulting our Ligue 1 result predictions, you can be sure of getting the most reliable overall view possible of the various matchdays. Get into the habit of reading our predictions before each Ligue 1 weekend.

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What not to do for your Ligue 1 predictions

If you want to be successful in your Ligue 1 predictions, there are a few things you should avoid doing. Here's what we strongly advise against when making a Ligue 1 prediction: 

• Not analysing the Ligue 1 match
• Only take a club's prestige into account
• Bet on the lowest odds for no reason
• Betting on a Ligue 1 match with nothing at stake at the end of the season
• Chasing losses (betting a higher stake in an attempt to "make back" a loss)
• Betting on bookmakers' boosted odds without any analysis
• Blindly betting on your favourite team on a regular basis

Every week, many beginners and experienced punters alike get caught out and lose money too easily by adopting one of these behaviours. So make sure you don't get it wrong this season when betting on Ligue 1.

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Ligue 1 statistics you need to know for your predictions

Getting the most out of your Ligue 1 bets also means knowing the key statistics for the French league. Here are the figures to remember for your Ligue 1 predictions, taken from the previous 2023-24 season:

• Home win percentage: 39%
• Draw percentage: 26%
• Away win percentage: 34%
• Average goals: 2.70 per game
• Over 1.5 goals : 75%
• Over 2.5 goals : 53%
• Over 3.5 goals : 28%
• "Both teams score: yes": 54%.
• Average home goals scored: 1.45 per game
• Average away goals scored: 1.25 per game
• Goals scored in first half: 45%
• Goals scored in second half: 55%
• Exact score 0-0: 8.8% of matches
• Most frequent score: 1-1 (10.5% of games)
• Most frequent halftime score: 0-0 (32.7% of games)

For your Ligue 1 sports bets, notice that the home win percentage is noticably lower than other top European leagues. Should the odds and the analysis line up, backing the away team on the double chance could provide some very attractive betting opportunities. The previous Ligue 1 season also saw a dropoff in the average match goals (from 2.81 to 2.70) so be wary when placing "over" bets and double check your data to ensure it is a profitable play over the long run.

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In short: how to make the right predictions for Ligue 1 matches?

To make reliable and winning predictions on Ligue 1 football, you need to do a number of things: analyse the matches, take into account the best practices mentioned on this page, know how the league works and the most important statistics.

If you don't have the time to study each Ligue 1 match in depth, you can simply consult the predictions of our L1 specialists, available every week at the top of this page. Free, open access and 100% manual and verified (no 100% automatic and robotic analysis!), they will help you make the right bet this season on the French Championship.

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Our current Ligue 1 predictions

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Ligue 1: Best Odds

Are you particularly interested in French clubs? Take a look at our Ligue 2 prediction to guess who will be promoted to Ligue 1, and our Champions League prediction to follow the progress of the French teams. 

If you want to stay focused on the French Championship, our Ligue 1 odds comparator is also available free of charge, as is our  Ligue 1 Livescore . Everything you need to enjoy your favorite competition.