Liga Portugal Betting Tips
Find our free predictions for betting on the Portuguese Primeira Liga 2021/22 as well as totally free tips throughout the season as Sporting Lisbon bid to retain the title they won last year.
Portuguese Primeira Liga
The Primeira Liga (known for sponsorship reasons as the Liga NOS) is the top division in Portuguese football. It is comprised of 18 clubs who face eacn other home and away over the season with 34 games played in total. The champions qualify for the group stages of the Champions League as do the runners-up. Third place sees the team go into the qualifying rounds of the Champions League. Fourth and fifth secures a place in the qualifying rounds of the Europa Conference League.
Sporting Lisbon were crowned champions in the 2020/21 season, their first title victory since 2001/02. They won the title by five points from Porto and nearly went through the league season unbeaten. Only their penultimate match away at third placed Benfica saw them beaten. Can they retain the title this season? Not since the 2016/17 season has that been achieved when Benfica retained the title.
here’s a lot to play for, which makes Liga NOS particularly interesting for lovers of sports betting. The new season kicks off on 6 August when champions Sporting host newly promoted Vizela, so look out for our free betting tips.
Liga NOS Statistical Analysis
42% of games played last season were won by the home team with 33% being away wins, the remaining 25% were drawn. 44% of matches had over 2.5 goals scored in them and 21% had over 3.5. The average number of goals scored was low at 2.42. 45% of matches saw both teams score, down 4% from the previous season. The average number of home goals scored was 1.27 with 1.15 for the away side.
23% of goals were scored after the 76th minute and only 12.6% in the first 15 minutes. 48.6% of goals were scored in the first half, higher than in other top leagues around Europe. Looking at this from the other view, only 51.4% of goals came after the break, that’s compared to 57.3% in Serie A.
The most popular full time score was shared between 1-0 and 2-0, both on 11%. For half time, the most regular score was 0-0 with 29%. In terms of how many first half goals were scored, 89% were under 2.5.
Only Porto and Benfica averaged over two goals per game. Champions Sporting only scored 65 goals but conceded just 20. They also kept 20 clean sheets in the Primeria League last season, four more than Porto. Only once did Sporting fail to score in a league game last season, that was in their away game at Porto. In terms of scoring in both halves, Porto were top achieving that feat 17 times.
How to predict Liga Nos matches
Now that we’ve taken a look at the key statistics, let's look at some of the other factors to include in your Primeira Liga predictions. First of all, it will be crucial to analyse the form of the best player on each team concerned in the match of your choice. To show a more concrete example, if you want to bet on a match between Porto and Benfica, but Benfica have key players missing the game, then a bet on Porto is a good idea.
It will then be necessary to analyse the stake that the match holds for each team involved. For example, a bet on the ‘Over 2.5’ goals market is much less likely to be a winner in a match between two sites fighting against relegation than in a top of the table clash. Before betting on the Primeira Liga, it will be important to consider the league table - it will help you to determine a team’s motivation for an upcoming match by considering how a win will benefit them.
The final point that you should remember before making your Liga NOS predictions is to always compare the bookmakers odds before placing your bets. As we are sure you are aware, the many bookmakers on the online betting market can offer different odds for the same bet on a Liga NOS match. Whether you want to back Porto, Benfica, Sporting Portugal, Braga or Rio Ave, you will find variations in the odds values offered on each bet which can boost your earnings in the long term. To demonstrate, using the example of a Portimonense-Maritimo match, Bet365 could offer odds of 12/5 on a draw, as opposed to 3/1 offered by William Hill. This may seem like only a small difference, but could add up to hundreds of pounds over the course of a season - believe our specialists in this!
Predicting the Portuguese Liga Nos table
In addition to betting on each game of the Primeira Liga, you can also predict the final table for the 2021/22 season. Beyond offering an exciting long-term gaming experience, a outright bet on Liga NOS can allow you to accumulate significant winnings at the end of the season. Some of types of bets you can place include predicting the overall league winner, which teams will finish in the top four, or even which teams will be relegated at the end of the season.
To ensure reliable predictions on this Liga NOS market, there are certain important aspects that you will need to take into account, including the real motivation of each club, the fixture calendar and the depth of each Primeira Liga squad. It will be important to know which sides have a good quality subs bench, as it could be crucial to their long-term performance!
2021/22 Portuguese Primeira Liga: our free betting tips
Sporting defied the odds last season when winning the title and almost without losing a game. Porto who won the title in 2019/20 will be aiming to get their title back. Benfica will also be hoping to do better than finish third, especially after being the only team to record a league victory over Sporting. Braga finished fourth but were 12 points behind third and 21 adrift of the champions. The top four finished 11 points clear of Pacos Ferreira in fifth. Again, it looks like being a three team race for the title with Braga hoping to get in the mix.