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Primeira Liga Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Betclic Liga Portugal prediction on who will be the champions and the winners of the top games in the Portuguese Football Championship (2023-2024). Plenty of information for your sports betting!

Betclic Liga Portugal presentation - Football

Betclic Liga Portugal prediction - Football

The Portuguese Primeira Liga, formerly known as Liga NOS and now officially named Liga Portugal Betclic, is the top league in Portuguese football and contested by the 18 best clubs in the country. From August 2023 to May 2024. It’ll be a season of the clubs attempting to finish as high up the table as possible, perhaps qualify for Europe and definitely avoid relegation. Last season, it was Benfica who made an impressive start and held on to win the title from runners-up FC Porto.

On this page, you'll find all the information you need to follow the competition throughout times, and also to make the best sports bets by fine-tuning your online bets with our free Portuguese Primeira Liga predictions. Each matchday (there are 34 in total) will be an opportunity to enjoy the matches and make the right bets! Not yet on a par with the best leagues like the Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A or the Premier League, the Portuguese league is nonetheless a fascinating one to place bets on. 

Who will win? Who will take the European places? Check out our Liga Portugal Betclic predictions below.

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Betclic Liga Portugal prediction on the future winner: who will be the Portuguese champion?

Betclic Liga Portugal Winner Prediction

As is most often the case, the traditional "big three" of Portuguese football are the main contenders for the league title. These teams consist of Benfica, FC Porto and Sporting. Only twice in the 89 year history of the Primeira Liga has a team outside of the aforementioned big three won the championship, with the most recent coming occurring over 20 years ago (Boavista in the 2000/01 season). Braga is usually considered the best of the rest, as they often finish behind the big three. Last season, Roger Schmidt's Eagles beat Sérgio Conceição's FC Porto by just 2 points, with Braga in third ahead of Sporting. To show the dominance of the top four, Sporting finished 20 points clear of fifth-placed Arouca.

For the 2023-2024 season, the reigning champions, who have added a number of big names to their squad, including the return of Angel Di María, are the favourites to win the title. But, of course, FC Porto, whom Sérgio Conceição always manages to place at a high level, as well as Sporting, who have an extremely talented manager in Ruben Amorim, will make things difficult on Schmidt's men.

Sporting have been sensational this season and have one hand on the Primeira Liga trophy. A recent stoppage time winner against Benfica put the Lions in a commanding position as we head into the final few matchdays of the campaign. It would mark Sporting's second league title under Amorim and their first since the 2020/21 season. We can't see Sporting surrendering their lead with only three matches remaining. Our bet to win the Primeira Liga: Sporting Lisbon to be Portuguese champions in 2023-2024!

Portuguese championship predictions - odds to win the Primeira Liga

Odds for the winner of the Primeira Liga are currently unavailable. In the meantime, head over to Vbet to see all the betting markets on offer!

Check out the great odds on VBET

Betclic Liga Portugal prediction on Europe: who will finish in the top 4?

Betclic Liga Portugal prediction - Top 3

With the new allocation of European places for next season, the battle for the top two league positions will be even fiercer. Portuguese clubs are heavily dependent on Champions League revenues and, in 2024/25, only two of them will qualify, one into the group stage, the other the qualifying round. 

Given that third place goes to the Europa League and fourth to the Europa Conference League, Porto would appear to be a stronger candidate than Braga to finish in third place. Our prediction for the top four in the Betclic Liga Portugal: Sporting, Benfica, FC Porto and Braga in the top 4!

Liga Portugal prediction - odds for the top 4

Odds are not currently available from bookmakers for this bet on the top 4 of the Portuguese championship. In the meantime, visit Bet365 to find all open Betclic Liga Portugal bets.

Find the best odds on La Liga at William Hill!

Liga Portugal top scorer prediction: who will score the most goals?

Sporting's Viktor Gyokeres

Last season, Iranian international Mehdi Taremi was the league's top scorer with 21 goals, two ahead of Benfica youngster Gonçalo Ramos. João Mário, also of the Eagles, and Spain's Fran Navarro, of FC Porto, were third on the podium with 17 goals.

Summer signing Viktor Gyökeres has settled in to his new surroundings quite well as Sporting's big summer signing has been lethal in front of goal in his first Betclic Liga Portugal season. The Swede has netted 24 times in 29 league appearances and holds a three-goal lead over Braga's Simon Banza in second-place. Arouca's Rafa Mujica sits third with 20 goals while Jhonder Cadiz and Samuel Essende are tied for third with 15 goals a piece.

Gyökeres looks set to capture the golden boot and has been instrumental in firing Sporting to first-place in the standings. Additionally, the former Coventry man was able to put an end to a five-match scoreless slump with a recent brace against Guimaraes. 

Liga Portugal prediction - odds for the top scorer title

Odds are not currently available from bookmakers for this bet on the top scorer in the Portuguese league. In the meantime, visit 1xBet to find all available Betclic Liga Portugal bets.

See all the outright Primeira Liga betting markets!

Beginner Guide: How does Portuguese football's premier league work?

The Betclic Liga will be played between 18 teams, from August 2023 to May 2024. A total of 306 matches will take place, determining the title, European places and relegation to the second division.

At the end of the competition in 2023-2024, the future of many clubs hangs in the balance:

  • The team ranked 1st is crowned champion and advances directly to the group stage of the Champions League.
  • The 2nd-placed team qualifies for the Champions League qualifying rounds
  • The 3rd-placed team qualifies for the Europa League
  • The 4th-placed team qualifies for the Conference League
  • The team ranked 16th plays in the relegation play-off with the team ranked 3rd in the second division.
  • The last two teams (17th and 18th) are relegated.

Don't hesitate to follow our weekly predictions to make the best bets on the Portuguese league. Indeed, there is a lot of interest in this championship, which made the Betclic Liga one of the most interesting for football lovers last season. Don't hesitate to take advantage of the various bonuses and best odds offered by the bookmakers available on the market by betting on this championship!

See all betting odds on Liga NOS at Bet365!

Free betting tips: how to bet correctly on Primeira Liga matches (Liga Portugal Betclic)?

Liga Portugal betting tips Betclic

To make the best Portugal football league predictions, you obviously need to know about it and all its characteristics, but you also need to have the right attitude before placing your bets. Find out Sportytrader's tips for good predictions:

  • Check the form of each Portuguese team
  • Assess the dynamic of the main players in Liga Portugal
  • Know the list of absentees (injured or suspended)
  • Understand the context of the match in Portugal
  • Analyse the Betclic Liga Portugal statistics

These five key points will bring you closer to success and maximise the success of your next bets. From a more general point of view, they can also be used for any football prediction. More information and details below.

View the form of each Portuguese team

Betclic Liga Portugal betting tips

First of all, it is essential to analyse the form of the teams. Of course, no-one has the same faith in a team coming off 4 consecutive defeats. Specifically, if Sporting travel to Rio Ave after this bad run, while the home side are going through an excellent phase, the best option may be to bet more favourably on the northerners. This may be the right play even if the Lions are theoretically the stronger team - it may be that the best bet in this situation would be the double chance for the hosts.

On the other hand, analyse all the relevant factors that have an impact on the game, particularly the statistics that allow you to draw a conclusion. Understand that if in recent games, a club has not won solely because of inefficiency or a poor attacking performance (for this, there is data such as possession, number of chances and expected goals), the club could quickly recover from this bad streak.

Assessing the dynamics of key players in Liga Portugal

When it comes to individual players, the form of the best of them will always carry a lot of weight. For example, if Al Musrati is in poor form ahead of a Sporting Clube de Braga match against Famalicão while, on the other hand, João Pedro Sousa's team has its best players on a hot streak, it is probably best to avoid betting on that match.

The weight of star players in today's football is increasingly important and the Portuguese league is no exception. Always bear this in mind when making your bets on the Primeira Liga, the Portuguese football league. For each bet, don't forget to check at least the line-up of the two teams concerned before the start of each match to see if the important players are lined up and fit.

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Know the list of absentees (injured or sanctioned)

Betclic Liga Portugal Prediction Tips

On the other hand, if we want to bet on the FC Porto-Benfica derby and important players such as Evanilson and Ivan Marcano are absent for whatever reason, the N/2 market odds may be more appropriate. The same reasoning applies to the other main players in Betclic Liga Portugal, especially in matches with teams of a similar level.

Big teams can be affected by the absence of some of their key players. For this reason, it will always be essential to keep an eye on the latest information in order to find out about last-minute injuries or the identity of players who have been penalised (bad pass or sending off in the last game for example), which will allow you to know the list of absentees for each match.

Understanding the context of the match in Portugal

The next step is to analyse the real interest of the match you want to bet on. For example, a market like that of over 2.5 goals is less likely to occur in a duel between two teams fighting to stay in the top flight, wanting to take fewer risks, than in a match between teams with nothing left to play for.

It may seem obvious, but it's worth remembering. Before betting on Betclic Liga Portugal, always remember to look at the standings to try and understand the real ambitions of the teams and what a win may or may not bring them.

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Analyse Betclic Liga Portugal stats

Betclic Liga Portugal Prediction tips - Football

Finally, it is essential to analyse the main statistics of the league itself and especially what usually happens in matches between teams with similar stature. For example, are derbies generally close and do they come down to the wire? There are many aspects to consider.

It is therefore advisable to analyse and take into account the general statistics of the Portuguese competition before placing your bets on Betclic Liga Portugal matches. This will give you an overview and an initial idea of the type of league you'll be betting on.

Remember that, before each prediction on a Betclic Liga Portugal match, SportyTrader's editors take all these aspects into account in order to detail the atmosphere surrounding each match. The aim remains to provide you with the most comprehensive predictions possible, free of charge, a few days before the matches kick off. 

Find the best odds on La Liga at William Hill!

Portugal football prediction: what to avoid when betting on Liga Portugal Betclic

Next, to prevent poor decisions and increase your chances of winning money with your predictions, you should avoid the following actions, which we consider to be problematic for making good sports bets:

  • Not analysing the Liga Portugal match correctly
  • Only taking into account the prestige of a Portuguese club
  • Not setting betting limits
  • Betting when tired or upset
  • Only taking big odds on the Portuguese league
  • Bet immediately to recover from a losing bet
  • Betting on boosted odds without analysing them properly
  • Betting too often on your favourite team in Portugal

Every week, beginners and experienced punters alike make some of these mistakes and place losing bets. So trust us and avoid these behaviours!

Check out the great odds on VBET

Stats you need to know to bet on Liga Portugal Betclic

Statistics Liga Portugal Betclic

Having as much information as possible about each club and each match is essential for sports betting. Statistics play an important role in the betting process. Here are the most relevant figures from current 2023/24 edition of the Portuguese league:

  • Home win percentage: 45%
  • Draw percentage: 23%
  • Away win percentage: 32%
  • Average goals: 2.91 goals per game
  • Matches with over 1.5 goals: 77%
  • Matches with over 2.5 goals : 53%
  • Matches with over 3.5 goals : 34%
  • Both teams scoring: 55%
  • Average home goals per match: 1.64
  • Average away goals per match: 1.27
  • First half goals: 42%
  • Second half goals: 58%
  • Exact score 0-0: 4.9% of matches
  • Most frequent score: 1-1 (13.7%)
  • Second most frequent score: 1-0 (home win) 11.3%

There are a few interesting things to note regarding the above figures. The first is the increase in overall goals this season when compard to last year. The 2022/23 campaign saw 2.49 goals scored on average which has risen considerably to 2.91. Both teams are also finding the net at a markedly higher rate, from 43% last season to 55% this year.

There is also a much higher disparity between first half goals and second half goals in the 2023/24 Betclic Liga Portugal compared to Europe's other top leagues. This can present some profitable situations to live bet matches that go into the break at 0-0, betting on over 1.5 or both teams to score for the second half which should come at very attractive prices.

See all the outright Primeira Liga betting markets!

In short: how do you bet on a Liga Portugal Betclic match?

Liga Portugal betting tips Betclic- Guide

By following the Portuguese football betting tips detailed on this page, as well as avoiding negative betting habits, you'll be closer to an accurate prediction for your Betclic Liga Portugal bets. Remember, you can always check out our best free football predictions for every match in the competition, prepared by a team of football and Portuguese league experts.

Our Liga Portugal Betclic predictions page is 100% free and has everything you need to make your predictions! Don't hesitate to consult it before each bet on the Portuguese top flight.

Bet on the Portuguese Primeira Liga now!

Our Current Liga Portugal Bwin Prediction

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Liga Portugal Betclic best odds

Odds are not yet available for this competition.

If you're a fan of Portuguese clubs, you can use our Champions League predictions to follow the progress of the Portuguese teams.

What's more, if you want to follow the Portuguese league from A to Z, our Liga Portugal odds comparator is available, as well as our Liga Portugal live livescore to find out the latest results for each team as well as the live scores. A complete and 100% free offer, which will allow you to be as informed as possible about the Portuguese football championship.

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Primeira Liga : Frequently Asked Questions

The Liga Portugal Betclic is broadcast on TNT Sports (previously known as BT Sports) in the UK. A subscription is required to watch this channel. Remember that our totally free Livescore is available to follow the matches live.

This year, three clubs have gone up following the 2022-2023 season: Moreirense, who finished champions, Farense, runners-up, and Estrela Amadora, who finished third and then won the play-off against Maritimo.

Once again this year, the top two finishers in the second division go straight into Liga Portugal. The third-placed team will have to go through a play-off against the 16th-placed team in the top flight.

The champions automatically go into the group stages of the Champions League. The second-placed team will have to go through the qualifying rounds. The third will go directly to the Europa League group stage, while the fourth will have to go through the qualifying rounds to reach the Europa Conference League groups. Such is UEFA's new European distribution.

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