Primeira Liga Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Liga Portugal Betclic prediction on who will be the champions and the winners of the top games in the Portuguese Football Championship (2024-2025). Plenty of information for your sports betting!

Betclic Liga Portugal presentation - Football

The Portuguese Primeira Liga, formerly known as Liga NOS and now officially named Liga Portugal Betclic, is the top league in Portuguese football and contested by the 18 best clubs in the country. From August 2024 to May 2025. It’ll be a season of the clubs attempting to finish as high up the table as possible, perhaps qualify for Europe and definitely avoid relegation. Last season it was Sporting Lisbon who impressively ran away with the title, securing their second Liga Portugal crown in the last four years.

On this page, you'll find all the information you need to follow the competition throughout the campaign, and also to make the most of your sports betting by fine-tuning your analysis with our free Portuguese Primeira Liga predictions. Each matchday (there are 34 in total) will be an opportunity to enjoy the matches and make the right bets! Not yet on a par with the best leagues like the Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A or the Premier League, the Portuguese league is nonetheless a fascinating one to place bets on. 

Who will win? Who will take the European places? Check out our Liga Portugal Betclic predictions below.

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Liga Portugal Betclic winner prediction: who will be the Portuguese champion?

As is often the case in Portugal's top flight, it's Benfica Lisbon, FC Porto and Sporting who enter the new season as the top favourites for the league title. Led by Viktor Gyökeres, who posted superb numbers in his first season in the Primeira Liga, Sporting would go on to finish as league champions. The Lions won the title by 10-point margin which included 29 wins from their 34 games.

For this 2024-2025 season, the reigning champions were once again slightly underestimated by the bookmakers before the season kicked of as they started as the third favourites behind their two rivals.

However, a solid season so far for the defending champions sees them leading second-place Benfica by three points with 26 matches played, although the Eagles have a game in hand. They'll have to cope with losing their extremely talented manager Ruben Amorim, who opted to join Manchester United in November.

For our part, we are giving the edge to Sporting for a few reasons. They were dominate in the league last season and have been able to carry over that momentum into the current year with a number of fantastic performances (including beating Porto already). Having already racked up a league-leading 83 goals while conceding just 25, Sporting look to be a clear cut above the rest. They've also managed to retain their key players, namely Viktor Gyökeres who has already scored 38 goals.

The departure of Amorim is certainly a big blow, but Sporting have a strong enough foundation to see them secure their second straight league title. Our Betclic Liga Portugal prediction: Sporting Primeira Liga champions 2024-2025!

Primeira Liga predictions - odds on the favourites to win the title

• Sporting Lisbon - 1.80
• Benfica - 1.90

Odds from Bet365

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Liga Portugal Europa League prediction: who will finish in the Top 4?

This season in the Portuguese top flight there are two more European places up for grabs. The team that finishes the campaign in third-place will qualify for the Europa League second qualifying round while the team that finishes fourth qualifies for the Conference League second qualifying round.

FC Porto's last league title came three years ago, but they have, of course, remained highly competitive in Liga Portugal Betclic. They finished as runners-up in 2022-23 and finished in third-place in 2023-24. It would come as a big surprise if Dragões were to miss out on the top three in the 2024-25 season, despite teams like Braga and Vitória de Guimarães hoping to put up a strong challenge. With FC Porto in third that leaves just one Conference League spot remaining.

Braga pushed Porto for a top three finish last season, ultimately finishing just four points behind the 30-time league champions. The Braguistas are regular European qualifiers, finishing in the top four positions in nine of the last 10 seasons, with two of those resulting in a third-place finish. We believe they should be able to secure themselves another season of European football. Our Liga Portugal Top 4 prediction is: Sporting, Benfica, Porto and Braga!

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Relegation prediction: which Liga Portugal teams will go down?

The structure of the Liga Portugal Betclic sees the bottom two teams automatically relegated to the Liga Portugal 2. The team that finishes 16th, however, has one last chance to save preserve their top-flight status as they enter into a play-off with a Liga Portugal 2 side.

One of the most interesting stories of the 2024-25 season will be how newly-promoted AVS get on in the Portuguese top flight. The club was founded just over one year ago in May of 2023 and won promotion via the aforementioned play-off in their first year of existence. The jump up in quality to the top division might just be a bit too soon for club and they will likely be one of the two sides to falls into the automatic relegation spots.

The race to avoid the drop went down to the final day in the 2023-24 campaign with four teams ending the season within a point of one another for 16th-place. Estrela Amadora were one of those sides and we think their luck may run out in the 2024-25 season. Nacional could be the final team to go down after returning to the Liga Portugal Betclic for the first time in three years. Our relegation prediction: AVS, Nacional and Estrela Amadora to go down!

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Liga Portugal top scorer prediction: who will score the most goals?

Last season's summer signing Viktor Gyökeres hit the ground running at Sporting Lisbon in his first season in Liga Portugal Betclic. The Swedish striker was stellar throughout the entire campaign, racking up 29 league goals in 33 appearances. Gyökeres is looking to be worth every penny of the €21 million that Sporting shelled out as he has now seen his transfer market value more than triple that amount. He hasn't slowed down in his second season either as he has scored an incredible 28 goals in just 25 matches played, doubling that of Porto's Samu Omorodion in second place.

Sporting were able to keep a hold of the former Coventry City player in the winter transfer window and it's now looking inevitable that the Leões striker will scoop the top goalscorer award once again.

Here are a few other names that will try to give Gyökeres a challenge in the top scorer race:

• Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)
• Samu Omorodion (FC Porto)
• Galeno (FC Porto)
• Pedro Gonçalves (Sporting)
• Ricardo Horta (Braga)
• Angel Di Maria (Benfica)
• Clayton (Rio Ave)
• Luis Nlavo (Moreirense)
• Safira (Santa Clara)

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Beginner Guide: How does Portuguese football's premier league work?

The Liga Portugal Betclic will be played between 18 teams, from August 2024 to May 2025. A total of 306 matches will take place, determining the title, European places and relegation to the second division.

At the end of the competition in 2024-2025, the future of many clubs hangs in the balance:

• The team ranked 1st is crowned champion and advances directly to the league stage of the Champions League.
• The 2nd-placed team qualifies for the Champions League third qualifying round.
• The 3rd-placed team qualifies for the Europa League third qualifying round.
• The 4th-placed team qualifies for the Conference League third qualifying round.
• The team ranked 16th plays in the relegation play-off with the team ranked 3rd in the second division.
• The last two teams (17th and 18th) are relegated.

Don't hesitate to follow our weekly predictions to make the best bets on the Portuguese league. Indeed, there is a lot of interest in this championship, which made the Betclic Liga one of the most interesting for football lovers last season. Don't hesitate to take advantage of the various bonuses and best odds offered by the bookmakers available on the market by betting on this championship!

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Free betting tips: how to bet correctly on Primeira Liga matches (Liga Portugal Betclic)?

To make the best Portugal football league predictions, you obviously need to know about it and all its characteristics, but you also need to have the right attitude before placing your bets. Find out Sportytrader's tips for good predictions:

• Check the form of each Portuguese team
• Assess the dynamic of the main players in Liga Portugal
• Know the list of absentees (injured or suspended)
• Understand the context of the match in Portugal
• Analyse the Betclic Liga Portugal statistics

These five key points will bring you closer to success and maximise the success of your next bets. From a more general point of view, they can also be used for any football prediction. More information and details below.

View the form of each Portuguese team

First of all, it is essential to analyse the form of the teams. Of course, no-one has the same faith in a team coming off 4 consecutive defeats. Specifically, if Sporting travel to Rio Ave after this bad run, while the home side are going through an excellent phase, the best option may be to bet more favourably on the northerners. This may be the right play even if the Lions are theoretically the stronger team - it may be that the best bet in this situation would be the double chance for the hosts.

On the other hand, analyse all the relevant factors that have an impact on the game, particularly the statistics that allow you to draw a conclusion. Understand that if in recent games, a club has not won solely because of inefficiency or a poor attacking performance (for this, there is data such as possession, number of chances and expected goals), the club could quickly recover from this bad streak.

Assessing the dynamics of key players in Liga Portugal

When it comes to individual players, the form of the best of them will always carry a lot of weight. For example, if Simon Banza is in poor form ahead of a Braga match against Famalicão while, on the other hand, Armando Evangelista's team has its best players on a hot streak, it is probably best to avoid betting on that match.

The weight of star players in today's football is increasingly important and the Portuguese league is no exception. Always bear this in mind when making your bets on the Primeira Liga, the Portuguese football league. For each bet, don't forget to check at least the line-up of the two teams concerned before the start of each match to see if the important players are lined up and fit.

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Know the list of absentees (injured or sanctioned)

On the other hand, if we want to bet on the FC Porto-Benfica derby and important players such as Evanilson and Diogo Costa are absent for whatever reason, the N/2 market odds may be more appropriate. The same reasoning applies to the other main players in Liga Portugal, especially in matches with teams of a similar level.

Big teams can be affected by the absence of some of their key players. For this reason, it will always be essential to keep an eye on the latest information in order to find out about last-minute injuries or the identity of players who have been penalised (bad pass or sending off in the last game for example), which will allow you to know the list of absentees for each match.

Understanding the context of the match in Portugal

The next step is to analyse the real interest of the match you want to bet on. For example, a market like that of over 2.5 goals is less likely to occur in a duel between two teams fighting to stay in the top flight, wanting to take fewer risks, than in a match between teams with nothing left to play for.

It may seem obvious, but it's worth remembering. Before betting on Liga Portugal Betclic, always remember to look at the standings to try and understand the real ambitions of the teams and what a win may or may not bring them.

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Analyse Betclic Liga Portugal stats

Finally, it is essential to analyse the main statistics of the league itself and especially what usually happens in matches between teams with similar stature. For example, are derbies generally close and do they come down to the wire? There are many aspects to consider.

It is therefore advisable to analyse and take into account the general statistics of the Portuguese competition before placing your bets on Liga Portugal matches. This will give you an overview and an initial idea of the type of league you'll be betting on.

Remember that, before each prediction on a Liga Portugal Betclic match, SportyTrader's experts take all these aspects into account in order to detail the atmosphere surrounding each match. The aim remains to provide you with the most comprehensive predictions possible, free of charge, a few days before the matches kick off. 

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Portugal football prediction: what to avoid when betting on Liga Portugal Betclic

Next, to prevent poor decisions and increase your chances of winning money with your predictions, you should avoid the following actions, which we consider to be problematic for making good sports bets:

• Not analysing the Liga Portugal match correctly
• Only taking into account the prestige of a Portuguese club
• Not setting betting limits
• Betting when tired or upset
• Only taking big odds on the Portuguese league
• Bet immediately to recover from a losing bet
• Betting on boosted odds without analysing them properly
• Betting too often on your favourite team in Portugal

Every week, beginners and experienced punters alike make some of these mistakes and place losing bets. So trust us and avoid these behaviours!

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Stats you need to know to bet on Liga Portugal Betclic

Having as much information as possible about each club and each match is essential for sports betting. Statistics play an important role in the betting process. Here are the most relevant figures compiled from the current 2024-25 edition of the Portuguese league (after 11 matchdays):

• Home win percentage: 50%
• Draw percentage: 22%
• Away win percentage: 28%
• Average goals: 2.57 goals per game
• Matches with over 1.5 goals: 70%
• Matches with over 2.5 goals : 48%
• Matches with over 3.5 goals : 27%
• Both teams scoring: 40%
• Clean sheet: 68% of matches
• Average home goals per match: 1.46
• Average away goals per match: 1.11
• First half goals: 47%
• Second half goals: 53%
• Exact score 0-0: 8.2% of matches
• Most frequent score: 1-0 (16.3%)
• Second most frequent score: 1-1 (9.2%)
• Most frequent halftime score: 0-0 (31.6%)
• Highest goals per 15 minutes: 76' - 90' (26% of all goals)

There are a few interesting things to note regarding the above figures. The first is that goals have been down to start the 2024-25 league season. There's been a drop from 2.87 average goals per match last season to 2.57 this year. Additionally, both teams have scored in only 40% of matches, a significant drop off from last season's 54% mark.

Granted, we're only about a third of the way through the campaign and the scoring could definitely pick up as the season carries on.

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In short: how do you bet on a Liga Portugal Betclic match?

By following the Portuguese football betting tips detailed on this page, as well as avoiding negative betting habits, you'll be closer to an accurate prediction for your Liga Portugal bets. Remember, you can always check out our best free football predictions for every match in the competition, prepared by a team of football and Portuguese league experts.

Our Liga Portugal Betclic predictions page is 100% free and has everything you need to make the most of your analysis! Don't hesitate to consult it before each bet on the Portuguese top flight.

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Our Current Liga Portugal Prediction

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Liga Portugal Betclic best odds

If you're a fan of Portuguese clubs, you can use our Champions League predictions to follow the progress of the Portuguese teams.

What's more, if you want to follow the Portuguese league from A to Z, our Liga Portugal odds comparator is available, as well as our Liga Portugal live livescore to find out the latest results for each team as well as the Liga Portugal Livescores. A complete and 100% free offer, which will allow you to be as informed as possible about the Portuguese football championship.