Championship Betting Tips
02 Oct 2022 - 07:00
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2022/23 English Championship Season
The English Football Championship, also known as the Sky Bet Championship for commercial reasons, is the second tier of English football. It is one of the toughest leagues to compete in but there is a massive prize at stake. Three teams each season will be promoted to the Premier League. The top two are promoted automatically, then the sides finishing third to sixth compete in the play-offs. The winner of that then takes their place in the top league in England. The bottom three sides are relegated to League One. It's an exciting league with so much at stake and one that is great to be placing bets on. Our teams of betting experts will produce excellent previews throughout the season aiming to get you as many wins as possible.
English Championship Statistical Analysis
There is one stand-out statistic when it comes to the English Championship. Last season, there were 1385 goals scored in 552 matches and of those goals, 823 (59.4%) came in the second half.
94% of games played in the Championship last season had under 2.5 goals scored in the first half. That was only 1% hgher than in the 2020/21 season, so it’s always best to bet on under 2.5 goals for the first half in Championship matches.
On average, there were 2.51 goals scored in each match (0.2 higher than in the season before) but the average time for the first goal was the 34th minute and the second after 53.
Most goals were scored in the period between the 76th minute and the end of the game with 24% being scored.
The most frequent final score was 1-1, that came up in 12% of matches. It was closely followed by a 1-0 home win, seen in 11% of games with a 2-1 home win coming up in 10% of matches. At half time, 35% of games were goalless and 20% saw the home team 1-0 ahead.
45% of games were won by the home side, that’s 4% higher than in the previous season. 25% were drawn (the same as in 2020/21) and 30% won by the away team, down 4% on the previous season.
There were over 1.5 goals in 72% of matches played. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 47% of matches and 24% of games saw over 3.5 goals scored.
The average number of home goals was 1.41 and it was 1.09 for the away side. Both teams scored in 49% of games played, so that’s all but one in two
How to predict Championship matches
The Championship is considered to be quite an unpredictable league. Last season, only the top three teams lost a single figure number of league matches. Barnsley finished fifth but lost 13 league games. There are a number of factors that you should consider before betting on games of this English football league.
Each of the 24 clubs plays 46 league games, with possibly another three in the play-offs. Only Bournemouth who finished second in the table and won automatic promotion, lost less than eight league games. Champions Fulham lost 10 of their 46 matches.
Just five of the 24 clubs drew less than 10 matches. Preston North End drew most games - 16 followed by Milwall on 15. The lowest number of draws was eight by both Cardiff City and Reading.
The form of a team - and it’s key players can also be one of the biggest indicators of the outcome of a match. Teams that have won their previous matches, or whose key players are in the middle of a scoring streak should perform better than a team that is going through a rough patch, or whose star player is suffering from a performance slump. Analysing the previous performances of the team as a whole and the best players on each team is a crucial step in creating your Championship football predictions.
As well as the form and fitness of each side, the context and stakes of the fixture must also be considered before betting. With 46 match days ahead of each side in the regular season, a Championship manager will need to keep his squad fresh over the course of the long season. When you also consider a team’s participation in domestic cups (such as the FA Cup), the motivation a side has going into a fixture needs to be analysed. For example, a mid-table Championship team that has qualified for the final stages of the FA Cup will likely prioritise their upcoming Cup games over their league fixtures. On the other hand, a team that is fighting it out for a Playoffs spot at the end of the season will be much more motivated to win their upcoming fixtures. Food for thought.
Finally, we would advise that you to always compare odds amongst the various online betting sites before placing your Championship bets. For the same bet on the same match, different bookmakers on the market can offer different odds values - so why would you want to miss out on some extra gains, even if it is just a small amount. Make sure that you register with all of the best bookmakers on the market, to be sure that you can always place your bets on the highest odds.
How to predict the Championship table
In general, the interest of the Championship is not the winners, but which teams secure the lucrative promotion spots at the top of the table. With last year’s winners no longer part of the roster, all eyes will be on the three relegated teams entering the 2022/23 season from the Premier League. As you will read later on, the sides that have been relegated tend to do very well.
With sixth place earning a play-off spot, this means a lot of teams can be in contention for promotion right up to the final games of the season. This means there won’t be too many matches played where there is nothing at stake. It can happen though and these matches often see a lot of team changes with sides experimenting and preparing for the next season’s campaign. The motivation a team has is therefore important when you decide to bet on them.
Always look at current form and how sides fare home and away. For example, last season Millwall won 13 home matches but only five on their travels. Cardiff won seven at home but eight away matches.
Betting tips on the English Championship top Scorer
Another popular betting market on the EFL Championship is the top goalscorer - with plenty of options available for bettors to choose from. The top two last season scored 72 goals between them. Both Mitrovic (Fulham) and Solanke (Bournemouth) will be in the Premier League this season.
Teemu Pukki is back in the Championship and the Norwich City striker has a good record in this league. He scored 26 league goals when Norwich won the Championship two seasons ago.
Blackburn’s Ben Brereton-Diaz scored 22 league goals last season. If he stays with the club, then he should again go well this season. Swansea City’s Dutch striker Joel Piroe also scored 22 goals in the Championship last term.
When choosing a player to back in this category, it is important to consider the team and the context in which the forward is playing in before making your final pick. If a side is playing with a lone striker, he will have a greater chance of getting on the scoresheet than a substitute that comes on for the last 20 minutes of the game. The instincts of the team manager will also be key to this prediction - a forward that play for a team whose coaches favour offensive tactics is more likely to be in the race for the golden boot than one who plays for a team that shuts up shop after going 1-0 ahead.
English Championship 2022/23: our free betting tips
Norwich City, Burnley and Watford are the three sides that will be trying to get back into the Premier League. Of those three teams, Norwich and Watford had been in their first season in the top flight. Norwich in particular just keep on getting promoted and then immediately relegated. They have won the Championship in the last two seasons they have played at this level.
It would not be a surprise if the three relegated sides are promoted back to the Premier League. Last season, Fulham made an immediate return and Bournemouth were in only their second season back in the Championship.
West Bromwich Albion and Sheffield United are likely to be in the top six. Others to consider may be Middlesbrough, Blackburn Rovers and Huddersfield Town.
In terms of relegation, Wigan have been bouncing between League One and the Championship and may well struggle to stay up, same goes for Rotherham United. Birmingham City may find it hard to stay out of the bottom three.
Our Championship Predictions of the moment
Championship - Football
Best odds to bet on the Championship