Mozambique vs Sudan Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Mozambique
29/09/2026 09:00
Sudan

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions

Mozambique and Sudan will meet at Estádio do Zimpeto in the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers on Tuesday. Both these sides scored a goal apiece in their opening matches, which sees us leaning toward a low-scoring outcome here as our main prediction. 

Mozambique enjoyed their best-ever run at an Africa Cup of Nations competition in the last edition, reaching the Round of 16 before bowing out to Nigeria 4-0 in January this year. 

The Mambas kicked off this qualification cycle by producing a significant upset, holding Senegal to a 1-1 draw on Friday evening. Geny Catamo scored the all-important goal for the team in that match. 

However, the hosts are now winless in their last five matches across all competitions and have only won one of their last 10 games dating back to mid-October last year (D2 L7). 

Meanwhile, Sudan also reached the Round of 15 at the 2025 AFCON before losing to Senegal 3-1. They got these qualifiers underway with a 1-0 victory over Ethiopia at Juba Stadium on Friday. 

Mohamed Eisa scored what turned out to be the winner for the Falcons of Jediane in the 86th minute. The team has now won three of their last 10 matches across all competitions (D2 L5). 

Excluding cup competitions, Sudan are winless in their last six away games and failed to score in any match during this period. 

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Mozambique v Sudan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.71 2.95 5
1xbet
1.75 3.18 5.2
Melbet
1.75 3.18 5.2
Betwinner
1.85 3.08 4.67
Bet365
1.8 3.1 4.5
Check all Mozambique vs Sudan odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Mozambique and Sudan?

Our prediction for the Mozambique vs Sudan match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Mozambique and Sudan in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.11% for a win of Mozambique against Sudan with odds of 1.85 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mozambique vs Sudan is 23.59% with odds of 3.18 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Sudan vs Mozambique with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.

Mozambique vs Sudan Form

Mozambique and Sudan's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Sudan
3 1 1 0 0 +1
2 Mozambique
1 1 0 1 0 0

Mozambique and Sudan Last Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique Last matches
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  1
Senegal

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Indonesia
1 :  0
Mozambique

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Oman
4 :  1
Mozambique

5 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
4 :  0
Mozambique

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  2
Cameroon

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Gabon
2 :  3
Mozambique
D L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  1
Senegal

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  2
Cameroon

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
1 :  2
Guinea

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
2 :  0
Botswana

10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
1 :  3
Zimbabwe

7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
0 :  0
Mauritius
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Indonesia
1 :  0
Mozambique

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Oman
4 :  1
Mozambique

5 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
4 :  0
Mozambique

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Gabon
2 :  3
Mozambique

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Mozambique

17 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies

Angola
4 :  1
Mozambique
Sudan
Sudan Last matches
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Sudan
1 :  0
Ethiopia

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan
D D D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Sudan
1 :  0
Ethiopia

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Mauritania

29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Algeria
W D L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan

3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan

26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Lebanon
1 :  2
Sudan
Mozambique vs Sudan Prediction

Mozambique and Sudan Stats in AFCON

Mozambique
Mozambique
Sudan
Sudan
0%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
100%
Draws
0%
2
Average goals per match
1
1
Goals scored per match
1
1
Goals conceded per match
0
100%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
100%
BTTS
0%

Mozambique - Sudan Key Points

  1. Mozambique’s last two games ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Mozambique have only scored more than one goal in one of their last seven matches.
  3. Six of Sudan’s last 10 games ended with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Sudan failed to score in any of their last six away games (excluding cup competitions).
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Our Mozambique vs Sudan Prediction

Mozambique are not the most prolific team in attack, but they pulled off a significant upset by holding Senegal to a 1-1 draw last week, and they will fancy their chances of getting another return in this match. 

However, Sudan will be brimming with confidence after beating Ethiopia to go top of the table. A point from this match will be a good result for the Falcons of Jediane, and it would not surprise us if they sit deep and look to grind out a clean sheet. Our Mozambique vs Sudan prediction is under 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.