Bundesliga Betting Tips
Can anyone stop Bayern Munich winning the Bundesliga for the tenth season in a row? An exciting season begins on Friday 13 August and our team of betting experts will supply you with their free tips throughout the season.
The 2021/22 German Bundesliga Season
The Bundesliga is the first division of German football and has been dominated by Bayern Munich. As you can see from the image above, they won the Bundesliga title again last season finishing 13 points of Leipzig in second. That's their ninth in the row, will they make it ten by winning the 2021/22 title?
There are 18 teams in the Bundesliga, they face each other home and away, so that's 34 league games for each team. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League and last season joining the top two of Bayern Munich and Leipzig were Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg. Fifth and sixth places took teams into the group stages of the Europa League. Those places in the 2020/21 season were filled by Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayer Leverkusen. Union Berlin took seventh place and go into the new Europa Conference League.
The bottom two clubs in the Bundesliga are automatically relegated. This saw Werder Bremen and Schalke 04 go down to Bundesliga II. FC Koln finished third from bottom thanks to some good results towards the end of the season. They took on Holstein Kiel in the relegation play-offs, losing the home first leg 1-0 but then getting a 5-1 away win to keep their place in the Bundesliga.
Bundesliga Statistical Analysis
Our team of betting experts love checking all the top statistics for each team in the Bundesliga. These help them decide the predictions that you will read on our site throughout the season. The first impression that has to be made of this league is that there are a lot of goals being scored. The average number of goals per game was 3.03, a drop of 0.18 from the previous season. It’s a good average though and 0.52 higher than in La Liga and 0.61 better than the figure seen in Portugal’s NOS.
42% of games in the Bundesliga last season were won by the home side with five winning at least ten. 31% ended in away wins which was 7% down on the 2019/20 season. Only Bayern Munich got into double figures for away wins. 26% of games were draw, a rise of 4% on the previous season. Eight teams drew at least 10 games with Union Berlin the draw kings on 14.
A bet on over 2.5 goals is a good bet to place on Bundesliga matches. 59% of games saw that stat come up. Yet that was 6% down on the 2019/20 season. 27 of the 34 games played by champions Bayern Munich had over 2.5 goals scored in them and all but three at home. A bet on over 3.5 goals in a game was a winner in 37% of matches.
Betting on both teams to score can be profitable. 60% of matches last season saw both teams get on the scoresheet. 28 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga games saw both teams score. That stat only came up in 17 Leipzig fixtures. That’s not too surprising as with a total of 15, they kept the most clean sheets last season, Frankfurt kept just four!
Bayern Munich scored in every Bundesliga game last season. Borussia Dortmund only failed to score in one of their games and Frankfurt just twice. 22% of goals were scored from the 76th minute onwards. The lowest number of goals came in the first 15 minutes with 12.9% scored in that period. Only 43.8% of goals scored came in the first half. The most common half time score was 0-0, coming up in 29% of matches. 86% of games had under 2.5 goals scored at half time. The most common full time score was 1-1, that came up in 14% of matches.
The average number of home goals scored last season was 1.68, the highest of the top European leagues. Nine of the 18 teams scored at least 30 home goals last season. The figure for average away goals was 1.36, also high compared to other leagues. Five teams scored at least 30 goals on their travels and two hit 29.
How to predict Bundesliga matches
To keep you informed on the factors that you need to consider beyond the statistics, we will now discuss some other key considerations for your Bundesliga bets. First of all, it will be necessary to evaluate the form of the star players of each club concerned by your prediction. Take, for example, a match between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. If Lewandowski can't play for Bayern, the chances of them winning will less than if the top striker isn't playing. It's important to look at the team news before placing your bet.
Secondly, it will be necessary to consider the real stake of the match for both teams involved. Do both have the motivation to win? A bet on the ‘Over 3.5’ market will, for example, have a lower chance of being validated in a game between two teams playing defensively, than between two clubs having nothing to play at the end of the season and who favour giving their spectators a show. Before betting on the Bundesliga don’t forget to observe the season table, as it will give an indication of which clubs need to put in a good performance in their next game.
Finally, the third point to remember is to always compare Bundesliga odds before finalising your predictions. Whether it is Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Union Berlin, Bayer Leverkusen, Wolfsburg, Werder Bremen or Hoffenheim that you want to back, you will be able to find different odds values amongst each of the bookmakers on the online market. To always take advantage of the best available odds, all you have to do is register an account at all of the top online betting sites. To consider an example, say that you want to bet on the ‘Over 3.5’ goals market in a game between Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen. It will be much more beneficial for you to bet on an odds value of 5/2 offered by William Hill than those of 7/2 available at Bet365. In the long run there could be a difference of hundreds of euros at stake, so what is the sense of skipping this step.
How to predict the Bundesliga table
In addition to betting on each match of the German football championship, you can also place a wager on the final standings of the 2021/22 Bundesliga season. The interest of this market is simple, to provide excitement over the course of the season, and significant gains in the long run. Some of the outright markets that you can try your luck on include the Bundesliga winner, the teams to finish in the top four and the teams to be relegated at the end of the season. Again, the odds offered by bookmakers are considerable, so why not take you chances.
To establish reliable predictions on the Bundesliga standings, there are some simple factors that you must consider. For example, the real motivation of each club (based on press releases by coaches, presidents, staff and club captains), the Bundesliga fixture calendar and the squad of each team will all play a role in your outright predictions. Accounting for the quality of the substitutes, reserves and youth teams of each club will be essential to be able to establish reliable predictions in the long term.
German Bundesliga 2021/22: our free betting tips
Bayern Munich are aiming to win a tenth straight Bundesliga title. They haven't lost any key players so far in this transfer window and signed defender Dayot Upamecano from Leipzig. Borussia Dortmund have seen Jadon Sancho leave the club, can they keep Haaland? Bayern finished 13 points clear at the top last season, only losing four league games. It may well be a battle to see who comes second in the Bundesliga this season.
Our Bundesliga Predictions of the moment
There are no previews at the moment for this competition