Bundesliga Betting Tips
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The 2020/21 German Bundesliga Season
The Bundesliga is the first division of German football, and is considered by UEFA to be the fourth best league in Europe. teams in the German Bundesliga, whereas a lot of top European leagues have 20. The participating teams face each other home and away, so that's 34 league games for each team. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League. The winners last season were Bayern Munich (for the eighth season in a row) who went on to also win the Champions League. The teams finishing fifth and sixth go into the Europa League as do the winners of the German Cup (unless already qualified). The bottom two teams are automatically relegated. The side third from bottom faces the team finishing third in Bundesliga II in a two-legged play-off.
Bundesliga Statistical Analysis
Our team of betting experts love checking all the top statistics for each team in the Bundesliga. These help them decide the predictions that you will read on our site throughout the season. The first impression that has to be made of this league is that there are a lot of goals being scored. The average number of goals in each match last season was 3.21. That's just a little bit higher than the previous season when the average was 3.18.
Of the 18 teams in the Bundesliga last season, only four failed to average 3 goals a game. The lowest average was 2.76 recorded by Wolfsburg who finished sixth in the table. Not surprisingly, it was the champions Bayern Munich who had the highest average with 3.88 goals per match. 79% of their league games had over 2.5 goals scored in them and 62% had over 3.5%.
The second highest goals per game average was recorded by runners-up Borussia Dortmund but it was FC Koln in third. Their matches averaged 3.53 goals per match with 74% of their games having over 2.5 goals. For all sides in the Bundesliga, 65% of games had over 2.5 goals scored. It was an impressive 42% for the over 3.5 goals market.
If you want to back a goalless draw, that wouldn't have been a good idea with FC Koln, Eintracht Frankfurt, Freiburg and Union Berlin. None of those sides had a game end goalless in last season's Bundesliga. The most popular full time result was 1-1, that came up in 10% of fixtures. 23% of games were still goalless at half time.
Both teams to score is a popular bet and that stat came up in 58% of Bundesliga games last season, an increase of 6% from the previous campaign. Only one team had an average of below 50%, that was Borussia Dortmund, both teams scored in only 15 of their 38 games, three less than any other team. With Bayern Munich, they had the most clean sheets in the league last season, both recording that stat 15 times. Werder Bremen and Fortuna Dusseldorf had just four clean sheets last season. On the flip side, Bayern Munich only failed to score in one league game last season.
40% of games played in the Bundesliga last season ended in a home win (down from 45% in the 2018/19 season). 38% ended in an away victory (up 7%) and the other 22% ended level. It's strange how some teams score more in the second half than the first. Take Dortmund for example, 84 goals scored last season but 57 of those came after the break.
Do you bet on when the first goal will be scored? If yes, then we can tell you backing Bayern Munich is a great selection. In the first 15 minutes of games last season, they scored 18 goals. Bayer Leverkusen weren't far behind with 14. Eintracht Frankfurt left it late usually, from the 76th minute onwards, they scored 20 goals in the Bundesliga last season.
Looking on the flip side, there wasn't a single goal scored in the first 15 minutes of a Freiburg home league game last season. Mainz and Schalke 04 also failed to score in the first quarter hour of a home game. Here's a frightening stat, Bayern Munich scored 13 goals in the first quarter hour of away league matches last season. Out of 17 away league fixtures, they led at both half and full time 12 times. Not bad for a side that made a poor start to the season.
Lots of stats therefore and they can all help you make winning bets. Look out for the previews that our team of betting experts will write. They can help you make profits from betting on the German Bundesliga.
How to predict Bundesliga matches
To keep you informed on the factors that you need to consider beyond the statistics, we will now discuss some other key considerations for your Bundesliga bets. First of all, it will be necessary to evaluate the form of the star players of each club concerned by your prediction. Take, for example, a match between Schalke and Borussia Dortmund. If the likes of Reus or Alcacer are expected to be absent from the BVB side, then it might be best to favour Schalke in the upcoming fixture. This applies to any Bundesliga bet no matter which teams are involved.
Secondly, it will be necessary to consider the real stake of the match for both teams involved. Do both have the motivation to win? A bet on the ‘Over 3.5’ market will, for example, have a lower chance of being validated in a game between two teams playing defensively, than between two clubs having nothing to play at the end of the season and who favour giving their spectators a show. Before betting on the Bundesliga don’t forget to observe the season table, as it will give an indication of which clubs need to put in a good performance in their next game.
Finally, the third point to remember is to always compare Bundesliga odds before finalising your predictions. Whether it is Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Schalke, Bayer Leverkusen, Wolfsburg, Werder Bremen or Hoffenheim that you want to back, you will be able to find different odds values amongst each of the bookmakers on the online market. To always take advantage of the best available odds, all you have to do is register an account at all of the top online betting sites. To consider an example, say that you want to bet on the ‘Over 3.5’ goals market in a game between Schalke and Bayer Leverkusen. It will be much more beneficial for you to bet on an odds value of 5/2 offered by William Hill than those of 7/2 available at Bet365. In the long run there could be a difference of hundreds of euros at stake, so what is the sense of skipping this step.
How to predict the Bundesliga table
In addition to betting on each match of the German football championship, you can also place a wager on the final standings of the 2020/21 Bundesliga season. The interest of this market is simple, to provide excitement over the course of the season, and significant gains in the long run. Some of the outright markets that you can try your luck on include the Bundesliga winner, the teams to finish in the top four and the teams to be relegated at the end of the season. Again, the odds offered by bookmakers are considerable, so why not take you chances.
To establish reliable predictions on the Bundesliga standings, there are some simple factors that you must consider. For example, the real motivation of each club (based on press releases by coaches, presidents, staff and club captains), the Bundesliga fixture calendar and the squad of each team will all play a role in your outright predictions. Accounting for the quality of the substitutes, reserves and youth teams of each club will be essential to be able to establish reliable predictions in the long term.
German Bundesliga 2020/21: our free betting tips
Bayern Munich claimed their eighth consecutive Bundesliga title in 2020, the 30h top-tier German football title that the club has won in their history. That's despite a poor start to the season and it took a management change to turn them around. The arrival of Herr Flick in the top job saw great improvement with 57 points from their last 20 league games. Borussia Dortmund finished second, 13 points behind the champions. They fought off the challenge of RB Leipzig who ended the season in third, three points adrift of Dortmund. The final Champions League spot went to Borussia Monchengladbach. Qualifying for the Europa League were Bayer Leverkusen, Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg.
Paderborn and Fortuna Dusseldorf were both relegated. Werder Bremen finished in the relegation play-off position but beat Heidenheim to stay in the top flight. Promoted from Bundesliga II were Armenia Bielefeld and Stuttgart.
Bayern Munich are of course the favourites to win their tenth straight title. They have already signed Sane from Manchester City. Dortmund will be challengers again but can they keep Sancho? If not, what will they do with the money they receive?