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Serie A Predictions & Betting tips

2

19 Apr 2024 - 12:30

Italy
Serie A

Betting Tips
Genoa Genoa
Lazio Lazio

Prediction :

Genoa or Draw

Detail
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19 Apr 2024 - 14:45

Italy
Serie A

Betting Tips
Cagliari Cagliari
Juventus Juventus

Prediction :

Cagliari or Draw

Detail
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Bonus up to :$150

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Betting tips 1X2

20 Apr 2024 - 12:00

Serie A

Empoli Empoli
Napoli Napoli
1 X 2
Probability of 40%
21 Apr 2024 - 06:30

Serie A

Sassuolo Sassuolo
Lecce Lecce
1 X 2
Probability of 41%
21 Apr 2024 - 12:00

Serie A

Salernitana Salernitana
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1 X 2
Probability of 58%
21 Apr 2024 - 14:45

Serie A

Monza Monza
Atalanta Atalanta
1 X 2
Probability of 44%
22 Apr 2024 - 12:30

Serie A

Roma Roma
Bologna Bologna
1 X 2
Probability of 45%
22 Apr 2024 - 14:45

Serie A

AC Milan AC Milan
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1 X 2
Probability of 51%

Find our free Serie A prediction on who will win the title and come out on top in the main matches played in the 2023-24 Italian Football Championship. Full of information for your sports betting!

Serie A presentation and predictions

Serie A prediction - Football

The Italian league, known as Serie A, is considered one of the top 5 leagues in the world alongside the English Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1 and the German Bundesliga. That's one of the reasons why Serie A predictions are so popular in the UK and around Europe. Throughout the exciting season, players have the opportunity to bet on the matches of Italy's top 20 clubs. 

From the opening match, scheduled for a little later than the other leagues (20 August 2023), to matchday 38 (set to be played on 26 May), our experts' Serie A predictions are available free of charge to help you place your bets with the bookmakers. Below, you will find our general predictions, as well as statistics and tips on how to make the best Serie A predictions.

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Winner prediction: who will win Serie A?

“Serie

Last year, Napoli got off to a great start and continued their fine form to win the Serie A title by 16 points. It was a tough battle for the European places and it went right down to the final matches. Down at the bottom it was tight too with an extra match being played to determine one of the relegation places.

On Italy's superb stadiums, from the San Siro (also known as Giuseppe Meazza) to Juventus Stadium, the Stadio Olimpico and the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, the best clubs in Italy will be battling it out not just for the Serie A title, but also for the European places, in particular the Champions League, the Europa League and the Europa Conference League, not forgetting the fight to stay up!

The current 2023/24 season somewhat resembles last year's campaign, although it isn't Napoli who are running away with the Scudetto this time around. Inter Milan have been brilliant as we enter into the final third of the season. The Nerrazurri have recorded only a single defeat in their 24 league fixtures, winning 20, to give themselves a dominant nine point lead over second-place Juventus. Not only that, Inter can potentially push that lead to 12 points as they currently have a game in hand advantage.

Naturally, that means that Simone Inzaghi's side are the massive betting favorites by the bookmakers as it would take a monumental collapse for the Serie A title to slip through their fingers. However, with the odds as they are, there isn't much of a point in backing Inter at that extremely heavy price. While we believe that Inter will ultimately go on to lift their first league championship since 2020/21, there is simply more value to be had in backing either second-place Juventus or third-place AC Milan to pull off the comeback at the current odds.

Serie A prediction - odds on the favorites for the Italian league title

  • Inter Milan - 1.01
  • Juventus - 34.00
  • AC Milan - 81.00
  • Napoli - 1001.00
  • Atalanta - 1001.00
  • Roma - 1001.00
  • Lazio - 1001.00
  • Fiorentina - 1001.00
  • Bologna - 1501.00
  • Torino - 2001.00
  • Genoa - 2001.00
  • Monza - 2001.00

Odds taken from William Hill

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

Serie A Top 4 prediction: who will qualify for the Champions League?

Serie A prediction - Top 4

As well as the club that wins the Serie A title, those finishing in second, third and fourth places qualify for the 2024-25 Champions League. Bookmakers are offering bets on who will finish in the top 4. Our prediction is: Inter Milan, Napoli, Juventus (not in European competition this season) and AC MIlan.

Inter Milan lost in the final of the 2022-23 Champions League and are our tip to be Italian champions in the upcoming season. Napoli should be able to qualify for the Champions League. As for Juventus and AC Milan, while the title may be hard to come by, a top-four finish should be their main objective. Beware, though, as the two Rome clubs, Lazio and AS, will also be worth keeping an eye on.

Serie A prediction – Top 4 favorites odds

  • Inter Milan - N/A
  • AC Milan - 1.03
  • Juventus - 1.05
  • Atalanta - 1.57
  • Bologna - 4.33
  • Roma - 6.00
  • Napoli - 13.00
  • Fiorentina - 15.00
  • Lazio - 17.00
  • Torino - 51.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk .

Check out the Serie A odds at bet365!

Which Serie A club will qualify for the Europa League?

“Top 5 Serie A prediction”

In addition to the Italian Cup winner, the club finishing fifth in Serie A at the end of the 2023-2024 season will qualify for the 2024-25 UEFA Europa League. And in this battle to reach the Europa League, it is the last two clubs mentioned in the paragraph above, AS Roma and Lazio, who could be engaged in a battle for that place. We believe Atalanta and Fiorentina will also be pressing hard to finish fifth but just fall short. .

Our prediction: Napoli, Inter Milan, Juventus, AC Milan and AS Roma in the top 5.

Serie A prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 5

Bookmakers are not currently offering odds for a top five Serie A finish bet. In the meantime, visit vbet.co.uk for all currently available Serie A betting markets.

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

Which clubs will finish in the Top Six?

“Top 6 Serie A prediction”

Finally, the team that finishes 6th (or 7th, depending on whether a side already qualified for the other European competitions wins the Italian Cup) will take part in the next edition of the UEFA Europa Conference League. This third European competition is not taken lightly by Italian clubs, with Roma winning the first edition and Fiorentina reaching the final last year. As you can see, many Italian clubs are keen to at least take part in this competition. 

According to our initial analyses, the top 6 should once again include some of the longest-standing clubs in the Italian league. Our prediction: Napoli, Inter Milan, Juventus, AC Milan, AS Roma and Lazio Rome in the Top 6.

Serie A prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 6

Like the above, betting sites are focused only on the top four betting odds as we approach the end of the season, meaning a top six bet isn't on offer. Head over to bwin.co.uk to find a number of other enticing Serie A betting markets.  

Check out the Serie A odds at bet365!

Relegation prediction: which Serie A clubs will miss out on survival?

“Serie A relegation prediction”

At the bottom of the table, the objectives are very different. Indeed, the battle to stay in the top flight can often come right down to the wire. Last season saw Spezia and Verona have to play an additional game to decide which would be relegated. It was Spezia who were the unlucky club joining Cremonese and Sampdoria in going down to Serie B. Another tight battle is likely this season and we tip Frosinone Lecce and Verona to be the three clubs that will be in Serie B in 2024-25 after finishing in 18th, 19th and 20th places. Our prediction: Salernitana, Frosinone and Hellas Verona will be relegated.

Serie A prediction - relegation odds

  • Salernitana - 1.06
  • Cagliari - 1.83
  • Verona - 2.00
  • Empoli - 2.20
  • Frosinone - 4.33
  • Sassuolo - 5.50
  • Lecce - 5.50
  • Udinese - 7.00
  • Genoa - 101.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk

All the latest Serie A odds are at unibet

Which player will score the most goals?

Inter's Lautaro Martinez

The Italian championship has more at stake than just the teams! In fact, one individual title is hotly contested in Serie A every season, that of top scorer. In the 2023-2024 season, Inter's Argentinian gem Lautaro Martinez has played a massive role in firing his squad to the top of the league standings and is the overwhelming favorite to win the Capocannoniere.

Serie A - odds to be top scorer

  • Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan) - 1.08
  • Dusan Vlahovic (Juventus) - 8.00
  • Olivier Giroud (AC Milan) - odds of 17.00
  • Romelu Lukaku (AS Roma) - 51.00
  • Marcus Thuram (Inter Milan) - 67.00
  • Domenico Beradi (Sassuolo) 126.00
  • Victor Osimhen (Napoli) - 126.00
  • Ciro Immobile (Lazio) - 201.00
  • Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) - 201.00

Odds from bet365.co.uk 

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Beginners Guide - how does the Italian football championship work?

As you will have gathered, Serie A is Italy's top division football league, which pits the 20 best Italian clubs against each other via a system of home-and-away fixtures. The first phase takes place between August and December, with all the clubs playing each other for the first time. The process is then repeated between January and May, so that all the clubs play each opponent twice (home and away) for a total of 38 rounds. That's 380 matches per edition of Calcio.

At the final whistle of the competition, certain places have an impact on the clubs:

  • The club that finishes first is Italian champion (and qualifies for the Champions League)
  • 2nd, 3rd and 4th qualify for the Champions League
  • The 5th (and 6th depending on who wins the Italian Cup) qualify for the Europa League
  • The 6th-placed club (or 7th depending on who wins the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Europa Conference League
  • 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to Serie B

Whether at the top or bottom of the table, there is a certain amount at stake in this Italian football championship. All this explains why the Serie A prediction is eagerly awaited before each match by many punters.

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

How to make good predictions on a Serie A match?

“Serie

In order to make winning predictions on the Italian Serie A, a few good practices are important for punters, such as having a solid knowledge of the competition in question. But that's not enough, and good practice is also necessary. SportyTrader has been specialising in football and Serie A for a number of years now, and offers you its top tips on how to make the best predictions:

  • Check the form of each Italian team
  • Take into account the latest Serie A statistics
  • Rely on expert analysis
  • Take into account what is at stake in the Serie A match
  • Keep an eye on the list of players absent in Italy

These are our top tips for making the best Serie A predictions. Find out more about each of these points below.

See all the outright Series A betting markets!

Consult the form of each Italian team

“Serie A betting tips”

This is probably the most important tip for making a reliable prediction on the Italian football championship. Indeed, consulting and taking into account the form of the 20 teams is an action that should become mechanical and compulsory in your approach to betting on Serie A. For example, if you want to bet on Napoli but the club hasn't won in 7 games, unlike its opponents who have won 5 in a row, then it would be better to avoid making your bet. On the contrary, double the odds on their opponents! Don't hesitate to follow Serie A matches closely.

As far as this tip is concerned, we think it's important to stress that you shouldn't just look at the scores of recent matches. In fact, it is also very important to follow (closely or remotely) the performances put in by the clubs: possession, Expected Goals (xG), the number of shots attempted, on target and conceded, goalposts hit, etc. A team may have truly dominated its last two opponents, and yet still have lost. A team can genuinely have dominated its last two opponents, and still have lost those games. But that doesn't mean it hasn't played some good games in terms of content.

Take into account the latest Serie A statistics

Second tip from our experts: analyse the Serie A statistics! And what's important is to first get an overview of these figures. On this page, a little further down, you can access the major Serie A statistics, particularly in terms of the number of goals scored with Under/Over.

Secondly, it is also important to have the statistics for the most recent matches of each team in Italy's top flight in order to make the right predictions and place the right bets. Having the most recent stats will give you a much better idea of each club's current form.

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Rely on expert analysis

“Serie

Here's a tip that's vital to the success of your bets on the best sports betting sites. Before you place your bets on the Italian league, taking expert predictions will help you decide whether or not to go ahead with your idea.

At Sportytrader, our tipsters take many aspects of a match into account and analyse a large number of statistics in order to offer you the best, most reliable prediction possible. So don't hesitate to rely on them before betting!

Take into account what's at stake in the Serie A match

For this fourth tip, there will be no statistical analysis, but rather the context in which the match will take place. Is it a derby known to be very hot? Were there any problems in the last match? This aspect is too important and is underestimated by many punters.

For example, an analysis of recent matches between Roma and Lazio shows that tension often takes precedence over the game, and that we rarely see a flurry of goals in this type of encounter. So be careful if you're thinking of trying an 'Over 2.5', for example.

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

Watch the list of players absent in Italy

“Serie A Prediction Guide – Football”

Finally, the last piece of advice is obviously very important. Even though football is played 11 against 11, as everyone knows, there are always one or more truly exceptional players on the pitch. These are the types of players that can turn the tide of a match, and are often difficult for coaches to replace when they are absent. This holds especially true at less prestigious clubs or those with a smaller budget and squad.

So before each bet, it's very important to check the squad given by the coach for the match you want to bet on, to see if there are any major absences.

Injury, suspension, poor form, off-the-pitch problems, disagreements... There could be many reasons why a footballer is absent from a match. Don't forget to check all this out before placing any bets with online sports betting sites!

As you will have gathered, our team always takes into account the advice we have just given you when making each Serie A prediction, as well as many other aspects of this competition.

By checking out each of our Serie A predictions, you can be sure of getting the most reliable overall view of the matches. So don't forget to check out our experts' thoughts before each Serie A weekend!

All the latest Serie A odds are at unibet

What not to do for your Serie A predictions

After the best betting tips to make your predictions a success and have the best chances of winning on all Serie A matches, we now reveal what you should avoid. There are some bad habits you should forget. Below you'll find everything we advise you not to do before making a Serie A football prediction:

  • Put aside the analysis of a football match (and Serie A in this particular case)
  • Only bet on the big odds
  • Don't compare the Calcio odds and take one that is lower than another bookmaker's.
  • Take the plunge without any knowledge of the Italian league
  • Trying at all costs to make up for losing a bet on Serie A
  • Betting too often on live or boosted odds
  • Betting too often on your favourite Italian team

All too often, a large number of both beginners and experienced punters fall into one of the habits listed above. So don't forget to put all that to one side before betting on Serie A!

See all the outright Series A betting markets!

Serie A statistics you need to know for your predictions

Serie A statistics

In addition to everything we've just described, having a good knowledge of the most important Serie A statistics is also a major factor in the success of your football predictions. Without further ado, here are the key stats to keep in mind when making your Italian league predictions. Note that these are from the current 2023/24 season (following matchday 25):

  • Home win percentage: 46%
  • Draw percentage: 27%
  • Away win percentage: 27%
  • Average goals per game: 2.60
  • Over 1.5 goals: 75%
  • Over 2.5 goals: 50%
  • Over 3.5 goals: 26%
  • “Both teams score: yes”: 51%
  • First half goals: 44%
  • Second half goals: 56%
  • Average home goals scored: 1.49 per match
  • Average away goals scored: 1.12 per match
  • Exact score 0-0: 7.7% of matches
  • Most frequent scoreline (full time): 1-1 (13% of matches)
  • Most frequent scoreline (halftime): 0-0 (30% of matches)

When you place your bets on Serie A, you'll notice that certain types of bets are preferable. Serie A matches tend to start out on the more cautious side, as evidenced by only 44% of all goals being scored in the first 45 minutes as well as a 30% 0-0 rate going into the break. Home field advantage is still very much in play in Italy, with the Serie A ranking as the highest "home win percentage" (46%) of all the top five leagues. Therefore, if a match goes into the break at 0-0, don't hesitate to jump on the live betting platform and back a home victory, goals, or home team total over!

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

In short: how to make the right Serie A predictions?

Serie A predictions - Guide

In order to have reliable football predictions on the Italian football league, a number of things need to be taken into account as well as carried out. It will be important to analyse each match, for example, but you'll also need to follow all the best practices we've talked about, as well as keeping in mind the general workings of the competition and the major statistics.

If you feel that doing all this will take too much time before each Serie A prediction, remember that all you have to do is consult the predictions of our Italian football and Serie A specialists, who are available before each match.

As a reminder, we offer you a detailed analysis of all 380 matches in the Italian league, completely free of charge and accessible at the top of this page. Find all the Serie A predictions from Sportytrader, ideal help all year round!

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Our current Serie A predictions

19 Apr 2024 - 12:30

Serie A - Football

19 Apr 2024 - 14:45

Serie A - Football

Serie A: best odds

19 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Genoa - Lazio
1 3.05
X 3.29
2 2.68
19 Apr 2024 - 14:45 Cagliari - Juventus
1 5.2
X 3.77
2 1.83
20 Apr 2024 - 12:00 Empoli - Napoli
1 5
X 4.1
2 1.79
20 Apr 2024 - 14:45 Hellas Verona - Udinese
1 2.73
X 3.2
2 3.27
21 Apr 2024 - 06:30 Sassuolo - Lecce
1 2.35
X 3.58
2 3.32
21 Apr 2024 - 09:00 Turin - Frosinone
1 1.73
X 4.04
2 5.5
21 Apr 2024 - 12:00 Salernitana - Fiorentina
1 15
X 7.99
2 1.7
21 Apr 2024 - 14:45 Monza - Atalanta
1 4.2
X 3.85
2 1.94
22 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Roma - Bologna
1 2.29
X 12
2 15
22 Apr 2024 - 14:45 AC Milan - Inter Milan
1 3.73
X 3.86
2 2.15
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Atalanta - Empoli
1 1.49
X 5.3
2 8
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Bologna - Udinese
1 1.67
X 4.06
2 6.1
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Fiorentina - Sassuolo
1 1.67
X 4.38
2 17
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Frosinone - Salernitana
1 1.69
X 4.4
2 5.25
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Genoa - Cagliari
1 2.15
X 3.5
2 4
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Inter Milan - Turin
1 2.38
X 5
2 9.5
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Juventus - AC Milan
1 2.99
X 3.53
2 3.47
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Lazio - Hellas Verona
1 17
X 4.3
2 5.75
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Lecce - Monza
1 2.35
X 3.86
2 30
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Napoli - Roma
1 2
X 3.85
2 4

If you prefer to focus on the Italian top flight, our Serie A odds comparator is available now (100% free), as is Serie A Livescore. Perfect for following Italian football's elite from A to Z! Our Champions League prediction is also available if you'd like to keep a close eye on the progress of Italian clubs in Europe.

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Serie A : Frequently Asked Questions

Last year, the Serie A champion earned up to €23.4 million, €4 million more than the runner-up.

The reigning Serie A champions are Napoli! Neapolitan fans have been waiting 33 years for this, and the superb season put in by Victor Osimhen and his team-mates in 2022-2023 has been rewarded with the title.

The top scorer in the history of the Italian league is Silvio Piola, who scored 274 goals in 537 games between 1929 and 1954. Just behind him is the great Francesco Totti, who scored 250 goals in 619 games for Roma between 1993 and 2017. As for the players still active in the league, Ciro Immobile is eighth in the history of top scorers, with 194 goals in 322 matches.

In the UK, you will need to subscribe to TNT Sports (formerly BT Sports) to watch Serie A matches. Alternatively, follow the live action on our Sportytrader Livescore page.

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