Italian Serie A Predictions & Betting tips
Betting tips 1X2
Find our free betting tips of the top league in Italy. We’ll be publishing previews on the top games in Serie A throughout the 2022/23 season. All the information you need for your sports betting!
Presentation of Serie A - Football
Serie A is the Italian top-flight football league. Each season, the 20 best clubs in the country compete and the Italian champion has been crowned since 1898. Considered the third best competition in Europe by the UEFA coefficient, Serie A sees the top four finishers compete in the Champions League, Europe's biggest club competition. The fifth-placed club and the Italian Cup winner qualify for the UEFA Europa League, while the sixth-placed club gets the chance to play in the Europa Conference League. The bottom three are relegated to the second division, the so-called Serie B. So every season there is a great opportunity to place bets on Serie A football.
With the Italian league, you will have the opportunity to bet on some of the best teams in Europe, such as Juventus, Inter Milan, Napoli, Roma, AC Milan, Lazio and Atalanta. But Serie A also boasts some very good clubs now used to the top flight, such as Hellas Verona, Torino, Sassuolo, Sampdoria, Bologna, Udinese and Fiorentina. This year, three newcomers have joined the Italian top flight: Lecce, Monza and Cremonese. The 22/23 championship is again going to be an exciting season at both ends of the table and a great league to bet on!
Serie A Statistical Analysis for first 15 games of 2022/23
When the Serie A season reached the World Cup break, Napoli were eight points clear at the top of the table. Let's look at the key statistics for the 2022/23 season as we wait for the teams to start playing again on January 4.
The World Cup break took place after all the Serie A teams had played 15 league fixtures. There had been 150 matches played and 387 goals scored. That's an average of 2.58 goals per game and that's down from the 2.87 recorded last season.
51% of games have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them. That's 4.5% less than the figure seen in the 2021/22 season. It's still just over one in every two games so a bet on this market can be a successful one when the season resumes and there are usually good odds at the best sports betting sites. Generally, they will more or less double your bet, it would be silly not to try. 12 out of 15 Inter games have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Lecce and Empoli have only seen the over 2.5 goals stat come up in four of their 15 league matches. All seven Juventus away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
The Both teams to score market is also a popular one to place bets on. That stat has come up in 52% of games, down 5% from last season. Again, it's over one in two games, so a bet on this market has a good chance of success. Always look at the attacking and defensive records of the two teams playing.
This season has seen teams recording more home wins. 45% of games have been won by the home side and that's 6% higher than in the 2021/22 season. Napoli have the best home record with 22 points followed by Milan on 21 and resurgent Juventus on 20.
The number of draws is 24% (down 2%) with Cremonese the draw kings on seven. Inter are yet to draw a Serie A match this season. 31% have seen the away side win but that's down from 35% last season. Nine clubs had either won no away games or just one before the World Cup break. Only Cremonese and Verona are still waiting for their first away win of the season. Cremonese are 18th of the 20 teams but are yet to win a league match this season. Napoli have the best away record with six wins and a draw in seven games.
46.5% of goals have been scored in the first half and 53.5% in the second. The most frequent full-time score has been 1-1 (13% of games) followed by 1-2 in 12%. At half-time, 27% of games have been goalless and 89% have seen under 2.5 goals scored at half time. Napoli are the top goal scorers with 37 in 15 games, however Sampdoria have only managed to score six league goals this season. Juventus have the best defence with only seven goals conceded while it's bottom-of-the-table Verona who have the worst defence having let in 29 goals.
How to bet on Serie A matches?
After having analysed the numbers to know before betting on Serie A football, let's now talk about the factors to take into account to succeed in your predictions on Italian football. Firstly, it will be imperative to look at the form of the key players involved in the match you are betting on. For example, if you want to bet on the Inter-Juventus clash, and Lautaro Martinez and Nicolo Barella are absent, the odds on the 'N2' may be smarter to try than if the Argentine and the Italian had been present on the Milan pitch. The same reasoning applies to other key players in the league, and even more so in games between two mid-table teams.
After that, it is important to understand what is really at stake in the match you are betting on. For example, a bet such as "Over 2.5 goals" (+2.5 goals in the match) will have less chance of winning in a game at the bottom of the table, in which the teams are rather tense and therefore cautious, than in a game between two top teams. So before you bet on the Italian league, take a look at the official Serie A standings and see what the result of the game in question could potentially change.
Finally, you should also compare the odds before making your Serie A prediction. As you know, every week many sports betting sites offer different odds for the same match. Whether you want to bet on Juve, Napoli, Lazio, Roma, Fiorentina or Inter and AC Milan, you will find variations in the odds that can boost your winnings, or reduce their potential. For example, in a match like Atalanta-Juventus, William Hill may offer 2.40 on Juventus winning. At Bwin though, the odds are only 2.36 so a bet here will on this occasion produce a lower win.. This may not seem like a big deal at the time, but trust our sports betting specialists, at the end of the year the difference can be several hundred euros!
How to bet on the Serie A ranking?
As you have the possibility to bet on an Italian football match, you also have the opportunity to predict the final ranking of this Serie A. As well as providing some fun in the sometimes stereotypical world of sports betting, this kind of bet can help you build up long-term winnings by accumulating a few predictions. For example, you can bet on the final winner of the Serie A, the teams that will get their places in the European competitions or those that will go down to Serie B at the end of the year..
In order to make these kinds of predictions about Serie A, there are of course a few parameters to take into account, such as the real motivation of the clubs to climb up the standings, the complete Serie A calendar or the in-depth analysis of each Calcio squad. Analysing the substitutes' bench or the youth teams will be important in order to make reliable long-term predictions
Our free betting tips for the 2022-2023 season
Unbeaten Napoli have been in stunning form this season, both in Serie A and the Champions League. With an nine point lead at the top on January 20, they will be hard to knock off top spot.in Defending champions Milan are in second place with Inter a point behind them. In the final Champions League place are Lazio who are three points adrift of Inter. It looks like being a close battle for the final European place with Atalanta and Roma level on points with Lazio. Juventus were in third place but have been given a deduction of 15 points. That leaves them 12 points behind the European qualification places but 13 points above the relegation zone.
Do you want to bet on the Italian champion 2022-2023? Here are the odds offered on the different sports betting sites on January 20. Napoli were 15,00 to win the title at the start of the season but are now 1.25
- Napoli, odds of 1.25
- Inter Milan, odds of 7.00
- Milan, odds of 8.00
- AS Roma, odds of 41.00
- Lazio, odds of 81.00
- Atalanta, odds of 81.00
- Udinese, odds of 751.00
Whatever your favourite club is, a great set of odds is waiting for you at a bookmaker of the French market. Don't hesitate to take advantage of it, August 2022 is maybe the best month to bet on Serie A!
Other long term bets
Want to bet on the long term with Italian Serie A? Here are the different possibilities offered by the French bookmakers.
Odds for a Champions League qualification (Top 4)
Some sports betting sites offer you other types of bets on the Serie A 2022-2023 edition. For example, on the clubs that will finish in the top 4 and will therefore play in the Champions League the following season. There are some very good odds to be had, so take advantage of them while they are still available:
- Napoli, odds of 1.01
- Milan, odds of 1.125
- Inter Milan, odds of 1.20
- Juventus, odds of 1.50
- AS Roma, odds of 3.00
- Lazio, odds of 4.00
- Atalanta, odds of 4.00
- Udinese, odds of 21.00
- Fiorentina, odds of 81.00
Odds taken from William Hill.co.uk.
Odds for Top Goal Scorer
After the first 15 games of the 2022/23 Serie A season, it's Victor Osimhen of Napoli who is the top scorer with nine goals. He's one ahead of Bologna's Marko Arnautovic with Inter's Argentinian forward Lautauro Martinez a further goal back on seven. Also with seven goals is Ademola Lookman of Atalanta and Spezia's M'Bala Nzola. Here are the latest odds at the end of 2022.
- VIcor Osimhen, odds of 3.00
- Lautaro Martinez, odds of 6.00
- Ciro Immobile, odds of 6.00
- Dusan Valhovic, odds of 7.00
- Marko Arnautovic, odds of 11.00
- Khvica Kvaratskhelia, odds of 18.00
Our current Serie A predictions
There are no previews at the moment for this competition
Serie A: best odds