Italy Serie A Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Serie A prediction on who will win the title and come out on top in the main matches played in the 2024-25 Italian Football Championship. Full of information for your sports betting!

Serie A presentation and predictions - Italy

The Italian league, known as Serie A, is considered one of the top 5 leagues in the world alongside the English Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1 and the German Bundesliga. That's one of the reasons why Serie A predictions are so popular in the UK and around Europe. Throughout the exciting season, players have the opportunity to bet on the matches of Italy's top 20 clubs. 

From the opening match, scheduled for 17 August 2024, to matchday 38 (set to be played on 25 May 2025), our experts' Serie A predictions are available free of charge to help you place your bets with the bookmakers. Below you will find our general predictions, as well as statistics and tips, on how to make the most of the upcoming Serie A season.

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Winner prediction: who will win Italian Serie A?

After being appointed manager in June of 2024, Antonio Conte has claimed the Serie A title in his first season in Naples. It marks the fifth Scudetto that the Italian has won in his career and his first since winning with Inter Milan in 2020-21. It just so happens that the 2024-25 title race came down to the final day and it was Conte's former team Inter that would ultimately miss out on defending their crown.

Conte revitalized a Napoli side that had finished ninth in the previous season. As has often been the case with Conte's teams over the years, Napoli's title charge was built off the foundation of a rock-solid defense. Gli Azzurri were bulletproof, conceding a league-low 27 goals in their 38 league fixtures. The champions lost only once in the Serie A since the start of 2025 and sealed the title with a 2-0 home over over Cagliari on the final day, edging out Inter by a single point.

After a 33-year Serie A drought, Napoli have now claimed the Scudetto in two of the last three seasons, bringing their total to four all time. We'll be back soon with our analysis on the next edition of Italy's top flight, so be sure to keep an eye out for our 2025-26 Serie A prediction!

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Italy Serie A Top 4 prediction: who will qualify for the Champions League?

Just behind the future Italian champions, the clubs occupying second, third and fourth place in Serie A will book their tickets for the next Champions League, 2025-2026 edition.

And bookmakers are offering bets on this top 4. For the top four Champions League places, our prediction is as follows: Inter Milan, Atalanta, Napoli and Juventus!

Right after Inter Milan, whom we therefore predict as the future champions of the Italian league, Europa League winners Atalanta have what it takes to finish in the Champion's League, as do Dusan Vlahovic's Juventus. As for Napoli, under Antonio Conte, we think the champions of two years ago are capable of aiming for the top 4.

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Which Italian Serie A club will finish in the Top 5 and qualify for the Europa League?

In addition to the Italian Cup winner, the club occupying fifth place in the Serie A at the end of the 2024-25 season will qualify for the UEFA Europa League (2025-2026 edition).

In this fight to join the Europa League, the two clubs from Rome; AS Roma and Lazio, in addition to Atalanta, should put up a magnificent fight. After a poor start to the season last year, the Giallorossi have been doing much better since the arrival of their former legend Daniele De Rossi as head coach, and could well claim 5th place this season.

Despite the stiff competition for fifth place, our experts have made their picks for Serie A's future top 5. Our prediction: Inter Milan, Juventus, AC Milan, Napoli and AS Roma in the Top 5!

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Which clubs will finish in the Top Six and qualify for the Conference League?

​​Finally, the team finishing 6th (or 7th, depending on who wins the Coppa Italia) in Serie A this season will take part in the next edition of the UEFA Europa Conference League. This third European Cup is not taken lightly by Italian clubs either, since Roma won the first edition, and Fiorentina have reached the final in the last two iterations (both losing, unfortunately). As you can see, many Italian clubs are keen to at least take part in this European competition!

For this third European cup competition, it's once again very difficult to make a prediction... According to our analysis, the top 6 should once again include a number of historic Italian league clubs. And we reckon that Atalanta, following on from their good results in recent years and in particular last year's Europa League victory, have more than enough ability and experience to take 6th place. Our prediction: Inter Milan, Juventus, AC Milan and Napoli, AS Roma and Atalanta Bergamo in the Top 6!

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Relegation prediction: which Serie A clubs will miss out on survival?

At the very bottom of the table, the objectives are quite different. Indeed, the fight to stay in the top flight often takes many clubs down a peg every year. And, this season too, the battle is likely to be fiercely contested in the Serie A. Three clubs will be relegated (18th, 19th and 20th) for the 2025-2026 season, and a number of others are expected to be involved in the struggle to stave off the drop. We can envision the following clubs at the foot of the standings: Empoli, Venezia and Lecce to be relegated!

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Which player will score the most goals?

There's more at stake in the Italian championship than just the collective ones! In fact, one individual accolade is hotly contested in the Serie A every season: that of the top goal scorer (Capocannoniere). In the new 2024-2025 season, which striker will finish top of the Italian league scoring table? Below is a list of players to watch this season:

• Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan)
• Marcus Thuram (Inter Milan)
• Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
• Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)
• Dusan Vlahovic (Juventus)
• Mateo Retegui (Atalanta)
• Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Atalanta's Mateo Retegui is the latest Argentine born (although he represents Italy at international level) striker to take the Serie A by storm. Following in the footsteps of Lautaro Martinez, who won the golden boot last season, Retegui has been in scorching form in the 2024/25 campaign. With a seven goal lead over Moise Kean, Retegui has sealed the award with only one game left to play.

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Beginners Guide - how does the Italian football championship work?

As you will have gathered, Serie A is Italy's top division football league, which pits the 20 best Italian clubs against each other via a system of home-and-away fixtures. The first phase takes place between August and December, with all the clubs playing each other for the first time. The process is then repeated between January and May, so that all the clubs play each opponent twice (home and away) for a total of 38 rounds. That's 380 matches per edition of Calcio.

At the final whistle of the competition, certain places have an impact on the clubs:

• The club that finishes first is Italian champion (and qualifies for the Champions League)
• 2nd, 3rd and 4th qualify for the Champions League
• The 5th (and 6th depending on who wins the Italian Cup) qualify for the Europa League
• The 6th-placed club (or 7th depending on who wins the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Europa Conference League
• 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to Serie B

Whether at the top or bottom of the table, there is a certain amount at stake in this Italian football championship. All this explains why the Serie A prediction is eagerly awaited before each match by many punters.

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How to make good predictions on a Serie A match?

In order to make winning predictions on the Italian Serie A, a few good practices are important for punters, such as having a solid knowledge of the competition in question. But that's not enough, and good practice is also necessary. SportyTrader has been specialising in football and Serie A for a number of years now, and offers you its top tips on how to make the best predictions:

• Check the form of each Italian team
• Take into account the latest Serie A statistics
• Rely on expert analysis
• Take into account what is at stake in the Serie A match
• Keep an eye on the list of players absent in Italy

These are our top tips for making the best Serie A predictions. Find out more about each of these points below.

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Consult the form of each Italian team

This is probably the most important tip for making a reliable prediction on the Italian football championship. Indeed, consulting and taking into account the form of the 20 teams is an action that should become mechanical and compulsory in your approach to betting on Serie A. For example, if you want to bet on Napoli but the club hasn't won in 7 games, unlike its opponents who have won 5 in a row, then it would be better to avoid making your bet. On the contrary, double the odds on their opponents! Don't hesitate to follow Serie A matches closely.

As far as this tip is concerned, we think it's important to stress that you shouldn't just look at the scores of recent matches. In fact, it is also very important to follow (closely or remotely) the performances put in by the clubs: possession, Expected Goals (xG), the number of shots attempted, on target and conceded, goalposts hit, etc. A team may have truly dominated its last two opponents, and yet still have lost. A team can genuinely have dominated its last two opponents, and still have lost those games. But that doesn't mean it hasn't played some good games in terms of content.

Take into account the latest Serie A statistics

Second tip from our experts: analyse the Serie A statistics! And what's important is to first get an overview of these figures. On this page, a little further down, you can access the major Serie A statistics, particularly in terms of the number of goals scored with Under/Over.

Secondly, it is also important to have the statistics for the most recent matches of each team in Italy's top flight in order to make the right predictions and place the right bets. Having the most recent stats will give you a much better idea of each club's current form.

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Rely on expert analysis

Here's a tip that's vital to the success of your bets on the best sports betting sites. Before you place your bets on the Italian league, taking expert predictions will help you decide whether or not to go ahead with your idea.

At Sportytrader, our tipsters take many aspects of a match into account and analyse a large number of statistics in order to offer you the best, most reliable prediction possible. So don't hesitate to rely on them before betting!

Take into account what's at stake in the Serie A match

For this fourth tip, there will be no statistical analysis, but rather the context in which the match will take place. Is it a derby known to be very hot? Were there any problems in the last match? This aspect is too important and is underestimated by many punters.

For example, an analysis of recent matches between Roma and Lazio shows that tension often takes precedence over the game, and that we rarely see a flurry of goals in this type of encounter. So be careful if you're thinking of trying an 'Over 2.5', for example.

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Watch the list of players absent in Italy

Finally, the last piece of advice is obviously very important. Even though football is played 11 against 11, as everyone knows, there are always one or more truly exceptional players on the pitch. These are the types of players that can turn the tide of a match, and are often difficult for coaches to replace when they are absent. This holds especially true at less prestigious clubs or those with a smaller budget and squad.

So before each bet, it's very important to check the squad given by the coach for the match you want to bet on, to see if there are any major absences.

Injury, suspension, poor form, off-the-pitch problems, disagreements... There could be many reasons why a footballer is absent from a match. Don't forget to check all this out before placing any bets with online sports betting sites!

As you will have gathered, our team always takes into account the advice we have just given you when making each Serie A prediction, as well as many other aspects of this competition.

By checking out each of our Serie A predictions, you can be sure of getting the most reliable overall view of the matches. So don't forget to check out our experts' thoughts before each Serie A weekend!

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What not to do for your Serie A predictions

After the best betting tips to make your predictions a success and have the best chances of winning on all Serie A matches, we now reveal what you should avoid. There are some bad habits you should forget. Below you'll find everything we advise you not to do before making a Serie A football prediction:

• Put aside the analysis of a football match (and Serie A in this particular case)
• Only bet on the big odds
• Don't compare the Calcio odds and take one that is lower than another bookmaker's.
• Take the plunge without any knowledge of the Italian league
• Trying at all costs to make up for losing a bet on Serie A
• Betting too often on live or boosted odds
• Betting too often on your favourite Italian team

All too often, a large number of both beginners and experienced punters fall into one of the habits listed above. So don't forget to put all that to one side before betting on Serie A!

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Italy Serie A statistics you need to know for your predictions

In addition to everything we've just described, having a good knowledge of the most important Serie A statistics is also a major factor in the success of your football predictions. Without further ado, here are the key stats to keep in mind when making your Italian league predictions. Note that these are from the current 2024-25 season:

• Home win percentage: 40%
• Draw percentage: 29%
• Away win percentage: 31%
• Average goals per game: 2.55
• Over 1.5 goals: 74%
• Over 2.5 goals: 48%
• Over 3.5 goals: 26%
• “Both teams score: Yes”: 52%
• First half goals: 43%
• Second half goals: 57%
• Average home goals scored: 1.34 per match
• Average away goals scored: 1.20 per match
• Exact score 0-0: 7.6% of matches
• Most frequent scoreline (full time): 1-1 (14.3% of matches)
• Most frequent scoreline (halftime): 0-0 (32.4% of matches)

When you place your bets on Serie A, you'll notice that certain types of bets are preferable. Serie A matches tend to start out on the more cautious side, as evidenced by only 43% of all goals being scored in the first 45 minutes as well as a 32.4% 0-0 rate going into the break. Teams often tend to play each other close in the Italian top flight with the 29% draw percentage ranking as the highest of all the top five major leagues!

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In short: how to make the right Italian Serie A predictions?

In order to have reliable football predictions on the Italian football league, a number of things need to be taken into account as well as carried out. It will be important to analyse each match, for example, but you'll also need to follow all the best practices we've talked about, as well as keeping in mind the general workings of the competition and the major statistics.

If you feel that doing all this will take too much time before each Serie A prediction, remember that all you have to do is consult the predictions of our Italian football and Serie A specialists, who are available before each match.

As a reminder, we offer you a detailed analysis of all 380 matches in the Italian league, completely free of charge and accessible at the top of this page. Find all the Serie A predictions from Sportytrader, ideal help all year round!

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Our current Serie A predictions - Italy

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Serie A: best odds

If you prefer to focus on the Italian top flight, our Serie A odds comparator is available now (100% free), as is Serie A Livescore. Perfect for following Italian football's elite from A to Z! Our Champions League prediction is also available if you'd like to keep a close eye on the progress of Italian clubs in Europe.