Serie A Betting Tips

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Serie A Presentation - Football

The Serie A is the first division of Italian football, and sees the best 20 clubs in the country compete for the title of Italian Champions every year. Established in 1898, the Serie A is considered by UEFA to be the third best football league in Europe, and sees the top three teams qualify for the Champions League every season. Fourth and fifth place qualify for the Europa League, while the three teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to the Serie B. Always a delight to online bettors, each season of the Serie A provides plenty of exciting betting opportunities.

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Serie A experts predictions

In the last decade or so the Serie A has greatly evolved, and over the course of the last three seasons has become the most prolific European football competition - seeing an average of 2.96 goals per game. This average dropped slightly to 2.60 last season, but the data remains consistent with regards the Italian mentality towards scoring. For your predictions on the Serie A, don’t forget to check out the goals market. 

In the same light, 51% of all games saw at least three goals find the back of the net, which might push you to try the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market at the bookies. Often offered at quite high odds, a bet on this market could even double your stakes - so why miss out, particularly when backing offensive teams like Juventus, Napoli or Inter Milan. 

Another important statistic to keep in mind for reliable Serie A predictions is the number of games in which both teams score. Last season, almost the same as three years ago, 53% of games validated the bet ‘Both teams to score’, quite a good ratio when you consider the odds offered by online bookmakers. Don’t forget then, to try your luck on the goals markets for your bets on Italian football. 

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You should then know that surprises are frequent in the Italian football championship. Unlike in other major European competitions, the Serie A sees the visitors win almost as much it sees draws (27.8% against 28.4%). In contrast, the hosts were victorious in 43.6% of goals in the 2018/19 season. In total, the N2 has been validated in nearly 6 games out of 10, so do not hesitate to try it regularly in your Serie A predictions. Overall, the odds are around 3/5, combined over 2-3 games this may be interesting.

Finally, if you a fond of betting on the ‘exact scores’ market, know that 11.6% of games ended with a 1-1 scoreline in the 2018/19 season, which is the same ratio as the four previous seasons! If you want to indulge yourself on the great odds available on the Italian football league, then lean towards the famous one-all draw. Generally proposed at around 5/1 (which would offer gains of £100 for a £20 wager), this is a market not to be neglected.

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How to predict Serie A matches

After analysing the key figures of the Serie A, let’s talk about the other factors you need to account for when making predictions in the Italian football league. First, it will be imperative to analyse the form of the key players involved in each match you intend to bet on. For example, if you are interested in placing a wager on a Juventus-Napoli match but Cristiano Ronaldo is suspended, a bet on the away team might be more practical. The same reasoning goes for each team in the Serie A, particularly when it comes to teams in the top half of the table.

The next parameter to consider is the real stake of the match on which you intend to bet. For example, a bet on the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market will have less of a chance to come true in a match between two teams at the bottom of the table - who will likely be more tense and therefore play more cautiously - than in a game between two sides at the top of the table. Before placing your bets on the Serie A, be sure to check the Serie A table to determine the motivation each time will have going into the match of your choice. 

Finally, it will also be necessary to compare the odds offered by bookmakers on the Serie A match of your choice. As we are sure you already know, the many bookmakers on the online betting market can offer different odds values for the same bet on the same match - whether you want to bet on Juve, Napoli, Lazio, Roma, Fiorentina, Inter Milan or AC Milan, you will find various odds values which can either boost or reduce your potential winnings. This can be more easily understood using the example of a Atalanta vs Juventus match, in which Bet365 offer odds of 2/5 on the Old Lady, while William Hill offers 3/10 on the same bet. At first glance this may seem like a harmless discrepancy, but over the course of a whole season could make up a difference of hundreds of euros!

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How to predict Serie A table

In addition to being able to bet on the various Italian football matches, you will also have the opportunity to predict the final standings of the Serie A. In addition to providing plenty of season-long excitement to sports bettors, these outright bets can also allow you to build up some long-term gains for your kitty. Some of the outright betting markets available to you on the Italian Serie A include the league winner, the top four, and the teams to be relegated. 

There will be a number of parameters to consider for this kind of Serie A prediction, including the real motivation of each team, the fixture calendar of the league, and the squad depth of each team in the league. Analyzing the bench, substitutes, or the youth teams of each club will be important in order to establish reliable predictions in the long term - take note of the amateurs. 

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Serie A 2019/20: our free betting tips

Massimiliano Allegri’s Juventus were crowned the champions of the Serie A in 2019, marking their eighth successive defense of the title, and the 35th in the club’s history. The Old Lady secured a place in the Champions League next season alongside second-place Napoli, third-place Atalanta and fourth-place Internazionale. Milan finished fifth, and join the winners of the Coppa Italia Lazio in qualifying for the Europa League next season. Having finished at the bottom of the table, Empoli, Frosinone and Chievo were relegated to the Serie B, to be replaced by Brescia and Lecce next season.

Juve have dominated the Serie A in recent years, and after adding to their strength so far in the transfer window (acquiring Rabiot and Ramsey) our experts are of the opinion that they will be the ones to watch to defend their title in 2019/20. The Old Lady also have the world-class talent of Cristiano Ronaldo to rely on, but will likely face some competition from the likes of Napoli and Inter Milan.

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