Italian Serie A Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Serie A prediction on who will win the title and come out on top in the main matches played in the 2023-24 Italian Football Championship. Full of information for your sports betting!

Serie A presentation and predictions

The Italian league, known as Serie A, is considered one of the top 5 alongside the English Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1 and the German Bundesliga. That's one of the reasons why Serie A predictions are so popular in the UK and around Europe. Throughout the exciting season, players have the opportunity to bet on the matches of Italy's top 20 clubs. 

From the opening match, scheduled for a little later than the other leagues (20 August 2023), to matchday 38 (set to be played on 26 May), our experts' Serie A predictions are available free of charge to help you place your bets with the bookmakers. Below, you will find our general predictions, as well as statistics and tips on how to make the best Serie A predictions.

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Winner prediction: who will win Serie A?

Last year, Napoli got off to a great start and continued their fine form to win the Serie A title by 16 points. It was a tough battle for the European places and it went right down to the final matches. Down at the bottom it was tight too with an extra match being played to determine one of the relegation places. Let's hope in 2023-24 it's a closer battle at the top but we know whatever happens it'll be exciting. 

On Italy's superb stadiums, from the San Siro (also known as Giuseppe Meazza) to Juventus Stadium, the Stadio Olimpico and the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, the best clubs in Italy will be battling it out not just for the Serie A title, but also for the European places, in particular the Champions League, the Europa League and the Europa Conference League, not forgetting the fight to stay up!

And when it comes to the Serie A title, Inter Milan have a very slight lead according to the odds given by the bookmakers . Of course, the competition will be fierce once again this year, and the identity of the future champion is far from easy to guess at the moment.

Reigning champions Napoli, as well as contenders such as Juventus and AC Milan, should of course be part of the battle. For the time being, the reigning champions are considered capable of retaining their crown. The most reliable free Serie A prediction is as follows: Napoli Italian champions 2023-2024!

Serie A prediction - odds on the favorites for the Italian league title

• Inter Milan - 3.00
• AC Milan - 3.75
• Napoli - 4.33
• Juventus - 5.00
• AS Roma - 29.00
• Lazio Roma - 29.00
• Atalanta - 29.00
• Fiorentina - 67.00

Odds taken from the bet365.com, vbet,co.uk and williamhill.com websites.

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk ,  vbet.co.uk and William Hill.co.uk.

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

Serie A Top 4 prediction: who will qualify for the Champions League?

As well as the club that wins the Serie A title, those finishing in second, third and fourth places qualify for the 2024-25 Champions League. Bookmakers are offering bets on who will finish in the top 4. Our prediction is: Inter Milan, Napoli, Juventus (not in European competition this season) and AC MIlan.

Marcus Thuram's Inter Milan lost in the final of the 2022-23 Champions League and are our tip to be Italian champions in the upcoming season. Napoli should be able to qualify for the Champions League. As for Juventus and AC Milan, while the title may be hard to come by, a top-four finish should be their main objective. Beware, though, as the two Rome clubs, Lazio and AS, will also be worth keeping an eye on.

Serie A prediction – Top 4 favorites odds

• Inter Milan - 1.14
• AC Milan - 1.25
• Juventus - 1.30
• Napoli - 1.36
• Atalanta - 3.75
• AS Roma - 4.00
• Lazio - 4.00
• Fiorentina - 6.50
• Torino - 21.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk .

Check out the Serie A odds at bet365!

Which Serie A club will qualify for the Europa League?

In addition to the Italian Cup winner, the club finishing fifth in Serie A at the end of the 2023-2024 season will qualify for the 2024-25 UEFA Europa League. And in this battle to reach the Europa League, it is the last two clubs mentioned in the paragraph above, AS Roma and Lazio, who could be engaged in a battle for that place. We believe Atalanta and Fiorentina will also be pressing hard to finish fifth but just fall short. .

Our prediction: Napoli, Inter Milan, Juventus, AC Milan and AS Roma in the top 5.

Serie A prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 5

Odds are not yet available from bookmakers for this Top 5 bet. In the meantime, visit vbet.co.uk for all currently available Serie A betting markets.

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

Which clubs will finish in the Top Six?

Finally, the team that finishes 6th (or 7th, depending on whether a side already qualified for the other European competitions wins the Italian Cup) will take part in the next edition of the UEFA Europa Conference League. This third European competition is not taken lightly by Italian clubs, with Roma winning the first edition and Fiorentina reaching the final last year. As you can see, many Italian clubs are keen to at least take part in this competition. 

According to our initial analyses, the top 6 should once again include some of the longest-standing clubs in the Italian league. Our prediction: Napoli, Inter Milan, Juventus, AC Milan, AS Roma and Lazio Rome in the Top 6.

Serie A prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 6

Odds are not yet available from bookmakers for this Top 6 bet. In the meantime, visit bwin.co.uk to find all current Serie A bets.

Check out the Serie A odds at bet365!

Relegation prediction: which Serie A clubs will miss out on survival?

At the very bottom of the table, the objectives are very different. Indeed, the battle to stay in the top flight can be a very close one indeed. Last season saw Spezia and Verona have to play an additional game to decide which would be relegated. It was Spezia who were the unlucky club joining Cremonese and Sampdoria in going down to Serie B. Another tight battle is likely this season and we tip Frosinone Lecce and Verona to be the three clubs that will be in Serie B in 2024-25 after finishing in 18th, 19th and 20th places. Our prediction: Frosinone, Lecce and Hellas Verona will be relegated.

Serie A prediction - relegation odds

• Frosinone - 1.57
• Cagliari - 2.00
• Empoli - 2.25
• Salernitana - 3.00
• Verona - 3.50
• Lecce - 3.50
• Genoa - 3.50
• Sassuolo - 9.00
• Udinese - 9.00
• Monza - 9.00
• Bologna - 11.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk

All the latest Serie A odds are at unibet

Which player will score the most goals?

The Italian championship has more at stake than just the teams! In fact, one individual title is hotly contested in Serie A every season, that of top scorer. In the new 2023-2024 season, which striker can score the most goals in Serie A? 

Odds to be top scorer

• Victor Osimhen (Napoli) - 2.75
• Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan) - 2.87
• Dusan Vlahovic (Juventus) - 11.00
• Olivier Giroud (AC Milan) - odds of 13.00
• Ciro Immobile (Lazio) - odds of 15.00
• Domenico Beradi (Sassuolo), 17.00
• Rafael Leao (AC Milan) - 21.00
• Romelu Lukaku (AS Roma) - 21.00)

Odds from bet365.co.uk 

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Beginners Guide - how does the Italian football championship work?

As you will have gathered, Serie A is Italy's top division football league, which pits the 20 best Italian clubs against each other via a system of home-and-away fixtures. The first phase takes place between August and December, with all the clubs playing each other for the first time. The process is then repeated between January and May, so that all the clubs play each opponent twice (home and away) for a total of 38 rounds. That's 380 matches per edition of Calcio.

At the final whistle of the competition, certain places have an impact on the clubs:

• The club that finishes first is Italian champion (and qualifies for the Champions League)
• 2nd, 3rd and 4th qualify for the Champions League
• The 5th (and 6th depending on who wins the Italian Cup) qualify for the Europa League
• The 6th-placed club (or 7th depending on who wins the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Europa Conference League
• 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to Serie B

Whether at the top or bottom of the table, there is a certain amount at stake in this Italian football championship. All this explains why the Serie A prediction is eagerly awaited before each match by many punters.

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

How to make good predictions on a Serie A match?

In order to make winning predictions on the Italian Serie A, a few good practices are important for punters, such as having a solid knowledge of the competition in question. But that's not enough, and good practice is also necessary. SportyTrader has been specialising in football and Serie A for a number of years now, and offers you its top tips on how to make the best predictions:

• Check the form of each Italian team
• Take into account the latest Serie A statistics
• Rely on expert analysis
• Take into account what is at stake in the Serie A match
• Keep an eye on the list of players absent in Italy

These are our top tips for making the best Serie A predictions. Find out more about each of these points below.

See all the outright Series A betting markets!

Consult the form of each Italian team

This is probably the most important tip for making a reliable prediction on the Italian football championship. Indeed, consulting and taking into account the form of the 20 teams is an action that should become mechanical and compulsory in your approach to betting on Serie A. For example, if you want to bet on Napoli but the club hasn't won in 7 games, unlike its opponents who have won 5 in a row, then it would be better to avoid making your bet. On the contrary, double the odds on their opponents! Don't hesitate to follow Serie A matches closely.

As far as this tip is concerned, we think it's important to stress that you shouldn't just look at the scores of recent matches. In fact, it is also very important to follow (closely or remotely) the performances put in by the clubs: possession, Expected Goals, the number of shots attempted, on target and conceded, goalposts hit, etc. A team may have truly dominated its last two opponents, and yet still have lost. A team can genuinely have dominated its last two opponents, and still have lost those games. But that doesn't mean it hasn't played some good games in terms of content.

Take into account the latest Serie A statistics

Second tip from our experts: analyse the Serie A statistics! And what's important is to first get an overview of these figures. On this page, a little further down, you can access the major Serie A statistics, particularly in terms of the number of goals scored with Under/Over.

Secondly, it is also important to have the statistics for the most recent matches of each team in Italy's top flight in order to make the right predictions and place the right bets. Having the most recent stats will give you a much better idea of each club's current form.

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Rely on expert analysis

Here's a tip that's vital to the success of your bets on the best sports betting sites. Before you place your bets on the Italian league, taking expert predictions will help you decide whether or not to go ahead with your idea.

At Sportytrader, our tipsters take many aspects of a match into account and analyse a large number of statistics in order to offer you the best, most reliable prediction possible. So don't hesitate to rely on them before betting!

Take into account what's at stake in the Serie A match

For this fourth tip, there will be no statistical analysis, but rather the context in which the match will take place. Is it a derby known to be very hot? Were there any problems in the last match? This aspect is too important and is underestimated by many punters.

For example, an analysis of recent matches between Roma and Lazio shows that tension often takes precedence over the game, and that we rarely see a flurry of goals in this type of encounter. So be careful if you're thinking of trying an 'Over 2.5', for example.

Get all the latest Serie A odds at VBET

Watch the list of players absent in Italy

Finally, the last piece of advice is obviously very important. Even though football is played 11 against 11, as everyone knows, there are always one or more strong men on the pitch. And these are often difficult for coaches to replace when they are absent, especially at less prestigious clubs or those with a smaller budget and squad.

So before each bet, it's very important to check the squad given by the coach for the match you want to bet on, to see if there are any major absences.

Injury, suspension, poor form, off-the-pitch problems, disagreements... There could be many reasons why a footballer is absent from a match. Don't forget to check all this out before placing any bets with online sports betting operators!

As you will have gathered, our team always takes into account the advice we have just given you when making each Serie A prediction, as well as many other aspects of this competition.

By checking out each of our Serie A predictions, you can be sure of getting the most reliable overall view of the matches. So don't forget to check out our predictions before each Serie A weekend, and don't forget that we cover 100% of the competition!

All the latest Serie A odds are at unibet

What not to do for your Serie A predictions

After the best betting tips to make your predictions a success and have the best chances of winning on all Serie A matches, we now reveal what you should avoid. There are some bad habits you should forget. Below you'll find everything we advise you not to do before making a Serie A football prediction:

• Put aside the analysis of a football match (and Serie A in this particular case)
• Only bet on the big odds
• Don't compare the Calcio odds and take one that is lower than another bookmaker's.
• Take the plunge without any knowledge of the Italian league
• Trying at all costs to make up for losing a bet on Serie A
• Betting too often on live or boosted odds
• Betting too often on your favourite Italian team

All too often, a large number of both beginners and experienced punters fall into one of the habits listed above. So don't forget to put all that to one side before betting on Serie A!

See all the outright Series A betting markets!

Serie A statistics you need to know for your predictions

In addition to everything we've just described, having a good knowledge of the most important Serie A statistics is also a major factor in the success of your football predictions. Without further ado, here are the key stats to keep in mind when making your Italian league predictions. Note that these relate to the 2022-23 Serie A season.

• Home wins: 43
• Draws: 26
• Away wins: 31
• Average goals: 2.56 goals per game
• +1.5 goals: 75
• -1.5 goals: 25
• +2.5 goals: 46
• -2.5 goals: 54
• +3.5 goals: 24
• -3.5 goals: 76
• “Both teams score: yes”: 50
• Matches with an away goal: 69
• Matches won by a margin of 2 goals or more (handicap): 34
• Exact score 0-0: 5% of matches
• Most frequent score: 1-0 (20% of matches)

When you place your bets on Serie A, you'll notice that certain types of bets are preferable. The home win rate is still fairly low, so the N/2 double chance could be worth a try. For the best odds, an away win even looks very interesting when you look at the stat. Note that the exact score of 1-0 is achieved in 1 match out of 5. The odds should be very interesting for this type of bet, which is now one of the most popular in football betting, so don't hesitate to try your luck this season.

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

In short: how to make the right Serie A predictions?

In order to have reliable football predictions on the Italian football league, a number of things need to be taken into account as well as carried out. It will be important to analyse each match, for example, but you'll also need to follow all the best practices we've talked about, as well as keeping in mind the general workings of the competition and the major statistics.

If you feel that doing all this will take too much time before each Serie A prediction, remember that all you have to do is consult the predictions of our Italian football and Serie A specialists, who are available before each match.

As a reminder, we offer you a detailed analysis of all 380 matches in the Italian league, completely free of charge and accessible at the top of this page. Find all the Serie A predictions from Sportytrader, ideal help all year round!

Make your Serie A selections at Bet365

Our current Serie A predictions

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Serie A: best odds

If you prefer to focus on the Italian top flight, our Serie A odds comparator is available now (100% free), as is Serie A live Livescore . Perfect for following Italian football's elite from A to Z! Our Champions League prediction is also available if you'd like to keep a close eye on the progress of Italian clubs in Europe.