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AFCON Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free predictions on the African Cup of Nations final winner, as well as experts advice and betting tips on all of the matches of AFCON 2022 (2021) - all the information you could need for your sports betting.

AFCON 2022 (2021) Predictions

AFCON Betting Tips

Running from January 9th, 2022 to February 6th,the delayed 33rd African Cup of Nations (AFCON) is being held in Cameroon. Also known as CAN, the top countries in Africa will be battling it out with Algeria defending the title that they won in 2019. So who are the favourites of AFCON 2022 (2021)? Which teams can create shocks during the tournament? What will be the predictions to favour? The answers are in the hands of our experts in African football.

There are 24 countries playing in this tournament. It's only the second time that so many have been in the finals. To familiarise yourself with the tournament, and be able to prepare your best bets, here is our presentation of this years AFCON groups, and our betting tips for the 2019 edition of this tournament.

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How does AFCON 2022 (2021) work?

How Does AFCON works ?

24 countries will be battling it out to win this tournament. Algeria are the reigning champions after beating Senegal 1-0 in the 2019 final. There are six grounds at which the games will be played. These are in Douala, two in Yarounde, Garoua, Baffousam and Limbe. The final will be played at the Olembe Stadium. All but hosts Cameroon have had to qualify to be playing in these finals.

There are six groups and each has four teams taking part. The top two in each group go straight into the knock-out stages. The other four countries in the last 16 will be the best third placed sides. The groups are as follows. The number in brackets is the FIFA world ranking at the start of this tournament.

  • Group A - Cameroon (50), Burkina Faso (60), Cape Verde (73) and Ethiopia (137)
  • Group B - Senegal (20 - the highest ranked African country), Guinea (81), Zimbabwe (121) and Malawi (129)
  • Group C - Morocco (28), Ghana (52), Gabon (89) and Comoros (132)
  • Group D - Nigeria (36), Egypt (45), Guinea-Bissau (106) and Sudan (125)
  • Group E - Algeria (29), Ivory Coast (56), Sierra Leone (108) and Equatorial Guinea (114)
  • Group F - Tunisia (30), Mali (53), Mauritania (103) and Gambia (150)

Draw for the Last 16

  • Burkina Faso 1 Gabon 1 aet (1-1 after 90 mins) Burkina Faso won 7-6 on penalties
  • Nigeria 0 Tunisia 1
  • Senegal  2 Cape Verde 0
  • Mali 0 Equatorial Guinea 0 aet - Equatorial Guinea won 6-5 on penalties.
  • Guinea  0 Gambia 1
  • Cameroon 2 Comoros 1
  • Ivory Coast 0 Egypt 0 aet - Egypt won 5-4 on penalties
  • Morocco 2 Malawi 1

Quarter Finals

Match B January 29 - 5pm  Gambia 0 Cameroon 2

Match A January 29 - 8pm  Burkina Faso 1 Tunisia 0

Match C January 30 - 4pm  Egypt 2 Morocco 1 (aet, 1-1 after 90 minutes)

Match D January 30 - 8pm  Senegal 3 Equatorial Guinea 1

Semi Finals

February 2  8pm - Burkina Faso 1 Senegal 3

February 3  8pm -  Cameroon 0 Egypt 0 aet  - Egypt won 3-1 on penalties

Third/Fourth place play-off

February 5 : 8pm - Burkina Faso 3 Cameroon 3 - Cameroon won 5-3 on penalties

FINAL

February 6: 8pm - Senegal 0 Egypt 0 (aet) - Senegal won 4-2 on penalties to win the tournament.

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Betting on AFCON - The stats to know

AFCON Betting Tips - Statistics

To establish reliable predictions about the Africa Cup of Nations, it is important to look at the statistics. These can be very helpful when trying to work out your selections. Our tipsters certainly burn the midnight oil with their heads in the formbook. These will form a major part of the predictions they make for this competition. Here's a look at the main statistics from AFCON 2019. When the tournament takes place in January, we will produce statistics after the group games have been completed.

2022 (2021) AFCON Statistics Update after final

  • 52 games have been played with only 23 having more than one goal scored after 90 minutes.
  • Vincent Aboubakar was the top scorer with eight goals . He scored twice in both of the first two Cameroon matches and also in the third/fourth place play-off. In second place was fellow Cameroon player Karl Toko Ekambi with five goals. In third were Sadio Mane, Sofiane Boufal, Gabadhinho Mhango and Ibrahima Kone of Mali who has scored three goals, all of them penalties..
  •  99 goals were scord in 52 games, an average of 1.9 per match. 
  • Of 99 goals scored to date, only 37 came in the first half.
  • Only 20 games saw seen both teams score.
  • Just 12 games had over 2.5 goals scored in them after 90 minutes.
  • There have been 10 penalties scored. Two matches have seen a couple of penalties scored in them.
  • Only Mauritania and Guinea-Bissau failed to score a goal.
  • Senegal won Group A without scoring a goal from open play.

This low number of goals is worse than what happened in the 2019 tournament. On that occasion, the number of goals per game was 1.96. That was the first time it had dropped below 2 goals per game since the 2002 event when it was only 1.5. There were 36 group games and these only produced 69 goals. The semi-finals, third/fourth place play-off and final only saw six goals scored in those four matches.

With a low average for the number of goals scored, it's not surprising that 73% of games in the 2019 tournament had under 2.5 goals scored in them. The figure was 78% for the group games and 62% in the knock-out stages. Three of the four semi-finals, third/fourth place play-off and the final had under 2.5 goals. In fact, it was three out of four with under 1.5 goals.

56% of games had over 1.5 goals but the betting odds for this market are sometimes not that attractive. When it comes to the both teams to score market, that only came up in 29% of games played in 2019. That's not a great figure at all, hopefully it will be higher in 2022. Group stages were tight affairs with only 22% of games seeing both teams score. 27% of games in 2019 were drawn and 36% of those draws didn't see a goal scored.

Of the 24 countries taking part, ten of them have won the tournament in the past. Egypt have won seven titles but not since 2010 have they won the final. The successful country with the longest wait for another title are Ethiopia whose only win was in 1962. Sudan have been trying for 52 years to win their second title.  Ghana won the last of their four titles in 1982.

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Winners of the last six tournaments

  • 2021 - Senegal
  • 2019 - Algeria
  • 2017 - Cameroon
  • 2015 - Ivory Coast
  • 2013 - Nigeria
  • 2012 - Zambia
  • 2010 - Egypt

This is not a tournament that sees many goals when it comes to the final. Seven of the last eight finals have had under 1.5 goals scored in them.  Five of the last 11 finals went all the way to a penalty shoot-out. 

Retaining the title is not an easy feat. This hasn't been achieved since 2010 when Egypt won the title for the third time in a row. They are also the last winners who reached the final in the next tournament, that feat was achieved in 2010.

Top Title Winners

  • Seven - Egypt
  • Five - Cameroon
  • Four - Ghana
  • Three - Nigeria
  • Two - Ivory Coast, Algeria and DR Congo

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How to place reliable predictions on AFCON 22 (21)?

AFCON - Reliable Predictions

When you place bets on this event, there is a great deal of thought that needs to be taken. It's not just a case of betting on the favourites because we all know they can lose and regularly do. Nor do you simply bet on the country that you support. Betting with your heart rather than your head is never a good idea. Here are some tips on how to make your choice.

  1. Look at the current form
  2. Which players are in form and which aren't
  3. Check the team news
  4. Look at the rivalries between the countries
  5. How important is the game?

1  Look at the current form

Many of the countries taking part in this competition only have a few games to play over the coming months. They have been playing in African World Cup qualifiers (ending mid-November) and there is also the upcoming Arab Cup in which Algeria, Tunisia, Mauritania, Egypt, Sudan and Morocco are taking part (Nov 30 to Dec 18). Look to see which countries are getting good results and could do well in this tournament. Also, look at those that are struggling and best avoided. The current form can also give clues on markets such as under/over and both teams to score.

2. Which players are in form and which aren't?

Some countries rely on certain players for success. Imagine Egypt with Mo Salah struggling to score goals. When looking at the recent results, also see who is in form and who isn't. Many times a country fails to get good results at a major event because their top players are struggling for form. A player that is scoring plenty of goals may well win matches for his country.

3. Check the team news

This is important when placing a bet. Just think if you bet on a game thinking certain players would be on the pitch but then it turns out they are injured. It is best to wait until the line-ups have been confirmed before placing your bet. 

4. Look at the rivalries between the countries

Some fixtures will be between countries who have long standing rivalries. Take for example England v Scotland at Euro 2020. The same will apply in this competition and that adds a little bit more to the game. For example, Algeria v Morocco, Senegal v Cameroon and Egypt v Algeria.

5. How important is the game?

This competition begins with six groups of four. The first couple of games will be important as sides try to earn the points that will take them into the knock-out stages. When it comes to the final group game, you need to look at how important it is. A country may have already qualified and if that is the case, they are likely to rest some players. if a country has been eliminated, they are likely to make changes and give some fringe players a game. However, if everything is in the balance re qualification, strong sides will be played.

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AFCON 2022 (2021) Groups

Group A -Cameroon, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia and Cape Verde

Cameroon AFCON

Cameroon are the hosts and will want to go as far as they can. They have a battle on their hands before this tournament begins as they try to get to Qatar for the 2022 World Cup. Burkina Faso are in good form at present (article written October 13) and will be confident they can qualify for the knock-out stages of this event. Ethiopia are expected to struggle and Cape Verde will be hoping to at least finish third. It's Cameroon who should win the group though.

Results

January 9 -  Cameroon 2 Burkina Faso 1

January 9 -  Ethiopia 0 Cape Verde 1

January 13 - Cameroon 4 Ethiopia 1 - Cameroon have qualified for the last 16

January 13 - Cape Verde 0 Burkina Faso 1

January 17 - Cape Verde 1 Cameroon 1

January 17 - Burkina Faso 1 Ethiopia 1

Final Table -  Cameroon 7 Burkina Faso 4 Cape Verde 4 Ethiopia 1

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Group B - Senegal, Zimbabwe Guinea and Malawi

Senegal AFCON

Senegal reached the final in 2019 and will look to go one better this time. They are in good form in the World Cup qualifiers and will be strong favourites to win this group. Zimbabwe are out of the World Cup and will struggle in this group. That is if they get to compete, that is in danger after their football assocation was suspended by the Zimbabwe government. Such state intervention could lead to FIFA suspending them. Guinea have also been eliminated  Malawi also need not book any tickets for Qatar next year. This isn't a strong group at all, Senegal will certainly be expected to win all three of their games.

Results

January 10 -  Senegal 1 Zimbabwe 0

January 10 - Guinea 1 Malawi 0

January 14 - Senegal 0 Guinea 0

January 14 - Malawi 2 Zimbabwe 1

January 18 - Malawi 0 Senegal 0

January 18 - Zimbabwe 2 Guinea 1

Final Table -  Senegal 5 Guinea 4 Malawi 4 Zimbabwe 1

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Group C - Morocco, Ghana, Comoros and Gabon

Morocco AFCON

Morocco last won this competition in 1976  but are in good form at present. They have won all their games in the World Cup qualifying group and are into the final qualifiers being held next March. A good showing at the Arab Cup and then AFCON are their main targets. Ghana have won this tournament four times, but not since 1982,  They are in a close battle to make it into the World Cup play-offs but when it comes to this tournament, qualification for the knock-out stages looks very likely. Comoros didn't even get past the first round in the World Cup qualifiers, while Gabon are third in their second round group. They are likely to finish third but probably not get enough points to get into the knock-out stages.

Results

January 10 - Morocco 1 Ghana 0

January 10 - Comoros 0 Gabon 1

January 14 - Morocco 2 Comoros 0

January 14 - Gabon 1 Ghana 1

January 18 - Gabon 2 Morocco 2

January 18 - Ghana 2 Comoros 3

Final Table - Morocco 7 Gabon 5 Comoros 3 Ghana 1

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Group D - Nigeria, Egypt, Sudan and Guinea-Bissau

Egypt - AFCON

Wonder what Mo Salah is thinking of? Perhaps an eighth title in February?  Egypt are the strongest side in this group and top of their World Cup qualifying group. Nigeria will again be contenders as they look to win this competition for a fourth time, the last win being in 2013. Sudan are out of the World Cup and it's going to be difficult for them to do well in Cameroon. The final team in this group are Guinea-Bissau who also won't be going to Qatar and unlikely to challenge in this group.

January 11 - Nigeria 1 Egypt 0

January 11 - Sudan 0 Guinea-Bissau 0

January 15 - Nigeria 3 Sudan 1

January 15 - Guinea-Bissau 0 Egypt 1

January 18 - Egypt 1 Sudan 0

January 18 - Gunea-Bissau 0 Nigeria 2

Final Table -  Nigeria 9 Egypt 6 Sudan 1 Guinea-Bissau 1

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Group E:  Algeria, Sierra Leone, Equatorial Guinea and Ivory Coast

Algeria AFCON

Algeria look to defend their title and should have few problems making it into the knock-out rounds. They still have a bit of work to do in their World Cup qualifying group. Being knocked out of that would be a big blow for them ahead of this competition. Sierra Leone have been struggling and lost in the first round of the World Cup qualifiers. Equatorial Guinea have an outside chance of World Cup success but don't always do well on their travels. Ivory Coast should be the other side to qualify from this group. They won this trophy in 2015 but might not be that popular when they arrive in Cameroon. They are in a close battle with them in the World Cup and have a vital away game against them in November. 

Results

January 11 - Algeria 0 Sierra Leone 0

January 12 - Equatorial Guinea 0 Ivory Coast 1

January 16 - Ivory Coast 2 Sierra Leone 2

January 16 - Algeria 0 Equatorial Guinea 1

January 20 - Ivory Coast 3 Algeria 1

January 20 - Sierra Leone 0 Equatorial Guinea 1

Final Table - Ivory Coast 7 Equatorial Guinea 6 Sierra Leone 2 Algeria 1

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Group F - Tunisia, Mali, Mauritania and Gambia

Mali - AFCON

Tunisia have only won this tournament once and that was in 2004. They are in good form and should make the knock-out stages without too much difficulty. Mali are also in good form and keep it tight at the back with no goals conceded so far in their World Cup qualifying group. Mauritania are out of the World Cup and will struggle in this group. Gambia didn't even make it past the first round of World Cup qualifying and they too will struggle for points, especially against Tunisia and Mali.

Results

January 12 - Tunisia 0 Mali 1

January 12 - Mauritania 0 Gambia 1

January 16 - Gambia 1 Mali 1

January 16 - Tunisia 4 Mauritania 0

January 20 - Gambia 1 Tunisia 0

January 20 - Mali 2 Mauritania 0

Final Table - Mali 7 Gambia 7 Tunisia 3 Mauritania 0

Four best third placed sides making it into the last 16 were: Cape Verde, Malawi, Tunisia and Comoros.

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You may be interested in : 

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Africa Cup of Nations official website : https://www.cafonline.com/

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