Super Lig Betting Tips
Discover our detailed betting tips & predictions for the next matches in the 2018/19 Turkish Süper Lig football.
Super Lig Presentation - Football
The Turkish Super Lig is the top-flight football league in Turkey. Home to some of the most passionate supporters in Europe, football in Turkey has often bordered on insanity. Clubs like Fenerbahce, Besiktas, and Galatasaray are household names for fans across Europe, thanks to their participation in the Champions League. It is one of the most followed championships in Europe, considering the vast football crazy fans in Turkey and the Turks who live abroad. There are occasions where the fans of the Turkish clubs have come under the spotlight for fans’ misbehaviour. There was even an occasion in 2015 when an attack on Fenerbahce’s team bus left the league suspended for a week. Nevertheless, Super Lig is one of the most colourful and passionate football leagues in Europe, which could do a lot of good to your sports betting pools. Last year saw Galatasaray pick up their 21st title, which is a record in the Turkish Super Lig.
Super Lig experts predictions
Football is all about passionate fans and that’s what differentiates Turkish Super Lig from the other leagues around Europe and the rest of the world. There are occasions when the passion bordered on insanity, but more often than not the enjoyment in the stands makes the Super Lig a great spectacle. That translates to goals on the pitch, as can be seen in the fact that the 2017/18 season witnessed an average of 2.96 goals per game.
There is unlimited entertainment for the fans as the 306 matches last season witnessed 906 goals and 176 times saw both teams scored (BTTS) which translates to 57% – a very high ratio that can offer bettors to try “Over 2.5 goals” and “Both the teams to score” in their predictions. A very high 35% of matches last season ended in “Over 3.5 goals”, which translates to around once in three matches.
Another important fact to keep in mind is the large number of home wins – probably because of the passionate home support that the teams enjoy. The 2017/18 season saw 50% of home wins with away wins happening only in 27% of cases. In only 6% of the matches (18 times) was there a goalless draw, which points to the fact that you can expect goals in a Super Lig encounter.
That makes it an interesting stat for bettors on Turkish Super Lig, because it often rains goals. The last four seasons had seen an average of 2.70 goals per game or more, which should point to a consistent trend of “Over 2.5 goals” in Turkey. Bookmakers generally come up with interesting proposals for bets on “Over 2.5 goals”, so do not hesitate in giving it a try. As you keep trying, in the long run, your bets will eventually win!
Another interesting facet is that a large number of goals have been scored in the last 15 minutes of a match. In the last year alone, 233 goals have been witnessed in the period between 76-90+ minutes of a match. That translates to around 26% of the total goals scored in the season. To narrow down even further, a total of 551 goals have been scored in the second half of a match in 2017/18, which amounts to 61.49% of the total goals. Now you know where to put your money on goals scored in a Super Lig encounter!
A quick look at the previous winners list indicates that the “Big Three” of Turkish football have dominated the scene. Fenerbahce, Besiktas, and Galatasaray have won the title an astonishing 55 times among themselves. That means only 7 times in the history of Turkey Super Lig was there a different champion – with Trabzonspor winning 6 titles and Bursaspor winning 1 in 2010. So, if you look to bet on a team winning the title, back one of the top-three to pocket the Super Lig!
How to predict Super Lig matches
The next most important subject that we will harp on is something that will capture your imagination greatly – the parameters to be taken into account before venturing into betting on a match of the Turkish Super Lig. First and foremost is to keep an eye on the strong teams of the league. With the league more often than not dominated by the troika of Fenerbahce, Galatasaray, and Besiktas it is important to keep an eye on who is shaping up how. After all, should one of these sides lose form the other two will become favourites and the odds will shorten!
Another important and interesting aspect to be considered is the form and performance of the strong players. A season is long enough for even the top players to lose form. If someone like a Bafetimbi Gomis of Galatasaray is injured or has lost a semblance of form that has earned him 29 goals in the 2017/18 season, then it could mean trouble for the defending champions in any tight game. Avoid betting too much money on the success of Gala in the absence of their top striker. In the same vein, should there be a suspension or injury to a top player for any side, their chance will be affected. Make sure that you keep an eye on all this information, otherwise your pre-bet analysis will be thrown out of the box.
Beyond the form and injuries to the key players, it is also important to understand the importance of a match in terms of the longer picture. If a club is playing in a key Champions League fixture on the upcoming Wednesday, then they may not put their full might in the weekend game – especially if it is against a mid-table club. So, unless there is a derby or a game between the table toppers, upcoming fixtures in the Champions League or the Europa League could distract the managers in deciding the playing XI. Especially because, some clubs may feel that doing well on the European stage to make a name for themselves could be a deciding factor.
There are additional factors like participation in the domestic cup that may have a hand in deciding your sports predictions on the Turkish Super Lig. For example, if Galatasaray are leading the league standings and are slated to play the bottom-placed team before a crucial Champions League group fixture against Manchester United, then there will definitely be distraction for Gala. More so, if a win against the Red Devils will help them qualify for the Champions League knockouts. That could mean Gala fielding an under-strength side in the weekend league game which may open up opportunities for an upset! Also keep an eye on the importance of a fixture for the participating sides – a relegation-threatened side desperate for a win could pull out all stops to defeat a mid-table side although on paper they are supposed to lose!
Last, but not the least, do not forget to take a look at various sports betting sites and compare the odds before finalising your bets. As you know, for the same bet, different bookmakers may offer different parts. Once you have decided on which pick to go with, you can maximize your potential earnings by going for the best available odds. For example, on a victory for Antalyaspor against Galatasaray, Bet365 could offer odds of 5/2 as against 2/1 by William Hill. As long as you stay vigilant, your earnings in the long run could be multiplied!
How to predict Super Lig table
There are so many ways you can get yourselves involved, along with the results on a specific match in the Turkey Super Lig. The bookmakers will keep throwing surprises in lining up interesting picks. There could be odds offered on who will finish among the Champions League places or Europa League qualification places that could be interesting for you as a bettor.
In the 2018/19 season, the winner will get a direct qualification to the next year Champions League, while the runners-up will move into the Champions League qualifiers. The next two placed sides will qualify for the Europa League. With the top sides always in the mix for these four spots, it is important to keep an eye on the odds with a view of placing a bet. There can be other avenues like placing a bet on who gets relegated for the season, as well!
Betting tips on the Super Lig top Scorer
As with every other competition, online betting sites will offer you a lot of options to bet on the top scorer of the league. As mentioned earlier, there is a lot of passion and goals in the Super Lig games, throwing a lot of names in the mix for the top scorer title. If you want to stay ahead of the competition with this pick, make sure you follow certain principles and make an educated guess to limit your risks.
For example, if a side plays with a single striker then he has greater chances of being on the scoresheet than a striker playing in a two-striker formation for another side. It is also important to understand the mentality of the coach and the side to judge the chances of that striker to find himself on the scoring sheet. Any coach who will happily take a 1-0 score than go for a 2-0 will kill the chances of the striker in adding more goals to his kitty. A talented player for Antalyaspor will have lesser chances of becoming a top scorer than another playing at Galatasaray or Besiktas.
Turkey Super Lig 2018/19: our free betting tips
Finally, let’s dip into what’s important for you – the big favourites of this edition of the Super Lig. As usual, the usual suspects Galatasaray, Besiktas, and Fenerbahce will be top of the list when it comes to picking a winner for the 2018/19 Super Lig. It is important to keep an eye on the summer transfer window and keep an eye on the ins and outs at these top clubs to understand who may have a better option of winning the title.
Other than these top three sides, Basaksehir has proven to be a surprise package last season and may once again be in the mix for the title in the 2018/19 season. For example, Galatasaray are offered odds of 15/8 (Bet365), Fenerbahce at odds of 2/1 and Besiktas at odds of 10/3 for the next season.
Who will win Super Lig 2018/19?
- Galatasaray - 15/8
- Fenerbahce - 2
- Besiktas - 10/3
- Istanbul BB - 5
- Kasimpasa - 66
- Kayserispor - 80
- Sivasspor - 80
- Bursaspor - 100
- Goztepe - 100
- Malatyaspor - 100
- Akhisar - 100
- Rizespor - 200
- Alanyaspor - 250
- Ankaragucu - 250
- Antalyaspor - 250
- Konyaspor - 250
- Erzurum BB - 500