Premier League Betting Tips
South African Premier League 2020/21, Tips and Predictions for each upcoming matchday. Full information for your sports bets.
2020/21 PSL Season
This is the top division in South African football and the new season kicks off on October 24. For sponsorship reasons, the league is also known as the DStv Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns will be bidding to win the title for the fourth straight year. The South African Premier League was launched in 1996 and the Sundowns have won the title on ten occasions. Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs have both won four titles and will be the main challengers to Mamelodi this season.
There are 16 teams in the South African Premier League. They play each other home and away, so there are 30 games to be played in the season. The league champions and second placed side qualify for the 2021/22 CAF Champions League. Whoever finishes third and the winners of the Nedbak Cup qualify for the CAF Confederation Cup.
The side finishing bottom is relegated and replaced by the champions of the National First Division. Those finishing in 15th go into a relegation mini-league with the teams finishing second and third in the National League.
There is another way to secure a place in the South African Premier League. This season sees TS Galaxy and Tshakuma in the top-flight. These two clubs didn’t win promotion on the pitch, instead their owners purchased the status of Highlands Park and Bidwest Wilts to gain entry into the league.
The 2019/20 season saw Mamelodi Sundowns win the title by two points from Kaizer Chiefs. Both sides had 56 points going into the final game. While the Sundowns beat Black Leopards 3-0 at home, the Chiefs were held to a 1-1 draw at Baroka. Third place went to Orlando Pirates who were five points behind the Chiefs. Black Leopards finished one from bottom in the table but won the relegation group with maximum points to keep their place in the league. Polokwane finished bottom and were relegated and have been replaced by National League champions, Swallows.
Another exciting season looks likely and we will be supplying you with previews of the top matches, written by our PSL experts.
PSL Statistical Analysis
Statistics are so important when you are working out which teams to back in the PSL. Our betting experts spend a great deal of time looking up the top statistics to help you make your decisions.
This is not a league in which a tremendous number of goals are scored. Last season, the average number of goals per game was only 2.12. That was down from 2.26 in the previous season. 508 goals were scored in the league last season, down by 35 from the 2018/19 campaign.
The most goals scored by any team in their 30 league fixtures was Kaizer Chiefs with 48. The champions Mamelodi Sundowns only scored 43 goals.
The most common final score in games last season was a 1-0 home win, that happened in 18% of fixtures played. That was followed by a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 away win, both on 12% of fixtures. The average number of goals scored by home teams was 1.2 and 0.92 for away teams.
Betting on the under/over goals market has become very popular in recent years. Last season, only 35% of matches played had over 2.5 goals scored in them. A bet on over 1.5 goals seems the best one to make. That statistic came up in 58% of matches played. Only Bloem Celtic, Cape Town City and Kaizer Chiefs averaged at least 2.5 goals a game, the Celtics were top on an average of 2.73.
Both teams scored in 42% of matches played last season. 80% of home games played by Bloem Celtic saw both teams get on the scoresheet. They finished ninth last season, scoring 43 goals but conceding 39. That made them joint second highest goal scorers but only the bottom two conceded more.
45% of games saw the home team get the win last season, that was a rise from the 38% in the 2018/19 campaign. 30% ended in draws and away wins happened in 25% of matches. Mamelodi had the best home record last season earning 33 points from their 15 games, winning ten of them. The team with the best away record was Kaizer Chiefs with 30 points getting nine wins. However, they lost two of their last three and that cost them the title
The most clean sheets kept last season was 14. That was achieved by three teams – Mamelodi Sundowns, Chippa United and Bidvest Wilts (no longer in the league). The fewest kept was four by Black Leopards. At the other end of the pitch, Baroka and Chippa United both failed to score in 16 of their 30 league games. Kaizer Chiefs scored in all but four of their fixtures. Mamelodi and Supersports United were next best on six.
How to Predict South African Premier League Results
It is helpful to look at the form of key players that are involved in the match you wish to place a bet on. If the Orlando Pirates have Gabadinho Mhango missing from their line-up, that will reduce their chances of winning. He was the joint top league scorer last season with 16 goals.
It is important to look at the current form of the teams that are playing. You need to pay close attention to who teams have been playing. A series of wins may look good on paper but if they have come against struggling sides, that doesn’t guarantee them beating a side near the top of the table.
Keep an eye on how many goals teams have been scoring and conceding. This helps you when deciding on markets such as under/over and both teams to score. Again, you need to look at the teams your selection has been playing. For example, scoring lots of goals against Baroka or Black Leopards doesn't mean more will be scored against a side such as the Orlando Pirates.
Finally, it will be necessary to compare the odds offered by bookmakers on the match you are studying. There may well be one bookmaker who is offering better odds and this can boost your winnings. It may be that Bet365 offer odds of 4/9 on a Bloem Celtic home win but William Hill and that's better than the lower odds of 4/11 offered by William Hill.
2020/21 PSL - Our Free Betting Tips
You will have plenty of games in the South African Premier League that you can place bets on. However, you can also predict the final standings of this competition. Bets can be placed on who will win the title, who will finish in the top four and who will be relegated. Always take a good look at the various markets that are available. It isn't all about choosing who will win or lose a game, there are many more betting opportunities and potential winners out there. Our betting experts will point you in the right direction if they believe a certain market, for example, both teams to score or under 2.5 goals is likely to produce a win.
So, who is going to win the 2020/21 South African Premier League? Mamelodi Sundowns look to win their fourth successive title and have strengthened their squad. They have made a major signing during the summer with the arrival of Peter Shalulile. He was the joint top goal scorer in the league last season. With his team, Highland Park, no longer in the league, he’s now joined the Sundowns and that’s not good news for the rest of the league.
Kaizer Chiefs will be kicking themselves that they didn’t win the title last season. They were top of the table but had a poor end to the season, earning just five points from their final five games, compared to the 12 earned by the Sundowns. Only one of their last six home league games was won, they can’t afford form like that if they want to win the title. Their season gets off to a difficult start as they host the defending champions in their opening game.
Orlando Pirates finished third last season. It’s their away form that will decide how well they do this time around. Last season saw them lose just one home league game but win just five on the road. Supersport United were fifth in the table last season, eight points clear of sixth. They also only lost one home league game last season but were beaten seven times on their travels.
Our team of betting experts will be covering games in Serie A throughout the season, follow their advice and make the 2020/21 Serie A season a winning one for you.