Premier League Predictions & Betting tips
08 Feb 2023 - 14:00
Manchester United and over 2.5 goalsDetail
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English Premier League 2022/23 Tips and Predictions for each upcoming matchday. Full information for your sports bets.
English Premier League
The Premier League is the highest division in English football. It is the top European football championship according to UEFA's coefficient. As well as that, It is also one of the toughest football competitions in the world in the eyes of football experts. It features 20 teams who face each other both home and away. This means a Premier League season consists of 38 matchdays. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League and every club wants to play in that. The fifth-placed team qualifies for the Europa League along with the winner of the FA Cup, and the sixth-placed team qualifies for the UEFA Europa Conference League. Seventh can also get you into that competition if sides qualified for the other European competitions win the EFL and FA Cup tournaments. The bottom three clubs in the table are relegated to the second tier (Championship).
The most important thing about the Premier League is the spectacle. Many world-class football players are here, such as Kevin de Bruyne, Harry Kane, Mohamed Salah and Virgil Van Dijk play in this league. They’re being joined this year by Erling Haaland who has joined champions Manchester City and had scored 18 goals before the Winter World Cup break. The stadiums are full every weekend and the coaches are of the highest quality. The teams playing on the field, including Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham and Manchester City, are clubs that every football fan dreams to see.
In addition to the famous clubs, we will also see teams such as Newcastle, Wolverhampton, West Ham, Everton, Leeds, Aston Villa, Crystal Palace and Southampton, who either left their name in the history with impressive performances or are filled with rising stars in recent years. Why not take advantage of this 2022-2023 season to try some sports betting while enjoying the games?Bet on Premier League at Bet365
Key Statistics for your Premier League predictions
The Premier League is undoubtedly one of the top tournaments in the world, and there are statistics to prove it. Up to the World Cup break that began in the second week of November, there had been 419 goals in 146 games. That's an average of 2.87 per match and up 0.05 on the figure recorded for the 2021/22 season.
League Positions at resumption of season on December 26
When the World Cup break began, Arsenal had a five point lead over Manchester City in second place. Surprisingly, Newcastle United were in third and only two points behind City. The final Champions League qualification place was filled by Tottenham on 29 points, one behind Newcastle. In fifth were Manchester United who have overcome a slow start to be just three points adrift of the top four. Liverpool were sixth but seven points behind fourth with Brighton in seventh and Chelsea in eighth, both eight behind Tottenham. Tottenham and Newcastle have played one game more than the other sides mentioned.
Down at the bottom, It's not good news for Wolverhampton Wanderers who have just 10 points and are four from safety. The other two relegation places are filled by Nottingham Forest on 13 and Southampton on 12. One above the relegation places are Everton on 14 points with West Ham on the same number of points but with a better goal difference.
Manchester City are again the top scorers with 40 in their 14 games. That's an average of 2. 85 goals a game. With a further 24 matches to be played after the Premier League season resumes on December 26, they could well beat the 99 goals scored (average 2.6 per game) when winning the Premier League title last season. They have scored seven more goals than any other team in the Premier League this season. In second place are league leaders Arsenal on 33, followed by Tottenham on 31 and Newcastle United on 23.
When it comes to conceding goals, Bournemouth have the worst defence. They've conceded 32 goals but nine of those were in that disastrous loss at Liverpool. Nottingham Forest have conceded 30 goals this season, Southampton 27 with Fulham on 26.
Another interesting statistic for your bets on the English Premier League is the "+2.5 goals" market." 53.5% of games last season had at least three goals scored in them. That statistic has risen to 55% this season and 31% of matches have seen over 3.5 goals scored. 75% of matches have had over 1.5 goals scored in them. That's just one in four matches having under 2 goals scored.
When it comes to both teams scoring in a match, that has happened this season in 52% of English Premier League games. That's compared to 50.5% in the 2021/22 season and illustrates the increase in the number of goals being scored.
What's the most frequent final score to bet on? The most frequent scores this season have been a 2-1 or 1-0 home win or the game being level at 1-1. All have been recorded in a total of 45 games, that's 30% of fixtures.
As for the half time score, 28% of games were goalless at the break. 82% of matches had under 2.5 goals scored in them at half time. In terms of when the goals are being scored in the Premier League, only 46.1% were scored in the first half with 53.9% in the second half. 18.4% of goals this season have been scored from the 76th minute onwards. 17.9% were scored between the 46th minute and the 60th minute.
49% of Premier League games this season have been won by the home side. That's compared to just 43% for the whole of last season. Arsenal won all six of their home fixtures before the break and Manchester City had won six out of eight. Southampton have the worst home record with just six points from seven games and just one win. The average number of goals scored by a home side per game this season is 1.74, that's 0.23% higher than last season.
23% of games have ended level and that's the same as for last season. The draw experts this season are Brentford who have drawn seven Premier League games this season. Next on the list are Newcastle on six, though most of those were at the start of the season. Arsenal have only drawn one league game this season
27% of away games have been won by the traveling side down from 34% last season. Reasons for that include Liverpool only winning one away league fixture, while even Manchester City have only won three. Arsenal have struggled on the road in recent seasons but up to the break had won six out of eight and have the best away record in the Premier League. Here's a strange stat for you. The second best away record belongs to Manchester United but they've scored 11 and conceded 16. 10 of those came in away losses at Brentford and Manchester City. Wolves and Nottingham Forest have the worst away records with just two points. They are the only two Premier League teams not to win an away game. The average number of away goals being scored per game is 1,13, down from 1.31 for last season.
How to bet on Premier League matches?
After having seen the interesting statistics to bet, let's now look though some simple rules to follow to maximise your winnings during the Premier League. First of all, you will have to take into account the form of the teams, as well as the form of the players that make up the team. A case in point is a match between Leicester and West Ham. If Jamie Vardy is on fire and has scored three times in the last two games, it is more likely that Foxes would get on the scoresheet. On the other hand, if the former England player has not been performing well lately, a bet on the double chance "Nil or West Ham" will be more appealing unless other Leicester players are scoring too. This applies to all Premier League teams.
Then, you have to take the importance of the match into consideration, namely what the result of this match will lead to. Look at what is at stake in the game, particularly in the second half of the season when clubs are trying to win the league, get into Europe or avoid relegation. This may lead to tighter matches being played. There will also be games where the two clubs don’t have a great deal to play for. So before you bet on the English league, take a look at the standings, especially on the Premier League’s official website.
Finally, and this will be a very important step for your long term winnings, you should of course compare the odds that are available before placing your bets on the Premier League. Indeed, whether you want to bet on Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester United or Leicester, you can use the competition between bookmakers to your advantage.All you need to do is to register with all the best bookmakers on the market, and see which one offers the best odds on the bet you choose. For example, if betting on Manchester United winning at home against Tottenham, check the odds at several sites. It may well be that Bet365 are offering 1.9 on a home win, while Vbet have odds of 1.85. Placing your wager with Bet365 will produce a higher return, so don’t forget to check all the odds!Bet on Premier Leauge
How to bet on the Premier League standings?
In addition to placing wagers on each of the Premier League matches, you can also bet on the final placings of the English Premier League season. For example, you can bet on who will win the Premier League, finish in the top four or top six and which sides will be relegated. Betting this way can see some good prices available and they may well fall in the weeks after the bet has been placed. The odds will fluctuate throughout the season. .
There are a few rules easy to follow, such as considering the motivation of the teams (is this a club satisfied with where it is now? Or are they ambitious to get into Europe or make a title challenge?), looking at the Premier League’s full schedule, and not to forget how the transfer windows affect a team. Analysing the strength of the squad a club has will be important. Some clubs have a good full-strength first eleven but if injuries/suspensions take place, their replacements may not be of equal quality and results will worsen.
What is the prediction for the top goal scorer in the Premier League?
Another market that has developed over the years on sports betting sites is the Premier League top scorer. There will be odds available before and throughout the season on which player will score the most goals and win the Golden Boot. This has in recent years been dominated by a select number of players. For example, Salah, Kane and Son. However in 2022/23 it's the new kid in town that is making the headlines. Erling Haaland has already scored 18 goals in the Premier League this season and is six clear of Harry Kane.
If you are a fan of this Premier League market, here are some tips to improve your chance of winning. Beside the strength of the players, you should take into account the overall strength of the teams in which they play, as well as their different tactics. For example, players like Son, Salah, Haaland, Nunez or Kane will have talented midfielders who will supply them with plenty of chances to score. than Aleksandar Mitrovic who plays for newly-promoted Fulham who are likely to struggle this season. Also look at players who are penalty-takers.
Top scorers from the last 5 seasons
- Season 2021-2022 - Mohamed Salah & Heung-min Son
- Season 2020-2021 - Harry Kane
- Season 2019-2020 - Jamie Vardy
- Season 2018-2019 - Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang & Sadio Mané & Mohamed Salah
- Season 2017-2018 - Mohamed Salah
Bookmakers offered odds of 4.00 on Haaland at the start of the season. Anyone who took those odds will be feeling pretty happy with their bet as the season resumes on December 26. Harry Kane will chase him hard though fans might be a bit nervous if he's got a penalty to take. Here are the latest odds.
- Erling Haaland, rating of 1.16
- Harry Kane, odds of 9.00
- Mo Salah, odds of 34.00
- Ivan Toney, odds of 34.00
- Darwin Nunez, odds of 51.00
- Aleksandar Mitrovic, odds 67.00
- Rodrigo, odds of 81.00
Our free prediction for the 2022-2023 season title
The 2022/2023 Premier League season sees Manchester City attempting to win the title for a third successive year and the fifth time in six seasons. No side has won three Premier League titles in a row since Manchester United between 2007 and 2009. At the World Cup break though, City found themselves in second place and five points adrift of leaders Arsenal. The Gunners haven't won the title since 2004 but have been a revelation this season with 12 wins out of 14.
Newcastle were the form team in the weeks leading to the break. They are in third and seven points behind Arsenal and from a game more. Manchester United are 11 points behind the Gunners and they need to be concentrating on a top four finish. One interesting feature of the remainder of the season will be the form of Liverpool and Chelsea who may struggle to even get a top four finish.
Despite City being five points behind Arsenal, bookmakers still have them as the odds-on favorites to win the title. They're actually shorter in the betting than at the start of the season. Can they claw back the deficit or can Arsenal hold onto their lead and become champions? If you think they can then here are the latest odds on offer:
- Manchester City, odds of 1.51
- Arsenal, odds of 3.50
- Newcastle United, odds of 34.00
- Liverpool, odds of 34.00
- Tottenham, odds of 67.00
- Manchester United odds of 67.00
- Brighton and Hove Albion, odds of 501.00
- West Ham United, odds of 1001.00
- Crystal Palace, odds of 1001.00
- Aston Villa, odds of 1501.00
- Leicester, odds of 2001.00
- Brentford, odds of 2501,00
- Fulham, odds of 2501.00
- Leeds United, odds of 3001.00
- Everton, odds of 3001.00
- Southampton, odds of 4001.00
- Bournemouth, odds of 4501.00
- Nottingham Forest, odds of 4501.00
- Wolverhampton Wanderers, odds of 4501.00
Whatever your views are on the 2022-2023 Premier League season are, you can find attractive odds at the best online sportsbooks.Don't hesitate to take advantage of them. Besides, there are also good welcome bonuses waiting for you.
Other long term bets
Are you looking for long term betting on the Premier League? Here are the different markets offered by the sports betting sites.
Odds for Champions League qualification (Top 4)
Great odds are offered on the teams that will finish in the top 4 of the Premier League, and therefore qualify for the following season of Champions League. These odds might give you an idea on how to bet on this PL 2022-2023.
- Manchester City, odds of 1.05
- Arsenal, odds of 1.06
- Liverpool, odds of 1.57
- Tottenham, odds of 2.1
- Manchester United, odds of 2.25
- Newcastle United, odds of 2.37
- Chelsea, odds of 4.50
- Brighton and Hove Albion, odds of 17.00
- Crystal Palace, odds of 67.00
- Aston Villa, odds of 151.00
- Brentford, odds of 151.00
- West Ham United, odds of 151.00
- Leicester City, odds of 201.00
Odds for a European qualification (Top 6)
Odds are also available on the teams that will finish in the top 6 of the Premier League, who will also qualify for European competition. Here are the best odds offered on the market:
- Manchester City, odds of 1.001
- Arsenal, odds of 1.1
- Liverpool, odds of 1.10
- Tottenham, odds of 1.25
- Manchester United, odds of 1.25
- Newcastle, odds of 1.25
- Chelsea, odds of 1.57
- Brighton, odds of 5.00
- Crystal Palace, odds of 26,00
- Aston Villa, odds of 34.00
- West Ham, odds of 51.00
- Leicester, odds of 51.00
- Brentford, odds of 61.00
Odds for relegation
Football isn’t all about success. Three teams will be relegated to the Championship and you can place bets on who they will be. Here are the best odds on the market for potential relegation candidates:
- Nottingham Forest, odds of 1.52
- Bournemouth, odds of 1.66
- Wolverhampton Wanderers, odds of 1.91
- Everton, odds of 2.6
- Southampton, odds of 2.61
- Leeds United, odds of 5.00
- Fulham, odds of 6.50
- Leicester City, odds of 9.00
- Brentford, odds of 9.00
- Aston Villa, odds of 21.00
- West Ham United, odds of 11.00
- Crystal Palace, odds of 21.00
Our Premier League Predictions of the moment
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