Somalia vs Ivory Coast Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Somalia
29/09/2026 15:00
Ivory Coast

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions

Somalia has scored in only two of their last nine matches, and that scoring drought is half the reason why our match predictions favor a low-scoring game. The Ocean Stars host the Elephants on Tuesday in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifier. For us, the best bet here is under 2.5 goals.

Somalia have been blanked in seven of their last nine matches, including four one-sided losses in World Cup qualifying last year. Their only two goals in that run came in a friendly win over Bahrain and their most recent qualifier, a 1-2 loss to Gambia. The Ocean Stars have not scored twice in a match since November of last year.

Ivory Coast, by contrast, have kept five clean sheets in their last nine matches and won their qualifying opener 2-0 against Ghana four days ago. What's more, the Elephants have scored in every one of those nine games.

But Four of their five clean sheets, though, came against opposition firmly above Somalia's level, including Scotland and Ecuador. That combination of a leaky Somalia attack and a tightening Elephants defense points toward a low-scoring finish.

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Somalia v Ivory Coast Best Betting Odds

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20 10 1.03
Betway
41 17 1.02
Tonybet
25 13 1.04
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What is the prediction for the football match between Somalia and Ivory Coast?

Our prediction for the Somalia vs Ivory Coast match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Somalia and Ivory Coast in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.37% for a win of Somalia against Ivory Coast with odds of 41 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Somalia vs Ivory Coast is 16.67% with odds of 17 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 62.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Ivory Coast vs Somalia with odds of 1.04 at Tonybet.

Somalia vs Ivory Coast Form

Somalia and Ivory Coast's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Ivory Coast
3 1 1 0 0 +2
3 Somalia
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Somalia and Ivory Coast Last Matches

Somalia
Somalia Last matches
L W D D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Gambia
2 :  1
Somalia

31 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Mauritius
0 :  0
Somalia

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Somalia
0 :  0
Mauritius

26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Oman
0 :  0
Somalia

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Bahrain
1 :  2
Somalia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  1
Mozambique
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Somalia
0 :  0
Mauritius

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  1
Mozambique

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  3
Algeria

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  3
Guinea

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Somalia
1 :  3
Botswana

20 Mar 2024 - AFCON

Somalia
0 :  3
Eswatini
L L W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Gambia
2 :  1
Somalia

31 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Mauritius
0 :  0
Somalia

26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Oman
0 :  0
Somalia

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Bahrain
1 :  2
Somalia

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
2 :  0
Somalia

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
2 :  0
Somalia
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast Last matches
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
2 :  0
Ghana

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  2
Norway

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Curacao
0 :  2
Ivory Coast

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Germany
2 :  1
Ivory Coast

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Ecuador

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Ivory Coast
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
2 :  0
Ghana

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  2
Norway

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Ecuador

6 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
3 :  0
Burkina Faso

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
1 :  1
Cameroon

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Mozambique
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Curacao
0 :  2
Ivory Coast

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Germany
2 :  1
Ivory Coast

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Ivory Coast

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Scotland
0 :  1
Ivory Coast

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

South Korea
0 :  4
Ivory Coast

10 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Egypt
3 :  2
Ivory Coast
Somalia vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Missing players

Somalia
Somalia
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
Defender

W. Singo

G. Doue

Forward

A. Diallo

Somalia and Ivory Coast Stats in AFCON

Somalia
Somalia
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
0%
Wins
100%
33%
Losses
0%
67%
Draws
0%
1
Average goals per match
2
0.33
Goals scored per match
2
0.67
Goals conceded per match
0
67%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
67%
No goals conceded
100%
33%
BTTS
0%

Somalia - Ivory Coast Key Points

  1. Somalia has scored in only two of their last nine matches.
  2. Somalia has been blanked in seven of their last nine matches.
  3. Côte d'Ivoire has kept five clean sheets in their last nine matches.
  4. Côte d'Ivoire beat Ghana 2-0 in their own qualifying opener four days ago.
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Our Somalia vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Somalia has scored in just two of their last nine matches and been blanked in seven, making goals hard to come by against anyone. Côte d'Ivoire has matched that with five clean sheets in the same span, including a 2-0 win over Ghana four days ago.

Somalia's own qualifying opener also finished low-scoring. And both trends only point toward a tight afternoon between the Ocean Stars and the Elephants. Hence, our Somalia vs Ivory Coast prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.