Cape Verde Isl. vs Rwanda Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in AFCON Predictions
After contrasting results on matchday one, Cape Verde host Rwanda on Tuesday, desperate to kickstart their 2027 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) qualification with a win. This Group K match between the third-placed ‘Blue Sharks’ and the second-placed ‘Wasps’ at Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde in Praia comes with our match prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Cape Verde are third in the standings, level currently with Liberia. Rwanda are second with three points, level currently with Mali at the top.
The highs of the FIFA World Cup campaign didn’t last long, as Cape Verde lost 3-1 away at Mali last Friday. The match was dusted by the 51st minute, making it their first defeat in five matches within 90 minutes (D4).
The hosts are looking to qualify for the AFCON finals after failing to do so for the 2025 edition, and home form could be vital. They have five wins from their last seven home competitive games (D1, L1), including three in a row.
Rwanda won 3-1 at home against Liberia last Friday, with all four match goals coming in the first half. It was a third win in a row for the ‘Wasps’, whose only previous AFCON finals appearance was in 2004.
A win here will keep them in control, but five defeats out of their last six trips (W1) underline their challenges.
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Cape Verde Isl. v Rwanda Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.32 | 4 | 8.8 |
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1.33 | 4.4 | 9.9 |
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1.33 | 4.4 | 9.9 |
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1.33 | 4.4 | 9.9 |
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1.37 | 4.1 | 9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cape Verde Isl. and Rwanda?
Our prediction for the Cape Verde Isl. vs Rwanda match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Cape Verde Isl. and Rwanda in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44% for a win of Cape Verde Isl. against Rwanda with odds of 1.37 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cape Verde Isl. vs Rwanda is 35.99% with odds of 4.4 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Rwanda vs Cape Verde Isl. with odds of 9.9 at 1xbet.
Cape Verde Isl. vs Rwanda Form
Cape Verde Isl. and Rwanda's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
3
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0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Cape Verde Isl. and Rwanda Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
3 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
3 Jul 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
Cape Verde Isl. vs Rwanda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Nov 2020 - AFCON
Cape Verde Isl. and Rwanda Stats in AFCON
Cape Verde Isl. - Rwanda Key Points
- Six of Cape Verde’s last seven home competitive games have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Cape Verde kept a clean sheet in eight of their last 15 matches.
- Eight of Rwanda’s last 11 matches have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Four of Rwanda’s last five away fixtures produced at most two goals.
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Our Cape Verde Isl. vs Rwanda Prediction
Cape Verde would have wanted a better start than a defeat on matchday one in their first game after the historic run in the FIFA World Cup. They can’t let the hangover dictate their results, and a victory here against Rwanda would set things up. The visitors may boast of a better recent form, but their away form is still of concern.
The two historical matches between these sides ended in 0-0 draws, and the low-scoring theme could continue here as well. That’s why our Cape Verde Isl. Vs Rwanda prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.