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La Liga Predictions & Betting tips

Betting tips 1X2

27 Apr 2024 - 10:15

LaLiga

Almería Almería
Getafe Getafe
1 X 2
Probability of 39%
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30

LaLiga

Alavés Alavés
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
1 X 2
Probability of 43%
27 Apr 2024 - 15:00

LaLiga

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
1 X 2
Probability of 50%
28 Apr 2024 - 08:00

LaLiga

Cádiz Cádiz
Mallorca Mallorca
1 X 2
Probability of 44%
28 Apr 2024 - 10:15

LaLiga

Granada Granada
Osasuna Osasuna
1 X 2
Probability of 43%
28 Apr 2024 - 12:30

LaLiga

Villarreal Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
1 X 2
Probability of 53%

Find our free La Liga prediction on who will become Spanish champions and matches played throughout the 2023-24 season. Our free previews will be full of information to help you with your predictions!

Presentation and predictions La Liga - Football

“Liga

Spain's top flight football league, La Liga, is very popular in the UK and all around Europe. Making predictions on this competition is also a very popular move to make. La Liga is considered to be one of the 5 major leagues, along with the English Premier League , Serie A , the Bundesliga and Ligue 1. Throughout the season you'll have the chance to be placing bets on the matches played by Spain's top 20 clubs. The battle for the title, attempting to finish in the Champions League positions and attempting to avoid relegation make for thrills every week!

From the first match on 11 August 2023 to the last matchday (scheduled for 26 May 2024), our free La Liga predictions offered by our betting experts will help you make the best possible bets on the Spanish league. You can already find our long-term predictions below, as well as statistics and tips on how to make the best La Liga predictions.

Bet on the Spanish La Liga now!

Spanish league title prediction: who will win La Liga 2023-2024?

“La

As you will have gathered, the league in general, and every day and every match in La Liga, is shaping up to be a very tight affair in the 2023-2024 season. Whether at the top or the bottom of the table, the battle should be fierce between all the Spanish football clubs!

We should be treated to some great games in the superb and historic stadiums of the Spanish league: Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, Cívitas Metropolitano, San Mamés, Mestalla and the Ramón-Sánchez-Pizjuán Stadium. Barcelona will not be playing at their traditional Camp Nou, which will be closed for renovations. In any case, some of Spain's top clubs will be battling it out for the league title, a place in the Champions League , Europa League and Europa Conference League and avoiding relegation.

For the La Liga title, Real Madrid are now heavy favorites according to the bookmakers. Indeed, it would take a massive collapse for Los Blancos to be denied their 36th La Liga crown as they now hold a six-point lead over second-place. Girona have been a pleasant surprise this season, going toe-to-toe with teams that have budgets dwarfing that of the smaller Catalan-based club. There were a few moments where it looked like the Blanquivermells might pull off an audacious league title win, but back-to-back league losses (including a 4-0 defeat to Madrid) have all but closed the book on their championship hopes.

As we have tipped from the beginning of the season, the likes of Jude Bellingham, Vinicius, Rodrygo, Camavinga and the rest of Los Galacticos will likely prove too much for the other clubs to overcome over the course of the 38 match season. The most reliable La Liga prediction at the end of the season is as follows: Real Madrid champions of Spain 2023-2024!

La Liga prediction - current odds on the favorites for the Spanish league title (after matchday 25)

  • Real Madrid - 1.06
  • Girona - 15.00
  • FC Barcelona - 17.00
  • Atletico Madrid - 26.00
  • Athletic Bilbao - 251.00
  • Real Sociedad - 1001.00
  • Real Betis  - 1501.00
  • Valencia - 2001.00
  • Las Palmas - 3001.00
  • Getafe - 4001.00
  • Alaves - 4501.00
  • Rayo Vallecano - 4501.00
  • Sevilla - 4501.00
  • Real Mallorca - 4501.00
  • Osasuna - 4501.00
  • Villarreal - 4501.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk

Check out the La Liga odds

La Liga Top 4 prediction: which teams will qualify for the Champions League?

La Liga prediction - Top 4

Betting on La Liga isn't just about betting on who will win the title. You also have the opportunity to gamble on the clubs that will finish in the Champions League places. In addition to the champions, the teams that finish second, third and fourth in La Liga will qualify for the 2024-2025 Champions League. As far as these four Champions League places are concerned, our initial prediction before the start of the season was: Real Madrid, FC Barcelona, ​​​​Atlético de Madrid and Real Sociedad in the top 4.

Understandably, not many will have predicted the rapid rise of Girona this season as they have undoubtedly been the most impressive team in the division. The rest of the top four is shaping up to be fairly predictable with Atletico Madird looking strong and Barcelona managing to get results, depsite their many front office issues. Diego Simeone's Atleti side find themselves in a duel for the fourth-place position with Athletic Bilbao, whom they currently lead by two points after 25 matches. We believe the overall depth and quality of Los Colchoneros will be enough to hold off the Basque club and secure another season of Champions League football.

La Liga prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 4

  • Real Madrid - N/A
  • FC Barcelona - 1.04
  • Girona - 1.06
  • Atletico Madrid - 1.20
  • Athletic Club - 2.75
  • Real Sociedad - 41.00
  • Real Betis - 151.00
  • Valencia - 751.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk

Check out the La Liga match odds at bet365!

La Liga - Who Will Finish in the Top 5?

Top 5 League prediction

In Spain, two places qualify for the UEFA Europa League. In addition to the Spanish Cup winner, the club finishing fifth in La Liga will qualify for the Europa League for the 2024-2025 season. In the fight to reach this competition, the clubs mentioned above - Sevilla and Villarreal - are likely to be joined by Betis.

Of course, it's hard to say with any certainty where we'll be in August 2023, but it could well be that one of these teams will feature in La Liga's top five, and we're leaning towards the yellow submarine. Our prediction: Real Madrid, FC Barcelona, ​​Real Madrid, Real Sociedad and Villarreal in the top 5.

La Liga prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 5

Odds are not currently available from for this Top 5 bet. In the meantime, visit William Hill.co.uk to find all open La Liga bets.

See all outright La Liga betting markets at VBET!

Which Clubs Will Finish in the top Six?

“Top 6 La Liga prediction”

The club that finishes 6th (or 7th, depending on who wins the cup) in La Liga this season will have the opportunity to take part in the next UEFA Conference League! This is the latest competition, categorized as Europe's third cup. Officially, the sixth-placed club in the Spanish league will qualify for this competition. But if it's a club that qualifies for the two other European competitions via the league that wins the King's Cup (Copa del Rey), then 6th or 7th place could qualify for the UEFA Conference League. We saw this happen last season with 7th placed Osasuna qualifying as cup winners Real Madrid had already secured a place in the Champions League via their final league placing.

It is still difficult to make a reliable prediction for August 2023. In our opinion, the other clubs to watch out for in sixth place are Andalusian outfit Sevilla, Betis and Athletic Bilbao. Our prediction: Real Madrid, FC Barcelona, ​​Atlético de Madrid, Real Sociedad, Villarreal and Sevilla FC in the top 6 of La Liga.

La Liga prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 6

Odds are not currently available for this Top 6 bet. In the meantime, visit bet365.co.uk to find all open La Liga bets.

See all betting odds on La Liga 2023/24!

Relegation predictions: which La Liga clubs will go down?

“La Liga relegation prediction”

Further down the table, a number of clubs are facing an intense battle to avoid relegation to La Liga 2. Naturally, we're hoping for just as much drama as last year, when it all came down to the final day. As a reminder, clubs finishing 18th, 19th and 20th at the end of the season will be relegated to the second division for the following season (2024-2025). Almeria are all but confirmed to be playing in the Segunda Division next season as they are still seeking their first league victory 25 matches into the season. It's a similar case for 18th and 19th-place, who are significant favorites to go down. So we came up with the following prediction: Almeria, Cadiz and Granada to be relegated.

La Liga prediction - relegation odds

  • Almeria - 1.02
  • Granada - 1.08
  • Cadiz - 1.20
  • Mallorca - 6.50
  • Celta Vigo - 7.00
  • Villarreal - 21.00
  • Sevilla - 21.00
  • Rayo Vallecano - 51.00
  • Alaves - 67.00

Odds from bet365.com

See all betting odds on La Liga 2023/24!

Prediction on the top scorer in La Liga 2023-2024: which player will score the most goals?

“La Liga top scorer prediction”

Aside from the bets that can be placed on each team, there is also the chance to place a wager on individual players in La Liga. This season's Pichichi award is up for grabs with little seperating the top goalscorers in the table. Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham is leading the scoring charts with 16 goals but holds only a slim one goal lead over Getafe's Borja Mayoral in second-place. Crowned top scorer last year in his first season with 23 goals, Poland's Robert Lewandowski's tally of 12 goals so far means he has some catching up to do. However, given his stellar goals record throughout his illustrious career, we wouldn't put it past the 35-year-old to go on a late run and claim the award for a second straight year!

La Liga prediction - top scorer odds (after matchday 25)

  • Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) - 2.50
  • Alvaro Morata (Atletico Madrid) - 4.50
  • Artem Dovbyk (Girona) - 5.00
  • Borja Mayoral (Getafe) - 5.00
  • Robert Lewandowski (FC Barcelona) - 5.00
  • Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid) - 15.00
  • Ante Budimir (Osasuna) - 26.00
  • Gerard Moreno (Villarreal) - 41.00
  • Rodrygo (Real Madrid) - 41.00
  • Hugo Duro (Valencia) - 41.00
  • Jose Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) - 51.00
  • Youssef En-Nesyri (Sevilla) - 51.00

Odds from bet365.com

See all betting odds on La Liga 2023/24!

Beginners to sports betting - how does the Spanish league work?

  • The club finishing first is champion of Spain and qualifies for the Champions League.
  • The teams ranked 2nd, 3rd and 4th also qualify for the Champions League
  • The 5th-placed club qualifies for the Europa League (and potentially the 6th, depending on who wins the Spanish Cup).
  • The team ranked 6th qualifies for the Europa Conference League (or 7th depending on who wins the Spanish Cup).
  • Clubs ranked 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to Liga 2

As you will have gathered, La Liga is Spain's top division football league. It brings together and pits Spain's top 20 clubs against each other with each side facing all the others both home and away. Each team therefore plays a total of 38 matchdays, with a fixture list of 380 games in all.

At the final whistle of the championship, a few places have significant returns, some good but others not so welcome.

There is therefore a certain amount at stake in this Spanish football league, which goes a long way towards explaining why betting on La Liga matches is one of the most popular activities carried out by football fans who love placing bets.

Check out the La Liga odds

How to make good predictions on La Liga matches?

“La

To make a winning La Liga prediction, you first need to know a lot about the league, but you also need to be a 'good bettor'. As a specialist in the Spanish league for many years, SportyTrader offers you its main and best tips for good predictions:

  • Check the form of the La Liga teams
  • Take into account the calendar of Spanish clubs
  • Keep an eye on the list of absentees in La Liga
  • Take into account the history of each team in the Spanish league
  • Compare the odds on each EA Sports FC La Liga game.

According to our experts, these are some of the most important tips if you want to bet on La Liga matches. You can find each of them in detail just below.

See all betting odds on La Liga 2023/24!

Check the form of the La Liga teams

“La Liga Betting Tips”

In order to make a reliable prediction on the Spanish football championship, there are a few facts you need to pick up quickly. The first is to check the form of the teams you are betting on. If you want to bet on Betis against Cadiz but Betis have not won in 9 games while their opponents have not lost in 6, you will probably have to reconsider your initial bet. The form of the teams is very important in making your bets, so don't overlook it.

We think it's important to remember that simply analysing the latest scores is not enough to make safer bets. In fact, it is far more interesting for you and your bets to analyse the content offered by a team in the match, which may have lost two games in a row despite clear domination and bad luck.

If you look at the results, you may think that they are out of form, when in fact they may just have been unlucky. The major statistics (possession, Expected Goals, amounts, number of shots taken, attempted and on target, fouls committed and provoked, etc) are therefore of great importance.

Take into account the calendar of Spanish clubs

Secondly, and football fans know this only too well, teams' fixture lists are getting heavier and heavier, with more and more games to play. So it's very important to check the fixture list before placing a bet on a La Liga match. Take, for example, a Madrid derby match between Real Madrid and Getafe.

Madrid have just played Barça and Newcastle in the Champions League, and will then face Getafe, before returning to the Champions League for another tough game followed by a difficult match against Sevilla in La Liga. In this busy schedule, the game against Getafe could obviously be seen as an 'easy match'. To give some key players a rest there is likely to be some squad rotation but sometimes that backfires, so keep that in mind.

Beware, then, as an overloaded fixture list will obviously explain some of their poor results. That's why we advise you to wait for the official line-up before placing a bet on a La Liga match or any other competition. It could well save you losses more than once...

Check out the La Liga odds

Keep an eye on the list of absentees in La Liga

“La Liga Prediction Tips”

Following on from the previous point, the list of players absent for one match or for a longer period is obviously going to be important. And all the more so depending on the players in question, but above all the clubs affected.

There are many reasons for an absence (injury, suspension, family reasons, exclusion from the squad etc.), and this can become important if it involves a major player or a squad that has several players missing.

Is the club's best striker out? Perhaps the central defender is suspended? Does the first-choice goalkeeper no longer get on with the coach and is not in the squad announced at the press conference? It's very important to check the potential absentees in each squad and, of course, don't place large bets on a La Liga prediction if you notice any major absences...

By checking the announced groups and their compositions carefully, you could avoid any unpleasant surprises!

Take into account the history of each team in the Spanish league

There is also a point that many punters underestimate, and our experts believe that it is still very important and should be emphasised. For this tip, there will be several things to take into account: the rivalry between each club, pre-match statements or a tense final face-off.

As you will have realised, there are a number of factors, some more important than others, which will have an impact on the environment of a match and the mental state of the players.

For example, let's imagine that Barcelona have not won at Betis's Benito Villamarín Stadium in Seville for 15 years. If you were betting on Barça to win, a close analysis and this statistic could well change your mind.

Some teams, in some stadiums, simply can't do it and can't break through that psychological barrier to take all 3 points. So keep that in mind when betting on football and La Liga!

See all betting odds on La Liga 2023/24!

Compare Liga EA Sports FC betting odds

“La Liga Prediction Guide – Soccer”

To conclude with our last piece of advice, you should always analyse the odds offered by the bookmakers before each bet! As you probably already know, each operator sets its own odds before offering them to you. So it may be that the odds are higher on one site than another, and that you will get more money for the same stake if your bet wins.

Let's imagine you want to bet on Osasuna beating Las Palmas. You'll notice that Unibet is offering odds of 1.95, while Bwin is only offering odds of 1.89. For the same bet (let's say £100), there will be a difference in winnings of £6 (£95 net at Unibet and £89 at Bwin)!

In the long term, this will obviously have a major impact on your income from online sports betting sites. We therefore strongly advise you to sign up with as many bookmakers as possible, so that you never miss out on the best odds available on the market. What's more, you'll be able to take advantage of all the welcome bonuses on offer when you place your first bet!

Remember that, when making their football predictions for Sportytrader, all our experts obviously take into account these 5 points we have just described, but also other aspects specific to each La Liga match.

By consulting our La Liga predictions, you'll have access to a highly reliable set of data for each match. Before each bet on the Spanish league, get into the habit of checking our predictions!

Check out the La Liga odds

What not to do for your La Liga predictions

To validate as many predictions as possible on Spanish La Liga matches, there are some bad attitudes to banish once and for all. Here are the ones we consider to be the most important, and which you should avoid at all costs before betting on a Spanish league match: 

  • Forgetting to analyse the La Liga match you want to bet on
  • Constantly betting on your favourite team
  • Not comparing the odds of all the bookmakers
  • Betting on a La Liga match without looking at the stakes (particularly at the end of the season)
  • Absolutely wanting to make up for one or more lost bets
  • Only play at big odds in an attempt to win as much as possible
  • Live betting too often

At present, a good number of punters, whether beginners or more experienced, are still too regularly fooled. They lose out on bets and stakes because they decide (or not) to keep up one or more of these bad habits. Don't make this mistake, and remember that if you want to bet on the 2023/2024 La Liga season, you absolutely must avoid all this!

See all betting odds on La Liga 2023/24!

La Liga predictions: statistics you need to know

La Liga statistics

In addition to all the advice we've just given you, there's one more thing to bear in mind when it comes to making the most of your La Liga bets. Knowing the most important statistics in the Spanish league is key. Below is a list of what we think are the most important stats to bear in mind when making your La Liga predictions. Please note that these figures are from the current 2023/24 edition of the competition:

  • Home win percentage: 43%
  • Draw percentage: 31%
  • Away wins percentage: 26%
  • Average goals: 2.63 goals per game
  • Over 1.5 goals: 72%
  • Over 2.5 goals: 45%
  • Over 3.5 goals: 16%
  • “Both teams score: yes”: 52%
  • Average home goals: 1.45 per match
  • Average away goals: 1.18 per match
  • Goal scored in first half: 55%
  • Goals scored in second half: 45%
  • Exact score 0-0: 9.6% of matches
  • Most frequent score: 1-1 (16% of matches)
  • Most frequent halftime score: 0-0 (32.8%)

When it comes to betting on La Liga, the current campaign's stats point towards some interesting bets to try. First of all, take note of the lower than average home win percentage and the higher than average draw percentage when compared with other top leagues. With away teams getting a result in 57% of their matches this season, backing a double chance bet for the visiting team could see some nice returns.

There is also a trend in La Liga of cautious first half play, resulting in a nearly a third of all matches entering the break goalless. Backing a draw,  0-0 exact score or under 1.5 goals bet for the first 45 minutes of play will often be offered at attractive odds on a number of different bookmakers. Nothing is guaranteed with any kind of bet but the odds will be very good for the above!

Check out the La Liga odds

In short: how to make the right La Liga predictions?

Liga prediction guide

To make the best (most reliable) football predictions during the La Liga season, a number of things need to be done, such as analysing each match. Of course, you'll need to take into account everything we've talked about on this La Liga prediction page, such as understanding how the league works in general and keeping the most important statistics in mind.

If you think that it's going to take you too much time on a day-to-day basis (it's quite a lot of work, after all) for all the La Liga matches, please note that all our predictions proposed by league specialists will be available for each of the matches at the top of this page. And these betting tips are 100% free and available at all times! Our football predictions are here to help you place your bets on the Spanish league matches: La Liga.

See all betting odds on La Liga 2023/24!

Our current La Liga predictions

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

League: best odds

26 Apr 2024 - 15:00 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid
1 2.71
X 3.45
2 2.86
27 Apr 2024 - 08:00 Barcelona - Valencia
1 3.18
X 5.2
2 8.5
27 Apr 2024 - 08:00 Las Palmas - Girona
1 4.33
X 4.07
2 1.87
27 Apr 2024 - 10:15 Almería - Getafe
1 2.97
X 3.4
2 3.2
27 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Alavés - Celta Vigo
1 2.74
X 3.2
2 3.07
27 Apr 2024 - 15:00 Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao
1 2.2
X 3.7
2 3.97
28 Apr 2024 - 08:00 Cádiz - Mallorca
1 26
X 4.95
2 3.55
28 Apr 2024 - 10:15 Granada - Osasuna
1 2.7
X 3.29
2 3
28 Apr 2024 - 12:30 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano
1 1.81
X 4.04
2 4.8
28 Apr 2024 - 15:00 Betis - Sevilla
1 2.27
X 3.45
2 3.62
29 Apr 2024 - 15:00 Barcelona - Valencia
1 1.4
X 5.8
2 9.25
03 May 2024 - 15:00 Getafe - Athletic Bilbao
1 3.62
X 3.29
2 2.63
04 May 2024 - 08:00 Real Sociedad - Las Palmas
1 1.44
X 4.83
2 9
04 May 2024 - 10:15 Real Madrid - Cádiz
1 1.33
X 5.89
2 11
04 May 2024 - 12:30 Girona - Barcelona
1 3.06
X 3.99
2 3.75
04 May 2024 - 15:00 Mallorca - Atletico Madrid
1 3.9
X 3.34
2 2.18
05 May 2024 - 08:00 Osasuna - Betis
1 2.81
X 3.34
2 3.4
05 May 2024 - 10:15 Celta Vigo - Villarreal
1 2.5
X 3.77
2 3.11
05 May 2024 - 12:30 Valencia - Alavés
1 2.09
X 3.24
2 4.42
05 May 2024 - 15:00 Sevilla - Granada
1 1.56
X 4.51
2 6.52

If you have a particular fondness for the Spanish league, you can also consult our Champions League prediction to follow the progress of the Spanish teams in the competition.

And that's not all, as our La Liga odds comparator is also available (completely free of charge), as well as the live La Liga Livescore, which shows the upcoming La Liga matches. Don't wait any longer to take advantage and follow 100% of your favorite league!

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La Liga : Frequently Asked Questions

In the UK, La Liga will be shown by Viaplay Sports and ITV. The latter have the rights to show 10 matches live on terrestrial television. Those matches will feature Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid. The majority of the games are on Viaplay though and a subscription is required.
Real Madrid have won La Liga a total of 35 times! In fact, they are the most successful club in the history of the Spanish league, well ahead of their rivals. Having finished runners-up last year, the Madrid club were crowned champions for the last time during the 2020/2021 season.
FC Barcelona are the second most successful club in La Liga with 27 Spanish championships to their name. After being deprived of this crown for three seasons (Real Madrid, Atlético and Real Madrid) between 2019 and 2022, the club was crowned La Liga champions last year, in the 2022-2023 season! The Catalan club is therefore putting its title on the line again this season.
The all-time top scorer in La Liga is none other than Argentina international Lionel Messi. La Pulga, who played for Barcelona for many years, scored 474 goals between 2004 and 2021. He is also the league's all-time leading passer, with 192 assists. The former Barça player also ranks eighth in terms of number of appearances, with 520. He has numerous other records, including the number of Pichichi - the league's top scorer - won (8), the title of best passer (6), the number of goals scored in a season (50 goals in 2011-2012), the number of assists in a season (21 assists in 2019-2020), and so on.
Last year, Barcelona pocketed €61.3 million for their Spanish league title. Real Madrid, who finished second, took home €54.1 million.
During his time at Real Madrid (2009-2018), the legendary Portuguese Number 7 scored a staggering 311 goals in 292 La Liga games. That puts him in second place in the league's all-time top scorers' chart, just behind Lionel Messi. In total, CR7 has won three Pichichi titles: in 2011 (40 goals), 2014 (31 goals) and 2015 (48 goals). Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 34 hat-tricks in La Liga (8 in the 2014-2015 season), and two quintuple strikes (against Granada in April 2015 and Espanyol in September 2015).
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