La Liga Predictions & Betting tips
30 Sep 2023 - 12:30
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Find our free La Liga prediction on who will become Spanish champions and matches played throughout the 2023-24 season. Our free previews will be full of information to help you with your predictions!
Presentation and predictions La Liga - Football
Spain's top flight football league, La Liga, is very popular in the UK and all around Europe. Making predictions on this competition is also a very popular move to make. La Liga is considered to be one of the 5 major leagues, along with the English Premier League , Serie A , the Bundesliga and Ligue 1 . Throughout the season you'll have the chance to be placing bets on the matches played by Spain's top 20 clubs. The battle for the title, attempting to finish in the and attempting to avoid relegation make for thrills every week!
From the first match on 11 August 2023 to the last matchday (scheduled for 26 May 2024), our free La Liga predictions offered by our betting experts will help you make the best possible bets on the Spanish league. You can already find our long-term predictions below, as well as statistics and tips on how to make the best La Liga predictions.
Spanish league title prediction: who will win La Liga 2023-2024?
As you will have gathered, the league in general, and every day and every match in La Liga, is shaping up to be a very tight affair in the 2023-2024 season. Whether at the top or the bottom of the table, the battle should be fierce between all the Spanish football clubs!
We should be treated to some great games in the superb and historic stadiums of the Spanish league: Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, Cívitas Metropolitano, San Mamés, Mestalla and the Ramón-Sánchez-Pizjuán Stadium. Barcelona will not be playing at their traditional Camp Nou, which will be closed for renovations. In any case, some of Spain's top clubs will be battling it out for the league title, a place in the Champions League , Europa League and Europa Conference League and avoiding relegation.
For the La Liga title, Real Madrid are narrow favorites with the bookmakers for the new season . The battle is shaping up to be a very tough one with Barcelona, who were crowned champions last season and will clearly not want to relinquish their crown to their historic rivals. Real Madrid and Barcelona, the two biggest teams in La Liga, are no strangers to rivalry. Behind them, Atlético Madrid are likely to find it hard to compete with the two giants, but will, as ever, try to keep up the pressure right to the end.
Other opponents such as Sevilla, neighbors Betis, Real Sociedad and Villarreal do not appear to have the ability to compete with the Real Madrid of Jude Bellingham and Vinicius over the entire 38-day season. The most reliable La Liga prediction at the end of the season is as follows: Real Madrid champions of Spain 2023-2024!
La Liga prediction - odds on the favorites for the Spanish league title
- Real Madrid - 1.72
- FC Barcelona - 2.50
- Atletico Madrid - 10.00
- Real Sociedad - 81.00
- Real Betis - 101.00
- Seville - 101.00
- Athletic Bilbao - 101.00
- Villarreal - 101.00
- Valencia - 151.00
- Osasuna - 501.00
- Rayo Vallecano - 501.00
- Celta Vigo - 501.00
La Liga Top 4 prediction: which teams will qualify for the Champions League?
Betting on La Liga isn't just about betting on who will win the title. You also have the opportunity to gamble on the clubs that will finish in the Champions League places. In addition to the champions, the teams that finish second, third and fourth in La Liga will qualify for the 2024-2025 Champions League. As far as these four Champions League places are concerned, our prediction is: Real Madrid, FC Barcelona, Atlético de Madrid and Real Sociedad in the top 4.
Just behind Real Madrid, who are expected to be Spanish champions as predicted in our prediction, the Blaugranas of FC Barcelona should obviously occupy a place in the top 4, as should the Colchoneros of Atlético de Madrid, who have not missed a beat for many years now and have established themselves as one of the top teams in the league. Just behind them, the battle for the last qualifying place will be very interesting to watch between the likes of Sevilla, Villarreal and Real Sociedad. But it is Real Sociedad that we expect to finish fourth. The Basque club has been working well in recent years, and already finished in this position last year.
La Liga prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 4
- Real Madrid - 1.02
- FC Barcelona - 1.03
- Atletico Madrid - 1.25
- Real Sociedad - 3.50
- Athletic Bilbao - 3.50
- Villarreal - 5.50
- Real Betis - 6.00
- Valencia - 8.00
- Osasuna - 11.00
- Sevilla - 11.00
- Girona - 11.00
- Celta Vigo - 15.00
La Liga - Who Will Finish in the Top 5?
In Spain, two places qualify for the UEFA Europa League. In addition to the Spanish Cup winner, the club finishing fifth in La Liga will qualify for the Europa League for the 2024-2025 season. In the fight to reach this competition, the clubs mentioned above - Sevilla and Villarreal - are likely to be joined by Betis.
Of course, it's hard to say with any certainty where we'll be in August 2023, but it could well be that one of these teams will feature in La Liga's top five, and we're leaning towards the yellow submarine. Our prediction: Real Madrid, FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, Real Sociedad and Villarreal in the top 5.
La Liga prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 5
Odds are not yet available from bookmakers for this Top 5 bet. In the meantime, visit William Hill.co.uk to find all open La Liga bets.
Which Clubs Will Finish in the top Six?
The club that finishes 6th (or 7th, depending on who wins the cup) in La Liga this season will have the opportunity to take part in the next UEFA Conference League! This is the latest competition, categorized as Europe's third cup. Officially, the sixth-placed club in the Spanish league will qualify for this competition. But if it's a club that qualifies for the two other European competitions via the league that wins the King's Cup (Copa del Rey), then 6th or 7th place could qualify for the UEFA Conference League. We saw this happen last season with 7th placed Osasuna qualifying as cup winners Real Madrid had already secured a place in the Champions League via their final league placing.
It is still difficult to make a reliable prediction for August 2023. In our opinion, the other clubs to watch out for in sixth place are Andalusian outfit Sevilla, Betis and Athletic Bilbao. Our prediction: Real Madrid, FC Barcelona, Atlético de Madrid, Real Sociedad, Villarreal and Sevilla FC in the top 6 of La Liga.
La Liga prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 6
Odds are not yet available from bookmakers for this Top 6 bet. In the meantime, visit bet365.co.uk to find all open La Liga bets.
Relegation predictions: which La Liga clubs will go down?
Further down the table, a number of clubs are facing an intense battle to avoid relegation to La Liga 2. Naturally, we're hoping for just as much drama as last year, when it all came down to the final day. As a reminder, clubs finishing 18th, 19th and 20th at the end of the season will be relegated to the second division for the following season (2024-2025). And, once again, a number of Spanish football clubs will be affected. So we came up with the following prediction: Las Palmas, Cadiz and Alavés to be relegated.
La Liga prediction - relegation odds
- Las Palmas - 1.66
- Almeria - 1.83
- Granada - 2.2
- Mallorca - 3.25
- Cadiz - 4.00
- Getafe - 4.50
- Celta Vigo - 6.50
- Sevilla - 8.00
- Rayo Vallecano - 8.00
- Girona - 11.00
Odds from bet365.com
Prediction on the top scorer in La Liga 2023-2024: which player will score the most goals?
Aside from the bets that can be placed on each team, there is also the chance to place a wager on individual players in La Liga. Crowned top scorer last year in his first season with 23 goals, Poland's Robert Lewandowski is likely to be a frontrunner again in the 2023-24 season. Real Madrid have lost Benzema and failed to sign Mbappe but Jude Bellingham has already been scoring plenty of goals for them and he's high up now in the betting odds shown below.
La Liga prediction - top scorer odds
- Robert Lewandowski (FC Barcelona) - 1.44
- Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) - 13.00
- Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid) - 13.00
- Alvaro Morata (Atletico Madrid) - 15.00
- Jose Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) - 15.00
- de Goes Rodrygo (Real Madrid) - 17.00
- Alexander Sorloth (Villarreal) - 21.00
- Youssef En-Nesyri (Sevilla) - 21.00
- Borja Iglesias (Real Betis) - 26.00
- Mato Josélu (Real Madrid) - 21,00
- Raphael Raphinha (Barcelona) - 26.00
- Inaki Williams (Athletic Bilbao) - 34.00
Odds from bet365.com
Beginners to sports betting - how does the Spanish league work?
As you will have gathered, La Liga is Spain's top division football league. It brings together and pits Spain's top 20 clubs against each other with each side facing all the others both home and away. Each team therefore plays a total of 38 matchdays, with a fixture list of 380 games in all.
At the final whistle of the championship, a few places have significant returns, some good but others not so welcome.
There is therefore a certain amount at stake in this Spanish football league, which goes a long way towards explaining why betting on La Liga matches is one of the most popular activities carried out by football fans who love placing bets.
How to make good predictions on La Liga matches?
To make a winning La Liga prediction, you first need to know a lot about the league, but you also need to be a 'good bettor'. As a specialist in the Spanish league for many years, SportyTrader offers you its main and best tips for good predictions:
According to our experts, these are some of the most important tips if you want to bet on La Liga matches. You can find each of them in detail just below.
Check the form of the La Liga teams
In order to make a reliable prediction on the Spanish football championship, there are a few facts you need to pick up quickly. The first is to check the form of the teams you are betting on. If you want to bet on Betis against Cadiz but Betis have not won in 9 games while their opponents have not lost in 6, you will probably have to reconsider your initial bet. The form of the teams is very important in making your bets, so don't overlook it.
We think it's important to remember that simply analysing the latest scores is not enough to make safer bets. In fact, it is far more interesting for you and your bets to analyse the content offered by a team in the match, which may have lost two games in a row despite clear domination and bad luck.
If you look at the results, you may think that they are out of form, when in fact they may just have been unlucky. The major statistics (possession, Expected Goals, amounts, number of shots taken, attempted and on target, fouls committed and provoked, etc) are therefore of great importance.
Take into account the calendar of Spanish clubs
Secondly, and football fans know this only too well, teams' fixture lists are getting heavier and heavier, with more and more games to play. So it's very important to check the fixture list before placing a bet on a La Liga match. Take, for example, a Madrid derby match between Real Madrid and Getafe.
Madrid have just played Barça and Newcastle in the Champions League, and will then face Getafe, before returning to the Champions League for another tough game followed by a difficult match against Sevilla in La Liga. In this busy schedule, the game against Getafe could obviously be seen as an 'easy match'. To give some key players a rest there is likely to be some squad rotation but sometimes that backfires, so keep that in mind.
Beware, then, as an overloaded fixture list will obviously explain some of their poor results. That's why we advise you to wait for the official line-up before placing a bet on a La Liga match or any other competition. It could well save you losses more than once...
Keep an eye on the list of absentees in La Liga
Following on from the previous point, the list of players absent for one match or for a longer period is obviously going to be important. And all the more so depending on the players in question, but above all the clubs affected.
There are many reasons for an absence (injury, suspension, family reasons, exclusion from the squad etc.), and this can become important if it involves a major player or a squad that has several players missing.
Is the club's best striker out? Perhaps the central defender is suspended? Does the first-choice goalkeeper no longer get on with the coach and is not in the squad announced at the press conference? It's very important to check the potential absentees in each squad and, of course, don't place large bets on a La Liga prediction if you notice any major absences...
By checking the announced groups and their compositions carefully, you could avoid any unpleasant surprises!
Take into account the history of each team in the Spanish league
There is also a point that many punters underestimate, and our experts believe that it is still very important and should be emphasised. For this tip, there will be several things to take into account: the rivalry between each club, pre-match statements or a tense final face-off.
As you will have realised, there are a number of factors, some more important than others, which will have an impact on the environment of a match and the mental state of the players.
For example, let's imagine that Barcelona have not won at Betis's Benito Villamarín Stadium in Seville for 15 years. If you were betting on Barça to win, a close analysis and this statistic could well change your mind.
Some teams, in some stadiums, simply can't do it and can't break through that psychological barrier to take all 3 points. So keep that in mind when betting on football and La Liga!
Compare Liga EA Sports FC betting odds
To conclude with our last piece of advice, you should always analyse the odds offered by the bookmakers before each bet! As you probably already know, each operator sets its own odds before offering them to you. So it may be that the odds are higher on one site than another, and that you will get more money for the same stake if your bet wins.
Let's imagine you want to bet on Osasuna beating Las Palmas. You'll notice that Unibet is offering odds of 1.95, while Bwin is only offering odds of 1.89. For the same bet (let's say £100), there will be a difference in winnings of £6 (£95 net at Unibet and £89 at Bwin)!
In the long term, this will obviously have a major impact on your income from online sports betting sites. We therefore strongly advise you to sign up with as many bookmakers as possible, so that you never miss out on the best odds available on the market. What's more, you'll be able to take advantage of all the welcome bonuses on offer when you place your first bet!
Remember that, when making their football predictions for Sportytrader, all our experts obviously take into account these 5 points we have just described, but also other aspects specific to each La Liga match.
By consulting our La Liga predictions, you'll have access to a highly reliable set of data for each match. Before each bet on the Spanish league, get into the habit of checking our predictions!
What not to do for your La Liga predictions
To validate as many predictions as possible on Spanish La Liga matches, there are some bad attitudes to banish once and for all. Here are the ones we consider to be the most important, and which you should avoid at all costs before betting on a Spanish league match:
At present, a good number of punters, whether beginners or more experienced, are still too regularly fooled. They lose out on bets and stakes because they decide (or not) to keep up one or more of these bad habits. Don't make this mistake, and remember that if you want to bet on the 2023/2024 La Liga season, you absolutely must avoid all this!
La Liga predictions: statistics you need to know
In addition to all the advice we've just given you, there's one more thing to bear in mind when it comes to making the most of your La Liga bets. Knowing the most important statistics in the Spanish league is key. Below is a list of what we think are the most important stats to bear in mind when making your La Liga predictions. Please note that these figures were taken from the last edition, in 2022-2023:
- The club finishing first is champion of Spain and qualifies for the Champions League.
- The teams ranked 2nd, 3rd and 4th also qualify for the Champions League
- The 5th-placed club qualifies for the Europa League (and potentially the 6th, depending on who wins the Spanish Cup).
- The team ranked 6th qualifies for the Europa Conference League (or 7th depending on who wins the Spanish Cup).
- Clubs ranked 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to Liga 2
- Check the form of the La Liga teams
- Take into account the calendar of Spanish clubs
- Keep an eye on the list of absentees in La Liga
- Take into account the history of each team in the Spanish league
- Compare the odds on each EA Sports FC La Liga game.
- Forgetting to analyse the La Liga match you want to bet on
- Constantly betting on your favourite team
- Not comparing the odds of all the bookmakers
- Betting on a La Liga match without looking at the stakes (particularly at the end of the season)
- Absolutely wanting to make up for one or more lost bets
- Only play at big odds in an attempt to win as much as possible
- Live betting too often
- Home wins: 48
- Draws: 23
- Away wins: 29
- Average goals: 2.51 goals per game
- +1.5 goals: 71
- -1.5 goals: 29
- +2.5 goals: 48
- -2.5 goals: 52
- +3.5 goals: 23
- -3.5 goals: 77
- “Both teams score: yes”: 44%
- Away goal: 67
- Victory by a margin of 2 goals or more (handicap): 31
- Exact score 0-0: 7% of matches
- Most frequent score: 1-0 (22% of matches)
When it comes to betting on La Liga, last season's stats suggest some interesting bets to try. First of all, we can see that 'more than 1.5 goals' still occurs in more than 7 out of 10 games, and could be interesting to combine with a result. A team's away goal will also be worth a try, although "both teams score" doesn't seem to be the one to try most often.
Next, a win by a margin of 2 goals or more is worth a try, as the odds offered by bookmakers are often very attractive, as is the exact score, with 1-0 wins in almost a quarter of matches last year. Nothing is guaranteed with this type of bet, but the odds will be very good!
In short: how to make the right La Liga predictions?
To make the best (most reliable) football predictions during the La Liga season, a number of things need to be done, such as analysing each match. Of course, you'll need to take into account everything we've talked about on this La Liga prediction page, such as understanding how the league works in general and keeping the most important statistics in mind.
If you think that it's going to take you too much time on a day-to-day basis (it's quite a lot of work, after all) for all the La Liga matches, please note that all our predictions proposed by league specialists will be available for each of the matches at the top of this page. And these betting tips are 100% free and available at all times! Our football predictions are here to help you place your bets on the Spanish league matches: La Liga.
Our current La Liga predictions
LaLiga - Football
League: best odds
If you have a particular fondness for the Spanish league, you can also consult our Champions League prediction to follow the progress of the Spanish teams in the competition.
And that's not all, as our La Liga odds comparator is also available (completely free of charge), as well as the live La Liga Livescore , which shows the upcoming La Liga matches. Don't wait any longer to take advantage and follow 100% of your favorite league!