Eritrea vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
Eritrea and South Africa will meet in neutral Cairo in Group D of the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers on Wednesday evening. Bafana Bafana are 130 places above this opponent in the world rankings, and our prediction is that they will come out on top in this encounter.
Eritrea are returning to the AFCON qualifiers for the first time since 1998. They have never qualified for the continental competition and have only ever won five of their 25 qualification matches.
The Red Sea Camels were moments away from securing victory over Kenya on Saturday evening, but they were forced to settle for a 1-1 draw after conceding in the 87th minute.
Nahom Girmai scored the only goal for the team in that match. Eritrea are now unbeaten in their last three matches, with the previous two coming against Eswatini in the AFCON qualification preliminary round.
Meanwhile, after bowing out in the Round of 16 at AFCON 2025, South Africa made the perfect start to this AFCON qualification campaign, beating Guinea 2-1 in Soweto on Saturday evening.
Ime Okon and Samukelo Kabini netted for Bafana Bafana either side of Seydouba Cisse’s equaliser. Aubrey Modiba picked up an injury in the last match and is a doubt for the midweek clash.
South Africa have won just two of their last 10 matches across all competitions, but only two games during this period were against lower-ranked opposition.
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Eritrea v South Africa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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13 | 5.8 | 1.15 |
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17 | 7.5 | 1.13 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Eritrea and South Africa?
Our prediction for the Eritrea vs South Africa match is: South Africa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/09/2026 between Eritrea and South Africa in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.48% for a win of Eritrea against South Africa with odds of 17 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Eritrea vs South Africa is 26.85% with odds of 7.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.67% chance ⭐ for a win of South Africa vs Eritrea with odds of 1.15 at Stake.
Eritrea vs South Africa Form
Eritrea and South Africa's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Eritrea and South Africa Last Matches
2/3 (67%)
1/3 (33%)
0/3 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
25 Mar 2026 - AFCON
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
0/1 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2026 - AFCON
1/2 (50%)
1/2 (50%)
0/2 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
28 Jun 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
11 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
28 Jun 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
11 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Eritrea and South Africa Stats in AFCON
Eritrea - South Africa Key Points
- South Africa are 130 places above Eritrea in the world rankings.
- South Africa have won two of their last three matches.
- Eritrea have lost five of their last nine games in all competitions.
- Eritrea failed to score in six of their last nine matches.
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Our Eritrea vs South Africa Prediction
With only one qualification spot available in Group D - owing to Kenya’s automatic qualification as co-hosts - South Africa have little room for error and made the perfect start to the campaign by beating Guinea over the weekend.
This is the first competitive match for Bafana Bafana against this opponent, but Eritrea will not be able to benefit from home advantage, as this match is being played in neutral Cairo. Given their superior pedigree, we fancy South Africa to get the win in this match. Our Eritrea vs South Africa prediction is South Africa wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.