Sudan vs Ethiopia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Kennedy Kechula | in AFCON Predictions
Sudan and Ethiopia, two nations seeking a return to the glory days in African football, face off to start their 2027 AFCON qualifiers. Sudan plays host away in neighboring South Sudan, a fixture they haven't lost a lot in recent times. In our prediction, we are looking at a bet in Sudan’s favor.
The strife at home will not give Sudan the opportunity to host this game in Khartoum. Ironically, Juba is more peaceful now and has resources good enough to host this match.
Away from the political machinations, Sudan will be looking to give their best here, coming in as the favorites. They are backed to win despite being on a run of four defeats in five matches.
When at home, Sudan are rarely troubled in this fixture. They have won it seven times in the last 10 outings.
Ethiopia will be desperate for a strong start in these qualifiers, and they have had a good warm-up. The Walia Antelopes are on a four-match unbeaten run and have won three of the matches.
The opposition, however, may fail to match Sudan. They beat Sao Tome et Principe twice, then won one and drew another against Malawi. Notably, all those were home matches.
It is away from home that their troubles come to the fore. Ethiopia lost three of their last four games on the road.
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Sudan v Ethiopia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.83 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
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1.8 | 3.26 | 4.61 |
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1.8 | 3.26 | 4.61 |
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1.8 | 3.26 | 4.61 |
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|
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1.69 | 3.1 | 4.75 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sudan and Ethiopia?
Our prediction for the Sudan vs Ethiopia match is: Sudan wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Sudan and Ethiopia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.51% for a win of Sudan against Ethiopia with odds of 1.83 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sudan vs Ethiopia is 30.36% with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Sudan with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
Sudan vs Ethiopia Form
Sudan and Ethiopia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
27 Mar 2026 - AFCON
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Mar 2026 - AFCON
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
Sudan - Ethiopia Key Points
- Four of these nations’ last 10 meetings ended in draws.
- Sudan posted four wins in nine meetings with Ethiopia.
- Ethiopia lost three of their last four away matches.
- Sudan beat Ethiopia seven times in 10 when hosting this encounter.
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Our Sudan vs Ethiopia Prediction
Our prediction for Sudan v Ethiopia is that Sudan wins. Recent times haven’t borne the best of outcomes for Sudan, but they have a great chance to bounce back here. They have lost four of their last five matches, but their performances against Ethiopia over the years have been encouraging, especially when playing as hosts.
Sudan have beaten Ethiopia seven times in 10 games when hosting their neighbors. Ethiopia themselves haven’t had a great run on the road, losing three of the last four.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sudan vs. Ethiopia game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.