Sudan vs Ethiopia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Sudan
25/09/2026 12:00
Ethiopia

Prediction :

 

Sudan wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in AFCON Predictions

Sudan and Ethiopia, two nations seeking a return to the glory days in African football, face off to start their 2027 AFCON qualifiers. Sudan plays host away in neighboring South Sudan, a fixture they haven't lost a lot in recent times. In our prediction, we are looking at a bet in Sudan’s favor.

The strife at home will not give Sudan the opportunity to host this game in Khartoum. Ironically, Juba is more peaceful now and has resources good enough to host this match.

Away from the political machinations, Sudan will be looking to give their best here, coming in as the favorites. They are backed to win despite being on a run of four defeats in five matches.

When at home, Sudan are rarely troubled in this fixture. They have won it seven times in the last 10 outings.

Ethiopia will be desperate for a strong start in these qualifiers, and they have had a good warm-up. The Walia Antelopes are on a four-match unbeaten run and have won three of the matches.

The opposition, however, may fail to match Sudan. They beat Sao Tome et Principe twice, then won one and drew another against Malawi. Notably, all those were home matches.

It is away from home that their troubles come to the fore. Ethiopia lost three of their last four games on the road.

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Sudan v Ethiopia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.83 3.3 4.3
1xbet
1.8 3.26 4.61
Melbet
1.8 3.26 4.61
Betwinner
1.8 3.26 4.61
Bet365
1.69 3.1 4.75
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sudan and Ethiopia?

Our prediction for the Sudan vs Ethiopia match is: Sudan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Sudan and Ethiopia in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.51% for a win of Sudan against Ethiopia with odds of 1.83 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sudan vs Ethiopia is 30.36% with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Sudan with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.

Sudan vs Ethiopia Form

Sudan and Ethiopia Last Matches

Sudan
Sudan Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan

6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq
D D D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Mauritania

29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Algeria

19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal
W D L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan

3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan

26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Lebanon
1 :  2
Sudan
Ethiopia
Ethiopia Last matches
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  1
Malawi

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Malawi

31 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Sao Tome and Principe

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Sao Tome and Principe
0 :  3
Ethiopia

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
3 :  1
Ethiopia

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  1
Malawi

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Malawi

31 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Sao Tome and Principe

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
6 :  1
Djibouti

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Sao Tome and Principe
0 :  3
Ethiopia

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
3 :  1
Ethiopia

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Sierra Leone
2 :  0
Ethiopia

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Egypt
2 :  0
Ethiopia

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  2
Ethiopia

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
4 :  1
Ethiopia
Sudan vs Ethiopia Prediction

Sudan - Ethiopia Key Points

  1. Four of these nations’ last 10 meetings ended in draws.
  2. Sudan posted four wins in nine meetings with Ethiopia.
  3. Ethiopia lost three of their last four away matches.
  4. Sudan beat Ethiopia seven times in 10 when hosting this encounter.
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Our Sudan vs Ethiopia Prediction

Our prediction for Sudan v Ethiopia is that Sudan wins. Recent times haven’t borne the best of outcomes for Sudan, but they have a great chance to bounce back here. They have lost four of their last five matches, but their performances against Ethiopia over the years have been encouraging, especially when playing as hosts.

Sudan have beaten Ethiopia seven times in 10 games when hosting their neighbors. Ethiopia themselves haven’t had a great run on the road, losing three of the last four.

Prediction :

 

Sudan wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.