Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
Tunisia and Uganda will face off in the opening match of their 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers at Rades Stadium on Thursday evening. Four goals were scored when these two met at the last AFCON, and our prediction is that there will be goals in this encounter as well.
Tunisian football has endured a tough few years on the big stage. They exited the 2025 AFCON in the Round of 16 against Mali and have only got past the quarter-finals once since 2004.
The Eagles of Carthage also had a forgettable World Cup campaign, as they were the only nation from Africa to fail to reach the knockout rounds after losing all three of their group-stage matches.
However, on the positive, this week’s hosts are unbeaten in their last seven home matches in all competitions (W6 D1) and scored two or more goals in each victory during this period.
Meanwhile, although Uganda will be participating in Group H of these qualifiers, they are assured a spot in the upcoming AFCON as they are co-hosts alongside Tanzania and Kenya.
This is the first time the Cranes are assembling since the last continental competition, where they failed to get beyond the group stage after losing two and drawing one of their three matches.
The visitors have lost their last two away games and conceded six goals combined in those defeats. They have also lost their last four away games to Tunisia and conceded two or more goals in each of those games.
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Tunisia v Uganda Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.43 | 4.2 | 7 |
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1.42 | 4.15 | 7.49 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.15 | 7.49 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.15 | 7.49 |
|
|
1.37 | 3.5 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tunisia and Uganda?
Our prediction for the Tunisia vs Uganda match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2026 between Tunisia and Uganda in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.49% for a win of Tunisia against Uganda with odds of 1.45 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tunisia vs Uganda is 16.32% with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Uganda vs Tunisia with odds of 8 at Bet365.
Tunisia vs Uganda Form
Tunisia and Uganda Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
18 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
Tunisia vs Uganda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
Tunisia vs Uganda last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
S. Ben Hessen
M. Chamakh
DefenderD. Bronn
O. Rekik
M. Ben Ouanes
R. Chikhaoui
MidfielderM. Hadj Mahmoud
S. Tounekti
K. Ayari
ForwardE. Achouri
F. Chaouat
R. Elloumi
E. Saad
S. Magoola
N. Alionzi
DefenderR. Torach Ochaki
H. Mukundane
I. Muleme
MidfielderR. Ssekiganda
K. Aucho
A. Okello
ForwardJ. Bogere
R. Mpande
S. Kwikiriza
I. Ahimbisibwe
Steven Mukwala
J. Ssemugabi
M. Lorenzen
Tunisia - Uganda Key Points
- Each of Tunisia’s last four matches in all competitions ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Tunisia have scored two or more goals in six of their last seven home games.
- Five of Uganda’s last six matches in all competitions ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Uganda have conceded two or more goals in each of their last four matches against this opponent.
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Our Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction
Tunisia have endured a downward spiral in recent years. Coming into these qualifiers, they are ranked 57th in the world, 27 places lower than they were just five years ago, but they will fancy their chances on their home patch.
Uganda are guaranteed a spot in the 2027 AFCON as co-hosts, but these qualifiers will be crucial to their preparation. However, they have struggled in defence of late, and we’re expecting plenty of chances in this match. Our Tunisia vs Uganda prediction is over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
