Niger vs Lesotho Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in AFCON Predictions
Group A action in the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) qualification starts with Niger taking on Lesotho on matchday one. This match on Friday at the Stade Pere-Jego in Casablanca between the 25th-ranked ‘Menas’ and the 43rd-ranked ‘Crocodiles’ could be a low-scoring affair, with our match prediction backing under 2.5 goals.
While Lesotho have never qualified for an AFCON final, Niger are looking to do so for the first time since 2013. The first-ranked Morocco and 15th-ranked Gabon are the other teams in this group. The top two finishers will qualify for the finals.
Niger were last seen in June when they played international friendlies against Mauritania and Benin. Including those, they are winless in their last six matches (D3, L3). In the 2025 qualifiers, Niger finished third in their group (W2, D1, L3), missing out on qualification by a single point. Four of those points have come in three home games – not a massive home advantage.
Lesotho lost 4-0 and drew 1-1 against Kenya in their last set of friendlies played in June. Their recent form is only marginally better, with one win from their last six matches (D3, L2). That victory came against Seychelles at home (2-1) in the preliminary qualification round, after drawing 0-0 in the away leg of that tie.
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Niger v Lesotho Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.51 | 3.45 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.6 | 6.95 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.58 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.78 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Niger and Lesotho?
Our prediction for the Niger vs Lesotho match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Niger and Lesotho in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.83% for a win of Niger against Lesotho with odds of 1.64 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Niger vs Lesotho is 23.96% with odds of 3.78 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Lesotho vs Niger with odds of 6.95 at 1xbet.
Niger vs Lesotho Form
Niger and Lesotho Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
15 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - AFCON
26 Mar 2026 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - AFCON
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
8 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
Niger - Lesotho Key Points
- Thirteen of Niger’s last 16 matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Niger’s last nine AFCON qualifiers have seen fewer than three goals.
- Five of Lesotho’s last seven matches have seen two or fewer goals.
- In the AFCON qualifiers, five of Lesotho’s last seven matches have also seen at most three goals.
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Our Niger vs Lesotho Prediction
Lesotho had to come through the preliminary round to qualify for these qualifiers, while Niger were the 25th-ranked side and received a bye to the qualifying stage. Will that change the narrative? Neither side boasts of any significant momentum coming into the fixture, which could make this an open game, although action could be limited.
This is the first match between these sides, and going by the recent record, it may not be a high-scoring one. Our Niger vs Lesotho prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
