Malawi vs South Sudan Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Malawi
25/09/2026 12:00
South Sudan

Prediction :

 

Malawi wins

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions

Malawi gears up for its first AFCON Qualifier game against South Sudan. The Bright Stars were edged out 1-0 in their last game in this competition but won on aggregate to reach the qualifier stage. Their opponents, the Flames, won each of their last two meetings, an outcome we expect again, so our Malawi vs South Sudan match prediction is a Malawi win.

Malawi played a 1-1 draw in its recent game against Ethiopia, taking their unbeaten tally to four in six friendly games. In their last appearance at the AFCON qualifiers, Malawi pummelled Burkina Faso, netting three goals. The Flames will be eager to snatch another win when they welcome South Sudan.

The Bright Stars of South Sudan lost their last international game, playing 1-0 against Djibouti. However, South Sudan advanced on aggregate, reaching the new AFCON qualifiers campaign. However, their last appearance in this stage of the competition ended in five losses out of six. Moreover, their most recent AFCON qualifier game ended in a 3-0 loss to South Africa.

Even more worrying for the Bright Stars is their past two H2H meetings against Malawi, which ended in consecutive 1-0 losses. We expect Malawi to overcome the Bright Stars and make it three wins in three games when both sides play on Friday evening.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Malawi v South Sudan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.64 3.45 5
1xbet
1.68 3.46 5.13
Melbet
1.57 3.78 6.6
Betwinner
1.64 3.52 5.38
Bet365
1.72 3.1 4.5
Check all Malawi vs South Sudan odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between Malawi and South Sudan?

Our prediction for the Malawi vs South Sudan match is: Malawi wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Malawi and South Sudan in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.89% for a win of Malawi against South Sudan with odds of 1.72 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Malawi vs South Sudan is 23.29% with odds of 3.78 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.82% chance ⭐ for a win of South Sudan vs Malawi with odds of 6.6 at Melbet.

Malawi vs South Sudan Form

Malawi and South Sudan Last Matches

Malawi
Malawi Last matches
L D W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  1
Malawi

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Malawi

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Malawi
0 :  1
Botswana

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Lesotho
0 :  1
Malawi

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Lesotho
0 :  0
Malawi

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sao Tome and Principe
1 :  0
Malawi
W L L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Malawi
0 :  1
Botswana

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Malawi
2 :  2
Liberia

10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Malawi
0 :  1
Angola

5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Malawi
0 :  1
Lesotho

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Malawi
0 :  1
Namibia

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Malawi
3 :  0
Burkina Faso
W L D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  1
Malawi

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
1 :  0
Malawi

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Lesotho
0 :  1
Malawi

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Lesotho
0 :  0
Malawi

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sao Tome and Principe
1 :  0
Malawi

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Namibia
1 :  2
Malawi
South Sudan
South Sudan Last matches
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2026 - AFCON

South Sudan
0 :  1
Djibouti

26 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Djibouti
0 :  4
South Sudan

25 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Syria
2 :  0
South Sudan

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  0
Togo

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mauritania
0 :  0
South Sudan
L W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2026 - AFCON

South Sudan
0 :  1
Djibouti

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  0
Togo

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
1 :  4
DR Congo

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

South Sudan
3 :  2
Congo Republic

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

South Sudan
1 :  2
Uganda
L L D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Djibouti
0 :  4
South Sudan

25 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup

Syria
2 :  0
South Sudan

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mauritania
0 :  0
South Sudan

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
1 :  1
South Sudan

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
1 :  0
South Sudan

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

South Africa
3 :  0
South Sudan
Malawi vs South Sudan Prediction

Malawi - South Sudan Key Points

  1. Malawi beat Burkina Faso 3-0 in their last AFCON qualifier game.
  2. The Bright Stars beat South Africa 3- 0 in their last AFCON qualifier game.
  3. Malawi won each of their past two H2H meetings.
  4. South Sudan has lost four of their past seven international outings, only managing one win.
  5. The Flames are unbeaten in four of their recent six international friendly games.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Malawi vs South Sudan Prediction

Malawi welcomes a South Sudan side that reached the Qualifier stage after overcoming Djibouti on aggregate. The Flames will be a much tougher challenge, especially after beating Burkina Faso 3-0 in their last appearance at this stage of the tournament. 

South Sudan will also be cautious after losing their last two H2H meetings against Malawi, which, for us, is another factor that sets the Flames up for a third straight win. Hence, our Malawi vs South Sudan prediction is that Malawi wins.

Prediction :

 

Malawi wins

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Malawi vs. South Sudan game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Malawi and South Sudan? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's AFCON! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.