Turkiye vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Group A1 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League kicks off at Kocaeli Stadium on Friday evening with Turkey taking on France. Les Bleus have only lost one of their six previous encounters against this opponent, and we fancy them to make a winning start in this competition, as discussed in our match prediction below.
The Crescent Stars are set to reassemble for the first time since a disappointing World Cup campaign and are the clear underdogs in Group A1, which features France, Italy, and Belgium. However, Vincenzo Montella’s side did beat this opponent on home soil during the Euro 2020 qualifiers, which will give them some confidence coming into this clash.
This match marks the dawn of a new era for France, with Zinedine Zidane set to take charge of the national team for the first time since Didier Deschamps' departure. The new boss has big shoes to fill, but he is no stranger to pressure, having guided Real Madrid to a three-peat in the Champions League between 2016 and 2018. This promises to be a thrilling opener to Group A1 - let’s get into the key stats.
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Turkiye v France Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4.7 | 1.43 |
|
|
7.08 | 4.81 | 1.47 |
|
|
6.65 | 4.7 | 1.45 |
|
|
6.45 | 4.6 | 1.47 |
|
|
7 | 4.64 | 1.44 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Turkiye and France?
Our prediction for the Turkiye vs France match is: France wins & over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Turkiye and France in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.45% for a win of Turkiye against France with odds of 7.08 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Turkiye vs France is 14.01% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.53% chance ⭐ for a win of France vs Turkiye with odds of 1.47 at 1xbet.
Turkiye vs France Form
Turkiye and France Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
14 Jul 2026 - World Cup
9 Jul 2026 - World Cup
4 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
14 Jul 2026 - World Cup
9 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Turkiye vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2019 - Euro
8 Jun 2019 - Euro
Turkiye - France: Form Analysis
After finishing top of Group C1 in the 2022- 23 Nations League campaign, Turkey secured back-to-back promotions by thrashing Hungary 6-1 over two legs in the 2024-25 promotion/relegation playoffs.
The Crescent Stars were far from impressive at the 2026 World Cup, though, as they failed to get beyond the group stage after losing their first two games before a consolation win over the USA.
However, this week’s hosts have a good record at home, winning seven and drawing one of their last nine matches, with their only defeat during that time coming against world champions Spain.
Turkey have only won one of their six previous matches against France in all competitions (D1 L4)!
Meanwhile, France bowed out of the 2024-25 Nations League in a high-octane nine-goal thriller (5-4) against Spain in the semi-finals before beating Germany 2-0 in the third-place playoff.
Les Bleus also suffered semi-final disappointment against La Roja in the 2026 World Cup earlier this year, losing 2-0. They were then denied the bronze medal in another goal fest against England in the third-place playoff.
Still, the visitors are among the favourites for the Nations League title again in this campaign, and they enter their opening match this week unbeaten in their last six away matches since June last year.
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Turkiye vs France last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
M. Gunok
A. Bayindir
DefenderM. Demiral
C. Soyuncu
S. Akaydin
F. Kadioglu
M. Muldur
MidfielderH. Calhanoglu
K. Ayhan
I. Yuksek
ForwardC. Uzun
I. Kahveci
K. Akturkoglu
Y. Akgun
D. Gul
R. Risser
B. Samba
DefenderL. Hernandez
J. Kounde
D. Upamecano
L. Digne
W. Saliba
MidfielderM. Akliouche
M. Kone
A. Tchouameni
N. Kante
ForwardB. Barcola
J. Mateta
M. Thuram
O. Dembele
Turkiye & France Squad Analysis
Turkey will have to make do without the services of Hakan Calhanoglu and Yenan Yildiz through injury. Calhanoglu’s absence should open the door for Salih Ozcan to start the match in midfield for the home side.
Arda Guler could be one to watch for the Crescent Stars. The Real Madrid man has three goal involvements in seven league games this season, and netted for his nation in their last match against the USA at the World Cup.
Can Turkey contain the rampant Kylian Mbappe?
The French skipper has been on fire in the early stages of this season, already on eight goals and two assists in just eight matches across all competitions for Los Blancos. He has 14 goal contributions in his last eight games for Les Bleus.
After breaking Pele’s record for the most assists in a World Cup campaign (7), Michael Olise carried his tremendous form into the league season and already has four goals and an assist in four Bundesliga matches.
Arsenal’s William Saliba is sidelined through injury, and Auriel Tchouameni’s fitness issues have seen him left out of the squad. Jeremy Jacquet has been rewarded for his bright start to life at Liverpool with a call-up.
Turkiye - France Key Points
- France have won eight of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
- France finished third in the last edition of the Nations League.
- France are unbeaten in their last six away matches in all competitions.
- Turkey have lost two of their last three matches.
- Turkey have only won one of their previous six matches against this opponent (D1 L4).
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Our Turkiye vs France Prediction
Turkey have made big strides forward in the Nations League by securing back-to-back promotions, but they now face a massive step-up in class in Group A against giants France, Italy, and Belgium.
Despite their disappointments in this competition and the World Cup, France are still among the favourites to win this edition of the Nations League, and given the way their star players have started the season for their clubs, we fancy Les Bleus to win this match fairly comfortably. Our Turkey vs France prediction is France wins & over 1.5 goals.
Turkiye vs France Alternative Predictions
Kylian Mbappe to score or assist
France wins
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Turkiye vs France - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Turkey and France will be broadcast live on ATV (Turkey) and la chaîne L'Équipe (France). UK viewers can tune in to Prime Video UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
