Turkiye vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
25/09/2026 14:45
France

Prediction :

 

France wins & over 1.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Group A1 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League kicks off at Kocaeli Stadium on Friday evening with Turkey taking on France. Les Bleus have only lost one of their six previous encounters against this opponent, and we fancy them to make a winning start in this competition, as discussed in our match prediction below.

The Crescent Stars are set to reassemble for the first time since a disappointing World Cup campaign and are the clear underdogs in Group A1, which features France, Italy, and Belgium. However, Vincenzo Montella’s side did beat this opponent on home soil during the Euro 2020 qualifiers, which will give them some confidence coming into this clash. 

This match marks the dawn of a new era for France, with Zinedine Zidane set to take charge of the national team for the first time since Didier Deschamps' departure. The new boss has big shoes to fill, but he is no stranger to pressure, having guided Real Madrid to a three-peat in the Champions League between 2016 and 2018. This promises to be a thrilling opener to Group A1 - let’s get into the key stats. 

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Turkiye v France Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
7.20 5.40 1.34
1xbet
8.10 5.84 1.37
Melbet
7.90 5.75 1.33
Betwinner
8.10 5.35 1.34
22bet
8.00 5.75 1.33
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Turkiye vs France Form

Turkiye and France's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 France
10 4 3 1 0 +5
4 Turkiye
0 4 0 0 4 -9

Turkiye and France Last Matches

Turkiye
Turkiye Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

19 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Turkiye

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  1
Turkiye
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

19 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
1 :  0
Romania

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
2 :  0
Bulgaria

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
4 :  1
Georgia
W W D W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Turkiye

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  1
Turkiye

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  2
Turkiye

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
1 :  6
Turkiye

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Georgia
2 :  3
Turkiye
France
France Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Jul 2026 - World Cup

France
4 :  6
England

14 Jul 2026 - World Cup

France
0 :  2
Spain

9 Jul 2026 - World Cup

France
2 :  0
Morocco

4 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  1
France

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jul 2026 - World Cup

France
4 :  6
England

14 Jul 2026 - World Cup

France
0 :  2
Spain

9 Jul 2026 - World Cup

France
2 :  0
Morocco

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

22 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Iraq

16 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  1
France

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Brazil
1 :  2
France

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
France

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  2
France

Turkiye vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Turkiye

50 %

Draw

50 %

France

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

14 Oct 2019 - Euro

France
1 :  1
Turkiye

8 Jun 2019 - Euro

Turkiye
2 :  0
France

Turkiye - France: Form Analysis

After finishing top of Group C1 in the 2022- 23 Nations League campaign, Turkey secured back-to-back promotions by thrashing Hungary 6-1 over two legs in the 2024-25 promotion/relegation playoffs. 

The Crescent Stars were far from impressive at the 2026 World Cup, though, as they failed to get beyond the group stage after losing their first two games before a consolation win over the USA. 

However, this week’s hosts have a good record at home, winning seven and drawing one of their last nine matches, with their only defeat during that time coming against world champions Spain. 

Turkey have only won one of their six previous matches against France in all competitions (D1 L4)!

Meanwhile, France bowed out of the 2024-25 Nations League in a high-octane nine-goal thriller (5-4) against Spain in the semi-finals before beating Germany 2-0 in the third-place playoff. 

Les Bleus also suffered semi-final disappointment against La Roja in the 2026 World Cup earlier this year, losing 2-0. They were then denied the bronze medal in another goal fest against England in the third-place playoff.

Still, the visitors are among the favourites for the Nations League title again in this campaign, and they enter their opening match this week unbeaten in their last six away matches since June last year. 

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Turkiye vs France Prediction

Turkiye against France Lineups: Starting 11

Turkiye

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
U. Cakir
2
Z. Celik
3
M. Demiral
14
A. Bardakci
18
O. Aydin
5
S. Ozcan
16
I. Yuksek
20
F. Kadioglu
10
A. Guler
11
C. Uzun
21
B. Yilmaz
10
K. Mbappe
7
O. Dembele
11
M. Olise
14
A. Rabiot
8
M. Kone
9
R. Cherki
3
A. Truffert
17
M. Lacroix
4
D. Upamecano
5
J. Kounde
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

France

Substitutes

Turkiye
Turkiye
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

B. Yilmaz 88'

O. Kocuk

Defender

O. Kabak

E. Topcu

E. Elmali

O. Aydin 76'

Midfielder

M. Kabasakal

I. Yuksek 88'

Forward

Y. Akgun

A. Simsir

D. Gul

F. Kadioglu 90'

K. Akturkoglu

C. Uzun 76'

I. Kahveci

France
France
Goalkeeper

G. Restes

J. Butez

Defender

J. Jacquet

P. Kalulu

L. Yoro

Midfielder

L. Da Cunha

E. Camavinga

R. Cherki 77'

A. Diouf

M. Akliouche

Forward

E. Lepaul

O. Dembele 90'

B. Barcola

M. Olise 78'

D. Doue

K. Mbappe 59'

Turkiye & France Squad Analysis

Turkey will have to make do without the services of Hakan Calhanoglu and Yenan Yildiz through injury. Calhanoglu’s absence should open the door for Salih Ozcan to start the match in midfield for the home side. 

Arda Guler could be one to watch for the Crescent Stars. The Real Madrid man has three goal involvements in seven league games this season, and netted for his nation in their last match against the USA at the World Cup. 

Can Turkey contain the rampant Kylian Mbappe? 

The French skipper has been on fire in the early stages of this season, already on eight goals and two assists in just eight matches across all competitions for Los Blancos. He has 14 goal contributions in his last eight games for Les Bleus. 

After breaking Pele’s record for the most assists in a World Cup campaign (7), Michael Olise carried his tremendous form into the league season and already has four goals and an assist in four Bundesliga matches. 

Arsenal’s William Saliba is sidelined through injury, and Auriel Tchouameni’s fitness issues have seen him left out of the squad. Jeremy Jacquet has been rewarded for his bright start to life at Liverpool with a call-up. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Turkiye
CD Huachipato France
Top Goalscorer
Turkey B. Yilmaz (1 Goals) , 
Turkey A. Simsir (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France M. Olise (4 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey O. Aydin (1 Assists) , 
Turkey E. Elmali (1 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Olise (2 Assists) , 
France R. Cherki (2 Assists) , 
France D. Doue (2 Assists)

Turkiye - France Key Points

  1. France have won eight of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
  2. France finished third in the last edition of the Nations League.
  3. France are unbeaten in their last six away matches in all competitions.
  4. Turkey have lost two of their last three matches.
  5. Turkey have only won one of their previous six matches against this opponent (D1 L4).
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Our Turkiye vs France Prediction

Turkey have made big strides forward in the Nations League by securing back-to-back promotions, but they now face a massive step-up in class in Group A against giants France, Italy, and Belgium. 

Despite their disappointments in this competition and the World Cup, France are still among the favourites to win this edition of the Nations League, and given the way their star players have started the season for their clubs, we fancy Les Bleus to win this match fairly comfortably. Our Turkey vs France prediction is France wins & over 1.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

France wins & over 1.5 goals

 
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Turkiye vs France Alternative Predictions

Kylian Mbappe to score or assist

Odds 1.61
The French skipper is already on eight goals and two assists in eight matches across all competitions for Real Madrid this season, and he has 14 goal contributions in his last eight games for Les Bleus. 
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France wins

Odds 1.30
For all the same reasons mentioned in our main prediction, we’ll be going with a straight-up France victory as a lower-risk pick for our accumulator plays for the opening round. 
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Turkiye vs France - FAQs

The UEFA Nations League match between Turkey and France will take place on September 25 at 18:45 UTC. 
The UEFA Nations League match between Turkey and France will be played at Kocaeli Stadium in Kocaeli, Turkey.

The UEFA Nations League match between Turkey and France will be broadcast live on ATV (Turkey) and la chaîne L'Équipe (France). UK viewers can tune in to Prime Video UK.

Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.