Senegal vs Mozambique Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Senegal
25/09/2026 09:00
Mozambique

Prediction :

 

Senegal to win & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in AFCON Predictions

Africa’s second-best-ranked nation, Senegal, will travel to Mozambique for the start of their 2027 African Cup of Nations qualifiers. Being one of the most successful nations in Africa lately, our prediction tips Senegal to start this journey on a high.

Mozambique should find qualifying from Group J a doable job, with Senegal being the only giant. The pool also has Ethiopia and Sudan, with the top two set to book AFCON 2027 tickets.

Mozambique will not be approaching this encounter in the most confident way, having lost each of their last four games. The latest two were in friendly matches, and the Mambas will be targeting a first win in three competitive matches.

Senegal sits 85 places ahead of Mozambique as they prepare to face off. They come into these qualifiers as one of the nations favored to secure tickets for the finals.

The Lions of Teranga have been to the AFCON a good 18 times since debuting in 1965. Their dominant recent years saw them win the 2019 title while their 2025 title was controversially handed to Morocco.

They have since moved on and had a decent showing at the World Cup, where they were eliminated in the second round by Belgium. Senegal have won once in their last six matches but will come here as outright favorites.

In seven previous meetings with Mozambique, Senegal has been unbeaten, winning six in a run that saw 20 goals netted.

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Senegal v Mozambique Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.26 4.7 10
1xbet
1.29 4.95 9.75
Melbet
1.26 5.25 10.5
Betwinner
1.28 5.05 9.95
Bet365
1.27 4.75 7
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What is the prediction for the football match between Senegal and Mozambique?

Our prediction for the Senegal vs Mozambique match is: Senegal to win & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Senegal and Mozambique in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.66% for a win of Senegal against Mozambique with odds of 9.2 at BC Game.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Senegal vs Mozambique is 15.04% with odds of 5.25 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Mozambique vs Senegal with odds of 16 at Betsson.

Senegal vs Mozambique Form

Senegal and Mozambique Last Matches

Senegal
Senegal Last matches
L D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  2
Senegal

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Senegal
5 :  0
Iraq

22 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  2
Senegal

16 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Senegal
5 :  0
Iraq

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
3 :  1
Gambia

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
2 :  0
Peru

18 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Morocco

14 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Egypt
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  2
Senegal

22 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  2
Senegal

16 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal

9 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Senegal

30 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Benin
0 :  3
Senegal
Mozambique
Mozambique Last matches
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Indonesia
1 :  0
Mozambique

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Oman
4 :  1
Mozambique

5 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
4 :  0
Mozambique

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  2
Cameroon

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Gabon
2 :  3
Mozambique

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Mozambique
W D L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  2
Cameroon

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
1 :  2
Guinea

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
2 :  0
Botswana

10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
1 :  3
Zimbabwe

7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
0 :  0
Mauritius

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
3 :  1
Uganda
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Indonesia
1 :  0
Mozambique

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Oman
4 :  1
Mozambique

5 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
4 :  0
Mozambique

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Gabon
2 :  3
Mozambique

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Mozambique

17 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies

Angola
4 :  1
Mozambique

Senegal vs Mozambique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Senegal

100 %

Draw

0 %

Mozambique

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

28 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Mozambique
0 :  1
Senegal

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Senegal
5 :  1
Mozambique
Senegal vs Mozambique Prediction

Missing players

Senegal
Senegal
Defender

A. Mendy

Midfielder

H. Diarra

Mozambique
Mozambique

Senegal - Mozambique Key Points

  1. Senegal are unbeaten in their seven meetings with Mozambique, winning six.
  2. An average of 2.8 goals were scored in the seven meetings between these nations.
  3. Mozambique lost all their last four matches, two being in competitive action.
  4. Four of Mozambique’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Senegal vs Mozambique Prediction

In the eighth meeting between Senegal and Mozambique, we can expect a high-scoring encounter. The two nations are facing off in a fixture that has averaged 2.8 goals, and none of their earlier meetings ended goalless.

Goals are not the only expectation in this match; a Senegal win has almost always been a guarantee in this fixture. Two of their six wins happened in away games, and they hope to extend the same here. Our prediction for Mozambique v Senegal is for Senegal to win & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Senegal to win & over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.