Mali vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Mali
25/09/2026 14:00
Cape Verde Isl.

Prediction :

 

Mali wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions

Mali returns to the AFCON Qualifiers after exiting this tournament in the quarter-finals in January. In their path is Cape Verde, who are winless in their past four international games. The Blue Sharks have lost four of their past six AFCON qualifier games. Les Aigles are the stronger side, so our Mali vs Cape Verde match prediction is a Mali win.

The Blue Sharks were beaten 3-2 by Argentina in their last international game, following three consecutive draws. Cape Verde have performed worse in their recent AFCON qualifiers, losing four games and drawing one out of six. Moreover, the Blue Sharks scored only three goals in that six-game run ahead of their visit to Mali, who are unbeaten in six AFCON Qualifier games.

Les Aigles lost 2-0 to Iran in their last international game, a slight dip in performance from the levels reached in their recent AFCON qualifier games. Mali won four of its last six qualifier games, drawing the other two. 

They scored ten goals in those six games, a run that propelled them to the quarter-finals in January 2026. With Mali being the stronger of the two teams, we expect them to capitalize on that advantage to overcome the Blue Sharks, beating them by one or multiple goals come Friday night.

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Mali v Cape Verde Isl. Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2 2.9 4
1xbet
1.94 3.08 4.18
Melbet
1.91 3.28 4.42
Betwinner
1.94 3.08 4.18
Bet365
1.87 2.87 4.1
Check all Mali vs Cape Verde Isl. odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Mali and Cape Verde Isl.?

Our prediction for the Mali vs Cape Verde Isl. match is: Mali wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Mali and Cape Verde Isl. in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.08% for a win of Mali against Cape Verde Isl. with odds of 2.02 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mali vs Cape Verde Isl. is 40.24% with odds of 3.28 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Cape Verde Isl. vs Mali with odds of 4.42 at Melbet.

Mali vs Cape Verde Isl. Form

Mali and Cape Verde Isl. Last Matches

Mali
Mali Last matches
D D D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Iran
2 :  0
Mali

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Russia
0 :  0
Mali

9 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Senegal

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Tunisia

29 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Comoros
0 :  0
Mali

26 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Mali
W W W D D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Senegal

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Tunisia

22 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Zambia

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Mali
4 :  1
Madagascar

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mali
3 :  0
Comoros

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Mali
6 :  0
Eswatini
W D D D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Iran
2 :  0
Mali

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Russia
0 :  0
Mali

29 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Comoros
0 :  0
Mali

26 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Mali

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Jordan
0 :  0
Mali

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Chad
0 :  2
Mali
Cape Verde Isl.
Cape Verde Isl. Last matches
W W D D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
3 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

21 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

15 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Spain
0 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Bermuda

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Serbia
D D D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Bermuda

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Serbia

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  0
Iran
W D L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
3 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

21 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

15 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Spain
0 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Chile
4 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Libya
3 :  3
Cape Verde Isl.

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mauritius
0 :  2
Cape Verde Isl.
Mali vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction

Mali - Cape Verde Isl. Key Points

  1. Mali reached the quarter-finals of the last AFCON tournament.
  2. Cape Verde are winless in their past four international games.
  3. Mali won four of their past six AFCON Qualifiers, scoring ten goals.
  4. Cape Verde has four losses and one draw in their past six AFCON qualifiers.
  5. The Blue Sharks have only scored three goals in their past six AFCON qualifiers.
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Our Mali vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction

Les Aigles’ stellar run in their last AFCON qualifiers saw them go all the way before a quarter-final exit in January. Mali, hoping to go farther, will be confident they can overwhelm Cape Verde with their attack, which has resulted in ten goals in their past six games in this stage of the competition. 

Cape Verde will be lucky if they concede fewer than three goals, given their defence will be under pressure from Les Aigles. Mali are favourites, so our Mali vs Cape Verde prediction is that Mali wins.

Prediction :

 

Mali wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.