Nigeria vs Madagascar Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Nella Wagah | in AFCON Predictions
Seven years after their meeting at 2019 AFCON, Nigeria and Madagascar are set to face off again. This time the two nations meet in Group L of the 2027 African Cup of Nations qualifiers, with Nigeria hosting this Round 1 match. With Nigeria back to full strength, our prediction backs them to win at home.
The last time these two nations met, Nigeria had secured qualification for the AFCON knockouts and sent out a fringe side. The Super Eagles would go on to lose 2-0 on the day.
With that, they suffered their first ever defeat against Madagascar. Though they are still set to miss a key man in Victor Osimhen, Nigeria will be just fine with Akor Adams, Tolu Arokodare, and George Ilenikhena.
While Nigeria fell to Portugal 2-1 in their last outing, an international friendly, Madagascar were 4-0 losers to Morocco. Both matches were played in the June window. Madagascar will be looking to return to winning ways here.
However, in their last two AFCON qualification meetings with Nigeria, they suffered back-to-back defeats. On both occasions, the matches ended 2-0, and as Barea head to the Godswill Akpabio Stadium, the target is to register consecutive wins over the African giants.
The island nation hasn’t won any of the last two international matches, but they’ve triumphed in six of their last 10.
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Nigeria v Madagascar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.18 | 5.8 | 13 |
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1.18 | 6.2 | 14.6 |
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1.18 | 6.2 | 14.6 |
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1.18 | 6.2 | 14.6 |
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|
1.17 | 5 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and Madagascar?
Our prediction for the Nigeria vs Madagascar match is: Nigeria to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Nigeria and Madagascar in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.52% for a win of Nigeria against Madagascar with odds of 1.21 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs Madagascar is 16.38% with odds of 6.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Madagascar vs Nigeria with odds of 18 at Betsson.
Nigeria vs Madagascar Form
Nigeria and Madagascar Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 May 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Jan 2026 - AFCON
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
30 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
26 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Nigeria vs Madagascar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jun 2019 - AFCON
Missing players
Z. Sanusi
ForwardV. Osimhen
Nigeria - Madagascar Key Points
- Nigeria won ‘to nil’ in their last four wins.
- Madagascar lost twice in three meetings with Nigeria.
- Nigeria kept clean sheets in their wins against Madagascar.
- Madagascar failed to score in their last outing, which they lost.
- At least one side failed to score in the three meetings between these sides.
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Our Nigeria vs Madagascar Prediction
Three-time African champions, Nigeria, come into this game with the upper hand, and not only because they will be playing at home. The Super Eagles have two wins in three meetings with Madagascar, and both came in similar qualifiers.
In the two matches Nigeria kept clean sheets, and they’ve done so in six of their last 10 outings too. The last time these two met, Madagascar had an easy job facing a second-string Nigeria side. Away to Nigeria it will be different. Our prediction for Nigeria v Madagascar is for Nigeria to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
