Mexico vs Korea Republic Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Mexico
18/06/2026 21:00
Korea Republic

Prediction :

 

Mexico wins

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in World Cup Predictions

Following a successful 2026 FIFA World Cup opener in front of their home crowd, co-hosts Mexico will welcome South Korea to the Estadio Akron in the penultimate Group A fixture for both nations. The two teams have met on multiple occasions, and the hosts have won three of their last four meetings, making a Mexico win our prediction for this encounter.

Mexico had a chaotic start to the tournament against South Africa, where three red cards were shown. However, they managed to come out on top in convincing fashion against this opponent for the first time since June 2000, when they prevailed 4-2 in an international friendly. The objective now is to make it two wins on the bounce, which will confirm early qualification for the knockout stages.

South Korea also rode a wave of optimism, defeating the Czech Republic in the opener. They now face a side they've not beaten in four consecutive meetings. Additionally, they've won just five of their last 15 meetings against this opponent, indicating they could struggle for a favourable outcome.

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Mexico v Korea Republic Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.97 3.3 4.1
1xbet
2.03 3.43 4.14
Melbet
1.85 3.5 4.42
Betwinner
1.85 3.5 4.42
Bet365
2 3.25 4.2
Check all Mexico vs Korea Republic odds

Mexico vs Korea Republic Form

Mexico and Korea Republic's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Mexico
3 1 1 0 0 +2
2 Korea Republic
3 1 1 0 0 +1

Mexico and Korea Republic Last Matches

Mexico
Mexico Last matches
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
South Africa

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
5 :  1
Serbia

30 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Australia

22 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
Ghana

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Belgium

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Portugal
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
South Africa

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
5 :  1
Serbia

30 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Australia

22 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
Ghana

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Belgium

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Portugal
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies

Bolivia
0 :  1
Mexico

22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies

Panama
0 :  1
Mexico

6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico
Korea Republic
Korea Republic Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Korea Republic
2 :  1
Czechia

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
1 :  0
El Salvador

30 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
5 :  0
Trinidad And Tobago

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Austria
1 :  0
Korea Republic

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
0 :  4
Côte d'Ivoire

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
1 :  0
Ghana
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Korea Republic
2 :  1
Czechia

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
1 :  0
El Salvador

30 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
5 :  0
Trinidad And Tobago

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
0 :  4
Côte d'Ivoire

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
1 :  0
Ghana

14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Korea Republic
2 :  0
Bolivia
D W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Austria
1 :  0
Korea Republic

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Korea Republic

6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Korea Republic

11 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship

Hong Kong
0 :  2
Korea Republic

5 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Iraq
0 :  2
Korea Republic

19 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Palestine
1 :  1
Korea Republic

Mexico vs Korea Republic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Mexico

67 %

Draw

33 %

Korea Republic

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Korea Republic

14 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

Mexico
3 :  2
Korea Republic

23 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Korea Republic
1 :  2
Mexico

Mexico - Korea Republic: Form Analysis

Mexico endured a chaotic start to the 2026 FIFA World Cup as their opener against South Africa saw three red cards brandished, compared to just four across the entire tournament in the previous edition held in Qatar.

Despite that, El Tri managed to come out on top, securing a 2-0 victory in front of their home crowd. Julian Quinones and Raul Jimenez were on the scoresheet. 

Following that triumph, Javier Aguirre's men have now avoided defeat in each of their last nine matches across all competitions. Notably, they've won four consecutive matches.

South Korea are winless in their last four meetings with Mexico. Is this the perfect time to end that unwanted run?

South Korea had it tough in their opener against the Czech Republic, as it appeared as if they were destined to suffer their first defeat in the competition. 

Trailing by a goal in the 59th minute, Hwang In-Beom restored parity eight minutes later, and Oh Hyeon-Gyu scored a late winner, which saw the team prevail 2-1 at Estadio Akron. Currently, they occupy second place in Group A, level on points with leaders Mexico. 

In light of that result, the Taegeuk Warriors have won three consecutive matches in which they kept two clean sheets. Hopefully, that momentum should be enough to see them record their first win against Mexico in four games. 

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Mexico vs Korea Republic last Lineups

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

1
R. Rangel
15
I. Reyes
3
C. Montes
5
J. Vasquez
23
J. Gallardo
6
E. Lira
8
A. Fidalgo
26
B. Gutierrez
25
R. Alvarado
9
R. Jimenez
16
J. Quinones
10
L. Jae-sung
7
S. Heung-min
19
L. Kang-in
13
L. Taeseok
8
S. Paik
6
H. In-beom
22
S. Young-woo
3
L. Gi-hyuk
4
K. Min-jae
2
L. Han-beom
1
K. Seung-gyu

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Korea Republic

Substitutes

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

C. Acevedo

G. Ochoa

Defender

M. Chavez

J. Sanchez

E. Alvarez

Midfielder

O. Vargas

G. Mora

L. Chavez

O. Pineda

L. Romo

Forward

A. Gonzalez

G. Martinez

C. Huerta

A. Vega

S. Gimenez

Korea Republic
Korea Republic
Goalkeeper

J. Hyeon-woo

S. Bum-keun

Defender

W. Cho

K. Moon-hwan

K. Tae-hyeon

J. Castrop

P. Jin-seob

Midfielder

B. Joon-ho

H. Hee-chan

K. Jin-gyu

L. Dong-gyeong

E. Ji-sung

Y. Hyun-jun

Forward

O. Hyeon-gyu

C. Gue-sung

Missing players

Mexico
Mexico
Defender

C. Montes

Korea Republic
Korea Republic
Defender

K. Tae-hyeon

Midfielder

B. Joon-ho

Mexico & Korea Republic Squad Analysis

Following a convincing win over South Africa in the opener, it's likely that head coach Javier Aguirre is going to name an unchanged starting XI.

However, the Mexican national team will be without their defensive anchor in Cesar Montes, who was shown a straight red card after denying an obvious goal-scoring opportunity. In his place, Jorge Sanchez could be the likely replacement.

Raul Jimenez, who played a major role in the team's win, is expected to lead the attack once again. The Wolverhampton Wanderers forward registered four shots and scored once, marking his 46th goal in 125 appearances.

Can Heung-Min Son contribute this time and put his side in the driving seat for early qualification to the knockout stages with a match-winning display? 

South Korea could also name an unchanged starting XI with head coach Hong Myung-bo opting for the same 3-4-2-1 formation. Commanding the backline is Bayern Munich's Kim Min-Jae, who had a terrific performance, winning six out of nine duels. 

The Los Angeles FC forward, Son Heung-Min, is going to lead the attack once again, but his performance against the Czech Republic had everyone questioning his influence in the final third.

The 33-year-old had one shot on target from six attempts and missed one big opportunity to score his 56th international goal.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mexico
CD Huachipato Korea Republic
Top Goalscorer
Mexico R. Jimenez (1 Goals)
Mexico J. Quinones (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
South Korea H. In-beom (1 Goals) South Korea O. Hyeon-gyu (1 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico R. Alvarado (1 Assists)
Mexico E. Lira (1 Assists)
Best assists
South Korea H. In-beom (1 Assists)
South Korea L. Kang-in (1 Assists)

Mexico - Korea Republic Key Points

  1. Mexico are unbeaten in their last four meetings with South Korea.
  2. South Korea are winless in their last three away meetings with Mexico.
  3. Mexico are currently on a four-match winning streak.
  4. South Korea have lost three of their last four meetings with Mexico.
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Our Mexico vs Korea Republic Prediction

Mexico and South Korea both made winning starts to the 2026 FIFA World Cup. They come into this match brimming with confidence, aiming for another crucial victory that could see them bag early qualification to the knockout stages.

We believe co-host Mexico can secure three points in this clash, considering their dominance against South Korea. They've won three of their last four meetings against this opponent and have won three consecutive home matches heading into this clash. That said, expect the home team to secure a hard-fought win. Our Mexico vs South Korea prediction: Mexico wins.

Prediction :

 

Mexico wins

 
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Mexico vs Korea Republic Alternative Predictions

More than 2.5 goals

Odds 2.3
Meetings between Mexico and South Korea have been highly entertaining in terms of goals scored. Their last four meetings have produced over 2.5 goals and we expect another high-scoring affair when these two sides meet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mexico vs Korea Republic Prediction