Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Sweden will look to answer the critics questioning their place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup when they start their Group F engagements against Tunisia, the lowest-ranked team in the section. This match will be played on Sunday, and going by the poor scoring run of the 'Eagles of Carthage,' this game against the 'Blue and Yellow' comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
The Netherlands and Japan are the other teams in the group and are likely to fight for a top-two finish. That would leave only the third spot up for grabs for Sweden and Tunisia, both bringing contrasting forms to the tournament. The Swedes have failed to capture imagination, except for the wins in the qualification playoffs, while Tunisia have seen a downtrend in its results.
The teams played three friends in the past but are meeting for the first time since 2003. Can Sweden ease into the tournament with a win, or do the Tunisians have the game to post an upset? It's time you get an in-depth analysis, team news, and match predictions from us.
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Sweden v Tunisia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.9 | 3.35 | 4.2 |
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1.9 | 3.44 | 4.2 |
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|
1.9 | 3.44 | 4.2 |
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1.85 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
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1.91 | 3.35 | 4.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Tunisia?
Our prediction for the Sweden vs Tunisia match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/06/2026 between Sweden and Tunisia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.2% for a win of Sweden against Tunisia with odds of 1.95 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sweden vs Tunisia is 33.95% with odds of 3.52 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Tunisia vs Sweden with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Sweden vs Tunisia Form
Sweden and Tunisia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
Sweden - Tunisia: Form Analysis
Sweden played two friends before this tournament, losing 3-1 to Norway and drawing 2-2 against Greece. These results extend the indifferent few months for the Scandinavians, who have just two wins from their last ten matches (W2, D3, L5).
Those two victories have come in the play-offs, where they overcame Ukraine and Poland. Those successes were preceded by a winless group campaign in the qualifiers (D2, L4), and Sweden could qualify for the playoffs only because of their UEFA Nations League (UNL) success.
Sweden failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 games.
Tunisia were thrashed 5-0 by Belgium in their last international friendly, making it a solitary win in their last seven matches (D2, L4) with one of those defeats coming via penalties.
Their only victory in that sequence came against Haiti as they search for an uptick in form to compete in a difficult group. Inspiration is not far off, with Tunisia conceding no goals in their ten World Cup qualification matches (W9, D1).
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Players list
K. Nordfeldt
DefenderG. Gudmundsson
I. Hien
D. Svensson
G. Lagerbielke
A. Bernhardsson
MidfielderM. Svanberg
Y. Ayari
B. Nygren
ForwardA. Isak
V. Gyokeres
A. Chamakh
DefenderA. Arous
O. Rekik
M. Talbi
M. Ben Hmida
MidfielderE. Skhiri
K. Ayari
I. Gharbi
M. Hadj Mahmoud
ForwardE. Achouri
H. Mastouri
Substitutes
V. Johansson
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderH. Ekdal
E. Smith
C. Starfelt
E. Stroud
H. Johansson
MidfielderL. Bergvall
K. Sema
J. Karlstrom
B. Zeneli
S. Nanasi
ForwardT. Ali
G. Nilsson
A. Elanga
S. Ben Hessen
A. Dahmen
DefenderM. Ben Ouanes
A. Abdi
D. Bronn
Y. Valery
R. Chikhaoui
M. Neffati
MidfielderS. Tounekti
H. Mejbri
A. Slimane
R. Khedira
ForwardF. Chaouat
R. Elloumi
E. Saad
Sweden & Tunisia Squad Analysis
Dejan Kulusevski is the biggest casualty for Sweden, with the Tottenham Hotspur forward ruled out of the squad. There are injury concerns over Alexander Isak and Gabriel Gudmundsson, with the Leeds United defender sitting out the recent training sessions due to mild illness.
After a brief tinkering with the formations, Coach Graham Potter has zeroed in on a 3-4-1-2 system. Their success could depend on their forwards Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak, although the duo hasn't quite clicked in unison.
Gyokeres has five goals in his last three matches for Sweden.
Tunisia are sweating over the availability of Burnley playmaker Hannibal Mejbri, with the midfielder picking up an injury in a pre-tournament friendly against Austria. Other than this, the squad is in pretty good shape.
They usually line up in a 4-2-3-1 system with Mejbri pulling the strings behind the lone striker. That could be Hazem Mastouri or the experienced Firas Chaouat, but their attacking unit is a concern and goals could be at a premium.
Sweden - Tunisia Key Points
- Five of Tunisia’s last six matches produced under 2.5 goals during regulation time.
- Sweden scored only two goals in their last five World Cup qualifiers group stage matches.
- The three friendlies between these sides produced only one match goal each time, albeit between 1992 and 2003.
- Tunisia failed to score in their last three matches.
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Our Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction
Sweden had a strange qualification for the World Cup, having failed to win any qualifiers in the group stages. It's only thanks to the UNL success that they were able to punch a ticket to this tournament. Tunisia have the historical burden of having never gone beyond the group stages in the World Cups. Their World Cup qualification was littered with 1-0 wins, so excitement could be in short supply here.
The offensive concerns for both teams could be the theme, so our Sweden vs Tunisia prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Sweden vs Tunisia Alternative Predictions
Sweden wins
Sweden are favorites to win this game, perhaps owing to the fact that Tunisia have struggled in the friends and the Africa Cup of Nations. A tight win could be on the cards for the Swedes.
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Sweden vs Tunisia - FAQs
The Sweden vs Tunisia FIFA World Cup match will be shown live on SVT and TV4 in Sweden, while beIN SPORTS are the official broadcasters in Turkey. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our FIFA World Cup Livescore page!
The 48 teams are divided into 12 groups.
Group A: Mexico, South Africa, South Korea, Czech Republic
Group B: Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar, Switzerland
Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, Scotland
Group D: United States, Paraguay, Australia, Turkey
Group E: Germany, Curacao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador
Group F: The Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Tunisia
Group G: Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New Zealand
Group H: Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay
Group I: France, Senegal, Iraq, Norway
Group J: Argentina, Algeria, Austria, Jordan
Group K: Portugal, DR Congo, Uzbekistan, Colombia
Group L: England, Croatia, Ghana, Panama
The top two teams of each group will progress to the knockout stage, along with the eight best third-placed teams. That makes it 32 teams for the first stage of the knockouts.
The knockouts will be played in a single-elimination format. If the teams are level during regulation time, 30 minutes of extra time will be played. If the teams are still tied at the end of extra time, a penalty shootout will be used to determine the winner.
Brazil are the most successful team in the history of the World Cups, winning the title five times (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, and 2002).
Germany are the second-most successful team with four titles, including their success as West Germany (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014).
Italy have also won the title four times (1934, 1938, 1982, 2006), but have failed to qualify for this edition.
Argentina are the next best side, winning the title on four occasions (1978, 1986, and 2022). They are the defending champions.
France (1998, 2018) and Uruguay (1930, 1950) have won two titles each.
England (1966) and Spain (2010) have won the World Cup once each.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
