Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Saudi Arabia started last World Cup with a surprise win over Argentina, but can they repeat those heroes against another South American nation, Uruguay? The 'Green Falcons' and 'La Celeste' will meet in Florida on Monday, while Spain and Cape Verde are the other teams in Group H of the 2026 World Cup. With goals being a concern for these two teams of late, are we headed for a low-scoring return here?
The Saudis are making their seventh World Cup appearance and a third in a row. They have never crossed the group stage since reaching the round of 16 on debut in 1994, a tournament that was held in the United States!
Uruguay are two-time champions from 1930 and 1950 and have made it past their group on three of their last four appearances in the World Cups. That shouldn't mask the fact that they exited at the group stage in the 2022 edition and had a below-par finish to their qualification campaign this time. Which of these two struggling sides will manage to regain their composure in the opener? Dig deep with our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Saudi Arabia v Uruguay Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23 | 1.14 | 5.75 |
|
|
7.66 | 4.19 | 1.51 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.1 | 1.48 |
|
|
8.3 | 4.32 | 1.43 |
|
|
7.66 | 4.19 | 1.51 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay?
Our prediction for the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/06/2026 between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.39% for a win of Saudi Arabia against Uruguay with odds of 23 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay is 34.83% with odds of 4.5 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia with odds of 5.75 at Stake.
Saudi Arabia - Uruguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Saudi Arabia Uruguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 47.79% | 5.75 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 60.24% | 1.79 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | 1.69 at 22bet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Uruguay | 26.04% | 4.1 at LSbet |
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Form
Saudi Arabia and Uruguay's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
|
4
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 |
Saudi Arabia and Uruguay Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
15 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
11 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
8 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jun 2018 - World Cup
Saudi Arabia - Uruguay: Form Analysis
Saudi Arabia had to fight their way to this World Cup, needing a fourth round in the Asian qualifiers. Their overall record in the qualifiers read W8, D6, L4, which isn't convincing by their own standards in Asian qualification campaigns.
To make matters worse, they parted ways with Herve Renard and appointed Georgios Donis just 59 days before the start of this tournament. Although they drew 0-0 with Senegal and defeated Puerto Rico 3-0 just before the World Cup, the 'Green Falcons' have failed to win six prior games during regulation time (D1, L5).
Uruguay beat Saudi 1-0 in the 2018 World Cup.
The South Americans would take that result now, considering they come into this tournament without their top two all-time top scorers, Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani. They finished fourth in the CONMEBOL qualifiers (W7, D7, L4) but have struggled at the tail end of that campaign.
Uruguay won just three of their last 12 qualifiers and have also failed to win any of their last four friendly matches (D3, L1). That defeat was a damning 5-1 result against co-hosts USA in November 2025, still a low point of their preparations.
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Saudi Arabia against Uruguay Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Alkassar
N. Alaqidi
DefenderN. Washl
J. Thikri
H. Kadish
A. Majrashi
A. Lajami
N. Aldawsari
A. Alhajji
Z. Aljohani
ForwardK. Alghannam
S. Mandash
S. Alshehri
A. Yahya
A. Alhamddan
S. Mele
S. Rochet
DefenderS. Bueno
J. Gimenez
MidfielderA. Canobbio
J. Piquerez
J. Sanabria
N. de la Cruz
E. Martinez
R. Zalazar
ForwardB. Rodriguez
R. Aguirre
F. Pellistri
Missing players
R. Araujo
MidfielderG. de Arrascaeta
Saudi Arabia & Uruguay Squad Analysis
Saudi Arabia have no reported major injuries from the preparatory games, which is a boost ahead of this game. Their squad is completely domestically based, with only one player - Saud Abdulhamid - plying his trade abroad.
The Saudis have usually lined up in a 4-3-3 formation with a single striker up ahead, morphing the system into 4-3-2-1. Firas Al-Buraikan is likely to lead the line, with the Al-Ahli striker ending up as Saudi's top scorer in the qualifiers with five goals.
Darwin Nunez had five goals and two assists for Uruguay in the qualifiers.
That's the most by any player for them, so coach Marcelo Bielsa will hope Nunez continues that run. Real Madrid's Federico Valverde is set to lead the team that thrives on a high-intensity, fast possession game.
Bielsa usually lines up his team in a 4-3-3 system with a lone striker playing slightly ahead in the attacking trio. The South Americans are hit by a couple of injuries, as first-team regulars Ronald Araujo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta are ruled out, most likely from all group stage games.
Most goals and assists
Saudi Arabia
Uruguay
A. Alamri
(1 Goals)
M. Araujo
(2 Goals)
M. Araujo
(1 Assists)
Saudi Arabia - Uruguay Key Points
- Ten of Uruguay’s last 13 matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Uruguay have failed to score in eight of their last 12 competitive matches.
- Saudi Arabia have failed to score in three of their last six matches.
- Saudi Arabia have scored only nine goals in their last 15 World Cup matches.
- Uruguay are without their two all-time goal scorers - Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez for this tournament.
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Our Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction
Strangely enough, Saudi Arabia and Uruguay come into this World Cup with management issues. The Saudis made a change at the top with just 59 days to go for the World Cup, while Uruguay have the divisive Bielsa calling the shots and perhaps alienating a few. That shouldn't take the focus off the fact that both these sides have been struggling in the final third in recent times.
Those troubles could continue here, and that's why our Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Alternative Predictions
Uruguay wins
Recent form gives little confidence in backing either side, although the South Americans have a slight edge. Uruguay have won just one of their last eight World Cup opening matches (D4, L3), but this could be their chance to change that record with a victory.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Saudi Arabia Uruguay
| Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia wins | 6.4 | 23 | +259.4% |
| Draw | 4.7 | 4.5 | -4.3% |
| Uruguay wins | 1.49 | 5.75 | +285.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Uruguay is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 285.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 17.4% (-49.7%)
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay - FAQs
The Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay World Cup match will be shown live on beIN Sports, beIN Connect and TOD in Saudi Arabia. Canal 5 and Antel TV are the official broadcasters in Uruguay. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
This is the 23rd edition of the World Cup, the quadrennial international men's football championship. This is the first World Cup to be hosted by three nations – the USA, Mexico, and Canada. This edition is also the first to include 48 teams, an expansion from 32 teams previously.
The 48 teams are divided into 12 groups.
Group A: Mexico, South Africa, South Korea, Czech Republic
Group B: Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar, Switzerland
Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, Scotland
Group D: United States, Paraguay, Australia, Turkey
Group E: Germany, Curacao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador
Group F: The Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Tunisia
Group G: Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New Zealand
Group H: Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay
Group I: France, Senegal, Iraq, Norway
Group J: Argentina, Algeria, Austria, Jordan
Group K: Portugal, DR Congo, Uzbekistan, Colombia
Group L: England, Croatia, Ghana, Panama
The top two teams of each group will progress to the knockout stage, along with the eight best third-placed teams. That makes it 32 teams for the first stage of the knockouts.
The knockouts will be played in a single-elimination format. If the teams are level during regulation time, 30 minutes of extra time will be played. If the teams are still tied at the end of extra time, a penalty shootout will be used to determine the winner.
Brazil are the most successful team in the history of the World Cups, winning the title five times (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, and 2002).
Germany are the second-most successful team with four titles, including their success as West Germany (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014).
Italy have also won the title four times (1934, 1938, 1982, 2006), but have failed to qualify for this edition.
Argentina are the next best side, winning the title on three occasions (1978, 1986, and 2022). They are the defending champions.
France (1998, 2018) and Uruguay (1930, 1950) have won two titles each.
England (1966) and Spain (2010) have won the World Cup once each.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
