Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar | in Serie A Predictions
A win over Cagliari will give Napoli the 2024/25 Serie A title as the teams meet on the final matchday of the season on Friday. This match at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona between the league-leading Partenopei and the 14th-placed Sardinians comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Napoli have 79 points and a lead of one point over Inter, while Cagliari have 36 points and are guaranteed safety. A win will give Napoli the title, while a loss will need them hope Inter drop points too. A draw for both teams will open the doors for a tiebreaker.
Napoli could have already won the title if not for their consecutive draws, including a 0-0 stalemate at Parma last matchday. They are still the team to beat in the competition, having stitched an 11-game unbeaten streak (W6, D5).
The home fans will hope they can celebrate the title with a win, as Napoli have won four of their last five home league games.
Cagliari confirmed their top-flight status for another year with a 3-0 home win over Venezia last weekend. It came after consecutive league defeats, and they may now look to post back-to-back league wins for the first time this season.
The Sardinians have struggled to stay afloat on the road, having lost four of their six recent league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Cagliari Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.18 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Cagliari?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Cagliari match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/05/2025 between Napoli and Cagliari in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.19% for a win of Napoli against Cagliari with odds of 1.23 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Cagliari is 23.06% with odds of 7.42 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Napoli with odds of 17 at Unibet.
Napoli - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Cagliari Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 69.19% | 1.23 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.43% | 1.54 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 33.16% | 1.65 at Unibet |
Napoli vs Cagliari Form
Napoli and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
82 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 32 |
|
15
|
36 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | -16 |
Napoli and Cagliari Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
10 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
7 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Feb 2024 - Serie A
16 Dec 2023 - Serie A
21 Feb 2022 - Serie A
26 Sep 2021 - Serie A
2 May 2021 - Serie A
Napoli against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Cagliari
R. Lukaku
(14 Goals)
R. Piccoli
(10 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(10 Assists)
T. Augello
(6 Assists)
Napoli - Cagliari Key Points
- Six of Napoli’s last eight league matches at home produced goals from both teams.
- Cagliari scored at least once in their last six Serie A matches.
- Four of Cagliari’s last six league games have returned BTTS.
- Cagliari scored at least once in their last three away league games.
- Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between Napoli and Cagliari.
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Our Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction
Napoli has a straightforward equation: win the match and reclaim the Serie A title. They are up against a side that has nothing left to play, as Cagliari have already confirmed their safety. Yet, that's not as straightforward as it looks with Napoli having dropped points in their last two matches. Cagliari may fancy stretching their hosts and keeping the home fans on their toes. If nothing, Cagliari could take comfort in scoring a goal, something they have been consistently doing in recent matches. Our Napoli vs Cagliari prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Cagliari
| Napoli vs Cagliari | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.2 | 1.18 | -1.7% |
| Draw | 6.25 | 7 | +12.0% |
| Cagliari wins | 15 | 15 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 84.7% (1.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Cagliari game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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