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Carabao Cup Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Carabao Cup prediction on the final winner, as well as our expert predictions on the 2024-2025 League Cup matches. Lots of information for your sports betting.

Carabao Cup Presentation and Predictions

carabao cup 2023

The Carabao Cup is considered the secondary cup competition in English football. It doesn't have the long history of the FA Cup having not been launched until 1960. It's still an important trophy to win and last season saw Liverpool beat Chelsea 1-0 to lift the trophy.

The final takes place at Wembley with the winners earning a place in the Europa Conference League, unless qualified for one of the other European competitions. From the first round in August to the final in February 2024, our team of betting experts will be providing free betting tips to help you with your predictions.

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League Cup Winner Prediction: Who Will Win the 2024-25 Carabao Cup?

English League Cup trophy

Manchester City once again will come into a cup competition as one of the top favourites and for good reason. The Citizens have lifted the Carabao Cup in six of the last 10 iterations. Pep Guardiola has arguably the most talented array of talent available in the world, along with one of the deepest benches. The latter is an important factor to take note of as teams may often opt to rotate their players for League Cup matches, especially if it’s early on in the competition.

The English League Cup might not be a top priority for Manchester City, but you can’t argue that they don’t take it seriously - simply look at the results over the last decade. Some of the other Premier League elite might not place much importance on the Carabao Cup if it means being able to keep their first choice players fresh for important league or European cup matches.

Therefore, our prediction to win the 2024-25 Carabao Cup is: Manchester City!

bettingTipsCtaLink_1xbet]Get the latest Carabao Cup odds

Carabao Cup Betting Tips: The Latest Carabao Cup Odds on the Title

  • Man City - 3.50
  • Arsenal - 6.00
  • Chelsea - 9.00
  • Liverpool - 9.00
  • Newcastle - 11.00
  • Man Utd - 11.00
  • Aston Villa - 11.00
  • Tottenham - 13.00
  • Brighton  - 17.00
  • Crystal Palace - 21.00
  • Brentford - 21.00

Odds taken from Bet365

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Carabao Cup Finalists Prediction: Who Will Reach the League Cup Final?

When you bet on the Carabao Cup, it’s not all about who will be the side that wins the trophy. You can also place wagers on a team reaching the Wembley final. Again, Manchester City are very strong candidates for this type of bet. A lot of it will depend on the draw, as sometimes avoiding the big Premier League names can cause a surprise run for a team of lower-stature. However, you can be sure teams such as Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester United will be in the mix in the later rounds.

For our early prediction, we're going to back 2023 runners-up Newcastle to be the other team to join Manchester City in the final. The Magpies have been making good progress with Eddie Howe at the helm, although they suffered from a crammed schedule last season which included the Champions League. Without any European football this coming season, look for Newcastle to make the most of the domestic cup competitions.

Carabao Cup Prediction: The latest odds on who will reach the final

The odds on who will reach the final of the 2024-25 English League Cup aren’t currently available. In the meantime, we recommend heading over to Vbet to see the other betting markets on offer!

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Beginners Guide - How the Carabao Cup Works?

How does this competition differ from the FA Cup? Well, this is the English Football League (EFL) Cup (currently sponsored by Carabao) and is contested between the 92 teams in the Premier League and English Football League. There are no non-league teams in this competition unlike in the FA Cup. 

The first round is contested between sides in the Championship, League One and League Two. Premier League sides who are not in European competition enter at the second round stage. Those sides who are playing in Europe don’t begin their campaigns until the third round.

All games are played over one leg until the semi-finals. They’re played over two legs, another difference from the FA Cup. There are no replays in this competition with matches that are level being decided by a penalty shootout.

The final is played at Wembley and will be decided on the day. If the game is level after extra time, then it’s penalty shootout time. Here are the dates for your diary:

  • Third round: September 18 and 25
  • Fourth Round - October 30
  • Quarter Finals - December 18
  • Semi Finals first leg - January 8, 2025
  • Semi Finals second leg - February 5, 2025
  • Final - March 16, 2025

The latest odds are at William Hill

How to make good predictions on the Carabao Cup?

“Betting

If your desire is to make winning Carabao Cup predictions, a good knowledge of how clubs treat the competition is advisable. Our previews will help guide you in the right direction. The factors listed below are all considered to be very important by our team of betting experts.

  • Check the form of each club taking part during Carabao Cup
  • Look at the fixture list of the English clubs
  • Make sure you know the team news
  • How important is the match to each club?
  • Be aware of the latest statistics during Carabao Cup

These five factors will help you make successful Carabao Cup predictions. Let’s now look at each of them in a little more depth.

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Check the form of each club taking part during Carabao Cup

players' forms predictions 24-25

Backing sides that are out of form is never a good idea. It’s slightly different with the Carabao Cup though. The key fact that we can’t stress enough is that clubs will play a much weakened line-up for the cup games, at least until the latter stages of the competition. This means the line-up that might be losing Premier League games or winning lots of them won’t be the one that is fielded for the Carabao Cup match. This was shown last season when Nottingham Forest and Southampton were both battling relegation but reached the last four of the Carabao Cup. It’s best therefore to look at how clubs have fared in previous Carabao Cup competitions. 

Look at the fixture list of the English clubs

betting tips prediction 24-25

A busy fixture list will further influence the team selections of clubs playing in the Carabao Cup. Not just for Premier League sides but those in the Championship too. If there’s a big game to play at the weekend, then that will mean it’s even less likely that top players will be playing in the Carabao Cup game, especially if it’s against a side from a lower division. Pay attention to the fixture list at all times.

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Make sure you know the team news

experts' betting tips prediction 24-25

Again, we have to stress that the team line-ups will be a lot weaker than those fielded in the Premier League or Championship. This might change in the latter stages but definitely not in the early rounds. Make sure you know the players who will be appearing in the Carabao Cup game. This will influence your bets, especially ones for goalscoring markets. Leaving placing your bets till the teams are confirmed is a good idea. Also, look at the strength of a club’s squad. Will fielding a weaker side seriously affect their chances of winning the game?  It might do for Luton or Sheffield United but not so much for Manchester City or Arsenal.

How important is the match to each club?

betting tips pred

A lot of the top Premier League clubs wouldn’t shed a tear if the Carabao Cup was scrapped. Others see it as their only chance to win a trophy and there’s a European place for grabs so they consider this an important competition. That’s why so many team changes are made for this competition. What is considered more important for a top club? A Carabao Cup game against a League One side or a big Premier League game at the weekend? The latter is going to be more vital to them unless it’s the latter stages of the Carabao Cup with a Wembley final possible.

For the lower league sides, the Carabao Cup is important. A good cup run can boost their finances so they will be keen to get as far as they can. 

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Be aware of the latest statistics during Carabao Cup

latest stats predictions 24-25

Knowing the key statistics is always going to be helpful. When the team line-ups are confirmed, look at how the chosen players have been getting on in recent weeks. Are the strikers scoring goals or struggling to find the back of the net? How have defenders been getting on in recent weeks? Do the visitors struggle on their travels or are they getting good results? How has the home club been playing in recent weeks? All vital information that can help you make winning bets. 

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What Not to Do For Your Carabao Cup Predictions

When you are making your Carabao Cup predictions, there are betting behaviours that you should look to avoid. These can hinder the chances of your bets being successful. Here are the main ones we feel you should not be doing:

  • Not analysing the match
  • Take into account only a club's prestige and not its form
  • Not analysing the odds on offer and missing the most attractive one
  • Betting on a Carabao Cup without working out how important the game is to each club
  • Chasing losses - never a good idea.
  • Placing bets when either tired or upset
  • Betting on bookmakers' boosted odds without carrying out an analysis
  • Betting repeatedly on your favourite team
  • Don’t forget this is a cup competition and upsets will happen.

Sometimes it is easy to fall into these behaviours. Always put a lot of thought into every bet that you place. Don’t bet when you are upset or tired as this will affect your ability to make the right  decisions. Bet carefully, avoid these bad habits and you should be able to do well with your Carabao Cup bets.

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Key Statistics for your Carabao Cup Predictions

Carabao Cup statistics - Football

When betting on any competition, statistics play a major role in deciding what prediction to make. Our betting experts spend hours looking up the statistics that they feel will greatly help our readers. Let’s take a look at statistics from the previoius 2023/24 Carabao Cup:

  • Average goals scored per match: 2.95
  • 39% of games ended in a home win.
  • 34% of matches were won by the away side.
  • 27% ended level after 90 minutes.
  • The most frequent final score was 1-1 (17.2% of matches).
  • Over 2.5 goals occurred in 52% of matches.
  • Over 3.5 goals occurred in 33% of games.
  • 59% of all matches in the 2023/24 Carabao Cup finished with both teams scoring.
  • An average of 4.01 bookings were handed out per game.
  • Home teams averaged 1.53 goals scored
  • Away teams averaged 1.42 goals scored
  • 54% of goals were scored in the first half
  • 44% of matches saw a clean sheet
  • The most frequent score at halftime was 1-0 to the away side (24.7%)

One of the standout statistics from last year's Carabao Cup has to be the most common halftime scoreline being 1-0 to the away side. However, this is likely explained due to the gulf in class when top flight teams play the lower division sides. At nearly 3.00 goals averaged per game, the English League Cup is a good competition to back for goals.

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In Short: How to predict Carabao Cup matches?

Carabao cup predictions

Let's summarize how you can make successful Carabao Cup bets. Make sure you accept the fact that the line-ups will be weaker than those fielded for league games, especially in the early stages of the competition. Check the team line-ups, the form of the players chosen and how sides have fared in previous Carabao Cup competitions. If you haven't got the time to do all these, read the previews of our experts as they will be packed with vital information.

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Our Carabao Cup Predictions of the moment

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Carabao Cup: best odds to bet

18 Dec 2024 - 13:30 Arsenal - Crystal Palace
1 1.25
X 5
2 10.5
18 Dec 2024 - 13:45 Newcastle - Brentford
1 1.64
X 3.6
2 4.9
18 Dec 2024 - 14:00 Southampton - Liverpool
1 9
X 4.8
2 1.3
19 Dec 2024 - 14:00 Tottenham - Manchester United
1 2.1
X 3.35
2 3.3

Take a look at our Carabao Cup odds before placing your bets on the competition. You can also follow the matches live on our Carabao Cup Livescores page.

Bet on who will win the EFL Cup at bet365

The images featuring this article are licensed from the IMAGO website.

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Carabao Cup : Frequently Asked Questions

Liverpool are the defending Carabao Cup champions. They beat Chelsea 1-0 to win the trophy last season.

The 2024-25 Carabao Cup final is being held at Wembley Stadium on March 16, 2025.

Liverpool are the most prolific winners, lifting the trophy 10 times. Coming in second-place is Manchester City, who have won six of their eight titles in the last 10 years.

Sky Sports and ITV have struck a deal that will allow ITV to show select Carabao Cup matches starting in 2025. You do need a subscription or a NOW TV Day pass. Alternatively, follow the games live on the Sportytrader Carabao Cup Livescores page.

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