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EFL Cup Predictions & Betting tips

A new Carabao Cup champion will be crowned this season after defending champions Liverpool were eliminated in the round of 16 by Manchester City. Will the Citizens be able to lift the trophy yet again in a competition that they have utterly dominated over the last decade for what would be a seventh Carabao Cup title in the last 10 years? We will have plenty of coverage of the final rounds of the English League Cup. Read our expert tips on this competition.

The 2022/23 Carabao Cup


This is considered the secondary cup competition in English football. It doesn't have the long history of the FA Cup having not been launched until 1960. It's still an important trophy to win though with a Wembley final and a place in the Europa Conference League for the winners. How does it differ from the FA Cup? Well, this is the English Football League Cup (currently sponsored by Carabao) and is contested between the 92 teams in the Premier League and English Football League. There are no non-league teams in this competition unlike in the FA Cup. The current holders of the trophy are Liverpool who beat Chelsea to win the trophy last season but they will not have the opportunity to retain their title. Will one of the Manchester clubs take down the trophy yet again or will it end up in the hands of new winner at Wembley?

Choose the Carabao Cup winner at Bet365

Recent Winners of the Carabao Cup


Manchester City haven't just dominated the Premier League. They won the Carabao Cup for four straight seasons before losing a penalty shootout at West Ham last season. The last nine seasons has seen them win this competition six times. One feature of this competition is that clubs play weakened line-ups. However, that hasn't stopped the top teams in the Premier League from dominating the Carabao Cup. It just shows what strong squads the best clubs possess. 

In the last 18 seasons, the League Cup (it's had several sponsors in this time) has been dominated by the top six teams in the Premier League. Only Swansea City and Birmingham City have prevented the trophy being won by either Liverpool, Manchester United, Manchester City, Tottenham Hotspur (not won since 2008) or Chelsea. Of the teams in the semi-finals, only Newcastle and Southampton could become first time winners of the English League Cup.. 

With the competition now heating up, our team of experts will give you their views on the Carabao Cup. Hopefully, their analyzing of the cup games will help give you some winners over final stages as the remaining teams bid to win this trophy.

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Key Statistics for your Carabao Cup Predictions

With the competition entering it's final stages, there are some potentially useful insights we can glean from the statistics of the 2022/23 Carabao Cup up to this point. There have been 2.63 goals scored per match on average in the 84 completed matches in the current campaign of the EFL Cup. This is notably lower than the roughly 2.90 goals per game that the Premier League is averaging this season and can be attribuited to the inclusion of many lower league sides in the tournament.  The over 2.5 goals mark has occured in 50% of matches while over 3.5 goals has happened 30% of the time.

Along the same lines, "Both teams to score" (BTTS) has only came through in 42% of matches which is signficantly lower than the 53% of the Premier League and the 48% of the Championship. In fact, the Carabao Cup has seen a lower BTTS probability than all four divisions that make up the English Football League. Something to keep in mind when placing your bets from the quarter-final onward. 

Another interesting statistic to point out is the increased parity in home and away results as there appears to be a notable decrease in home field advantage that teams possess in the competition. Home teams have won 40% of their matches while away sides have walked away with the win 39% of the time.  Compare this to the Premier League which sees the home side win 48% of the time and the away side win just 30% of their matches. The most common scoreline in the 2022/23 edition of the CarabaoCup has been a 2-0 home victory, which has occured in 11.9% of all fixtures. 

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How to predict Carabao Cup matches?


It has to be remembered that clubs don't always put a great deal of emphasis on the Carabao Cup. They don't do it for the FA Cup, so what hope is there for this competition. It's a good chance to blood youngsters and give fringe players some time on the pitch. It is important therefore to check the line-ups that are being selected. There are some teams, not just in the Premier League, that don't really care about this competition. Their main aim is to do well in their league or at least avoid relegation. Take a look at not how clubs have been getting on in recent weeks but in the past in this competition. That will give you an indication of just how much they rate the Carabao Cup.

For some of the clubs in the Premier League, this and the FA Cup are their only chance to win a major trophy. There is a European place up for grabs and gaining that would be a big deal for clubs such as Newcastle United, Southampton, Nottingham Forest, Wolverhampton and especially League One side Charlton. 

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Dates for your Diary

  • Semi finals (two legged games) - Weeks beginning January 23 and 30
  • Final played at Wembley on Sunday February 26

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2022/23 Carabao Cup Semi-Final Draw 

  • Southampton v Newcastle United 
  • Manchester United v Nottingham Forest 

Games are played over two legs

2022/23 Carabao Cup Quarter-Final Results

  • Manchester United 3 Charlton 0
  • Newcastle United 2 Leicester City 0
  • Southampton 2 Manchester City 0
  • Nottingham Forest 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 - Forest won 4-3 on penalties

See the latest odds at bet365

The Latest Carabao Cup Betting Odds

Here are the latest betting odds regarding which team will lift the Carabao Cup

  • Manchester United - 1.83
  • Newcastle United 2.61
  • Southampton, 11.00
  • Nottingham Forest - 13.00

All odds provided by by

Bet on who will win the EFL Cup at bet365

Our Carabao Cup Predictions of the moment

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

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