Copa America Betting Tips
Find our free forecasts on the winner of the Copa America, as well as our expert predictions on all of the best matches of the 2019 tournament. Full information for your sports bets!
Presentation and betting tips of the Copa America 2019
Held in Brasil from June 14th to July 7th, the Copa America will be one of the biggest sporting events of summer 2019. After Chile did the double in 2015 and 2016 (an anniversary edition) the best nations of the continent will compete to claim the title of ‘Champions of South America’ - from Neymar’s Brasil, to Messi’s Argentina, to Cavani’s Uruguay. Be sure to note that two nations from outside CONMEBOL have also been invited to participate in this year’s tournament - Qatar and Japan. So what to try for your predictions on the tournament?
For beginners - How does the 2019 Copa America work?
Do you want to make predictions on the 2019 Copa America, but you are not totally sure how it works? Don’t panic, as the format of the competition is simple and can easily be understood.
The 36th edition of the Copa America will be held in Brasil. Hosted by the Confederation of South American Football (CONMEBOL), it will feature the top 10 nations on the continent, as well as Qatar and Japan.
Divided into three groups (A, B and C), each consisting of four teams, the 12 participating nations will attempt to qualify for the quarter finals - and from there will attempt to go as far as possible in the tournament.
To achieve this qualification, they will have two possibilities: either to finish in the top two of their group, or to finish amongst the best two third place teams. For example, if Qatar finish third in Group B, but have more points than the two other third place teams, they will qualify for the quarter finals of the Copa America.
- 12 teams
- 3 groups of four teams
- 2 top-ranked nations from each group qualify (6 teams)
- 2 best third-place finishers qualify (2 teams)
- 8 in total qualify for the quarter finals
Betting on Copa America: the statistics to know
In addition to the format of the competition, you should also know that there are a number of statistics that will be key to know for your predictions. First of all, despite what you may have been lead to believe, know that this 12-nation tournament rarely results in a display of offensive tactics.
Back when the Copa America still functioned as a 16-team tournament, with no nation from outside of America invited, it saw an average of 2.90 goals per game. Four years ago in Chile, the last edition of the tournament when only 12 nations participated, we only saw an average of 2.27 goals per game - quite a dull edition which is not fondly remembered. Still, an interesting statistic to note.
In addition to these low goal averages, the last Copa America tournament between 12 teams also highlighted the tactical capabilities of each nation - meetings that resulted in at least three goals were few and far between. From the group phase to the final - which ended with a bleak 0-0 scoreline - only 38% of meetings validated the bet ‘+2.5 goals’, and only 23% for ‘+3.5 goals’. Should this trend continue into the 2019 edition, don’t hesitate to try your hand on the ‘Under’ market in this summer’s Copa America.
Otherwise, and in much the same spirit, also bear in mind that the majority of matches generally don’t see any score (only 42% do), and that draws are a common occurrence (31% in 2015). In addition, the majority of goals are scored before the break (56%). If these figures remain correct for the 2019 edition, it will be a safe bet that the tournament in Brasil will not be a ‘goal fest’ - unless the participants have a 180° switch in tactics.
Copa America 2019 - The Groups
Not expected by our experts to be particularly prolific - although we are hoping to be wrong - the Copa America should still present us with some exciting games, even in this first round of the competition. Selected from a draw in January, here are the groups that we can expect in summer 2019.
Group A - Brasil, Peru, Venezuela, Bolivia
A member of the first group of the tournament, as is tradition, the hosts Brasil should have no trouble in securing the top spot in Group A. In addition to the backing of a home crowd who are expected to turn out in force - we remember the example of the 2014 World Cup - the squad led by Tite are undoubtedly one of the most talented in the competition. From Allison to Neymar, including Allan, Arthur, Firmino and Thiago Silva - they are armed with an abundance of talent in all areas of the pitch - which should allow them to dominate their group in the qualifying phase of the tournament.
Participants of the last World Cup - where they put in a very interesting performance - the Peruvian national team will be the favourites to take second place, unless Venezuela should exceed expectations. Bolivia, on the other hand, will be less able to shine, and should for their part be content with representing their country on an international stage. Guerrero’s Peru and the Venezuelan duo of Rondon-Martinez should be best equipped to progress over the Bolivians.
Who will finish first in Group A?
Group B - Argentina, Colombia, Paraguay, Qatar
A member of Group B of the 2019 Copa America, Scaloni’s Argentina will have to play well from the start and not concede early on. The ‘Albicelestes’ will have a lot to do against Falcao’s Colombia, Berrizzio’s Paraguay, and the AFC Asian Cup winners Qatar. Despite the return of Lio Messi to the side, the quarter finalists of the last World Cup in Russia have struggled in recent months - having been beaten in friendlies by both Brasil and Venezuela, and held to a draw by the Colombians. As such, a first place finish for the Argentinians should perhaps not be a priority for your predictions - just look at the odds proposed by the bookmakers.
As for the qualifying nations, Messi & co. should, regardless, take one of the two qualifying spots up for grabs, while it is expected that Colombia will secure the other. Having suffered in terms of form in recent months, including two setbacks in March, Paraguay should be wary of Qatar in hoping for a third place qualifying spot. Having won seven games since the beginning of 2019, Felix Sanchez’s men are in preparation for their 2022 World Cup - a fact that is not to be forgotten, it will surely count.
Who will finish first in Group B?
Group C - Uruguay, Chile, Ecuador, Japan
Finally to Group C, the third and final group of the tournament - where it is Edinson Cavani and Diego Godin of Uruguay that will be expected to top the group. Excellent in the last World Cup until they were halted in quarter finals, ‘La Celeste’ will be out for revenge after they were knocked out in the first round of the 2016 tournament - especially since they are historically considered to be one of the best South American sides. Winners in 2011, they will aim to go all the way in this summer’s competition, and given the group they were drawn in they could well do so.
Non-participants in the World Cup in Russia, Chile seem to be a side in transition - having recorded only 5 successes from 17 games between July 2017 and March 2019 - and will be expected to struggle in Brasil despite winning the last two editions of this tournament. Otherwise, Ecuador should be wary of Japan, who are often disciplined and capable of surviving the chopping block - Kagawa, Inui or even Sakai will play such a role.
Who will finish first in Group C?
Who are the favorites of the Copa America 2019?
Once the group stage is over, the Copa America 2019 will pit the best nations of the continent against each other from the quarter-finals on. Supported by their home crowd, the Brasilian ‘Seleçao’ will obviously be one such side.
Equipped with incredible talents and a coach capable of adapting to the opponent, Brasil will be the standout favorites to win the tournament at home this summer, and this opinion is reflected amongst bookmakers. With a potential match-up against the third place finisher in Group B (Qatar? Paraguay?), Neymar and company should also have the opportunity to progress here, before meeting the best teams engaged in the competition.
If we had to choose a single favorite, our experts would advise you to go with logic and favour Brasil ahead of Uruguay or Scaloni’s Argentina. Agree with us? Then what are you waiting for - to your predictions?
Who will win the Copa America?