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13 August 2022 - 10:00

England - Premier League

Day 2

Southampton
Southampton
VS
Leeds
Leeds

Tip :

Over 2.5

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Southampton vs Leeds Prediction

 by Joseph |

Leeds head to the south coast of England to take on Southampton at St. Mary’s Stadium for the second matchweek of the Premier League. These teams have undergone very different starts to the 2022/23 campaign; Southampton suffering a heavy 4-1 away defeat to Tottenham while Leeds came back from being a goal down early to claim the full three points in a 2-1 win against Wolves. This is an interesting matchup between two managers who came through the Red Bull coaching pipeline and have very similar footballing philosophies. Both Ralph Hasenhüttl and Jesse Marsch prioritize the modern German approach, full of high-pressing and quick transitions. The tactical battle between the two should result in an entertaining, high-scoring affair.
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The best odds for betting

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.4 3.5 2.8
1xbet
2.44 3.57 2.93
Vbet
2.38 3.58 2.97
Betobet
2.3 3.4 2.65
Shangrila
2.45 3.45 2.85
See all odds Southampton - Leeds
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Form

Ranking

14e
Southampton
Premier League
11e
Leeds

Last matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L L D W L L

6 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Tottenham
4 :  1
Southampton

30 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
1 :  2
Villarreal

27 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
3 :  1
Monaco

18 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

SK Austria Klagenfurt
0 :  0
Southampton

16 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
3 :  1
Southampton

22 May 2022 - Premier League

Leicester
4 :  1
Southampton
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
W W L D W W

6 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
Wolves

31 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
6 :  2
Cagliari

22 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Leeds

17 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Leeds

14 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Brisbane Roar
1 :  2
Leeds

7 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
4 :  0
Blackpool

Head to head

Southampton

25 %

Draw

25 %

Leeds

50 %

2 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Southampton

16 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Leeds

18 May 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  2
Leeds

23 Feb 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  0
Southampton

Form Analysis

As previously mentioned, Southampton will be hoping to get off to a better start than the awful run of form which saw them end the 2021/22 campaign with only one win from their final 12 matches. Leeds were decent away from home last season and ended the year with three wins from their final five away trips. The visitors undoubtedly had the better preseason of the two teams, going 3-1-1 while Southampton managed only one win in their five friendlies. This looks to be a toss up on the winners market but it should be a match which sees plenty of attacking intent from both teams.
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Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

31
G Bazunu
2
K Walker-Peters
37
A Bella-Kotchap
18
S Mara
22
M Salisu
5
J Stephens
8
J Ward Prowse
45
R Lavia
7
J Aribo
10
C Adams
9
A Armstrong
20
D James
43
M Klich
19
R Moreno
7
B Aaronson
12
T Adams
4
A Forshaw
21
P Struijk
14
D Llorente
5
R Koch
25
R Kristensen
1
I Meslier

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leeds

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender V Livramento
Leeds
Leeds
Defender L Ayling J Firpo L Cooper Midfielder S Dallas Forward R Moreno

Squad analysis

Leeds are dealing with a few injury problems, most notably missing out on new signing Luis Sinisterra from Feyenoord. They’ll also be without defenders Junior Firpo and Luke Ayling, as well as utility player Stuart Dallas after the 31-year-old suffered a horrific leg break at the end of last season. Southampton have a mostly clean bill of health but will be without the services of Theo Walcott here. We’ll see if Hasenhüttl decides to stick with the same team that suffered a heavy loss against Spurs while it would be a surprise to see Jesse Marsch make any major changes to the side that beat Wolves.

Key points Southampton - Leeds

  1. Both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets in the early stages of this season, Southampton has conceded in three straight while Leeds have conceded in five consecutive matches.
  2. Both teams have scored in four of Leeds last five matches and six of Southampton’s last eight matches.
  3. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in eight of Southampton’s last 10 and five of Leeds’ last seven matches.
  4. Leeds have fared well against Southampton over the past two seasons, winning seven of a possible 12 points over four Premier League matches.
  5. Southampton ended the previous season in dreadful form and won only one of their final five home matches.
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Our prediction

We’re going to back over 2.5 goals as our pick for this match. There are a few ways to approach this one, with both teams to score also a very strong possibility. These two sides have been trending towards overs throughout the preseason and into the start of the new year. Stylistically, Southampton and Leeds share a lot of similarities in the way they approach the game which should result in an interesting tactical battle between the two Ralf Rangnick disciples. Back goals to be scored in this match in what should be a back-and-forth type of game

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Other interesting tips

Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals - odds : 2.05 at Bet365

There’s excellent value in this play at better than even money. This is a match that likely sees both teams getting on the score sheet with the visiting Leeds being very live underdogs. From there only one more goal is needed in a match that likely finishes 2-1 to either side.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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