Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Aston Villa
12/09/2026 10:00
Nottingham Forest

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

Is history repeating itself? Last season saw Aston Villa make a poor start to the season and be extremely goal-shy. After three games of the new season, they are 17th and yet to score. The Villans are home to Nottingham Forest who are a place above them, but only scored in one of their three league games. Our prediction here is less than 2.5 goals.

Villa have been struggling so far in this season's Premier League. Even a win here can only take them up to 13th in the table. They are yet to score a Premier League goal this season and are already eight points behind leaders Manchester City. The transfer window didn't go well for them and that has been shown on the pitch so far this term.

Nottingham Forest have also made a slow start to the new season. Just one of their four league and cup fixtures this season has seen them hit the back of the net. They are yet to win and have drawn their last two league fixtures. The Tricky Trees are only a point above their opponents.

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Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.28 3.35 3.15
1xbet
2.35 3.5 3.29
Melbet
2.26 3.36 3.18
Betwinner
2.26 3.38 3.19
22bet
2.26 3.36 3.18
Check all Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest?

Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.87% for a win of Aston Villa against Nottingham Forest with odds of 2.35 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest is 15.97% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Form

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16 Nottingham Forest
2 3 0 2 1 -1
17 Aston Villa
1 3 0 1 2 -5

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L L L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  3
Aston Villa

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Hull
0 :  0
Aston Villa

31 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Arsenal

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mönchengladbach
2 :  1
Aston Villa

12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  1
Aston Villa
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Arsenal

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Real Sociedad

15 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

7 May 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

3 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham
W L L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  3
Aston Villa

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Hull
0 :  0
Aston Villa

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mönchengladbach
2 :  1
Aston Villa

12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  1
Aston Villa

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bangkok Glass
1 :  3
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest Last matches
W W L L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Tottenham

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Leeds

22 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Leeds

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
Brest

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
2 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen
D W W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Tottenham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Leeds

22 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Leeds

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
Brest

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
2 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
W W L L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Udinese
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Nottingham Forest

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Portimonense
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Notts County
0 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

50 %

Draw

17 %

Nottingham Forest

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

7 May 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

30 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

12 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

3 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

14 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis

Aston Villa won 3-2 at Brugge in the Champions League in midweek. The hope will be that their first win of the new season will boost their confidence. Just like last season, they have made a poor start to the new term and have just one point from three league games.

Oh for a league goal!

One league point, but not a single goal so far. They began with a disastrous 4-0 loss at Brighton, all the goals being conceded in the first half. A 1-0 home loss to Arsenal followed and last weekend, they again drew a blank with a goalless draw at Hull before their Champions League success.

Nottingham Forest also struggled early on last season. This term has seen them again struggling with two draws and one defeat. Their three league matches have only seen five goals scored, and four of those came in the 2-2 home draw with Liverpool. 

Their other two league fixtures were a 1-0 home loss to Leeds and a goalless draw at the City Ground with Spurs. They also lost 2-0 to Leeds in the Carabao Cup.

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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest last Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Z. Suzuki
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
3
V. Lindelof
14
P. Torres
22
I. Maatsen
35
J. Gomes
8
B. Kamara
7
J. McGinn
10
E. Buendia
53
G. Hemmings
11
N. Jackson
19
L. Delap
14
D. Ndoye
10
M. Gibbs-White
3
N. Williams
24
J. McAtee
21
X. Schlager
34
O. Aina
5
Murillo
31
N. Milenkovic
23
J. Cunha
26
M. Sels

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Nottingham Forest

Substitutes

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

M. Bizot

J. Wright

Defender

T. Mings

M. Ruggeri

Midfielder

R. Barkley

L. Bogarde

Forward

Alysson

T. Abraham

A. Garnacho

I. Mbaye

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

J. Victor

Defender

O. Diomande

L. Netz

D. Munoz

Midfielder

N. Dominguez

R. Yates

Forward

Igor Jesus

C. Wood

C. Hudson-Odoi

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

M. Cash

Midfielder

L. Goretzka

A. Onana

J. Gomes

J. Manzambi

Forward

B. Madjo

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Defender

N. Savona

Midfielder

I. Sangare

Aston Villa & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis

Aston Villa lost some key players during the summer transfer window, including three England internationals. They must be so envious of how well Rogers has started at Chelsea. Villa come into this match with a whole host of injury problems to deal with.

Players such as Onana, Majo and Goretzka are out and Joao Gomes is suspended after being sent off at Brighton.  Matty Cash is a doubt after missing the welcome away win in the Champions League. It's likely Aaron Wan-Bissaka will remain in the starting line-up. Taylor Harwood-Bellis is available for selection.

Can Jackson score again?

The key aim for Villa is just as it was this time last season. They don't just need to start earning points, but score some goals. New signing Nicholas Jackson scored against Brugge and hopefully, that might be a turning point for Aston Villa's season.

Nottingham Forest missed out on Europe this season. Last term's Europa League campaign ended with a semi-final loss to eventual winners Aston Villa. Not playing in Europe and already having been knocked out of the Carabao Cup does at least mean they will have a lighter playing schedule this year.

That doesn't mean they don't have injury problems ahead of this match. Nicola Savona is out injured and there'll be a fitness test for Ibrahim Sangare. James McAtee will play if Sangare isn't fit enough to play at Villa Park on Sunday afternoon and he has already been sucessful in creating chances. Daniel Munoz may make his full debut. 

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest Stats in Premier League

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0%
Wins
0%
67%
Losses
33%
33%
Draws
67%
1.67
Average goals per match
1.67
0
Goals scored per match
0.67
1.67
Goals conceded per match
1
67%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
33%
No goals conceded
33%
0%
BTTS
33%

Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Key Points

  1. All four of Forest's games this season have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Forest have only scored in one game this season.
  3. The last two Villa league games saw less than 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Villa are yet to score a league goal this season.
  5. Less than 2.5 goals were scored in two of the last three games played between these clubs.
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Our Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

 A win for either club would be so important for their season. Neither Villa nor Forest are yet to win a Premier League game this term. That's particularly disappointing for Villa after the great success they achieved last season. They have started slowly and they are yet to score a league goal.

It's been disappointing too for Nottingham Forest. Glasner is yet to recreate the magic he performed at Crystal Palace. Of six league games played by these two clubs this season, just one has produced a goal. Our main Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Alternative Predictions

Aston Villa wins

Odds 2.15
Aston VIlla have won their last five home games against Forest. Hopefully, the midweek win will kick-start their season.
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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest - FAQs

This will be played on Sunday September 12 with a kick-off of 15:00 UK time.
Aston Villa are the home team here. The game will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham. Villa have beaten Forest twice at home this year.
This game will be shown live on the subscription channel Sky Sports. If you are looking to place some in-play bets on this game, a visit to our Premier League livescore will help you. There you will find live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.