Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 4 in the Premier League sees second-place Arsenal travel up north to take on 12th-placed Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. With the visitors in a fine vein of form combined with their strong defence, our prediction backs a successful match for the Gunners.
Sunderland haven’t beaten Arsenal since 2009, a day when lifelong Arsenal supporter Darren Bent scored for the Black Cats in a 1-0 victory. The visitors have thoroughly dominated this meeting; in their last 29 meetings, the Gunners have won 18 and drawn 10. Arsenal come into this match riding high, remaining perfect across all competitions with five wins from five. They trail Man City only on goals scored.
This fixture ended in a 2-2 draw last season after a pair of dramatic second half goals - the first a stunner by Trossard to make it 2-1 and the second coming in the dying moments of the match by Brian Brobbey to secure a point for Sunderland. The hosts achieved seventh last season, earning a spot in the Europa League. They’ve gotten off to a solid 1W-1D-1L start in the 2026-27 campaign, which has them on four points.
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Sunderland v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.2 | 4.3 | 1.48 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.32 | 1.53 |
|
|
7.3 | 4.16 | 1.48 |
|
|
7.4 | 4.2 | 1.47 |
|
|
7.3 | 4.16 | 1.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal win + under 4.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Sunderland and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.15% for a win of Sunderland against Arsenal with odds of 8 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Arsenal is 18.19% with odds of 4.37 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Sunderland with odds of 1.53 at 1xbet.
Sunderland vs Arsenal Form
Sunderland and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
12
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Sunderland and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
Sunderland vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
20 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2021 - Carabao Cup
16 May 2017 - Premier League
29 Oct 2016 - Premier League
Sunderland - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Arsenal have every bit the part of defending champions to start the season, winning all five matches across all competitions. This includes a 3-0 Community Shield victory and a 1-0 away win over Napoli in the Champions League on Wednesday.
Their last league outing against Chelsea saw Arsenal come back after conceding in the first two minutes to win 2-1. It was a confident performance from the Gunners, who didn’t panic and continued to squeeze Chelsea out of the match for a deserved three points.
Arsenal have allowed just 0.90 xG against in the opening three matches.
As has been the case for the last few seasons, Arsenal’s defence deserves mention, with the above figure comfortably the lowest in the division so far. They showed their level against Napoli as well, creating 4.05 xG against the Italian side’s 0.22 xG, in a matchup they should have won by more goals.
After losing their season opener 2-1 to Ipswich, Sunderland have responded positively. They grabbed a late winning goal against Fulham to win 1-0 at home and followed that up with a solid point in a 1-1 away draw against a high-flying Brentford side.
In their most recent fixture, Sunderland beat Hull City 1-0 at home to advance to the EFL Cup fourth round. The Black Cats have shown defensive resilience in their recent outings, conceding only a single goal in their last three matches.
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Players list
M. Ellborg
DefenderD. Methalie
T. Hume
O. Alderete
MidfielderJ. Ahoka
J. Bi
L. O'Nien
C. Talbi
C. Rigg
ForwardW. Isidor
M. Fofana
D. Raya
DefenderB. White
E. Konsa
Gabriel
P. Hincapie
MidfielderD. Rice
M. Merino
M. Odegaard
E. Eze
ForwardB. Saka
V. Gyokeres
Substitutes
S. Moore
DefenderJ. Jones
D. Ballard
T. Meunier
MidfielderT. Proctor
J. Whittaker
A. Browne
N. Sadiki
T. Tuterov
K. Arrizabalaga
I. Meslier
DefenderM. Salmon
R. Calafiori
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
M. Zubimendi
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Dowman
ForwardK. Havertz
N. Madueke
C. Tzolis
Missing players
H. Diarra
J. Timber
W. Saliba
C. Mosquera
Sunderland & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Sunderland manager Regis Le Bris will only have one player unavailable, midfielder Habib Diarra, who is out with a hamstring injury.
Former Arsenal player Granit Xhaka has picked right up where he left off last season and will be key to the Black Cats’ chances of success here. The Swiss captain leads the team in chances created (7) and accurate long balls per 90 (7.7), and is second in line breaking passes per 90 (15.0).
Mikel Arteta will be without William Saliba for the trip to the Stadium of Light with the Frenchman still facing a few months on the sidelines. Fortunately for the defending champions, new signing Ezri Konsa has fit in like a glove in the Arsenal backline. This match could see the return of Jurrien Timber, who has yet to feature this season.
We’re arguably seeing the very best of Martin Odegaard in an Arsenal shirt.
There have been plenty of bright spots for Arsenal so far, but it’s been the duo of Kai Havertz and Martin Odegaard, good friends off the pitch, that have really started this campaign in rip-roaring form.
Odegaard has netted four goals in Arsenal’s five matches across all competitions to start the season. This includes clutch winners against Chelsea and Napoli.
Keep an eye on Bukayo Saka as well, who was unlucky not to get on the scoresheet against Napoli despite racking up 1.09 xG, nine touches in the opposition box and six shots, all match highs.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Arsenal
N. Angulo
(1 Goals)
, 
W. Isidor
(1 Goals)
, 
E. Le Fee
(1 Goals)
M. Odegaard
(2 Goals)
, 
K. Havertz
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Saka
(2 Goals)
H. Diarra
(1 Assists)
R. Calafiori
(2 Assists)
Sunderland and Arsenal Stats in Premier League
Sunderland - Arsenal Key Points
- All five of Arsenal’s matches this season have seen the Gunners win and under 4.5 goals.
- Sunderland’s matches this season have seen an average of 1.75 total goals across all competitions.
- Arsenal have conceded just a single goal so far this season in five matches.
- Sunderland have allowed only one goal in their last three matches across all competitions.
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Our Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction
It’s hard to argue against Arsenal being considerable favourites for their trip up north considering the start they’ve had and the level they’re playing at. They’ll certainly be wary though, as Sunderland gave them a proper fight in this fixture last season.
The hosts have looked strong at the back to start the season, and we’re well aware of Arsenal's defensive level. This means that we can squeeze a bit more value out of this pick by pairing it with under 4.5 goals. Our Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction: Arsenal win + under 4.5.
Sunderland vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Bukayo Saka anytime goalscorer
Arsenal wins
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
