Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
This is the first Manchester derby of the new season. United are tenth in the table and that's five points and nine places behind their opponents City. Seven of the last ten games between the Red Devils and The Blues have seen more than three goals scored, so our prediction is more than 2.5.
United have five points from their first three league games of the new season. The Reds got off to a poor start with a 2-0 away loss at Hull City. They hammered Ipswich but lost a lead at Everton last weekend and returned home with a point. It's early days but a loss here would see them trailing their local rivals by eight points after just four games.
Manchester City have a 100 percent record in the Premier League under their new coach. They are top of the table after three games but only because they've scored more goals than Arsenal who also have nine points. Over 90 minutes they have only won one of their last six games against United, but this is a fixture that regularly produces goals.
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Manchester United v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.15 | 3.75 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.23 | 4 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.12 | 3.84 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.86 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.12 | 3.84 | 2.12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Manchester City match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2026 between Manchester United and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.08% for a win of Manchester United against Manchester City with odds of 3.25 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Manchester City is 20.61% with odds of 4 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Manchester United with odds of 2.19 at 1xbet.
Manchester United vs Manchester City Form
Manchester United and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
11
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Manchester United and Manchester City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
13 May 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2026 - Premier League
16 May 2026 - FA Cup
Manchester United vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
25 May 2024 - FA Cup
Manchester United - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Manchester United won 4-0 in the Champions League in midweek but on the home front it's been a bit of a struggle so far. They have only won one of their three league matches and last weekend led twice at Everton, only to concede a 96th minute equaliser. That followed a 2-0 opening weekend loss at newly-promoted Hull City.
High-scoring games at Old Trafford this season.
They beat Ipswich Town 5-2 at home for their sole league win. With that Champions League victory over Sabah, that's nine goals in two home games this season.
12 of their last 20 home Premier League games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored in them.
Manchester City also won in the Champions League in midweek with an impressive 2-0 win at Porto. All three of their Premier League games have been won. The first victory was a struggle as they came from behind to beat Bournemouth at home.
The Citizens were impressive when defeating Crystal Palace 4-1 away and then beat Coventry City 1-0.
11 of their last 20 away league games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Manchester United vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Darlow
D. Mee
DefenderA. Heaven
H. Maguire
D. Dalot
H. Amass
MidfielderM. Mount
T. Fletcher
S. Lacey
A. Santos
ForwardM. Rashford
J. Zirkzee
G. Rulli
M. Bettinelli
DefenderA. Khusanov
V. Reis
R. Lewis
R. Ait-Nouri
MidfielderR. McAidoo
M. Kovacic
E. Anderson
ForwardA. Elias
I. Ndiaye
Missing players
T. Heaton
DefenderL. Shaw
M. De Ligt
MidfielderM. Ugarte
C. Baleba
ForwardA. Diallo
N. O'Reilly
ForwardJ. Doku
Manchester United & Manchester City Squad Analysis
It seems every Manchester United injury update must include Luke Shaw. He missed the midweek Champions League game due to the cramp he had at Everton last weekend. He's expected to start this match and it'll be his 300th Premier League match. It'd be a lot more if he wasn't so injury prone.
There's still a long injury list though with de Ligt, Baleba, Ugarte and Diallo all unable to play in this game. United will be delighted with the form of Benjamin Sesko who has scored in each of his last two games. Mattheus Cunha also scored against Sabah and it looks like Marcus Rashford will start on the bench.
Haaland loves playing against United.
Manchester City will be hoping that Erling Haaland continues his good form against United. He's scored eight goals in his last seven games against City in Premier League fixtures. Missing for City will be Jeremy Doku who has a calf problem. Nico O'Reilly should be back in the starting line-up. Enzo Fernandez made a good debut against Porto and is likely to start here.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Manchester City
B. Fernandes
(3 Goals)
E. Haaland
(3 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Cunha
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Shaw
(1 Assists)
,
K. Mainoo
(1 Assists)
R. Cherki
(2 Assists)
,
P. Foden
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Semenyo
(2 Assists)
Manchester United and Manchester City Stats in Premier League
Manchester United - Manchester City Key Points
- Seven of the last ten matches between these two clubs have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in 11 of the last 20 City away league games.
- 12 of the last 20 United home league games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- Two United home games this season have seen 11 goals scored.
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Our Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction
Both of these clubs have scored seven league goals this season. The problem for United is that they have conceded six goals, compared to two for City. United have scored at least twice in their last three games, but conceded two in a couple of those matches.
Manchester City are top of the table and won away in the Champions League in midweek. Erling Haaland is in good early season form with three goals, the same as Bruno Fernandes. A high-scoring game looks on the cards here and our main Manchester United v Manchester City prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Manchester United vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Manchester City wins
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Manchester United vs Manchester City - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
