Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

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Germany - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
11/09/2026 14:30
Schalke 04

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Bundesliga matchday three starts on Friday with a game between two struggling units, Union Berlin and Schalke, looking for their first win of the 2026-27 league campaign. This match in Berlin between the 15th-placed 'Iron Ones' and the 14th-placed 'Royal Blues' is likely to be a low-scoring one, and our prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Ahead of this round, both teams have one point (D1, L1) and are only marginally ahead of the bottom-three clubs: Hoffenheim, Monchengladbach, and Hamburger.

Union lost 4-0 away at Leverkusen last weekend, following a 3-3 draw at home against Eintracht Frankfurt on matchday one. The seven goals they conceded rank them among the most porous defenses in the season, which is a concern for the hosts.

Their lone point came at home, though, and playing in Berlin suits Union, who have avoided defeat in four of their last five home league games (W1, D3, L1).

Back in the top flight after a three-season absence, Schalke did the unthinkable on matchday two, holding Bayern Munich to a 0-0 home draw. However, they are one of the three clubs without a goal, after they lost 3-0 on matchday one.

That defeat came on the road, and even in their title-winning run in the second division last year, Schalke won only eight of 17 league trips (D4, L5).

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Union Berlin v Schalke 04 Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
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2.29 3.6 3
1xbet
2.37 3.71 3.09
Melbet
2.29 3.56 2.98
Betwinner
2.29 3.56 2.98
22bet
2.29 3.56 2.98
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Schalke 04?

Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/09/2026 between Union Berlin and Schalke 04 in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.56% for a win of Union Berlin against Schalke 04 with odds of 2.37 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 is 29.87% with odds of 3.71 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin with odds of 3.09 at 1xbet.

Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Form

Union Berlin and Schalke 04's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 Schalke 04
1 2 0 1 1 -3
15 Union Berlin
1 2 0 1 1 -4

Union Berlin and Schalke 04 Last Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin Last matches
L D L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Union Berlin

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Braunschweig
2 :  4
Union Berlin

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  4
Ipswich Town

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  2
Cagliari

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Dynamo Dresden
2 :  1
Union Berlin
L D W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  4
Ipswich Town

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  2
Cagliari

16 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
4 :  0
Augsburg

2 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
2 :  2
Köln

18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  2
Wolfsburg
L D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Union Berlin

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Braunschweig
2 :  4
Union Berlin

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Dynamo Dresden
2 :  1
Union Berlin

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Aarau
2 :  1
Union Berlin

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Winterthur
1 :  1
Union Berlin

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Carl Zeiss Jena
2 :  0
Union Berlin
Schalke 04
Schalke 04 Last matches
W L L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  0
Schalke 04

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher
2 :  5
Schalke 04

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KSV Hessen Kassel
0 :  5
Schalke 04
W W W L L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
3 :  1
Fagiano Okayama

17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  0
Braunschweig

2 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  0
Fortuna Dusseldorf
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  0
Schalke 04

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher
2 :  5
Schalke 04

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KSV Hessen Kassel
0 :  5
Schalke 04

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Kharkiv
0 :  2
Schalke 04

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Erzgebirge Aue
2 :  4
Schalke 04

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Gutersloh 2000
2 :  1
Schalke 04

Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Union Berlin

17 %

Draw

67 %

Schalke 04

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

19 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Schalke 04

27 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  6
Union Berlin

13 Feb 2021 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Schalke 04

18 Oct 2020 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  1
Union Berlin

7 Jun 2020 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  1
Schalke 04

29 Nov 2019 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
2 :  1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Prediction

Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 last Lineups

Union Berlin

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
F. Ronnow
18
J. Juranovic
2
F. Uduokhai
4
Z. Van Den Bosch
15
T. Rothe
20
M. Aebischer
6
A. Kemlein
8
R. Khedira
9
L. Burcu
27
M. Ljubicic
29
E. Latte Lath
9
M. Sylla
24
A. Aouchiche
21
D. Ljubicic
8
R. Gosens
13
S. Tanaka
23
S. El-Faouzi
29
E. Ebimbe
4
H. Kurucay
25
N. Katic
5
T. Becker
1
L. Karius

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Schalke 04

Substitutes

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Goalkeeper

M. Raab

Defender

C. Trimmel

L. Querfeld

D. Kohn

Midfielder

J. Woo-yeong

A. Schafer

J. Haberer

T. Skarke

Forward

R. Skov

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Goalkeeper

K. Muller

Defender

M. Wober

M. Ayhan

V. Becker

Midfielder

J. Bachmann

L. Vozar

Forward

E. Dzeko

K. Karaman

J. Adamu

Missing players

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Defender

M. Friedrich

S. Nsoki

A. Markgraf

Midfielder

K. Imeri

Forward

O. Burke

A. Ilic

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Midfielder

R. Schallenberg

Union Berlin and Schalke 04 Stats in Bundesliga

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
0%
Wins
0%
50%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
50%
5
Average goals per match
1.5
1.5
Goals scored per match
0
3.5
Goals conceded per match
1.5
0%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
BTTS
0%

Union Berlin - Schalke 04 Key Points

  1. Union scored under 1.5 goals in six of their last nine Bundesliga home games.
  2. Schalke haven’t scored in four of their last five matches, including both Bundesliga games.
  3. Six of Schalke’s last 12 away league games, including both divisions, produced under 2.5 goals.
  4. Four of the last five head-to-head matches have seen fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Prediction

It's still early days in the league with only two games, but with 2.2 and 2.3 expected goals (xG), respectively, Union and Schalke are among the sides creating low-quality chances. Schalke average 3.0 shots on target per game so far and are yet to find the back of the net. The union are slightly better with three goals scored, all coming on matchday one.

Four of the last five Bundesliga games between these sides, albeit between 2020 and 2023, have been low-scoring. That could continue here, which is why our Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.