2026 US Open Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free US Open prediction on the final winner, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches in the American Grand Slam 2026 tennis tournament. All the information you need for your sports betting!

US Open - Presentation and predictions for the 2026 tournament (Tennis)

Ready to make your US Open tennis predictions? The SportyTrader editorial team is! From 30 August to 13 September 2026, our tennis experts will be providing their best analyses of the final Grand Slam of the season, as well as revealing their advice on how to place the best bets with the bookmakers.

Who will succeed Carlos Alcaraz on the Flushing Meadows courts? Which sports bets should be favoured during the American fortnight? Who are the favourites for the US Open? We tell you everything on this page! Your tennis betting is in for a treat at this 2026 edition of the US Open.

Tournament details

• Venue: Flushing Meadows, New York, United States
• Dates: From 30 August to 13 September 2026
• Playing surface: Hard (outdoor)
• Prize Money: 108M$ ($75M in 2025)
• The last winner: Carlos Alcaraz

US Open prediction: Who will win the tournament in 2026?

Carlos Alcaraz is defending his title at the US Open 2026!  Having been off the courts for a few months this season following his victory at the Australian Open, the Spaniard is back from injury and will be keen to defend his title. As you’ll have gathered, our experts see Carlos Alcaraz winning again, due to the world number one Jannik Sinner injury. Having won numerous Masters 1000 tournaments at the start of the season, including the Sunshine Double, his absence will allow Alcaraz to be the main favorite. 

We’re starting to get used to it, but certain players are expected to go deep into the competition, such as Novak Djokovic, who continues to perform well, and Alexander Zverev, who has just followed up a Roland Garros title with a Wimbledon final. The new generation could well give him a run for his money, led by Rafael Jodar. Americans such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz are playing on home soil and will also be keen to go far. 

We therefore tip Zverev to win this year’s US Open, claiming his second major title this year. Our US Open 2026 prediction: victory for Alexander Zverev!

US Open prediction: ATP odds on the title

• Alexander Zverev - 2.00
• Ben Shelton - 2.55
• Frances Tiafoe - 6.30
• Karen Khachanov - 14.00
• Alexander Blockx - 19.00
• Botic Van De Zandschulp - 45.00

Odds taken from Bet365. 

Women's US Open prediction: Who will win the WTA tournament in 2026?

As with the men’s draw, the WTA draw is particularly interesting to follow this year in the women’s competition. As the two-time defending champion, Aryna Sabalenka is set to face stiff competition once again this year at the US Open. She remains one of the main favourites to win in 2026 ahead of the tournament’s start, but it is common knowledge that Grand Slam titles are difficult to defend on the WTA Tour.

Her main rivals are none other than Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff, with the latter able to count on the support of the American crowd. Having won the tournament in 2023, she aims to repeat the feat every year in front of her home fans. 

Sabalenka looks set to be a force to be reckoned with at the US Open, and she has the chance to complete the hat-trick. Following her defeat in the Australian Open final earlier this year, the world number one will be keen to clinch the season’s final Grand Slam title. Our US Open WTA prediction: Sabalenka to win!

US Open prediction: WTA odds on the title

• Aryna Sabalenka - 3.60
• Coco Gauff - 6.30
• Iga Swiatek - 6.30
• Elena Rybakina - 7.20
• Naomi Osaka - 9.50
• Mirra Andreeva - 11.00
• Jessica Pegula - 14.00
• Amanda Anisimova - 14.00
• Marta Kostyuk - 14.00
• Alexandra Eala - 17.00

Odds taken from Bet365. 

US Open 2026: statistics you need to know

Now that you know the experts’ predictions for the 2026 US Open, let's talk about the key statistics for the American tournament. To bet on the US Open, you need to know the key figures for the fortnight, which will give you a clear indication of which tennis bets to favour.

Here are the main US Open statistics you need to know, as compiled by our tennis tipsters. Be sure to keep them handy!

• Average number of games per match: 36.3 games
• Three-set matches: 50%
• Four-set matches: 32%
• Five-set matches: 18%
• Matches in which the winner won the 1st set: 83%
• Matches with a comeback (0-2 / 3-2): 3%
• Matches where there was a bagel (6-0): 10%
• Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 19%
• Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 21%
• Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 15%
• Matches with a tie-break in the 4th set: 6%

For your bets on this highly-anticipated New York based tournament in 2026, remember that it is preferable to bet on matches to have a high number of games. It’s also useful to bet live on the success of the player who won the first set. There's no guarantee, of course, but it could make a real difference to your bottom line.

How to make good predictions for the US Open?

The US Open is the last Grand Slam tournament of the tennis calendar year. After the Australian Open, Roland Garros and Wimbledon, the American tournament brings together the best male and female players on the planet for an event that is widely covered by the world's media.

With its legendary track record (Nadal, Djokovic, Federer of course, but also Murray, Sampras, Agassi, Edberg, Becker, Lendl, McEnroe and Ashe), its entertaining game and its decisive role in qualifying for the ATP and WTA Finals at the end of the season, the US Open attracts all types of tennis fans, and particularly punters. Once again this year, many of you are likely to try a bet or two on the competition. To help you succeed, here are the main tips from our team of specialists.

Check the players' form

The first thing you need to do to make a good prediction for a US Open tennis match is, of course, to check the form of the two players that are up against each other. Above all, don't fall into the trap of the big names! Placed just after the gruelling Rogers Cup and Cincinnati Masters in the calendar, the US Open puts the various athletes taking part to the test.

If you were only thinking of betting by looking at the ATP rankings or the notoriety of the two players, forget it. What you really need to do is look at the latest results recorded by both players, as well as a few statistics such as the number of winning points scored in recent matches, the number of service games conceded and the number of break/set/match balls missed. This will give you a good idea of the physical and mental state of both players.

Taking the playing surface into account

The US Open is a tournament played on hard courts (hard surface) as well as taking place outdoors. Take this into account when analysing your matches. Don't forget that every player has a preference for a particular playing surface. How can we forget Jannik Sinner on hard courts, or Roger Federer on grass in his heyday?

For reliable betting in 2026, go for tennis players who are used to shining on hard courts. This is a surface where the game is fairly fast and intense, so fitness is of the utmost importance. For example, avoid betting on a player who has only achieved good results on grass or clay this season. This could mislead you.

Look at the history of head-to-head matches

In tennis, as in any other individual sport, mental attitude and psychology play a big part in performance. So it's important to know which player has the psychological edge before predicting a US Open match. Even if a player is positioned higher than another in the ATP Ranking and has had a more convincing previous match, you will want to avoid betting on a victory if he has lost 4 times in a row to his opponent.

Every player has strengths and weaknesses, so it's not unusual to find a 'bête noire' for every player on the circuit. So take the time to check out the latest head-to-head meetings between the two players who are about to face each other, as this will increase the reliability of your US Open prediction.

Observe recent US Open performances

In the same vein as the previous tip, we'd also advise you to check the latest US Open performances on both sides of the court. As with an opponent or a surface, every player has their favourite tournaments to play throughout the year, as well as others that they may like much less comparativley. Examples include the Australian Open and the Miami Masters 1000 for Novak Djokovic, or Wimbledon and the Cincinnati Masters 1000 for legend Roger Federer in his heyday.

To make a successful tennis prediction, take the time to check each player's performance at the last US Open, or even the last 2-3 editions. If, for example, a player is ranked 30 places higher than his opponent on the day but has never made it past the second round at Flushing Meadows, don't bet big on him. All players have their tennis habits, never forget that.

Keep the ATP rankings in mind

Finally, as a fifth piece of advice, we would ask you to keep the ATP rankings and the Live Race in mind when making your predictions for a US Open 2026 match. Remember, in fact, that a player has to match his performance from the previous year if he doesn't want to lose points, or do better if he wants to win points.

If a player is aiming for qualification for the Nitto ATP Finals, a place in the Top 3, his best career ranking or simply the number 1 spot in his country, you can be sure that he will be motivated to beat his opponent on the day. Motivation helps, and that's why he'll be the best bet for your US Open prediction. On the other hand, if a player is not aiming for anything special and is playing the tournament for fun, don't bet too much on his performance. Involvement counts for a lot in the outcome of a tennis match.

In short: how do you make a good prediction about the US Open in 2026?

There's no secret to making reliable predictions on this year's US Open. As well as consulting the tennis predictions of our specialists, take the time to analyse each match before placing your bet.

Whether we're talking about statistics, the current form of the players or the mental environment of the match, many factors can influence the success of your tennis bets (see above). So work ahead of each bet, and you can only increase your chances of winning. That's how SportyTrader's tennis tipsters see it.

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Our US Open Predictions of the moment

Our ATP US Open predictions and betting tips will be available soon. Check back regularly for the latest insights.

2026 US Open: best odds to bet

Odds are not yet available for this competition.