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South Africa vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - The Rugby Championship

International - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
23/08/2025 11:10
Australia

Prediction :

 

South Africa -13.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in The Rugby Championship Predictions

World No. 3 South Africa will take on sixth-ranked Australia again in this 2025 Rugby Championship round two fixture on Saturday. The Springboks will aim to bounce back after losing the first round to the Wallabies. Check out our prediction for the match below.

South Africa kicked off their 2025 Rugby Championship campaign on a disappointing note, suffering a shock 22-38 defeat to Australia in Johannesburg last week. The defending champions had the game firmly under their control with a 17-point lead in the first half, but collapsed to a 33-0 second-half shutout in a shocking turnaround. 

This result snapped the hosts’ seven-match winning streak in Test fixtures. Rassie Erasmus’ side will be determined to avenge this defeat and get back in the race to defend the title. They have won eight of their last nine Test matches on South African soil.

Joe Schmidt’s Australia will be brimming with confidence after their shock win in Johannesburg last week. A back-to-back victory could position the team strongly in the race for the 2025 Rugby Championship title. 

However, they haven't been impressed away from home, losing two of their last three fixtures on the road. They have also lost  four of their last five matches against South Africa by 16+ points.

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The Best Betting Odds for South Africa v Australia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.13 34 6
Betway
1.15 21 5.75
Ladbrokes
1.17 21 5.5
Unibet
1.18 31 5.2
NetBet
1.05 27 4.9
Check all South Africa vs Australia odds

South Africa vs Australia Form

South Africa and Australia's standings in the The Rugby Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
South Africa
South Africa
19 6 4 0 2 57
3
Australia
Australia
11 6 2 0 4 -13

South Africa and Australia Last Matches

South Africa
South Africa Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
55 :  10
Georgia

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
45 :  0
Italy

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
42 :  24
Italy

28 Jun 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
54 :  7
The Barbarians

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Wales
12 :  45
South Africa
W W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
55 :  10
Georgia

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
45 :  0
Italy

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
42 :  24
Italy

28 Jun 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
54 :  7
The Barbarians

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matches

South Africa
24 :  25
Ireland
W W L W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Wales
12 :  45
South Africa

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

England
20 :  29
South Africa

10 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Scotland
15 :  32
South Africa

28 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
11 :  12
South Africa

21 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

England
15 :  16
South Africa

15 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
28 :  29
South Africa
Australia
Australia Last matches
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

2 Aug 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
22 :  12
B&I Lions

26 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
26 :  29
B&I Lions

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
19 :  27
B&I Lions

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
21 :  18
Fiji

30 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Ireland
22 :  19
Australia
L L W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Aug 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
22 :  12
B&I Lions

26 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
26 :  29
B&I Lions

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
19 :  27
B&I Lions

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
21 :  18
Fiji

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matches

Australia
36 :  28
Wales

1 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Australia
34 :  14
Portugal
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

30 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Ireland
22 :  19
Australia

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Scotland
27 :  13
Australia

17 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Wales
20 :  52
Australia

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

England
37 :  42
Australia

24 Sept 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
40 :  6
Australia

South Africa vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

Players list

South Africa
South Africa
H. Pollard R. Snyman P. du Toit J. Kriel K. Smith M. Van Staden R. Nortje A. Fassi F. Mostert C. Kolbe M. Marx D. De Allende O. Nche G. Williams C. Moodie
Australia
Australia
R. Valetini F. McReight B. Pollard J. O'Connor T. Tupou J. Suaalii C. Toole N. White T. Wright N. Frost M. Jorgensen W. Skelton T. Robertson L. Ikitau T. Hooper

Substitutes

South Africa
South Africa
E. Etzebeth A. Esterhuizen W. Louw B. Venter S. Feinberg-Mngomenzulu L. De Jager M. Van Der Merwe C. Reinach
Australia
Australia
Z. Nonggorr J. Williams A. Kellaway T. McDermott N. Champion de Crespigny T. Edmed B. Paenga-Amosa A. Bell

South Africa - Australia Key Points

  1. South Africa have won seven of their last eight competitive matches, mostly by wide double-digit margins.
  2. South Africa have won eight of their last nine Test fixtures on South African soil.
  3. South Africa have won four of their last five home Test matches by 18+ points.
  4. Australia have lost two of their last three away matches.
  5. Australia have lost four of their last five encounters with South Africa by 16+ points.
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Our South Africa vs Australia Prediction

This is a must-win match for South Africa. The Springboks will aim to avenge their opening loss and also redeem their hopes of defending the Rugby Championship title. Despite the opening setback against the Wallabies, they remain favourites to come out victorious.

Rassie Erasmus’ side have won eight of their last nine Test matches and four of their last five home fixtures by 18+ points. They have also won four of their last five encounters with Australia by 16+ points. Our South Africa vs Australia prediction is South Africa -13.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

South Africa -13.5 handicap points

 
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Welcome offer

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bet365 welcome offer

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

South Africa vs Australia Prediction

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