Zambia vs Comoros Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Daniel Ngulu | in AFCON Predictions
Group A action returns at the 2025 African Cup of Nations (AFCON), with COSAFA nations Zambia and Comoros facing off. The two nations’ opening matches at the competition yielded contrasting outcomes, leaving Comoros bottom of the group and Zambia third. Read on for our prediction of the match at Mohamed V Stadium in Casablanca.
While the two sides regularly face off in the COSAFA competition and AFCON qualifiers, this will mark their first ever AFCON meeting. This will also be the eighth time the two nations face off, with Zambia being the dominant side.
In the first four encounters between them, Chipolopolo won. However, Comoros have been gaining ground in recent matchups. In the last three clashes, Comoros posted two wins, with one ending in a draw. While Les Coelacantes look to build on these gains, they have done well in attack in this fixture. They only failed to score in the first-ever meeting with Zambia.
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Zambia v Comoros Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.42 | 2.95 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.03 | 3.86 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.02 | 3.48 |
|
|
2.25 | 3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.36 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Zambia and Comoros?
Our prediction for the Zambia vs Comoros match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/12/2025 between Zambia and Comoros in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.13% for a win of Zambia against Comoros with odds of 2.42 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Zambia vs Comoros is 15.14% with odds of 3.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Comoros vs Zambia with odds of 3.86 at Melbet.
Zambia - Comoros Prediction and Best Odds:
| Zambia Comoros Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Comoros wins | 45.73% | 3.86 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.52% | 2.03 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.25% | 1.75 at LSbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Comoros | 21.13% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Zambia vs Comoros Form
Zambia and Comoros's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 |
|
4
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
Zambia and Comoros Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
17 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
14 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Zambia vs Comoros Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
9 Sept 2023 - AFCON
9 Jul 2023 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2022 - AFCON
Zambia - Comoros: Form Analysis
Zambia arrived in Morocco firmly focused on replicating their 2012 heroics as they lifted the African title. Their ambitions don’t match with the form they carried into this competition, though. The South African nation started off their charge with a slice of luck and a point in the 1-1 draw with Mali.
Earlier in the game, their opponents missed a penalty, and then Zambia needed a late Patson Daka equalizer to avoid starting with defeat. Still, they are winless at AFCON in 11 matches, having drawn nine times.
The last time they won the second group game at AFCON was back in 1996. Zambia have also conceded in each of the last four AFCON matches.
Three of Zambia’s last four AFCON matches ended in 1-1 draws.
Comoros started their 2025 journey on a strong footing against hosts Morocco but would capitulate in the second half. It ended in a 2-0 defeat, and they will be looking to bounce back here.
In their last two meetings with Zambia, Comoros emerges as winners, both games ending 1-0. In the spirit of their performance against Morocco, Comoros will not be faulted for feeling confident about this game.
They also had a slice of luck as Morocco missed a penalty in the match. Another downside from their opening result is that in their five matches at AFCON, Comoros haven't managed a clean sheet.
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Zambia against Comoros Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. Mulenga
F. Mwansa
DefenderG. Mphande
F. Musonda
MidfielderW. Chisala
J. Liteta
G. Kalusa
K. Chongo
M. Chaiwa
O. Chisala
ForwardE. Mandanji
K. Musonda
P. Phiri
J. Sabobo
J. Lahne
S. Ben Boina
A. Anzimati Aboudou
DefenderB. Youssouf
R. Vita
K. M'Dahoma
I. Mohamed
Y. Kari
F. Selemani
R. Mroivili
I. Mohamed
R. Lutin
A. Ahmed
ForwardZ. Amir
A. Ali Abdallah
E. Ben
Zambia & Comoros Squad Analysis
Patson Daka will be expected to lead the Zambians once again, after scoring his second AFCON goal. His strike against Mali once again came late, and he can make a good bet for a second-half goal.
Three of his last four goals for Zambia came after the 85th minute. The last goal Zambia ever scored against Comoros was his, in the 71st minute. Willard Mwanza was also a standout performer in the Mali game, his first ever AFCON game.
The Power Dynamos keeper saved a first-half penalty to keep Zambia in the match. Mwanza will hope to give Zambia their second clean sheet in 15 matches.
Comoros’ M’Changama and Zambia’s Daka have both scored previously in this fixture.
Comoros manager Stefano Cusin will have to make a decision on Yannis Kari, who was subbed off after picking up a caution.
Cusin may opt to leave him out in favor of a more attack-oriented team after sending out a more defensive side against Morocco, understandably so.
Skipper Youssouf M’Changama will likely be deployed in an advanced position after playing more defensively against Morocco. It will mean more attacking support for Rafiki Said, who impressed as a lone striker in the opening game.
Zambia - Comoros Key Points
- Six of Zambia’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals scored.
- Comoros had a 0.31 xG in their opening match at AFCON 2025.
- Three of Zambia’s last four AFCON matches ended in 1-1 draws.
- Zambia registered an xG return of 0.65 in their match against Mali.
- The last three meetings between these nations saw only four goals scored.
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Our Zambia vs Comoros Prediction
The early meetings between these nations were high scoring. That was when Zambia had total control in this fixture. However, with Comoros improving, there have been fewer and fewer goals seen in this matchup. In the last three matches, only four goals were scored when these nations met.
Zambia have been goal-shy in recent outings, failing to score in four of their last eight games. Also, both sides had low xG in the opening round of matches, and we could see the same here. Our prediction for Zambia v Comoros is for less than 2.5 goals.
Zambia vs Comoros Alternative Predictions
BTTS-No
There is a high probability that one or both of these teams will fail to score here. Across the last two meetings between Zambia and Comoros, there was a clean sheet recorded. Meanwhile, Zambia haven't been scoring consistently, while Comoros failed to score in their latest game. As such, backing a BTTS-No bet here holds value.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Zambia Comoros
| Zambia vs Comoros | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia wins | 1.86 | 2.42 | +30.1% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.1 | -12.7% |
| Comoros wins | 4.2 | 3.86 | -8.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Comoros is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 25.9% (2.1%)
Zambia vs Comoros - FAQs
The Zambia v Comoros match will be played at the Mohamed V Stadium in Casablanca.
The Zambia v Comoros match will be played on Boxing Day.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
