Burnley vs Everton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Premier League Predictions
After winning 100 points to gain promotion back to the Premier League, Burnley is on course to be relegated once more after doing so twice in the last four seasons. However, a win over Everton can cut the gap between the safe zones to just four points. Let's get into this match prediction!
Everton are on a back-to-back defeat after losing 2-0 to Chelsea and 1-0 to league leaders Arsenal in the latest game. Still, they've been the much better side. Everton faced the best teams in the league over their last seven games and walked away with four wins. The only other defeat was to Newcastle (4-1). The Toffees now sit at 10th-place, and just five points under 4th-place Chelsea in the Champions League Zone.
In contrast, Burnley have been abysmal in recent games and over the entire season. They finally just won a point in eight games thanks to a 1-1 draw against Bournemouth in their latest game. They lost the prior seven games and have only beaten last-placed Wolves and 16th-place Leeds. Do The Clarets really have what it takes to win here? See key stats below.
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Burnley v Everton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.68 | 3.19 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.18 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.1 | 2.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Everton?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Everton match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/12/2025 between Burnley and Everton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.8% for a win of Burnley against Everton with odds of 3.86 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Everton is 13.66% with odds of 3.25 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Everton vs Burnley with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
Burnley - Everton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Everton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 55.55% | 2.3 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 67.84% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 67.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Everton/Everton | 29.6% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Everton Form
Burnley and Everton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Everton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
28 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
20 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - National League Cup
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
24 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
Burnley vs Everton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
6 Apr 2022 - Premier League
13 Sept 2021 - Premier League
13 Mar 2021 - Premier League
Burnley - Everton: Form Analysis
Everton’s back-to-back losses seem to mask what's been an impressive run of games.
Yes, The Toffees lost to Newcastle, Chelsea, and Arsenal in their last seven matches, but they still have four wins in that span of games. And very difficult games, if we must add.
Everton beat Nottingham (3-0), Bournemouth (1-0), Fulham (2-0), and Manchester United (1-0), keeping a clean sheet in every game.
Their season performances so far have earned them 10th place, with only four points separating them from the Champions League zone.
Burnley would be wishing they could say the same. The Clarets did manage a 1-1 away draw to Bournemouth. But that's only 1 of 24 winnable points in their last eight games.
Of Burnley’s 17 games, they've won three (joint second-lowest) and lost 12 (second highest). And while they've scored one goal more than Everton (19), they've conceded 14 more (34), which is the third-highest.
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Burnley against Everton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderO. Sonne
Q. Hartman
MidfielderZ. Flemming
Florentino
A. Barnes
M. Tresor
L. Tchaouna
J. Anthony
M. Travers
T. King
DefenderN. Patterson
R. Welch
A. Aznou
E. Campbell
MidfielderM. Rohl
T. Barry
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Worrall
J. Beyer
MidfielderH. Mejbri
ForwardZ. Amdouni
K. Dewsbury-Hall
J. Branthwaite
ForwardI. Ndiaye
Burnley & Everton Squad Analysis
Perhaps, Everton’s best decision over the summer was loaning Jack Grealish from Manchester City.
Jack's ball control and ability to progress the play have changed the dynamic of Everton's attack, giving his team the much-needed balance between defending and attacking.
Grealish has 6 G/A in Everton’s 20 goals this season, contributing to 33% of their output.
Another Outstanding player for Everton this season is midfielder Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, who has The Toffees highest-rated player on SofaScore. He also leads the team in goals (4) and has two assists to his name.
For The Clarets, it's tricky picking the best player considering their performances so far. However, the Everton back line must keep a close eye on forward Zian Flemming.
Flemming’s five goals in 14 games for Burnley don't tell the full story. He's only played 689 minutes this season, meaning he actually scores a goal every 137.8 minutes. Even more impressive is that Zian leads Burnley in goals after playing just about 7.6 full matches in minutes.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Everton
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
Beto
(9 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
Burnley - Everton Key Points
- Everton has scored the third-lowest goals (18), while Burnley has scored the joint fourth-lowest (19).
- Everton has conceded the fifth-fewest goals this season (20).
- Everton have kept the fourth joint-highest clean sheets (6) this season.
- Burnley are goalless in four of their last five home games, and all four finished with under 2.5 goals.
- All of Everton’s last five away games ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Six of Everton’s last eight games ended with fewer than three goals.
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Our Burnley vs Everton Prediction
In addition to their notably low output in front of goal, Everton has also been incredible defensively, with only 20 goals conceded (fifth-fewest). That combination has seen six of Everton's last eight and all of their last five away games end with under 2.5 goals.
And that kind of defense against a dull Burney offence, even though desperate, should see their match end with 1 or 2 goals max. Hence, our Burnley vs Everton prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.
Burnley vs Everton Alternative Predictions
Everton wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Everton
| Burnley vs Everton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 4.26 | 3.86 | -9.4% |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.25 | -6.1% |
| Everton wins | 1.89 | 2.3 | +21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Everton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.9% and is now 43.5% (-9.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
