Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Premier League Predictions
Chelsea are aiming to cement their position in the Premier League when they welcome Aston Villa to the Stamford Bridge on matchday 18. Let's head into the match prediction.
Chelsea have yet to confirm their top four position in the Premier League standings. With 29 points accumulated from 17 games, they find themselves level on points with a high-flying Liverpool in fifth place. Failure to secure all three points at home could see them drop as low as sixth place.
Aston Villa are right ahead of Chelsea, occupying third place in the league standings with a seven point cushion. Villa have emerged as genuine title contenders and are three points behind league leaders Arsenal. A win here could draw them closer to the top spot. However, they are aware it won't be an easy feat, having won 16 of their last 60 matches against this opponent. With a 26.7% record, can the Villans secure an important win? Check out our key stats for this match!
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Chelsea v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.95 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 4 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.75 | 4 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.75 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Aston Villa match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/12/2025 between Chelsea and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.72% for a win of Chelsea against Aston Villa with odds of 1.83 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Aston Villa is 16.55% with odds of 4.08 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Chelsea with odds of 4.5 at Stake.
Chelsea - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 44.72% | 1.83 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.55% | 1.86 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 67.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea | 20.42% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Form
Chelsea and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
Chelsea and Aston Villa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
24 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Chelsea have turned over a new leaf after going four matches without a win across all competitions. Coming into this match, they are unbeaten in three games.
Their resurgence began with two consecutive wins against Everton and Cardiff City before being held to a recent thrilling 2-2 away league draw against Newcastle United.
The Blues return to their humble abode, aiming to maintain their unbeaten run. At Stamford Bridge, Enzo Maresca's men have been a difficult team to overcome, going four matches without defeat. During this run, they recorded three wins and a solitary draw.
Chelsea have never lost a home league game against Aston Villa since September 2023.
Aston Villa have not lost a match since their 2-0 league defeat to Liverpool at the beginning of November. Since then, they've won ten matches in a row. During this run, they kept just three clean sheets.
The Villans' recent triumph came against Manchester United in the Premier League. Morgan Rogers' brace was enough to steer the team to a 2-1 home victory.
In unfamiliar territory, they've found their rhythm, winning four consecutive matches after back-to-back defeats against Go Ahead Eagles and Liverpool. This should be the perfect opportunity for them to end a two-match winless run in this fixture.
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Chelsea against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Jorgensen
DefenderW. Fofana
M. Gusto
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
MidfielderA. Santos
ForwardL. Delap
J. Gittens
Estevao
M. Bizot
DefenderL. Digne
A. Onana
L. Bogarde
A. Garcia
J. Jimoh-Aloba
G. Hemmings
ForwardJ. Sancho
O. Watkins
Missing players
L. Colwill
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
E. Guessand
Chelsea & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Chelsea have three players in the injury room. Levi Colwill, Dario Essugo, and Romeo Lavia are all sidelined for this upcoming encounter.
Liam Delap, who missed four games for his club because of a shoulder injury, is set to make his return this Saturday. Estevao is also another player making his return after recovering from a muscle injury.
Joao Pedro continues to deliver for Chelsea through his impressive performances. Pedro has been directly involved in three goal contributions in his last four appearances. The Brazilian international is expected to lead the attack this Saturday.
Morgan Rogers is in red-hot form scoring a brace in back-to-back matches.
Aston Villa are set to take to the field without three players due to injuries. Pau Torres, Tyrone Mings, and Ross Barkley are all sidelined. Harvey Elliott is unavailable, with the 22-year-old recovering from an illness.
Another unavailable player for the Villans is forward Evann Guessand, who traveled to Morocco for the Africa Cup of Nations.
Morgan Rogers is outshining Ollie Watkins this season in terms of goal contributions in the current Premier League campaign. Rogers has been directly involved in ten goals for the club. He has scored seven and provided three assists. Notably, he has scored a brace in back-to-back matches, highlighting his red-hot form and the danger he possesses.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
Chelsea - Aston Villa Key Points
- Chelsea have seen their last two matches end with over 2.5 goals.
- Aston Villa have seen each of their last five matches end with over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Chelsea's last seven home matches across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Aston Villa have scored 11 goals in their last four away matches.
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Our Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction
A high-scoring affair has been the trend when these two teams clash. The over 2.5 bet has landed in each of their last four meetings, and the same can be anticipated here.
Aston Villa have been dominated in this fixture by Chelsea, losing 30 of their last 60 meetings, which is why they come into this clash with an underdog tag behind their backs despite their impressive form. This matchup could turn out to be tricky, but expect a high-scoring affair when these two sides clash. Our Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction: more than 2.5 goals.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Aston Villa draw no bet
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Aston Villa
| Chelsea vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.97 | 1.83 | -7.1% |
| Draw | 3.78 | 4.08 | +7.9% |
| Aston Villa wins | 4.11 | 4.5 | +9.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.8% and is now 54.6% (3.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
